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This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. 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An announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. 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The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:28:41.148275Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7572320.143427996,"volume_24hr":13216.968245999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.1447868347168,"normalized_volume":56.98408889770508,"liquidity":352964.6967,"open_interest":382335.2323970001,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.805,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8903.44518,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":[2628.965705,2672.31024,2527.0402400000003,2533.560506,3485.944734,3541.934734,5061.851334,5169.851334,5169.851334,5370.611334,6554.948834,7157.978834,7068.628833999999,5853.922019999999,5748.652019999999,5798.832019999999,5637.88202,11209.818866,11230.788865999999,11342.558866,12087.419819,12596.679818999999,12603.679818999997,12655.935375,12825.905901999999,12825.905901999999,12828.917951,12973.887950999999,12972.027484999999,12976.907485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1114518","ticker":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","slug":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","title":"2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:14:21Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96125.67709400001,"volume_24hr":12382.442156000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.793556213378906,"normalized_volume":29.897113800048828,"liquidity":162941.3152,"open_interest":23657.576746,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Apple","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.19500000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2581.8939379999993,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:03:12.716581Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:03:12.716581Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:34:41.942523Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","chart_24h":[6604.18705,6765.6870499999995,6866.148712,6866.190498,7551.424438999999,8749.200466,8358.680021,9359.40574,10624.475218,11386.492580000002,12029.782580000001,12570.469095999999,12933.022867,13525.957153000001,13457.957153000001,13457.967153000001,13438.081221,14523.76722,15280.638930000001,13126.430127000001,13089.663026,12924.040025999999,12927.548798,12842.518798000001,12842.518798,12678.728754,12660.094406,12570.094406,12670.594406,12407.286877]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1040303","ticker":"anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","slug":"anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","title":"Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. 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A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-kuqe-I60SJVbXGoPg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-kuqe-I60SJVbXGoPg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T22:38:03Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2608839.461457,"volume_24hr":12024.301308,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.55352020263672,"normalized_volume":49.57514572143555,"liquidity":695332.602,"open_interest":1010462.639176,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105300","slug":"corporate-financials","label":"Corporate Financials"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.235,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999977,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8463.349259,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:02:39.774156Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:02:39.774156Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T22:56:08.625984Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","chart_24h":[230058.89340000003,230159.21557400003,230159.21557400003,230165.87557400003,230155.35557400002,230084.475574,227996.947771,227986.34283500002,224907.29283500003,224893.712835,227694.712835,206888.970857,206261.250857,197886.307047,197650.307047,197650.307047,200538.437047,203202.837047,203202.837047,202895.00130800004,202895.001308,202895.001308,205908.00130800004,205908.001308,205714.951308,205714.951308,12889.901308,12889.901307999999,12032.901308,12030.961308]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"196914","ticker":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287","slug":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287","title":"Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. 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2026","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":94.46500000000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:22.099375Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:18.900669Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T08:35:49.206177Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/anthropic-ipo-by-1789547697089","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002,94.46500000000002]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7991","ticker":null,"slug":"sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","title":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","description":"Resolution Deadline\n\nDecember 31, 2026, 11:59 PM IST.\n\nThis market resolves to“Yes”if by the resolution deadline, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) publishes or issues a Final Order or Adjudication Order that explicitly concludes that Jane Street: engaged in market manipulation, fraud, or unfair trade practices, or violated the SEBI Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations (PFUTP).\n\nThis market resolves to“No”if, by the resolution deadline: no qualifying SEBI Final Order / Adjudication Order is issued, or SEBI issues only interim orders, show-cause notices, investigation updates, press statements, or charges/allegations without a qualifying final determination.\n\nEdge case: \n\nJudicial Overrule. If SEBI issues a qualifying final finding that would otherwise trigger “Yes”, but before the resolution deadline that finding is fully set aside / vacated (i.e., completely nullified on the merits) by either: the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT), or the Supreme Court of India, then the market resolves “No.”