{"source":"predict","id":"421229","ticker":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/tweet-count/2/desktop","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.03444317355751991,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Tweets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"300-399","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.381114Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.381114Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.670442Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"1852171","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"300-399","group_item_title":"300-399","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":990.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"predict","id":"1852172","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"400-499","group_item_title":"400-499","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":990.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"predict","id":"1852170","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"200-299","group_item_title":"200-299","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4149999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525]},{"source":"predict","id":"1852173","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"500+","group_item_title":"500+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.49,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.03444317355751991,"liquidity":991.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"predict","id":"1852169","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"100-199","group_item_title":"100-199","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.485,0.515],"probability":0.485,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":961.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.485]},{"source":"predict","id":"1852168","event_id":"421229","slug":"number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","question":"0-99","group_item_title":"0-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Aug 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive).\n\n**Date Range (Exclusive):**\nTweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count.\n\n**Posts That Count:**\n- Main feed posts\n- Quote posts\n- Reposts\n\n**Replies:**\nRequirements for rules to count:\n- The entire \"reply chain\" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user.\n- Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count.\n\n**Examples:**\n- Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785)\n- Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)\n- Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133)\n- Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450)\n\n**Additional Rules:**\n- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker\n- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total\n- Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total\n\n**Resolution Source:**\nThe main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-variant-tweet-count-market-image.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:04:05.670000Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.49,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":777.4,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T01:53:22.595191Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T12:31:13.698879Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/number-of-elon-musk-tweets-aug-31st-sep-7th-2026","event_title":"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/421229","as_of":"2026-09-04T02:46:36.644066Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Number of Elon Musk tweets Aug 31st - Sep 7th 2026\" — top market at 99% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}