{"source":"predict","id":"250470","ticker":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.87,"volume_24hr":3.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5331802368164062,"normalized_volume":0.8337239027023315,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"400-499","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:59:33.431695Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.910062Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.157692Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.85,2.85,2.85,2.85,2.85,3.87,3.87,3.87,3.87,3.87],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"968140","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.02,"volume_24hr":1.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.49,"volume_24h_change":1.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3527345657348633,"normalized_volume":0.163809671998024,"liquidity":160.78,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:16.512387Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"predict","id":"968142","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.85,"volume_24hr":2.85,"prob_24h_change":-0.62,"volume_24h_change":2.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.296712875366211,"normalized_volume":0.6021925210952759,"liquidity":98.31,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:16.512387Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"predict","id":"968141","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.04],"probability":0.96,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":211.77,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:16.512387Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"predict","id":"968137","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.05],"probability":0.95,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":173.01,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:16.512387Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"predict","id":"968138","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":109.68,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:59:39.966124Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515]},{"source":"predict","id":"968139","event_id":"250470","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T12:03:34.587000Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":202.65,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T09:59:39.966124Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T09:44:05.932426Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T12:24:05.206437Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-jul-27th-aug-3rd-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/250470","as_of":"2026-07-28T10:32:29.309446Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026\" — top market at 37% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}