{"source":"predict","id":"432754","ticker":"432754","slug":"spy-updown-15m-1788528600","title":"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the SPY/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the SPY/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPY/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spy-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPY/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.\n2026-09-04T13:30:00Z","image":"https://static.predict.fun/automarket-spy-usdt-15-minutes","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-04T13:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T13:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T15:20:38.830489Z","volume":1392.32,"volume_24hr":1392.32,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.09437370300293,"normalized_volume":17.401100158691406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":["Finance","Stocks","Stock_updown","Stock_15min","SPY"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1392.32,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T16:40:50.947241Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T15:20:31.981052Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T14:05:59.981181Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/spy-updown-15m-1788528600","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,4.26,4.26,11.74,11.74,11.74,11.74,13.66,32.89,1359.45,1359.45,1369.33,1369.33,1371.06,1392.32],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"1944638","event_id":"432754","slug":"spy-updown-15m-1788528600","question":"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","group_item_title":"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the SPY/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the SPY/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPY/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spy-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPY/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/automarket-spy-usdt-15-minutes","icon":null,"outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.06,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-03T13:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T13:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T15:20:38.862729Z","volume":1392.32,"volume_24hr":1392.32,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":1392.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.08125305175781,"normalized_volume":17.401100158691406,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T16:40:41.093631Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T15:20:32.004504Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T14:06:00.153599Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/spy-updown-15m-1788528600","event_title":"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.88,1.0,1.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/432754","as_of":"2026-09-04T17:57:05.074895Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"SPY Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET\" — top market at 100% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}