\n\nNotes for clarity:\n\nIf an appeal is pending, or the SEBI order is stayed but not fully set aside/vacated, the market still resolves based on whether a qualifying SEBI final order exists by the deadline.\n\nIf a court/SAT partially modifies the SEBI order but leaves intact a conclusion that Jane Street violated PFUTP / engaged in manipulation, it remains “Yes.”\n\nPrimary Sources\n\nSEBI official order/publication pages, official gazette postings, or SEBI press releases linking to the order.\n\nIf SEBI documents are not accessible, a consensus of reputable reporting that reproduces the key conclusion and identifies the order type and date.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0e1b87e3474639048ba087503973ce2dd997710587c31ff75ee00c452882a8c5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28640.456,"volume_24hr":4030.6255,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.985660552978516,"normalized_volume":24.98793601989746,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.104,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","top_outcome_probability":0.104,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79090","ticker":"richest-person-on-december-31-2026","slug":"richest-person-on-december-31-2026","title":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/richest-person-on-december-31-RKNJkVpIHM2P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/richest-person-on-december-31-RKNJkVpIHM2P.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:36:51.614090Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1953366.627481,"volume_24hr":4020.0422000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.522554397583008,"normalized_volume":47.65234375,"liquidity":212924.86345,"open_interest":26758.301369,"categories":["Business","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Elon Musk","top_outcome_probability":0.9745,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":917.1800000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/richest-person-on-december-31-2026","chart_24h":[941.0425,937.9825,937.9825,937.9825,970.4955,1025.8345,1015.2135,1008.0995,3462.8897,3553.0497,3553.0497,3613.0497,3613.0497,3618.0497,3678.0497,3678.0497,3678.0497,3642.4897,3626.3077000000003,4187.7882,4187.7882,4187.7882,4187.7882,4120.4237,4053.0637,4016.9122,3724.0352000000003,4042.3022,4020.0422000000003,4020.0422000000003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"48802","ticker":"us-recession-by-end-of-2026","slug":"us-recession-by-end-of-2026","title":"US recession by end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:\n\n1.  The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). \n\n2.  The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nNote that advance estimates will be considered. For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to \"Yes\". If on December 31, 2026 the latest estimate for quarterly GDP in Q3 2025 was negative, this market will stay open until the Advance estimate of Q4 2026 is published, at which point it will resolve to \"Yes\" if Q4 2026 was negative or if the NBER declares a recession by then.\n\nThis market will remain open until either i) one of the specified conditions is met; or ii) the GDP advance estimate for Q4 2026 is released. If the GDP advance estimate for Q4 2026 has not been released by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available releases at that time.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER and the BEA’s estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP from previous quarters as released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recession-in-2025-01ZjnLjvO4a3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recession-in-2025-01ZjnLjvO4a3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:27:19.597259Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2342755.6896880004,"volume_24hr":3895.115914,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.306032180786133,"normalized_volume":48.85582733154297,"liquidity":77872.2491,"open_interest":603795.728692,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101247","slug":"macro-graph","label":"Macro Graph"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6760.491779000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T09:35:09.511792Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T09:35:09.511792Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[9061.977693,9061.977693,10655.607693000002,10655.607692999998,10673.857692999998,10673.857693000002,10673.857693000002,10673.857693,11113.857693,11103.857693000002,11103.857693000002,9934.887693,9934.887693,8339.143012,2957.5163450000005,2964.64,2153.26,2153.26,2153.26,2209.54,3815.195914,3815.195914,3815.195914,3815.195914,3815.1959140000004,3815.195914,3815.1959140000004,3842.115914,3895.115914,3895.115914]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"800948","ticker":"apples-market-cap-end-of-2026","slug":"apples-market-cap-end-of-2026","title":"Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T12:04:04.846920Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20093.954821,"volume_24hr":3705.076497,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.037769317626953,"normalized_volume":22.296411514282227,"liquidity":24342.97251,"open_interest":4003.842776,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102680","slug":"aapl","label":"AAPL"},{"id":"1097","slug":"apple","label":"Apple"},{"id":"604","slug":"stocks","label":"Stocks"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"102676","slug":"equities","label":"Equities"},{"id":"301","slug":"market-cap","label":"market cap"},{"id":"1095","slug":"market-capitalization","label":"market