{"source":"predict","id":"81966","ticker":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7649.120000000001,"volume_24hr":7649.120000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.103057861328125,"normalized_volume":26.58132553100586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Pre-Market"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4B","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:00.856384Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.675374Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.545725Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,7174.89,7504.68,7649.12,7649.12,7649.120000000001],"markets":[{"source":"predict","id":"335385","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$500M","group_item_title":"$500M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.755,0.245],"probability":0.755,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2346.72,"volume_24hr":2346.72,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":2346.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.59099578857422,"normalized_volume":20.02252197265625,"liquidity":4069.59,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:10:39.125455Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.755,0.755,0.755]},{"source":"predict","id":"335386","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$800M","group_item_title":"$800M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1146.55,"volume_24hr":1146.55,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":1146.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.800771713256836,"normalized_volume":16.499486923217773,"liquidity":3795.17,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:10:39.133510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.63,0.635,0.635,0.64,0.635,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"predict","id":"335387","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$1B","group_item_title":"$1B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4155.85,"volume_24hr":4155.85,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":4155.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.48158264160156,"normalized_volume":23.07878875732422,"liquidity":4090.37,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:10:39.138267Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"predict","id":"335390","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$4B","group_item_title":"$4B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1526.02,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:09.417005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.83,0.93]},{"source":"predict","id":"335393","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$7B","group_item_title":"$7B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.08],"probability":0.92,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1762.58,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:09.417005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.92]},{"source":"predict","id":"335398","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$20B","group_item_title":"$20B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.08],"probability":0.92,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2121.43,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:09.417005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.92]},{"source":"predict","id":"335389","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$3B","group_item_title":"$3B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":901.52,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:09.417005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.485,0.515]},{"source":"predict","id":"335388","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$2B","group_item_title":"$2B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":107.8,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:10:47.863138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.99,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"predict","id":"335391","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$5B","group_item_title":"$5B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.51,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":902.43,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:11:09.417005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.97,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.46]},{"source":"predict","id":"335396","event_id":"81966","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","question":"$10B","group_item_title":"$10B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/7b049f83-0a4c-45c4-95c1-39a53bde4fc2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:33:20.675000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2105.4,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:10:47.899436Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:55:17.974571Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:39:43.566665Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/predict/81966","as_of":"2026-08-12T19:25:52.034732Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Predict): \"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?\" — top market at 64% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}