{"source":"predict","id":"115086","ticker":"115086","slug":"will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-on-polymarket-receive-any-money-before-july","title":"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?","description":"Polymarket recently published a controversial clarification on a market about whether MicroStrategy would sell any Bitcoin before the end of May. This is a market on whether users who bought “Yes” shares will receive any money.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if users who bought “Yes” shares on the “May 31, 2026” market of the Polymarket event “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?” receive monetary compensation from either market resolution or as direct reimbursement or refund from Polymarket by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “receiving compensation from market resolution” requires the “Yes” shares being redeemable by any amount of USD collateral on the Polymarket platform, whether the market resolves to “Yes”, “50/50” or any other on-chain state that allows users to claim USD in exchange for Yes shares.\n\nSimilarly, “direct reimbursement or refund” requires official Polymarket staff to confirm that funds have been distributed to any user who either currently holds “Yes” or who held “Yes” at some point in the market.\n\nIf the market on Polymarket has not resolved to either “Yes” or “50/50” by Jun 30, 2026 and no official confirmation of refunds is made public by July 5th, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether new information is published afterwards.\n\nThe resolution source for refunds on this market will be official information from Polymarket staff as well as their X account. Polymarket’s platform and on-chain data will be used to verify the market’s resolution.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-receive-money-before-july","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T11:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":700396.25,"volume_24hr":18468.55999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.340850830078125,"normalized_volume":44.181861877441406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.0355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-29994.609999999986,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:01.507836Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T12:41:20.294734Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-on-polymarket-receive-any-money-before-july","chart_24h":[48664.330000000075,35395.22000000009,31176.810000000056,31575.810000000056,31446.810000000056,31501.859999999986,31295.469999999972,31295.469999999972,31295.469999999972,27723.899999999907,27868.329999999958,18999.359999999986,2211.2099999999627,1416.8399999999674,9827.479999999981,18468.55999999994],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"424755","event_id":"115086","slug":"will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-on-polymarket-receive-any-money-before-july","question":"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?","group_item_title":"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?","description":"Polymarket recently published a controversial clarification on a market about whether MicroStrategy would sell any Bitcoin before the end of May. This is a market on whether users who bought “Yes” shares will receive any money.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if users who bought “Yes” shares on the “May 31, 2026” market of the Polymarket event “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?” receive monetary compensation from either market resolution or as direct reimbursement or refund from Polymarket by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “receiving compensation from market resolution” requires the “Yes” shares being redeemable by any amount of USD collateral on the Polymarket platform, whether the market resolves to “Yes”, “50/50” or any other on-chain state that allows users to claim USD in exchange for Yes shares.\n\nSimilarly, “direct reimbursement or refund” requires official Polymarket staff to confirm that funds have been distributed to any user who either currently holds “Yes” or who held “Yes” at some point in the market.\n\nIf the market on Polymarket has not resolved to either “Yes” or “50/50” by Jun 30, 2026 and no official confirmation of refunds is made public by July 5th, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether new information is published afterwards.\n\nThe resolution source for refunds on this market will be official information from Polymarket staff as well as their X account. Polymarket’s platform and on-chain data will be used to verify the market’s resolution.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-receive-money-before-july-will-micro-strategy-sells-any-bitcoin-before-may-31-yes-holders-on-polymarket-receive-money-before-july","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T11:35:29.813000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":700396.25,"volume_24hr":18468.55999999994,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-29994.609999999986,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.32465744018555,"normalized_volume":47.37830352783203,"liquidity":820721.24,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:12.030818Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:01.745088Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T12:41:20.308042Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-mstr-sell-any-btc-before-may-31-yes-holders-on-polymarket-receive-any-money-before-july","event_title":"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/115086","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:03:02.084400Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}