{"source":"predict","id":"180024","ticker":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":8.169999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3211917579174042,"normalized_volume":3.8077232837677,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"100-199","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:08.233487Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:58.916167Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.521851Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","chart_24h":[18.46,18.46,18.46,18.46,18.46,18.46,18.46,5.88,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,3.5599999999999996,0.0,1.3399999999999999,1.3399999999999999,1.3399999999999999,1.3399999999999999],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"695578","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.27,"volume_24hr":4.27,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9153481721878052,"liquidity":132.55,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.58,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.595,0.595,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"predict","id":"695577","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17.43,"volume_24hr":1.3399999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-14.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3603355884552002,"normalized_volume":2.8137240409851074,"liquidity":823.15,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"predict","id":"695580","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.93,"volume_24hr":2.5599999999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-2.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.0499297380447388,"liquidity":302.48,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"predict","id":"695579","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":561.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.345,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.525,0.525]},{"source":"predict","id":"695581","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":435.12,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"695582","event_id":"180024","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:02:28.812000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1386.73,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:05:04.549058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:04:59.095308Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:34:31.559010Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-6th-jul-13th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/180024","as_of":"2026-07-08T11:12:03.618494Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 6th - Jul 13th 2026\" — top market at 60% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}