{"source":"predict","id":"241167","ticker":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.764869689941406,"normalized_volume":21.000789642333984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics","Awards"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yulia Navalnaya","top_outcome_probability":0.106,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.793,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":544.42,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.414386Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.414386Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.383375Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","chart_24h":[0.0,2398.2700000000004,2398.2700000000004,2820.8199999999997],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"936338","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Yulia Navalnaya","group_item_title":"Yulia Navalnaya","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-yulia-navalnaya","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.106,0.894],"probability":0.106,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":544.42,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.793,"volume_24h_change":544.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.258386611938477,"normalized_volume":13.158429145812988,"liquidity":4152.3,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.899,0.106,0.106,0.106]},{"source":"predict","id":"936342","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"UNRWA","group_item_title":"UNRWA","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-unrwa","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":32281.28,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.0555,0.079,0.079]},{"source":"predict","id":"936345","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","group_item_title":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-volodymyr-zelenskyy","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0715,0.9285],"probability":0.0715,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":734.56,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.8775,"volume_24h_change":734.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.90718650817871,"normalized_volume":14.437084197998047,"liquidity":2030.45,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.949,0.0715,0.074,0.0715]},{"source":"predict","id":"936336","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-donald-trump","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29797.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"predict","id":"936346","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani","group_item_title":"Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29797.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"predict","id":"936337","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Pope Leo XIV","group_item_title":"Pope Leo XIV","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-pope-leo-xiv","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0495,0.9505],"probability":0.0495,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1541.84,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1541.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.99644088745117,"normalized_volume":17.859275817871094,"liquidity":1696.04,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.049,0.0495,0.0495]},{"source":"predict","id":"936339","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Julian Assange","group_item_title":"Julian Assange","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-julian-assange","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29791.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"predict","id":"936343","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"International Court of Justice","group_item_title":"International Court of Justice","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-international-court-of-justice","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29791.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"predict","id":"936344","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"António Guterres","group_item_title":"António Guterres","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-antonio-guterres","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29791.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"predict","id":"936355","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Narendra Modi","group_item_title":"Narendra Modi","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-narendra-modi","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29791.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"predict","id":"936340","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Greta Thunberg","group_item_title":"Greta Thunberg","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-greta-thunberg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936341","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Elon Musk","group_item_title":"Elon Musk","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-elon-musk","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936348","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Khaled Mashal","group_item_title":"Khaled Mashal","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-khaled-mashal","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936350","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Recep Tayyip Erdoğan","group_item_title":"Recep Tayyip Erdoğan","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-recep-tayyip-erdogan","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936351","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Xi Jinping","group_item_title":"Xi Jinping","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-xi-jinping","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936352","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Ahmed al-Sharaa","group_item_title":"Ahmed al-Sharaa","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-ahmed-al-sharaa","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936353","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Charlie Kirk","group_item_title":"Charlie Kirk","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-charlie-kirk","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936354","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Mohammed bin Salman","group_item_title":"Mohammed bin Salman","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-mohammed-bin-salman","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29788.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"predict","id":"936347","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Vladimir Putin","group_item_title":"Vladimir Putin","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-vladimir-putin","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29785.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"predict","id":"936349","event_id":"241167","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","question":"Benjamin Netanyahu","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139-benjamin-netanyahu","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T19:14:58.134000Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29785.19,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:59:47.469972Z","added_at":"2026-07-25T03:04:52.513115Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","event_title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/241167","as_of":"2026-07-25T08:00:11.361502Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026\" — top market at 11% probability across 20 outcomes","source_url":null}}