{"source":"predict","id":"124277","ticker":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.73,"volume_24hr":25.61,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.727768898010254,"normalized_volume":2.6923177242279053,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk tweet 500 or more times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.61,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.121104Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T13:19:09.434544Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","chart_24h":[1.12,1.12,1.12,1.12,1.12,1.12,1.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,26.73,26.73,26.73,26.73,25.61],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"452344","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet 500 or more times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet 500 or more times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.61,"volume_24hr":5.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":5.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.0446789264678955,"normalized_volume":0.9328253865242004,"liquidity":264.15,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:07:42.608874Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"predict","id":"452343","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 400 and 499 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 400 and 499 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.5549999999999999,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.313626766204834,"normalized_volume":2.4241878986358643,"liquidity":462.8,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:07:42.604814Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.46,0.46,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.435,0.435]},{"source":"predict","id":"452341","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 200 and 299 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 200 and 299 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14766885340213776,"liquidity":458.36,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:12.030818Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"predict","id":"452340","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 100 and 199 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 100 and 199 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":385.2,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:10.933519Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"predict","id":"452342","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 300 and 399 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 300 and 399 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.465,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":366.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:07:42.600366Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.46,0.46,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.435,0.435]},{"source":"predict","id":"452339","event_id":"124277","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","question":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 0 and 99 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","group_item_title":"Will Elon Musk tweet between 0 and 99 times between Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jun 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T12:03:16.024000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":537.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:07:42.588868Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:44:55.263575Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T16:24:27.417131Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-8th-jun-15th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/124277","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:02:43.029752Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 8th - Jun 15th 2026\" — top market at 44% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}