capitalization"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$5.00-$5.50T","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":506.66828999999984,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:30.676382Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/apples-market-cap-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[1115.686282,1115.686282,1156.4362820000001,1156.436282,1029.496282,989.4962820000001,3283.984648,3248.934648,3277.874648,3610.184648,3670.184648,3451.384648,3437.384648,3437.384648,3346.335908,3346.335908,3640.033665,3640.033665,3654.073665,3658.023665,3662.7336649999997,3657.7336649999997,3657.7336649999997,3657.7336649999997,3657.7336649999997,3685.933665,3988.153665,3988.153665,3911.791848,3745.076497]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"548898","ticker":"lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","slug":"lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","title":"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?","description":"This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T21:09:07.947802Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95929.040933,"volume_24hr":3406.576667,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.396066665649414,"normalized_volume":29.886444091796875,"liquidity":19742.93352,"open_interest":6544.737365000001,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Morgan Stanley","top_outcome_probability":0.875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1868.376667,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:35.959040Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:35.959040Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T21:21:45.242486Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo","chart_24h":[294.74,294.74,294.74,294.74,264.84,246.74,246.74,246.74,246.74,246.74,246.74,3640.916667,3640.916667,3640.916667,3640.916667,3649.616667,3649.6166670000002,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667,3406.576667]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"86832","ticker":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-s3oFXGknOa38.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-s3oFXGknOa38.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-24T17:49:12.509000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18394677.637729,"volume_24hr":3376.345485,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.336069107055664,"normalized_volume":63.5490608215332,"liquidity":196721.64154,"open_interest":102413.973567,"categories":["Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"93","slug":"prediction-markets","label":"Prediction Markets"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"102691","slug":"acquisitions","label":"Acquisitions"},{"id":"101779","slug":"buy","label":"buy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Perplexity AI","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.015,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":145.577972,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:12.635338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:12.635338Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[1112.164833,851.2193149999999,851.2193149999999,731.4305410000001,694.770541,952.600541,927.600541,927.600541,851.600541,851.600541,851.600541,877.790541,986.302798,986.302798,986.302798,1056.192798,1056.192798,1056.192798,1056.192798,991.782798,1309.682798,2361.682798,3574.442798,3574.442798,3544.282798,3400.760576,3375.760576,3375.760576,3375.760576,3376.345485]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LRCtPOuC5t","ticker":"LRCtPOuC5t","slug":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-g2N6295UzR","title":"Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","description":"Resolves YES to the company that has the largest market cap by the closing market cap value on IPO day in 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-05T02:50:11.808000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":230019.05345820443,"volume_24hr":189.7299362922796,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.859275817871094,"normalized_volume":56.06254577636719,"liquidity":601.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":["companies","technology-default","economics-default","finance","business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SpaceX","top_outcome_probability":0.764457,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.031863000000000086,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:05:38.779518Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:05:38.779518Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:57:24.899610Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-g2N6295UzR","chart_24h":[105.15674392323085,119.86805863654678,148.35042181126835,163.06173652458807,248.66199080572048,252.93207554624988,195.27352687460015,189.7299362922796]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"991338","ticker":"holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap","slug":"holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap","title":"Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before November 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap-t5cg9m0x8hPe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap-t5cg9m0x8hPe.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:56:04Z","end_date":"2026-09-18T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28367.848142000003,"volume_24hr":1981.219129,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.125259399414062,"normalized_volume":23.875320434570312,"liquidity":4393.30361,"open_interest":3363.680317,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No IPO before November 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.9585,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.022499999999999964,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-354.932775,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:02:25.967685Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:02:25.967685Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.840012Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap","chart_24h":[2504.201904,2604.201904,2604.431904,2674.431904,2674.431904,2945.9119040000005,3025.5919040000003,3025.5919040000003,3185.691904,2785.691904,2795.691904,2768.7531280000007,2768.753128,2768.753128,2768.753128,2768.753128,2768.753128,2768.753128,2768.753128,2818.853128,2818.8531280000007,2860.8531279999997,2503.056176,2503.056176,1977.2961760000003,2304.506572,2434.5065720000002,2434.606572,2786.925305,2814.425305]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN","ticker":"KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN","slug":"KXNEWROLEFAZE-27JAN","title":"Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-28T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16339.55,"volume_24hr":6859.