{"source":"predict","id":"4435","ticker":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:05:17.960000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.13494873046875,"normalized_volume":69.87133026123047,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Pre-Market"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$500M","top_outcome_probability":0.6475,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-277.71999999997206,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.568954Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.568954Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[34353.76999999955,34435.28999999957,34435.28999999957,33953.33999999985,34059.61999999988,34137.02999999956,34137.02999999956,34135.02999999956,34441.60999999975,35041.599999999744,35153.49999999977,35205.04000000004,14679.379999999772,8067.329999999842,4478.879999999772,4694.069999999949,2291.070000000065],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"5093","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$500M","group_item_title":"$500M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-500-m","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6475,0.3525],"probability":0.6475,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:42.515000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":715585.62,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-277.71999999997206,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.445280075073242,"normalized_volume":52.65549850463867,"liquidity":127559.93,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475,0.6475]},{"source":"predict","id":"5087","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$800M","group_item_title":"$800M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-800-m","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3725,0.6275],"probability":0.3725,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:13.441000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":769013.98,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":1081.3099999999395,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.05768394470215,"normalized_volume":53.21951675415039,"liquidity":13014.04,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.3735,0.373,0.373,0.373,0.3725]},{"source":"predict","id":"5090","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$1B","group_item_title":"$1B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-1-b","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2785,0.7215],"probability":0.2785,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:27.699000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":708477.82,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.013999999999999957,"volume_24h_change":-1822.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.06412124633789,"normalized_volume":52.577545166015625,"liquidity":13732.61,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.2925,0.2925,0.2925,0.2925,0.292,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.2785]},{"source":"predict","id":"5088","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$2B","group_item_title":"$2B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-2-b","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.089,0.911],"probability":0.089,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:17.770000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1432203.85,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.1200000001117587,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.21541213989258,"liquidity":114653.25,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.089]},{"source":"predict","id":"5091","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$3B","group_item_title":"$3B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-3-b","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0415,0.9585],"probability":0.0415,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:32.089000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2571514.31,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-8718.35999999987,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.501243591308594,"normalized_volume":63.12213897705078,"liquidity":603881.76,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415]},{"source":"predict","id":"5089","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$4B","group_item_title":"$4B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-4-b","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:22.647000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2305597.03,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0029999999999999957,"volume_24h_change":-19790.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.806488037109375,"normalized_volume":62.19197463989258,"liquidity":609065.34,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405]},{"source":"predict","id":"5092","event_id":"4435","slug":"variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$5B","group_item_title":"$5B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.\n\nThe token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include:\n\n- ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain\n- SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana\n- Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin)\n- Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains\n\nNon-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-5-b","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0365,0.9635],"probability":0.0365,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-27T17:06:37.044000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3179039.89,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-164.57999999960884,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.122697830200195,"normalized_volume":64.94915771484375,"liquidity":606891.77,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:42:33.731296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/4435","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:01:28.266141Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?\" — top market at 65% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}