This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $208.77437.
Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/32/70f42d20-7828-45da-92d6-28202c5ec8b1.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/32/70f42d20-7828-45da-92d6-28202c5ec8b1.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.607000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:40.475000Z","volume":628908.627,"volume_24hr":587198.885,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":88.0956802368164,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring","challenge_crypto_finance","challenge_team_finance"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.426,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":562053.223,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:13:56.196820Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/nvidia-nvda-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.426,0.426,0.4345,0.39,0.6105,0.292,0.646,0.875,0.8035,0.833,0.725,0.0885,0.035,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"opinion","id":"337","ticker":"337","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3cd3c3d78cacb0770e3a6862269da45ca9f06c75ba90ca7d0bf0f6111c6a2efd","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:38:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-22T03:56:40Z","volume":459972010.4565,"volume_24hr":1595498.9135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":97.56465911865234,"normalized_volume":98.21489715576172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Nebius Group","top_outcome_probability":0.25,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[5917770.454999999,5697190.455,4776185.178,4213337.2095,3955220.92,3147594.42,2250332.92,1353067.92,1163692.9200000002,1595498.9135]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334311","ticker":null,"slug":"aerospace-and-defense-etf-ita-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $238.27503.
Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/91/d7c0448a-907a-4a1b-a31b-28dd7acdddcb.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/91/d7c0448a-907a-4a1b-a31b-28dd7acdddcb.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:24.549000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:21:17.234000Z","volume":210887.551,"volume_24hr":205776.611,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":84.83515930175781,"normalized_volume":74.2668228149414,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.48950000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200665.671,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:13:56.196820Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/aerospace-and-defense-etf-ita-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.5105,0.5105,0.511,0.5115,0.9325,0.958,0.9595,0.9675,0.9565,0.9685,0.9685,0.965,0.969,0.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334298","ticker":null,"slug":"spacex-spcx-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for SpaceX (Pyth SPCX/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for SpaceX (Pyth SPCX/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for SpaceX (Pyth SPCX/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $118.28000.
Resolution source: Pyth SPCX/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPCX is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPCX during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/159188/3c829544-dc67-4abc-84ba-dd2afac09c4e.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/159188/3c829544-dc67-4abc-84ba-dd2afac09c4e.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.588000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:35.953000Z","volume":141886.836,"volume_24hr":141886.836,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.75788116455078,"normalized_volume":69.54286193847656,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business","Crypto"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.5355,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":141886.836,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/spacex-spcx-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.5355,0.4335,0.51,0.515,0.875,0.1655,0.1505,0.1675,0.245,0.104,0.1985,0.243,0.1015,0.1515,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c0dPCIcggy","ticker":"c0dPCIcggy","slug":"largest-company-end-of-july-2026","title":"Largest company end of July 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com\n\nSee also:\n\n@sUg2l62NZU \n\n@CZp52czdQL \n\n@pSA5yhznSg \n\n@IR9PCnRs9y \n\n@g56EQlNOPz \n\n@5PQQUZ5yzQ \n\n@c0dPCIcggy (this market)\n\n@czQp9L6RS8 \n\n@I6u0A6AlS0 \n\n@SuInzszsQu \n\n@dE9Uys0AlS \n\n@s0dORIdE5t \n\n@A5ASy8LdlS \n\n@ttCZpQ0O5p \n\n@ln2cAICQ6d ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T19:24:37.267000Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57347.61892987056,"volume_24hr":3896.105073138996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.52848052978516,"normalized_volume":45.01762008666992,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":["companies","big-tech","finance","business","technology-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.755296,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14428600000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1641.5321079449423,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:06:22.871177Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:06:22.871177Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T20:35:35.292090Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-july-2026","chart_24h":[1152.6488025700874,964.6203323666275,872.0168275211354,948.4554984217235,1109.455426329888,1024.0671269436477,1545.7579171358125,2659.9855537836306,3180.1214554304192,3220.1214554304197,3230.645049966681,3247.883785566564,3757.3803677275723,4067.574659716336,4090.8686172964644,4091.258726504489,4164.187601563572,4107.187601563572,3790.7793247272834,3743.183206284332,3787.310341212291,3845.315500075185,3896.105073138996]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"630845","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727","slug":"largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727","title":"Largest Company end of July?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T21:19:04.814357Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4209595.358769998,"volume_24hr":288496.51459000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.8234634399414,"normalized_volume":47.253578186035156,"liquidity":1374177.05761,"open_interest":1180973.935862,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.765,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":106150.54282800005,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:53.537322Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:53.537322Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T21:45:39.463257Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727","chart_24h":[301855.41417400003,301345.644068,301428.665775,300341.13726,312174.557057,323999.382636,318511.07271999994,310821.1398169999,295678.7822549999,310206.9170279998,303579.05733499984,354546.2698769999,357172.3064289999,387372.49217299983,397532.7971689999,401608.3916589999,352350.86580599996,352595.694862,352792.554449,350460.972949,347463.67911600013,348297.9548540001,352923.0350110001,350842.8169390001,258418.3200240001,254697.4003760001,254650.22451400012,254208.0205020001,252092.9081200001,278202.0424450001,290119.1321660001,290656.6129900001,295280.1416300001]},{"source":"manifold","id":"czQp9L6RS8","ticker":"czQp9L6RS8","slug":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-202","title":"2nd largest company end of July 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com\n\nSee also:\n\n@sUg2l62NZU \n\n@CZp52czdQL \n\n@pSA5yhznSg \n\n@IR9PCnRs9y \n\n@g56EQlNOPz \n\n@5PQQUZ5yzQ \n\n@c0dPCIcggy \n\n@czQp9L6RS8 (this market)\n\n@I6u0A6AlS0 \n\n@SuInzszsQu \n\n@dE9Uys0AlS \n\n@s0dORIdE5t \n\n@A5ASy8LdlS \n\n@ttCZpQ0O5p \n\n@ln2cAICQ6d ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T19:24:37.978000Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38300.32665990885,"volume_24hr":2344.988384959534,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":63.89751052856445,"normalized_volume":41.76172637939453,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":["companies","technology-default","finance","big-tech","business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Apple","top_outcome_probability":0.752056,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.1430490000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-9.90537610267711,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:07:42.512530Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:07:42.512530Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T15:46:26.727810Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-202","chart_24h":[932.4251297148938,863.5047290276143,798.6597961248536,894.6757025638916,958.1654892515462,858.1654892515462,1252.6948404926275,1994.1529816063673,2005.0828342241548,1858.0529820318613,1779.012412729065,1835.1421003546543,2160.1448902241154,2184.6550641000927,2195.4942758384996,2199.534476797807,2192.735551568998,2184.735551568998,2259.6954026300054,2344.988384959534]},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101156547.699,"volume_24hr":87279.973,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.9040412902832,"normalized_volume":83.8667221069336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2 (50 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.991,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:15:35.337416Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:15:35.337416Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[129616.1835,129616.1835,87279.973]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334302","ticker":null,"slug":"meta-meta-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Meta (Pyth META/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Meta (Pyth META/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Meta (Pyth META/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $606.04507.