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.05942726135254,"normalized_volume":25.210037231445312,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1723.9299999999998,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sebastian Diamond","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":226.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:46:41.399621Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:46:41.399621Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnewrolefaze/who-will-be-the-next-ceo-of-faze-media-inc/kxnewrolefaze-27jan","chart_24h":[3799.0,4063.0,4123.0,4168.0,4194.9400000000005,4582.5199999999995,3623.7799999999997,2172.2,2626.78,3236.46,4078.57,5827.55,7042.15,7032.19,6859.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"836031","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-october","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-october","title":"GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026.\n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T23:35:11Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43428.628582000005,"volume_24hr":2396.4125169999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.078672409057617,"normalized_volume":25.899784088134766,"liquidity":7097.50822,"open_interest":4271.209271000001,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104958","slug":"h100","label":"H100"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$3.00+","top_outcome_probability":0.625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":227.49034999999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:35.314042Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:35.314042Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T23:49:47.852913Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-october","chart_24h":[491.990569,491.480569,491.480569,491.480569,491.480569,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,611.783903,601.783903,2669.117562,2669.3175619999997,2755.687562,2755.687562,2755.687562,2755.687562,2768.674575,2796.504575,2796.504575,2634.1845749999998,2634.184575,2634.1845749999998,2376.4125169999998,2376.4125169999998,2376.4125169999998,2396.4125169999998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"689475","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","title":"GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nRevisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T22:35:51.531515Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30893.93982,"volume_24hr":2284.723273,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.82796859741211,"normalized_volume":24.271196365356445,"liquidity":1237.59541,"open_interest":2738.849772,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104728","slug":"h200","label":"H200"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ $7.00","top_outcome_probability":0.5375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11399999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-40.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:41.519734Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:41.519734Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T22:37:56.788188Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","chart_24h":[773.247293,669.262052,687.232052,743.242052,743.242052,787.386666,787.386666,727.351578,717.351578,717.351578,737.351578,637.351578,725.351578,647.441578,627.441578,597.011578,577.011578,536.979373,536.979373,536.979373,536.979373,586.359373,810.339373,790.339373,770.339373,710.339373,774.1481640000001,833.157053,2132.612814,2304.723273]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"16183","ticker":"kraken-ipo-in-2025","slug":"kraken-ipo-in-2025","title":"Kraken IPO by ___ ?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-31T19:05:45.901363Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1621781.9575009998,"volume_24hr":2287.052687,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.778656005859375,"normalized_volume":46.436222076416016,"liquidity":6174.71905,"open_interest":53036.604344,"categories":["Crypto","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"101300","slug":"exchange","label":"exchange"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101588","slug":"2025-predictions","label":"2025 Predictions"},{"id":"102137","slug":"featured","label":"Featured"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"105297","slug":"crypto-listings","label":"Crypto Listings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.755,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:07.444370Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:07.444370Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,2.948571,20.868571,20.868571,20.868571,20.868571,1114.324405,2178.082687,2207.052687,2247.052687,2247.052687,2247.052687,2247.052687,2247.052687,2267.052687,2267.052687,2267.052687,2267.052687,2267.052687,2287.052687,2287.052687]},{"source":"opinion","id":"336","ticker":"336","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest Company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3bdaf162bdf3b4ba942d72983e38de4dd2fedb438f1af6aef0fc23a80af0b015","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:24:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5493433.5415,"volume_24hr":1840.1804999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.5911808013916,"normalized_volume":57.140724182128906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Saudi Aramco","top_outcome_probability":0.949,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/largest-company-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"689476","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825","title":"GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nRevisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-by-may-31-SKI2EWpjOkEl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-by-may-31-SKI2EWpjOkEl.