{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/10130","as_of":"2026-10-14T07:45:54.471598Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?\" — \"Democratic Party\" leads at 62% across 9 outcomes as of 2026-10-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/predict/10130","source_url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026"},"source":"predict","id":"10130","ticker":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":624078.15,"volume_24hr":52.36999999999534,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.005816459655762,"normalized_volume":59.033905029296875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2260.3699999999953,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T07:38:11.736612Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T07:38:11.736612Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[2067.570000000036,2054.670000000042,2054.670000000042,2064.670000000042,1304.4100000000326,1304.4100000000326,1304.4100000000326,1304.4100000000326,516.9100000000326,516.9100000000326,516.9100000000326,516.9100000000326,516.9100000000326,516.9100000000326,513.0000000000582,504.7300000000396,12.369999999995343,52.36999999999534],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"12141","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Republican Party","group_item_title":"Republican Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T11:59:09.69193112Z","image":"https://static.predict.fun/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026-republican-party","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T11:59:09.692000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":253461.19,"volume_24hr":52.36999999999534,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1358.6700000000128,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.961119651794434,"normalized_volume":51.33049392700195,"liquidity":288322.62,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T07:38:13.323145Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T07:38:13.323145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365]},{"source":"predict","id":"12140","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Democratic Party","group_item_title":"Democratic Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. 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If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"498572","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Party B","group_item_title":"Party B","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"498573","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Party C","group_item_title":"Party C","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"498574","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Party D","group_item_title":"Party D","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"498575","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Party E","group_item_title":"Party E","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"498576","event_id":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","question":"Party F","group_item_title":"Party F","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. 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If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/default-market","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T15:30:01.551000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:31:46.764210Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T13:30:26.103358Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:01:38.861506Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","event_title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}