{"source":"predict","id":"321192","ticker":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:43:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":75923.81,"volume_24hr":73499.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.99417114257812,"normalized_volume":41.97509765625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":">¥15M","top_outcome_probability":0.995,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0035000000000000586,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":40383.49,"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:34:47.317041Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.593654Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:52.968355Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,53618.96,73265.79999999999,73499.12],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"1459043","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥15M","group_item_title":">¥15M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.995,0.005],"probability":0.995,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:41.234000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42638.73,"volume_24hr":40383.49,"prob_24h_change":-0.0035000000000000586,"volume_24h_change":40383.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.73128509521484,"normalized_volume":37.77556228637695,"liquidity":73031426.77,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:34:57.582084Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.9985,0.9955,0.9955,0.995,0.9955,0.9955,0.995]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459044","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥20M","group_item_title":">¥20M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9565,0.0435],"probability":0.9565,"spread":0.057,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:41.756000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28258.24,"volume_24hr":28088.79,"prob_24h_change":0.8565,"volume_24h_change":28088.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.90474700927734,"normalized_volume":34.916465759277344,"liquidity":113378.93,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:35:11.372718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.97,0.979,0.942,0.957,0.957,0.9565]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459045","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥30M","group_item_title":">¥30M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.825,0.175],"probability":0.825,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:42.141000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3950.6,"volume_24hr":3950.6,"prob_24h_change":0.5249999999999999,"volume_24h_change":3950.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.736732482910156,"normalized_volume":22.798686981201172,"liquidity":13302.52,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:34:20.061452Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.91,0.97,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.825]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459047","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥50M","group_item_title":">¥50M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.2],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:42.808000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":149.99,"volume_24hr":149.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.19699999999999995,"volume_24h_change":149.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.051443099975586,"normalized_volume":8.36715030670166,"liquidity":12073.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:35:11.372718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.997,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459046","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥40M","group_item_title":">¥40M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.745,0.255],"probability":0.745,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:42.479000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.252,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.910541534423828,"normalized_volume":3.080993175506592,"liquidity":13630.98,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:34:20.071102Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.997,0.3,0.745,0.745,0.745,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459048","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥75M","group_item_title":">¥75M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.675,0.325],"probability":0.675,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:43.145000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32199999999999995,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.9342041015625,"normalized_volume":9.348578453063965,"liquidity":30867.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:35:11.372718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.997,0.575,0.575,0.675,0.675,0.675,0.675]},{"source":"predict","id":"1459049","event_id":"321192","slug":"what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","question":">¥100M","group_item_title":">¥100M","description":"“牛来” (Niu Lai) premiered in China on August 5th. This is a market about its box office gross in China during the month of August.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if “牛来” has a box office higher than the listed amount in China by September 1st, 2026. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe official resolution source for this market is Entgroup, specifically the movie’s official page available at https://ys.endata.cn/Details/Movie?entId=710771. This market will resolve by summing each daily box office figure for the month of August available at the “当前票房(万)” column, once data including August 31 is finalized.\n\nData for August 31st will be considered finalized once there is some data available for September 1st, 2026. If no data for September 1st is available by September 7th, 2026, the data for August will be considered finalized.\n\nIf Entgroup data for this movie is not publicly available by September 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Maoyan, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/ad800db1-f137-48bc-a18e-f57e4e67f173.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4485,0.5515],"probability":0.4485,"spread":0.497,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T09:45:43.474000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":706.25,"volume_24hr":706.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.5505,"volume_24h_change":706.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.45237159729004,"normalized_volume":14.310121536254883,"liquidity":33309.65,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T20:34:20.291542Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T20:18:25.622391Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T12:37:53.116286Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/what-box-office-gross-will-niu-lai-hit-by-sep-2026","event_title":"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?","chart_24h":[0.999,0.45,0.4495,0.4485,0.4485,0.4485,0.4485]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/321192","as_of":"2026-08-17T20:43:39.591131Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"What box office gross will 牛来 hit by September?\" — top market at 100% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}