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T22:37:31.607989Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62537.390691,"volume_24hr":2138.327397,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.169620513916016,"normalized_volume":27.691492080688477,"liquidity":2195.08712,"open_interest":6807.959940999999,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104726","slug":"b200","label":"B200"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↓ $5.50","top_outcome_probability":0.341,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.17149999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":148.992392,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:41.519734Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:41.519734Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T22:52:08.810500Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825","chart_24h":[629.84,629.84,629.84,629.84,638.0,659.512262,659.512262,619.512262,619.512262,639.512262,539.512262,594.677267,594.677267,519.677267,519.677267,439.677267,534.547397,554.417397,494.417397,398.737397,398.737397,398.737397,398.737397,358.737397,358.737397,328.737397,328.737397,328.737397,1982.977397,2078.327397]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"85299","ticker":"ai-bubble-burst-by","slug":"ai-bubble-burst-by","title":"AI bubble burst by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe:\n- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.\n- iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high.\n- OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.\n- OpenAI, Inc. is acquired.\n- H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at:\nhttps://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index.\n- Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe. For clarity, ‘within 90 days of this market’s specified timeframe’ means that three qualifying events must occur within a single 90-day window that ends no later than the market’s final resolution deadline. For example, with a December 31, 2026 deadline, if Event A occurs on January 10, Event B on February 5, and Event C on March 3 of 2026, this would qualify because all three fall within one 90-day span. By contrast, if Event A occurs on January 10, Event B on April 20, and Event C on November 1 of 2026, they would not qualify because they do not occur within the same 90-day window.\n\nThis market will not resolve to \"Yes\" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ai-industry-downturn-by-fFNK9rGi-70Y.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ai-industry-downturn-by-fFNK9rGi-70Y.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-20T00:24:18.369000Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3121446.8778380007,"volume_24hr":2058.42071,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.10879135131836,"normalized_volume":50.786338806152344,"liquidity":56391.40835,"open_interest":126558.2142,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":197.20142800000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ai-bubble-burst-by","chart_24h":[3960.793316,3905.454744,3905.454744,3805.454744,3805.454744,3835.484744,3835.484744,3256.484744,3256.484744,3216.080703,3462.110703,3462.110703,2711.440703,2711.440703,1650.9278,1650.9278,1650.9278,1650.9278,1648.4978,1648.4978,1648.4978,2913.521533,2913.521533,2913.521533,2913.521533,2913.521533,2913.521533,2913.521533,2042.97071,2058.42071]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9t2ZEdZqtR","ticker":"9t2ZEdZqtR","slug":"sum-int-trillion-dollar-market-cap","title":"Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies","description":"Essentially full trillion dollar market cap companies.\n\nUses https://companiesmarketcap.com/ as the source.\n\n\nThe \"Int\" function rounds down to the number of whole trillion dollars\nAt the time of creating this question on 18 Aug 2025, the list at the source above was\n\n1 NVIDIA NVDA $4.429 T\n\n2 Microsoft MSFT $3.839 T\n\n3 Apple AAPL $3.427 T\n\n4 Alphabet (Google) GOOG$2.460 T\n\n5 Amazon AMZN $2.458 T\n\n6 Meta Platforms (Facebook) META $1.921 T\n\n7 Saudi Aramco 2222.SR $1.555 T\n\n8 Broadcom AVGO $1.417 T\n\n9 TSMC TSM $1.249 T\n\n10 Tesla TSLA $1.075 T\n\n11 Berkshire Hathaway BRK-B $1.030 T\n\n12 Walmart WMT $802.43 B\n\n.\nWalmart does not have a market cap of a trillion US$ so does not count. However higher ranked companies do have $1T or more market cap. In this case there are 11 and after rounding down these are added as 4+3+3+2+2+1+1+1+1+1+1 =20\n\nThe format hopefully allows sensible order with a-z sort to group by > numbers. \nSort by oldest should group sensibly by month (at present this works though if I need to add other answers for previous months that could spoil this and I may reword answers in order to sort by month alphabetically.) \nI will try to keep the > numbers a consistent colour.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-18T16:07:39.666000Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":114232.84186628435,"volume_24hr":141.08528830987422,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.931570053100586,"normalized_volume":49.88610076904297,"liquidity":9800.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":["business","economics-default","companies","stocks","tech-stocks"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":">17.5 at end of 2025/11","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:07:04.330634Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:07:04.330634Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T13:51:54.440138Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/sum-int-trillion-dollar-market-cap","chart_24h":[54.091796974187,190.00885595749483,141.08528830987422]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79123","ticker":"how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","slug":"how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","title":"How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:02:22.619699Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":433691.032746,"volume_24hr":1745.639309,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.253875732421875,"normalized_volume":38.26473617553711,"liquidity":36980.42959,"open_interest":48028.19627100001,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"106367","slug":"us-cpi","label":"US CPI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 4.9%","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02499999999999991,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":36.666667000000004,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:10.999420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","chart_24h":[15750.395045,15760.395045,14429.575045,14339.833109,14359.833109,14320.771681,12798.477395,12748.477395,12748.477395,12748.477395,12718.487395,12676.187394999999,12684.25191,11321.27441,9680.547267,8918.127267,8011.1117300000005,7850.078397,3669.965063,2332.390517,2229.821795,2239.571795,2382.1117950000003,2015.020685,2478.770685,2349.349754,3053.1693090000003,2802.899309,2732.899309,1795.639309]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2506","ticker":"STRIPEPYPL","slug":"will-stripe-announce-an-acquisition-of-paypal","title":"Will Stripe announce an acquisition of PayPal?","description":"Will Stripe announce an acquisition of PayPal?