{"source":"predict","id":"6590","ticker":"6590","slug":"starmer-out-in-2026-1","title":"Starmer out by..?","description":"This market is for if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/starmer-out-in-2026-1","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-10T10:14:11.563000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":450286.64,"volume_24hr":29894.040000000008,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.116512298583984,"normalized_volume":41.33111572265625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics","Global"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.7115,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10150.160000000033,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:41.368381Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:53:30.289564Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1","chart_24h":[7570.039999999979,7257.239999999991,6430.869999999995,6430.869999999995,6430.869999999995,9956.139999999985,15287.079999999987,18323.100000000006,20515.179999999964,22502.170000000013,24019.339999999997,23813.899999999994,23051.75,23758.910000000003,23548.570000000007,23173.27000000002,23173.27000000002,29894.040000000008],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"7872","event_id":"6590","slug":"starmer-out-in-2026-1","question":"December 31","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 10, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/starmer-out-in-2026-1-june-30","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.186,0.814],"probability":0.186,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-10T11:03:21.810000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":167340.37,"volume_24hr":18672.459999999992,"prob_24h_change":-0.08450000000000002,"volume_24h_change":12257.380000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.1262092590332,"normalized_volume":37.83551788330078,"liquidity":20713.16,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:47.012917Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:53:30.388055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1","event_title":"Starmer out by..?","chart_24h":[0.2705,0.2705,0.2705,0.2705,0.2685,0.245,0.2445,0.244,0.2435,0.2375,0.237,0.2365,0.2365,0.2365,0.2365,0.2365,0.2205,0.186]},{"source":"predict","id":"7870","event_id":"6590","slug":"starmer-out-in-2026-1","question":"February 28","group_item_title":"February 28","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 10, 2026, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/starmer-out-in-2026-1-february-28","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-10T11:14:07.141000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-26T22:12:40.097169Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:40.269670Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:53:30.388055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1","event_title":"Starmer out by..?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"predict","id":"7877","event_id":"6590","slug":"starmer-out-in-2026-1","question":"March 31","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 10, 2026, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/starmer-out-in-2026-1-march-31","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-10T11:20:38.100000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-26T22:12:40.097169Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:40.269670Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:53:30.388055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1","event_title":"Starmer out by..?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/6590","as_of":"2026-05-26T22:59:06.648512Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Starmer out by..?\" — top market at 19% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}