{"source":"polymarket","id":"99601","ticker":"any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027","slug":"any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027","title":"Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-dissolves-before-2027-zEjYTg7kFnjL.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-dissolves-before-2027-zEjYTg7kFnjL.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T00:12:34.910994Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":141980.04758999994,"volume_24hr":5.220211,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.359895944595337,"normalized_volume":30.881893157958984,"liquidity":21010.5322,"open_interest":24568.896163,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.7800000000000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:14:55.357868Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:14:55.357868Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027","chart_24h":[2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,2.4402109999999997,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.220211,5.220211,5.220211,5.220211],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"891579","event_id":"99601","slug":"any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027","question":"Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-dissolves-before-2027-zEjYTg7kFnjL.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-dissolves-before-2027-zEjYTg7kFnjL.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T00:12:18.017000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":141980.04758999994,"volume_24hr":5.220211,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.7800000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3870303630828857,"normalized_volume":36.10149002075195,"liquidity":20320.7115,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:31:38.877559Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:29:06.731584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027","event_title":"Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/99601","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:27:07.921302Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}