Resolution source: Pyth META/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Meta (META) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which META is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting META during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/55/4d70abe0-ba20-4683-b6c5-0019bdb5bad5.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/55/4d70abe0-ba20-4683-b6c5-0019bdb5bad5.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.679000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:41.332000Z","volume":23256.474,"volume_24hr":22003.162999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.66459274291992,"normalized_volume":49.956207275390625,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business","Crypto"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring","challenge_crypto_finance","challenge_team_finance"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.3255,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":20860.862999999998,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:35:59.732679Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/meta-meta-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.3255,0.457,0.502,0.374,0.344,0.422,0.5,0.4025,0.1685,0.2265,0.1295,0.0295,0.007,0.026,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"51456","ticker":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:24:45.988997Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44779894.64368982,"volume_24hr":88002.165224,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.644676208496094,"normalized_volume":63.04143524169922,"liquidity":2518320.75339,"open_interest":1646252.430657,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"103151","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0 (0 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.8475,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6558.437319000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:51.507189Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:51.507189Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[60487.96543799999,80477.162338,80941.486898,82723.182732,86862.328532,86512.096136,89691.831805,89637.455502,89611.460635,92649.410079,92512.826645,94784.402023,94191.338592,95791.811093,92943.09249899999,96736.181999,101899.594247,102110.024914,101890.055914,101442.935914,101513.78973199999,101647.591982,95955.73135799999,95319.735628,92601.691089,90895.064285,88528.36855500001,89173.740644,88772.544266,86402.930138,89783.615231,88815.907225,88449.222391]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9t2ZEdZqtR","ticker":"9t2ZEdZqtR","slug":"sum-int-trillion-dollar-market-cap","title":"Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies","description":"Essentially full trillion dollar market cap companies.\n\nUses https://companiesmarketcap.com/ as the source.\n\n\nThe \"Int\" function rounds down to the number of whole trillion dollars\nAt the time of creating this question on 18 Aug 2025, the list at the source above was\n\n1 NVIDIA NVDA $4.429 T\n\n2 Microsoft MSFT $3.839 T\n\n3 Apple AAPL $3.427 T\n\n4 Alphabet (Google) GOOG$2.460 T\n\n5 Amazon AMZN $2.458 T\n\n6 Meta Platforms (Facebook) META $1.921 T\n\n7 Saudi Aramco 2222.SR $1.555 T\n\n8 Broadcom AVGO $1.417 T\n\n9 TSMC TSM $1.249 T\n\n10 Tesla TSLA $1.075 T\n\n11 Berkshire Hathaway BRK-B $1.030 T\n\n12 Walmart WMT $802.43 B\n\n.\nWalmart does not have a market cap of a trillion US$ so does not count. However higher ranked companies do have $1T or more market cap. In this case there are 11 and after rounding down these are added as 4+3+3+2+2+1+1+1+1+1+1 =20\n\nThe format hopefully allows sensible order with a-z sort to group by > numbers. \nSort by oldest should group sensibly by month (at present this works though if I need to add other answers for previous months that could spoil this and I may reword answers in order to sort by month alphabetically.) \nI will try to keep the > numbers a consistent colour.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-18T16:07:39.666000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96312.9435326216,"volume_24hr":1085.9859580749323,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.8570442199707,"normalized_volume":49.37874984741211,"liquidity":8100.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":["business","economics-default","companies","stocks","tech-stocks"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":">17.5 at end of 2025/11","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:21:32.063409Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:21:32.063409Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T13:51:54.440138Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/sum-int-trillion-dollar-market-cap","chart_24h":[364.6249413052997,370.7549413052997,600.7549413052998,535.8522025964953,692.4761553577254,642.4761553577254,1065.5710634150696,1065.5710634150696,1085.9859580749323]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334300","ticker":null,"slug":"google-goog-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Google (GOOG) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $318.33006.
Resolution source: Pyth GOOG/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Google (GOOG) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which GOOG is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting GOOG during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/56/7fd53610-b33e-42e8-80e5-61230b373cd9.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/56/7fd53610-b33e-42e8-80e5-61230b373cd9.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.642000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:46.453000Z","volume":12236.459319,"volume_24hr":11734.065319,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.76341247558594,"normalized_volume":43.7790412902832,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Google (GOOG) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.36450000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11231.671319,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T01:03:13.119225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/google-goog-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.6355,0.6365,0.5785,0.522,0.8105,0.498,0.7535,0.6465,0.523,0.734,0.827,0.6835,0.717,0.549,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334303","ticker":null,"slug":"eqt-energy-company-eqt-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for EQT Energy Company (Pyth EQT/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for EQT Energy Company (Pyth EQT/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for EQT Energy Company (Pyth EQT/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $53.39000.
