{"source":"predict","id":"297888","ticker":"297888","slug":"next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","title":"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/b9f151a2-806e-40a9-8d94-6d476b02761d.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T12:52:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3925.25,"volume_24hr":2658.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.320465087890625,"normalized_volume":22.76371955871582,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Tech","Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"August 31","top_outcome_probability":0.495,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":637.06,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T20:27:37.810304Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T20:11:46.545506Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T13:47:25.763275Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,1763.38,1763.38,2129.31,2129.31,2129.31,2651.52,2658.46],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"1295549","event_id":"297888","slug":"next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","question":"August 31","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/b9f151a2-806e-40a9-8d94-6d476b02761d.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T11:53:29.815000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1754.36,"volume_24hr":637.06,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":637.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.96070671081543,"normalized_volume":18.550352096557617,"liquidity":4396.61,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T20:27:47.735524Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T20:11:47.019395Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T13:47:25.901238Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","event_title":"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?","chart_24h":[0.395,0.395,0.4,0.405,0.44,0.445,0.46,0.56,0.695,0.495]},{"source":"predict","id":"1295551","event_id":"297888","slug":"next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","question":"August 21","group_item_title":"August 21","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/b9f151a2-806e-40a9-8d94-6d476b02761d.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T11:53:29.815000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":997.42,"volume_24hr":997.42,"prob_24h_change":0.05000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":997.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.97193717956543,"normalized_volume":15.853898048400879,"liquidity":3151.03,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T20:27:53.023726Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T20:11:47.019395Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T13:47:25.901238Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","event_title":"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.545,0.275]},{"source":"predict","id":"1295550","event_id":"297888","slug":"next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","question":"August 14","group_item_title":"August 14","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/b9f151a2-806e-40a9-8d94-6d476b02761d.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T11:53:29.815000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1173.47,"volume_24hr":1023.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1023.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.21548843383789,"normalized_volume":16.6082706451416,"liquidity":730.8,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T20:27:47.735524Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T20:11:47.019395Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T13:47:25.901238Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","event_title":"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.025]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/297888","as_of":"2026-08-12T20:51:26.969474Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?\" — top market at 2% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}