{"source":"predict","id":"275391","ticker":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":2.17,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8249703049659729,"normalized_volume":3.8884809017181396,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"100-199","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:25.529005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.510756Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.675165Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,1.9899999999999998,2.17,2.17,2.17],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"1130315","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.27,"volume_24hr":2.17,"prob_24h_change":0.005000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":2.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8398256301879883,"normalized_volume":0.7009297609329224,"liquidity":498.28,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"predict","id":"1130311","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.11],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.385,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6833951473236084,"liquidity":1.1,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.88,0.89,0.725,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"predict","id":"1130312","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":151.98,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275]},{"source":"predict","id":"1130310","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3.26,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"predict","id":"1130313","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.9343054294586182,"liquidity":0.11,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"predict","id":"1130314","event_id":"275391","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T12:02:17.815000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1.61,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:16.646086Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:22:06.742619Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T13:25:17.808834Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-3rd-aug-10th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/275391","as_of":"2026-08-08T05:45:53.457564Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 3rd - Aug 10th 2026\" — top market at 2% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}