Resolution source: Pyth EQT/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If EQT Energy Company (EQT) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which EQT is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting EQT during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/85/1a8c74e6-e106-4e8f-9845-4ca158d3042a.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/85/1a8c74e6-e106-4e8f-9845-4ca158d3042a.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.768000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:42.910000Z","volume":10285.298,"volume_24hr":10285.298,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.37367630004883,"normalized_volume":42.178199768066406,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.5115,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10285.298,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/eqt-energy-company-eqt-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.5115,0.5115,0.512,0.5125,0.736,0.8355,0.795,0.5925,0.4345,0.3945,0.269,0.179,0.069,0.201,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334301","ticker":null,"slug":"occidental-petroleum-oxy-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $57.63250.
Resolution source: Pyth OXY/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Occidental Petroleum (OXY) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which OXY is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting OXY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/84/50664d55-d351-40cf-a2fb-f2aa28a74e95.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/84/50664d55-d351-40cf-a2fb-f2aa28a74e95.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.652000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:35.699000Z","volume":9459.401,"volume_24hr":9309.401,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.33544158935547,"normalized_volume":41.417423248291016,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.495,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9159.401,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:13:56.196820Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/occidental-petroleum-oxy-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.499,0.493,0.3135,0.5735,0.5,0.155,0.1315,0.095,0.078,0.0925,0.022,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"631072","ticker":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192727948","slug":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192727948","title":"2nd Largest Company end of July?","description":"This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:12:19.853574Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":438260.95489500015,"volume_24hr":39207.271121,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.10216522216797,"normalized_volume":34.272979736328125,"liquidity":210031.92403,"open_interest":81459.62805200003,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Apple","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":27.082648000000518,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:53.537322Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:53.537322Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:30:58.020329Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192727948","chart_24h":[13480.931813,13423.607353,13423.607353,13426.157353,14379.247353,17293.001103000002,17371.770128000004,19744.241912,20751.901458000004,20877.957414000004,21003.323092000002,20110.345951000003,19773.274969000002,20741.438468000004,19829.425743,31037.637393,31045.985218,37654.475562,45976.030799,45892.219385000004,45932.209385,45989.098816,45989.098816,45880.709683,45981.547511000004,46171.952607,45695.119054,39526.492227999996,39293.12614,39807.68948,40472.658985,39097.398985,39140.318455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"735780","ticker":"cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-20260722211138916","slug":"cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-20260722211138916","title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cxmt-ipo-by-20260629164309096-H0fL3cwvFWEE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cxmt-ipo-by-20260629164309096-H0fL3cwvFWEE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T01:32:12.463790Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66660.02369800002,"volume_24hr":34083.586555,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.22328567504883,"normalized_volume":25.059419631958008,"liquidity":49605.07049,"open_interest":32718.136386,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 1T yuan","top_outcome_probability":0.9945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.006000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2323.1840000000025,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:53:57.176828Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:53:57.176828Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T05:05:23.307611Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-20260722211138916","chart_24h":[22367.344657,22597.685447000003,20766.602587,17656.781237,27847.632954,27782.182954,33591.134881,38223.874880999996,39574.473304,40016.633304,40259.673303999996,40266.903304,39557.99732,39112.47732,39361.71732,38756.88732,38206.88732,38062.36469,38295.70731,37472.385884,37368.322884,36677.008004,36991.151704,36729.591704,36663.351704,36842.131704,37284.795988,37332.051705000005,37464.893705,36703.523705,36567.716228000005,35415.635355,35446.586555]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334309","ticker":null,"slug":"amazon-amzn-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $233.69000.
