{"source":"predict","id":"133505","ticker":"133505","slug":"will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july","title":"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?","description":"On June 9, 2026 Anthropic released Claude Mythos 5 and Claude Fable 5, see the official announcement here https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5. On Jun 12, 2026 they suspended access to both models for all users, following a US Government directive, see here: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic makes any Mythos-class model available to the general public again by 11:59 PM ET Jun 30, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe model must be accessible to the public in more than one country or region from their official list, which can be found here: https://www.anthropic.com/supported-countries. If the model is available only to US citizens, or only to handpicked professionals or enterprises, it will not count as a “public” release. Anthropic must clearly state the model is available to the “general public”.\n\nThe model will classify as a “Mythos-class” model if it is officially described as “Mythos-class” or named “Claude Mythos”  (eg Claude Mythos 5 and Claude Fable 5 would both count if re-released).\n\nAnnouncements alone will not qualify, the model must be directly accessible via either API, web client or desktop client to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12856.47,"volume_24hr":12856.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.628971099853516,"normalized_volume":23.693517684936523,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Tech","Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.6185,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11850000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12856.47,"updated_at":"2026-06-14T12:28:19.810865Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T12:06:39.415088Z","added_at":"2026-06-13T21:03:19.387943Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,2054.73,6349.219999999999,10800.25,11235.94,12856.47],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"477175","event_id":"133505","slug":"will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july","question":"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?","group_item_title":"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?","description":"On June 9, 2026 Anthropic released Claude Mythos 5 and Claude Fable 5, see the official announcement here https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5. On Jun 12, 2026 they suspended access to both models for all users, following a US Government directive, see here: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic makes any Mythos-class model available to the general public again by 11:59 PM ET Jun 30, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe model must be accessible to the public in more than one country or region from their official list, which can be found here: https://www.anthropic.com/supported-countries. If the model is available only to US citizens, or only to handpicked professionals or enterprises, it will not count as a “public” release. Anthropic must clearly state the model is available to the “general public”.\n\nThe model will classify as a “Mythos-class” model if it is officially described as “Mythos-class” or named “Claude Mythos”  (eg Claude Mythos 5 and Claude Fable 5 would both count if re-released).\n\nAnnouncements alone will not qualify, the model must be directly accessible via either API, web client or desktop client to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july-will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-publicly-available-again-before-july","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6185,0.3815],"probability":0.6185,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T19:25:00.448000Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12856.47,"volume_24hr":12856.47,"prob_24h_change":0.11850000000000005,"volume_24h_change":12856.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.09381866455078,"normalized_volume":25.938520431518555,"liquidity":6774.18,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T12:28:28.665249Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T12:06:39.434894Z","added_at":"2026-06-13T21:03:19.822703Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-anthropic-make-a-mythos-class-model-public-again-before-july","event_title":"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.2255,0.27,0.647,0.5105,0.6195,0.6185]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/133505","as_of":"2026-06-14T13:04:59.467016Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Will Anthropic make a Mythos-class model publicly available again before July?\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}