{"source":"predict","id":"103019","ticker":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13908.98,"volume_24hr":12991.559999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.819637298583984,"normalized_volume":22.198423385620117,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 200 and 299 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.28,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":22.15,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:56.601687Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:31.877299Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.043266Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","chart_24h":[6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,6.060000000000002,30.63,30.63,30.63,8736.929999999998,12885.949999999999,12983.909999999998,12991.559999999998,12991.559999999998,12991.56,12991.559999999998,12991.559999999998,12991.559999999998],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"389546","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 200 and 299 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 200 and 299 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":52.15,"volume_24hr":22.15,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":22.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.209040641784668,"normalized_volume":4.128486633300781,"liquidity":155.49,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:59.945868Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.38,0.385,0.385,0.29,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.28]},{"source":"predict","id":"389545","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 100 and 199 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 100 and 199 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.11,"volume_24hr":16.13,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":16.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.075799942016602,"normalized_volume":3.611919641494751,"liquidity":19.18,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:55.815989Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.68,0.68,0.49,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"predict","id":"389544","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 0 and 99 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 0 and 99 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13346.61,"volume_24hr":12855.32,"prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":12855.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.304344177246094,"normalized_volume":23.598920822143555,"liquidity":242.85,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:55.815989Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"predict","id":"389547","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 300 and 399 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 300 and 399 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":446.06,"volume_24hr":97.95999999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":91.89999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.277945518493652,"normalized_volume":9.74026870727539,"liquidity":67.14,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:16:01.012810Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.115,0.115,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"predict","id":"389548","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 400 and 499 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 400 and 499 times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15.72,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.0748178958892822,"liquidity":365.47,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:59.945868Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04]},{"source":"predict","id":"389549","event_id":"103019","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet 500 or more times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet 500 or more times between May 25th - Jun 1st 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-25T12:03:15.463000Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.304357886314392,"liquidity":1.91,"categories":["Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:15:38.674385Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:32.054078Z","added_at":"2026-05-25T12:46:54.103031Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-may-25th-jun-1st-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/103019","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:28:47.839514Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026\" — top market at 10% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}