Resolution source: Pyth AMZN/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which AMZN is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMZN during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/38/d669bef9-fb93-4d03-8eb3-2a737ec70075.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/38/d669bef9-fb93-4d03-8eb3-2a737ec70075.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:19.732000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:21:17.480000Z","volume":7443.626,"volume_24hr":7386.456,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.96920394897461,"normalized_volume":39.277652740478516,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring","challenge_crypto_finance","challenge_team_finance"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.6,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7329.286,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T23:25:20.689974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/amazon-amzn-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.59,0.5585,0.34,0.273,0.363,0.412,0.487,0.375,0.218,0.0695,0.032,0.201,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334310","ticker":null,"slug":"tesla-tsla-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $319.72025.
Resolution source: Pyth TSLA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which TSLA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSLA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/30/aa9c7304-e711-48e4-90aa-61243a433ec7.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/30/aa9c7304-e711-48e4-90aa-61243a433ec7.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:21.465000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:41.630000Z","volume":6915.01,"volume_24hr":6258.768,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.31230163574219,"normalized_volume":38.63134765625,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.6845,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5627.526,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:35:59.732679Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T20:13:08.068808Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/tesla-tsla-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.6845,0.6305,0.635,0.632,0.341,0.0505,0.0565,0.0245,0.0125,0.0105,0.0065,0.0065,0.005,0.3405,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"196914","ticker":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287","slug":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287","title":"Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.\n\nA listed company may resolve to \"No\" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-ipo-market-cap-2026-TYvpfXh0KUDU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-ipo-market-cap-2026-TYvpfXh0KUDU.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-02T22:34:41.427627Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4922143.3247919995,"volume_24hr":24338.935279999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.96525573730469,"normalized_volume":48.22947311401367,"liquidity":904840.24296,"open_interest":434347.97438799986,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"103037","slug":"climate-science","label":"Climate & Science"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"63","slug":"spacex","label":"SpaceX"},{"id":"1325","slug":"space","label":"Space"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"105048","slug":"openai-ipo","label":"OpenAI IPO"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SpaceX","top_outcome_probability":0.855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":14250.359299,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287","chart_24h":[8162.629961,8162.629961,8162.629961,9157.599961,9157.599961,8158.762746,14239.021794,16151.941793999998,16154.261793999998,17157.721793999997,17157.721793999997,17157.721793999997,17185.687805999998,17185.687805999998,17185.687805999998,16181.097806,20181.097805999998,20181.097805999998,20181.097805999998,20173.257805999998,20173.257805999998,20173.257805999998,20577.257806,20577.257806,20563.071787,20563.071787,18563.071787,18563.071787,18563.071787,18543.071795,18533.071795,18533.071795,24338.935279999998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79041","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","slug":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","title":"Largest Company end of December 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:16:56.414786Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4713556.708470011,"volume_24hr":21086.584772000006,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.74090576171875,"normalized_volume":47.95871353149414,"liquidity":886388.94429,"open_interest":418331.12775,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.555,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.09499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4655.562638000005,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:56.385604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:56.385604Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[21857.067401,21747.074375,20620.087026999998,20758.232109,20710.724857,20560.878243000003,19796.538485,17684.681262000002,17238.045373,17481.110002999998,17481.323336999998,17309.660942,17471.816609,15132.133188000002,15282.155074000002,15254.577073,15244.249823000002,15323.855073,15374.022421000001,15411.863004000003,15637.983171000002,15781.205509000001,15818.905509000002,15543.127759,15360.076260000002,16232.185399000002,15792.038010000002,15507.863928000002,15499.808425000003,19434.831355000006,20155.200260000005,20179.559927000006,21054.748439000006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"708346","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202138598","slug":"largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202138598","title":"Largest Company end of August?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T01:03:36.554403Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71008.269873,"volume_24hr":14486.095435000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.72056198120117,"normalized_volume":25.34542465209961,"liquidity":431900.58819,"open_interest":26985.662624999997,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.17000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4133.711560000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:35.378180Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:35.378180Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T01:21:57.448028Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202138598","chart_24h":[9329.65969,9420.783435,9382.179678,8155.928277,8155.928277,7750.009695,11492.966916,11593.680447,7815.155211999999,7832.092268,7832.092268,7481.1015990000005,7391.070558,7523.311933000001,8844.097420000002,12279.452614000002,12287.962614000002,14271.117821000002,14384.367821000002,14420.437821000001,14420.437821000001,14430.437821000001,14430.437821000001,14430.437821000001,13820.437821000001,13668.777821000001,13668.777821000001,13871.695078,13896.695078,13896.695078,13899.920883,15612.529883000001,14587.674381]},{"source":"limitless","id":"334297","ticker":null,"slug":"lockheed-martin-lmt-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","title":"Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Lockheed Martin (Pyth LMT/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Lockheed Martin (Pyth LMT/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Lockheed Martin (Pyth LMT/USD) captured on July 23, 2026 was $567.38059.