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/0idwgenf7ije/767WNvMLv1xBlFNtpWbrlk/751cae52ec2ae2fe8a598fe9a4e91b6f/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-24T22:33:38.053000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":621.0,"volume_24hr":198.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.706165313720703,"normalized_volume":22.868438720703125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":["Business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.87,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:22:39.340459Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:22:39.340459Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/STRIPEPYPL/will-stripe-announce-an-acquisition-of-paypal","chart_24h":null},{"source":"manifold","id":"nts6Ry9sgZ","ticker":"nts6Ry9sgZ","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by….?","description":"Resolves yes if Anthropic has IPO’d and has shares listed on a public stock exchange available for purchase by the date listed.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T20:38:55.808000Z","end_date":"2026-12-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29545.56570242763,"volume_24hr":123.03612719492041,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.637630462646484,"normalized_volume":38.97361755371094,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":["business","anthropic","technology-default","ai"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31 11.59pm ET","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":42.703006257492234,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:03:02.705693Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:03:02.705693Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T11:45:20.892921Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-anthropic-ipo-by","chart_24h":[24.017305617782778,23.109076336711222,53.14636370126957,58.39281609029985,55.82636456126763,63.641840998635686,63.641840998635686,75.48579046933928,89.22509828788894,89.22509828788894,90.88132654831546,120.91245127443686,125.10435866314985,123.03612719492041]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tcypCzuuQg","ticker":"tcypCzuuQg","slug":"ai-bubble-which-ai-companies-will-d","title":"AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?","description":"Is there an AI bubble? Which AI companies are going to drop when the bubble pops?\n\nAdd your own companies, preferably at least loosely AI related\n\nPeak doesn’t have to be in 2026. Any 60% drop from ATH qualifies\n\n[cleaned up description as none of the pre-2026 stuff is relevant anymore]\n\nUpdate 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Price measurement: Resolution will use close prices only (not intraday prices) when determining if a company has dropped >60% from its peak.\n\nUpdate 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For SAP, resolution will track the home exchange (XETRA) in Euro rather than the ADR (NYSE) in USD.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-15T17:14:24.039000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41906.937114850065,"volume_24hr":121.78151822243582,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.542247772216797,"normalized_volume":41.66512680053711,"liquidity":10400.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology","Economy"],"tags":["business","technical-ai-timelines","ai","economics-default","technology-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Oracle","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:04:20.261415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:04:20.261415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Gen/ai-bubble-which-ai-companies-will-d","chart_24h":[136.2254346866302,47.41374169366624,121.78151822243582]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAGICO-COMP","ticker":"KXAGICO-COMP","slug":"KXAGICO-COMP","title":"When will any company achieve AGI?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":249300.51,"volume_24hr":3234.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.81403160095215,"normalized_volume":41.361488342285156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":113045.01,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4.98,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:26:42.582175Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:26:42.582175Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxagico/when-will-any-company-achieve-agi/kxagico-comp","chart_24h":[98.77000000000001,194.75,154.75,165.13,167.0,165.34,151.95,194.95,200.97,3012.36,3246.36,3229.66,3234.64]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"800930","ticker":"alphabets-market-cap-end-of-2026","slug":"alphabets-market-cap-end-of-2026","title":"Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/google-logo-51fafe5265.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/google-logo-51fafe5265.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T12:03:34.644567Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31654.65121,"volume_24hr":1375.67,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.630809783935547,"normalized_volume":24.38859748840332,"liquidity":26051.02958,"open_interest":2936.3546819999997,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102678","slug":"googl","label":"GOOGL"},{"id":"604","slug":"stocks","label":"Stocks"},{"id":"663","slug":"google","label":"google"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"102676","slug":"equities","label":"Equities"},{"id":"301","slug":"market-cap","label":"market cap"},{"id":"1095","slug":"market-capitalization","label":"market capitalization"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4.00-$4.50T","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.065,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":410.04974400000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.611455Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alphabets-market-cap-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[399.020256,406.670256,406.670256,423.49025600000004,423.490256,879.400256,879.400256,615.930256,540.38,540.38,540.38,540.38,662.05,722.0500000000001,1175.75,1240.75,1260.75,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1289.45,1375.67]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"808669","ticker":"3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026","slug":"3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026","title":"3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T00:21:11.336242Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97901.125113,"volume_24hr":1370.