{"source":"polymarket","id":"996254","ticker":"french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round","slug":"french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round","title":"Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?","description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.\n\nIf the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:30:09Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":251.783111,"volume_24hr":211.783111,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.022817611694336,"normalized_volume":6.962235450744629,"liquidity":356.1208,"open_interest":86.153111,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1586","slug":"socialist-party","label":"socialist party"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.39,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":211.783111,"updated_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.275318Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:42.275318Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.667806Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.0,30.0,30.0,30.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,66.789474,66.789474,208.153111,208.153111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111,211.783111],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4425692","event_id":"996254","slug":"french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round","question":"Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.\n\nIf the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ps-cd11a31acb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-09T22:30:09Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":251.783111,"volume_24hr":211.783111,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":211.783111,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.957422256469727,"normalized_volume":8.98040771484375,"liquidity":358.8805,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T00:44:33.024440Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T00:44:33.024440Z","added_at":"2026-09-09T22:36:52.741529Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round/french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round","event_title":"Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.395,0.41,0.485,0.475,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.465,0.465,0.38,0.39,0.39]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/996254","as_of":"2026-09-13T05:35:19.526740Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?\" — top market at 39% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}