{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/447791","as_of":"2026-10-23T20:25:36.994733Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?\" — \"Morgan Stanley\" leads at 91% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/predict/447791","source_url":"https://predict.fun/market/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo"},"source":"predict","id":"447791","ticker":"447791","slug":"lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","title":"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?","description":"This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/company-anthropic","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T08:54:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":206.85,"volume_24hr":50.43000000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.436518669128418,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":["Finance","IPO"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Morgan Stanley","top_outcome_probability":0.91,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:25:11.675206Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:09:43.225152Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T13:20:18.721344Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","chart_24h":[51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,51.07,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"2071685","event_id":"447791","slug":"lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","question":"Morgan Stanley","group_item_title":"Morgan Stanley","description":"This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/company-anthropic","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.09],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T08:54:22.193000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":155.78,"volume_24hr":50.43000000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.465696334838867,"liquidity":163.39,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:25:00.711157Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:09:43.537610Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T13:20:26.406054Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","event_title":"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.615,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.99,0.785,0.505,0.785,0.78,0.785,0.54,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"predict","id":"2071686","event_id":"447791","slug":"lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","question":"Goldman Sachs","group_item_title":"Goldman Sachs","description":"This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/company-anthropic","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T08:54:22.193000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":51.07,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-51.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.176193714141846,"liquidity":2078.33,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:24:33.005319Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:09:43.537610Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T13:20:26.406054Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","event_title":"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.21,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.215,0.205,0.21,0.38,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]}]}