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.609909057617188,"normalized_volume":29.992568969726562,"liquidity":135503.70123,"open_interest":13514.669654,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Company A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:10.755106Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:10.755106Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T00:29:37.094395Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[3340.9451719999997,1315.545415,1295.985415,1295.985415,1270.985415,1275.985415,1245.985415,1170.55,1155.5,1050.8,1755.56,1755.56,1755.56,1759.06,1759.06,1754.06,1638.06,1657.68,1662.68,1682.73,1682.73,1602.73,1525.3399999999997,1492.59,1492.59,1492.59,1492.59,1370.87,1370.87,1370.87]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"428400","ticker":"which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","slug":"which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","title":"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year--UQI9JDBhaSv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year--UQI9JDBhaSv.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:24:57.967473Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222869.64677800002,"volume_24hr":1264.530105,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.129884719848633,"normalized_volume":34.44023513793945,"liquidity":65747.50787,"open_interest":39953.459262,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.63,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":106.220133,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:30.126071Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:30.126071Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","chart_24h":[2599.434886,2589.854886,2615.854886,2637.7931630000003,2588.173163,2588.173163,2588.173163,2588.173163,2588.173163,1448.220372,1696.640372,1207.040372,1207.040372,1207.040372,1207.040372,1232.040372,1506.8103720000001,1439.810372,1439.810372,1439.8103720000001,1338.720372,1505.214475,1471.214475,1471.214475,1614.904475,1370.00635,1370.00635,1399.81635,1311.2040749999999,1264.530105]},{"source":"opinion","id":"205","ticker":"205","slug":"consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3899e02d4bce226940b09faf3335dfb93005c3577f2cb28dfee35d87e6b1782a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-24T05:37:49Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097448.3525,"volume_24hr":1034.5135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.970409393310547,"normalized_volume":55.00209426879883,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2B","top_outcome_probability":0.396,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1230219","ticker":"us-gov-confirms-php-flaw-under-attack-byptptpt","slug":"us-gov-confirms-php2shell-exploited-byptptpt","title":"US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) adds CVE-2026-109618 or CVE-2026-109619 (the critical PHP vulnerabilities known as “PHP2Shell”) to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe addition of either CVE will qualify. If either CVE has already been added to the KEV Catalog at the time this market is created, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe “Date Added” shown for the relevant entry in the KEV Catalog will be used to determine whether the addition occurred within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog (https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog); however, official CISA announcements and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-gov-confirms-php-flaw-under-attack-byptptpt-BrwWPCOWiqrs.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-gov-confirms-php-flaw-under-attack-byptptpt-BrwWPCOWiqrs.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:44Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4654.730909,"volume_24hr":1230.197632,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.967485427856445,"normalized_volume":16.200576782226562,"liquidity":25720.3345,"open_interest":1796.3973449999999,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"106397","slug":"php","label":"PHP"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101890","slug":"hack","label":"hack"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"106398","slug":"php2shell","label":"PHP2Shell"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.9795,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03950000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1028.197632,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:08:51.808646Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:08:51.808646Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T16:15:58.416382Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-gov-confirms-php2shell-exploited-byptptpt","chart_24h":[274.825954,174.825954,163.59,164.642632,152.882632,230.932632,230.932632,139.932632,139.932632,139.932632,139.932632,1254.537632,1281.037632,1231.037632,1231.037632,1231.037632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632,1230.197632]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"800884","ticker":"nvidias-market-cap-end-of-2026","slug":"nvidias-market-cap-end-of-2026","title":"Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nvidia-log-a76bc5737f.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nvidia-log-a76bc5737f.