{"source":"predict","id":"224486","ticker":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.93,"volume_24hr":51.93,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.405842781066895,"normalized_volume":5.241194248199463,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"300-399","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.5,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:10:17.408555Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.085008Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.894618Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,8.05,51.93],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"853045","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.2],"probability":0.8,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.5,"volume_24hr":2.5,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0757992267608643,"normalized_volume":0.5200513601303101,"liquidity":135.54,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:03:06.408236Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"predict","id":"853042","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.23,"volume_24hr":29.23,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999967,"volume_24h_change":29.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.965358257293701,"normalized_volume":3.8505284786224365,"liquidity":1124.75,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:10:29.003129Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455]},{"source":"predict","id":"853044","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.2,"volume_24hr":20.2,"prob_24h_change":-0.5349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":20.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.393399238586426,"normalized_volume":3.0906286239624023,"liquidity":167.79,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:10:29.003129Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455]},{"source":"predict","id":"853043","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.565,0.435],"probability":0.565,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":988.16,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:10:12.398037Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.565]},{"source":"predict","id":"853046","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":123.4,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:03:06.408236Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31]},{"source":"predict","id":"853047","event_id":"224486","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:01:28.231000Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1360.5,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:03:06.408236Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:02:59.261083Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T12:29:20.909287Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-20th-jul-27th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/224486","as_of":"2026-07-21T16:16:28.026321Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 20th - Jul 27th 2026\" — top market at 46% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}