{"source":"predict","id":"239252","ticker":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:20:54.114000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1108052730560303,"normalized_volume":0.6393420696258545,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"飞驰人生3","top_outcome_probability":0.8295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.3295,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:58:56.642641Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.484944Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.686094Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"924840","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"功夫女足","group_item_title":"功夫女足","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:26.263000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.32347992062568665,"normalized_volume":0.15920597314834595,"liquidity":115248.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.7495,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"predict","id":"924841","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"给阿嬷的情书","group_item_title":"给阿嬷的情书","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:26.668000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.32347992062568665,"normalized_volume":0.15920597314834595,"liquidity":110189.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5045,0.5045,0.5045,0.5545,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415]},{"source":"predict","id":"924842","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"八仙!","group_item_title":"八仙!","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3965,0.6035],"probability":0.3965,"spread":0.787,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:27.175000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10349999999999998,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.32347992062568665,"normalized_volume":0.15920597314834595,"liquidity":101100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.496,0.396,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965,0.3965]},{"source":"predict","id":"924839","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"飞驰人生3","group_item_title":"飞驰人生3","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8295,0.1705],"probability":0.8295,"spread":0.337,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:25.754000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.3295,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101644.3,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.7495,0.7495,0.7495,0.7495,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295,0.8295]},{"source":"predict","id":"924844","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"年会不能停2!","group_item_title":"年会不能停2!","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4545,0.5455],"probability":0.4545,"spread":0.869,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:28.127000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.045499999999999985,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101791.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5005,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545,0.4545]},{"source":"predict","id":"924845","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"奥德赛","group_item_title":"奥德赛","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.447,0.553],"probability":0.447,"spread":0.886,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:28.536000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05399999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":11200.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.501,0.501,0.501,0.501,0.501,0.501,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447,0.447]},{"source":"predict","id":"924846","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"蜘蛛侠：崭新之日","group_item_title":"蜘蛛侠：崭新之日","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.446,0.554],"probability":0.446,"spread":0.888,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:29.043000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05399999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100892.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5005,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446,0.446]},{"source":"predict","id":"924843","event_id":"239252","slug":"what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","question":"群星闪耀时","group_item_title":"群星闪耀时","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to \"2026\", once data for December 31 is made available.\n\nIn the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome.\n\nIf no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/82bab472-14c2-493c-8076-7632065c7489.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4455,0.5545],"probability":0.4455,"spread":0.887,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T09:22:27.622000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05449999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101069.8,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:27.845894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T02:45:06.652874Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:45.730166Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-movies-will-rank-top-3-china-box-office","event_title":"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5005,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455,0.4455]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/239252","as_of":"2026-07-26T03:04:08.269027Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?\" — top market at 74% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}