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:05.598304Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43578.582443,"volume_24hr":1210.680476,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.87342071533203,"normalized_volume":25.916505813598633,"liquidity":31184.73542,"open_interest":8348.515969,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"100266","slug":"nvda","label":"NVDA"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"604","slug":"stocks","label":"Stocks"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"102676","slug":"equities","label":"Equities"},{"id":"301","slug":"market-cap","label":"market cap"},{"id":"1095","slug":"market-capitalization","label":"market capitalization"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$5.00-$5.50T","top_outcome_probability":0.275,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-270.972759,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.611455Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nvidias-market-cap-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[2289.46848,2367.758046,2473.398125,2493.398125,2753.328125,2753.328125,2961.588125,3001.588125,3041.588125,3071.588125,2990.588125,2964.078125,2924.078125,2826.9544880000003,2826.9544880000003,2826.9544880000003,2826.9544880000003,2826.9544880000003,2751.424488,2751.424488,2751.424488,2751.424488,2751.424488,2751.424488,2751.424488,1327.6444880000001,1296.533376,1119.089566,1119.089566,1210.680476]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"800876","ticker":"amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","slug":"amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","title":"Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.\n\nIf the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026-IfHl5He0k3Hk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026-IfHl5He0k3Hk.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T11:56:39.625156Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28514.769836,"volume_24hr":1245.975218,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.850549697875977,"normalized_volume":23.892845153808594,"liquidity":22184.82958,"open_interest":2746.767452,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102681","slug":"amzn","label":"AMZN"},{"id":"604","slug":"stocks","label":"Stocks"},{"id":"824","slug":"amazon","label":"amazon"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"102676","slug":"equities","label":"Equities"},{"id":"301","slug":"market-cap","label":"market cap"},{"id":"1095","slug":"market-capitalization","label":"market capitalization"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2.50-$3.00T","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":48.35579100000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:01:06.665415Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T12:20:29.611455Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/amazons-market-cap-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[1192.3693230000001,1288.629323,1279.0439780000002,1299.043978,1299.043978,989.8139779999999,1009.8139779999999,1009.8139779999999,725.683978,571.9939780000001,571.9939780000001,444.753978,444.753978,444.753978,444.753978,444.753978,444.753978,444.753978,424.753978,411.055347,411.055347,411.055347,508.52879,513.52879,1121.199064,1168.239064,1169.569064,1169.569064,1169.569064,1205.975218]},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-12T14:38:25Z","volume":14634047.943500001,"volume_24hr":979.7595,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.643510818481445,"normalized_volume":64.58365631103516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T21:25:32.411838Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T21:25:32.411838Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJPMCEONEW","ticker":"KXJPMCEONEW","slug":"KXJPMCEONEW","title":"Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24946.78,"volume_24hr":2379.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.18760871887207,"normalized_volume":27.457111358642578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6018.88,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Troy Rohrbaugh","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T21:22:37.837261Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T21:22:37.837261Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjpmceonew/who-will-replace-jamie-dimon-as-jpmorgan-ceo/kxjpmceonew","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1226870","ticker":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5314.019855,"volume_24hr":1032.341819,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.947755813598633,"normalized_volume":16.712636947631836,"liquidity":11782.33304,"open_interest":721.3913299999999,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"104548","slug":"kpis","label":"KPIs"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"728","slug":"tesla","label":"Tesla"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"475k to 500k","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-31.5,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:08:42.801200Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:08:42.801200Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.864802Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","chart_24h":[220.39,220.39,350.39,940.39,940.39,960.39,960.39,960.39,941.6,1050.781819,1072.781819,1072.781819,1052.781819,1073.181819,1073.181819,993.181819,1023.181819,1023.181819,1023.181819,1023.181819,1003.181819,1003.181819,1003.181819,1003.181819,1003.181819,1003.181819,1023.181819,1023.1818190000001,1023.181819,1032.341819]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5eAXDA98XwOsTwQqVNyS","ticker":null,"slug":"this-market-resolves-yes-when-an-ar","title":"This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-11T17:49:27.601000Z","end_date":"2300-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":671816.3715197694,"volume_24hr":83.76346456321492,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.20317840576172,"normalized_volume":66.21930694580078,"liquidity":2765.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.67681,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.","top_outcome_probability":0.67681,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.008027000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8.763464563214924,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T01:16:14.093405Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T01:16:14.093405Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/this-market-resolves-yes-when-an-ar","chart_24h":[0.668783,0.67,0.67681,0.67681]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":331,"total_pages":7}}