{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/752951","as_of":"2026-11-13T15:57:37.219772Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?\" — \"Avengers: Doomsday\" leads at 73% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/predict/752951","source_url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026"},"source":"predict","id":"752951","ticker":"752951","slug":"which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","title":"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie with the highest domestic 3-day opening weekend gross among all movies in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant final (i.e., not studio estimates) 3-day opening weekend figures are available, and no later than January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each movie, the primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on that movie's The Numbers page, accessible via https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026. If The Numbers does not have a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's \"Weekend\" figure for its first 3-day weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of its Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page will be used.\n\nMovies will be ranked by domestic 3-day opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie in 1st place after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figures for each movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend, and regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nA listed movie may resolve to \"No\" as soon as finalized figures show it cannot finish in 1st place.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's figure will be the one The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the one Box Office Mojo reports at that time. A movie for which neither source reports any figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/movie","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-12T11:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9.09,"volume_24hr":6.44,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3800299167633057,"normalized_volume":1.7614773511886597,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture","Movies"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Avengers: Doomsday","top_outcome_probability":0.733,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010500000000000065,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6.44,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:20:59.496982Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:03:22.140817Z","added_at":"2026-11-12T14:41:03.458100Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.44,6.44,6.44,6.44,6.44,6.44],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"4511834","event_id":"752951","slug":"which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","question":"Avengers: Doomsday","group_item_title":"Avengers: Doomsday","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie with the highest domestic 3-day opening weekend gross among all movies in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant final (i.e., not studio estimates) 3-day opening weekend figures are available, and no later than January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each movie, the primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on that movie's The Numbers page, accessible via https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026. If The Numbers does not have a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's \"Weekend\" figure for its first 3-day weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of its Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page will be used.\n\nMovies will be ranked by domestic 3-day opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie in 1st place after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figures for each movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend, and regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nA listed movie may resolve to \"No\" as soon as finalized figures show it cannot finish in 1st place.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's figure will be the one The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the one Box Office Mojo reports at that time. A movie for which neither source reports any figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/movie","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.733,0.267],"probability":0.733,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-12T11:03:36.151000Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":9.09,"volume_24hr":6.44,"prob_24h_change":-0.010500000000000065,"volume_24h_change":6.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3800299167633057,"normalized_volume":1.7614773511886597,"liquidity":32692.63,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:20:39.113628Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:03:22.886559Z","added_at":"2026-11-12T14:41:04.492985Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","event_title":"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.7435,0.748,0.748,0.761,0.748,0.748,0.7345,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.733,0.733,0.733,0.733,0.733,0.733]},{"source":"predict","id":"4511832","event_id":"752951","slug":"which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","question":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day","group_item_title":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie with the highest domestic 3-day opening weekend gross among all movies in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant final (i.e., not studio estimates) 3-day opening weekend figures are available, and no later than January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each movie, the primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on that movie's The Numbers page, accessible via https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026. If The Numbers does not have a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's \"Weekend\" figure for its first 3-day weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of its Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page will be used.\n\nMovies will be ranked by domestic 3-day opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie in 1st place after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figures for each movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend, and regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nA listed movie may resolve to \"No\" as soon as finalized figures show it cannot finish in 1st place.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's figure will be the one The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the one Box Office Mojo reports at that time. A movie for which neither source reports any figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/movie","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2545,0.7455],"probability":0.2545,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-12T11:03:36.151000Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":30685.44,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:03:22.886559Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:03:22.886559Z","added_at":"2026-11-12T14:41:04.492985Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","event_title":"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2465,0.257,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545,0.2545]}]}