{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/996047","as_of":"2026-10-27T15:28:58.404414Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?\" — 5 markets; highest \"Ra'am\" at 97% as of 2026-10-27 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/996047","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections"},"source":"polymarket","id":"996047","ticker":"which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","slug":"which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29433.04102,"volume_24hr":4191.092745,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.44188117980957,"normalized_volume":24.045461654663086,"liquidity":152664.42001,"open_interest":11214.329300000001,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ra'am","top_outcome_probability":0.972,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02200000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":13.65325199999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:20.881036Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:20.881036Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.291918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","chart_24h":[999.412652,1460.139433,1360.759433,1360.759433,1293.9015,1333.9015,1420.9015,1247.291516,1638.191516,1604.351961,1624.351961,1497.848629,1527.3086289999999,1527.3086289999999,1668.238629,1660.0367860000001,1660.036786,1665.036786,1903.152732,1901.486066,1906.862412,2191.579912,2216.069274,2176.069274,2395.059274,2426.0592739999997,2426.0592739999997,3237.76852,3994.049708,4234.316495],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4424791","event_id":"996047","slug":"will-raam-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","question":"Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","group_item_title":"Ra'am","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-raam-9b28401e82.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-raam-9b28401e82.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.972,0.028],"probability":0.972,"spread":0.024,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:25Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1491.0937829999998,"volume_24hr":212.730445,"prob_24h_change":0.02200000000000002,"volume_24h_change":13.65325199999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.680413246154785,"normalized_volume":15.668868064880371,"liquidity":38924.14667,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.314761Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections/will-raam-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","event_title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","chart_24h":[0.9525,0.943,0.954,0.9435,0.9545,0.9585,0.9615,0.957,0.959,0.958,0.964,0.964,0.964,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.9655,0.972,0.97]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4424790","event_id":"996047","slug":"will-rzp-zehut-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","question":"Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","group_item_title":"RZP-Zehut","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-rzp-zehut-789e45194e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-rzp-zehut-789e45194e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.965,0.035],"probability":0.965,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:25Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6025.095128,"volume_24hr":204.793334,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":29.150648999999987,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.516204833984375,"normalized_volume":22.226518630981445,"liquidity":60537.6574,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T14:59:44.071749Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T14:59:44.071749Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.314761Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections/will-rzp-zehut-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","event_title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","chart_24h":[0.945,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.9665,0.964]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4424794","event_id":"996047","slug":"will-reservists-and-new-economic-party-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","question":"Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","group_item_title":"Reservists and New Economic Party","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-il26-reservists-economic-5f4583dd1d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-il26-reservists-economic-5f4583dd1d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:26Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11390.27847,"volume_24hr":2523.36639,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":2080.5234520000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.767276763916016,"normalized_volume":25.57122802734375,"liquidity":7315.9087,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.314761Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections/will-reservists-and-new-economic-party-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","event_title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","chart_24h":[0.395,0.385,0.395,0.385,0.37,0.385,0.37,0.375,0.385,0.395,0.42,0.375,0.355,0.355,0.37,0.375,0.415,0.405,0.39,0.405,0.41,0.425,0.43,0.43,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.525,0.525,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4424792","event_id":"996047","slug":"will-amcha-yisrael-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","question":"Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","group_item_title":"Amcha Yisrael","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-amcha-yisrael-5fc7626787.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-amcha-yisrael-5fc7626787.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8268.446388,"volume_24hr":1063.435491,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":704.9302,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.091163635253906,"normalized_volume":23.872196197509766,"liquidity":27763.5543,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.314761Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections/will-amcha-yisrael-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","event_title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.455,0.465,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.445,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.37,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4424793","event_id":"996047","slug":"will-blue-white-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","question":"Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","group_item_title":"Blue & White","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-blue-and-white-aa5bf6837f.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/il26-blue-and-white-aa5bf6837f.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T21:30:25Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2312.672706,"volume_24hr":353.74,"prob_24h_change":-0.001,"volume_24h_change":353.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.9909086227417,"normalized_volume":17.60635757446289,"liquidity":17782.98082,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:23:21.260958Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T21:36:06.314761Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections/will-blue-white-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections","event_title":"Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","chart_24h":[0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004]}]}