{"source":"polymarket","id":"996252","ticker":"french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner","slug":"french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner","title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2569.145252,"volume_24hr":1611.5893190000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.926176071166992,"normalized_volume":14.022653579711914,"liquidity":49809.35623,"open_interest":1075.356572,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1586","slug":"socialist-party","label":"socialist party"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Raphaël Glucksmann","top_outcome_probability":0.825,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":965.4198590000001,"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.275318Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.275318Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.667806Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner","chart_24h":[217.76,217.76,217.76,207.76,207.76,207.76,207.76,207.76,0.0,0.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,125.0,135.04,135.04,135.04,140.08,140.08,140.08,140.08,140.08,140.08,151.97376,929.199859,1335.899319,1336.1093190000001,1336.1093190000001,1611.5893190000002,1611.5893190000002,1611.5893190000002,1611.5893190000002,1611.5893190000002],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425619","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-raphael-glucksmann-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Raphaël Glucksmann","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thegluck-e0ac7a2f3a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thegluck-e0ac7a2f3a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.825,0.175],"probability":0.825,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1531.6942449999997,"volume_24hr":1173.179859,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":965.4198590000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.792022705078125,"normalized_volume":15.78420352935791,"liquidity":10843.8008,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.709966Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.709966Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-raphael-glucksmann-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.705,0.705,0.67,0.675,0.665,0.665,0.665,0.745,0.74,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.725,0.73,0.755,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.845,0.82,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.825]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425620","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-olivier-faure-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Olivier Faure","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-olivier-faure-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-mVC3EQbJncbb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-olivier-faure-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-mVC3EQbJncbb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":289.5,"volume_24hr":134.01000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":124.01000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.01390552520752,"normalized_volume":9.437564849853516,"liquidity":11081.6583,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.709966Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.709966Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-olivier-faure-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.205,0.2,0.21,0.195,0.2,0.21,0.155,0.155,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.115,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.135,0.14,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425623","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-jerome-guedj-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will Jérôme Guedj win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Jérôme Guedj","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jerome-guedj-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-VPksGK8jc3oF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jerome-guedj-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-VPksGK8jc3oF.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":226.00946,"volume_24hr":99.00946,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":99.00946,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.82618236541748,"normalized_volume":8.634681701660156,"liquidity":995.8557,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:11:33.080748Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:11:33.080748Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-jerome-guedj-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.135,0.15,0.13,0.135,0.14,0.095,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.075,0.085,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425622","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-segolene-royal-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Ségolène Royal","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. 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The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-fr-maurel-1f8d8b9cfd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-fr-maurel-1f8d8b9cfd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0155,0.9845],"probability":0.0155,"spread":0.027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":186.8,"volume_24hr":68.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.011,"volume_24h_change":68.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.501511573791504,"normalized_volume":8.041632652282715,"liquidity":10619.6658,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:11:33.080748Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:11:33.080748Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-emmanuel-maurel-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.0265,0.0275,0.027,0.022,0.011,0.005,0.0155,0.0055,0.0065,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425621","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-philippe-brun-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will Philippe Brun win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Philippe Brun","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-philippe-brun-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-yJ1UCNXm1aOK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-philippe-brun-win-the-socialist-party-nomination-to-contest-the-2027-french-yJ1UCNXm1aOK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:27:11Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":139.79,"volume_24hr":67.78999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.0009999999999999992,"volume_24h_change":67.78999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.450093746185303,"normalized_volume":7.180907249450684,"liquidity":8873.33544,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T02:23:54.068635Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T02:23:54.068635Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-philippe-brun-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.0115,0.012,0.0115,0.0105,0.011,0.01,0.0105,0.0055,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425651","event_id":"996252","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","question":"Will another candidate win the first round of the French Socialist primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.\n\nIf the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner/will-another-candidate-win-the-first-round-of-the-french-socialist-primary","event_title":"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/996252","as_of":"2026-09-13T05:35:18.148228Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner\" — top market at 82% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}