{"source":"predict","id":"156951","ticker":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6197669506073,"normalized_volume":3.975823402404785,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"400-499","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.95,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.637554Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.637554Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.225469Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,5.15,5.15,5.15,5.15,5.15,5.15,5.15,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55,9.55],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"622979","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.03],"probability":0.97,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.5,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.1191346645355225,"liquidity":591.2,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"predict","id":"622980","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.03],"probability":0.97,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":591.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"predict","id":"622978","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.11],"probability":0.89,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.15,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":5.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5765527486801147,"normalized_volume":1.093342661857605,"liquidity":1384.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"predict","id":"622976","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1074.03,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.525,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"predict","id":"622977","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1058.02,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.51]},{"source":"predict","id":"622975","event_id":"156951","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jun 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T12:04:42.892000Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.4,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":4.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3588805198669434,"normalized_volume":0.9423865079879761,"liquidity":446.84,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:03:16.800400Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T12:32:20.249578Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jun-29th-jul-6th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/156951","as_of":"2026-07-01T13:05:14.509229Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jun 29th - Jul 6th 2026\" — top market at 97% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}