Resolution source: Pyth LMT/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Lockheed Martin (LMT) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which LMT is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting LMT during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/88/99f1bf23-bd0c-4961-9e5e-89250b5dea71.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/88/99f1bf23-bd0c-4961-9e5e-89250b5dea71.svg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-23T20:00:02.584000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-24T20:22:48.693000Z","volume":3871.976,"volume_24hr":3845.567,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.62133026123047,"normalized_volume":33.730735778808594,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.492,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3819.158,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:13:56.196820Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T20:38:33.762669Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T06:06:13.862714Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/lockheed-martin-lmt-up-or-down-daily-1784836800","chart_24h":[0.508,0.5085,0.509,0.5095,0.9465,0.9775,0.969,0.956,0.9745,0.981,0.982,0.926,0.984,0.984,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30","ticker":"KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30","slug":"KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30","title":"Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T21:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4030524.04,"volume_24hr":31890.57,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.67782211303711,"normalized_volume":51.690494537353516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1123072.0,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Paramount","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7484.8099999999995,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:33:05.642459Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:33:05.642459Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtakeoveracqwb/who-will-successfully-take-over-warner-brothers/kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30","chart_24h":[2907.33,2908.33,2899.34,2888.8,2884.5,2819.14,2752.44,2554.07,2549.07,2386.55,1737.28,1788.6599999999999,5958.2,14347.97,18103.18,18245.97,21181.25,25422.739999999998,26487.48,27914.52,28090.44,29885.79,29934.79,30043.329999999998,30225.079999999998,31183.97,31198.760000000002,31388.760000000002,31443.47,31988.37,32007.37,31985.85,31890.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"631073","ticker":"3rd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624193025470","slug":"3rd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624193025470","title":"3rd Largest Company end of July?","description":"This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:15:26.342565Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":301862.2676620001,"volume_24hr":7037.496499999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.2202262878418,"normalized_volume":32.33786392211914,"liquidity":233703.2232,"open_interest":66384.07204700001,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big 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Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","description":"Resolution Deadline\n\nDecember 31, 2026, 11:59 PM IST.\n\nThis market resolves to“Yes”if by the resolution deadline, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) publishes or issues a Final Order or Adjudication Order that explicitly concludes that Jane Street: engaged in market manipulation, fraud, or unfair trade practices, or violated the SEBI Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations (PFUTP).\n\nThis market resolves to“No”if, by the resolution deadline: no qualifying SEBI Final Order / Adjudication Order is issued, or SEBI issues only interim orders, show-cause notices, investigation updates, press statements, or charges/allegations without a qualifying final determination.\n\nEdge case: \n\nJudicial Overrule. If SEBI issues a qualifying final finding that would otherwise trigger “Yes”, but before the resolution deadline that finding is fully set aside / vacated (i.e., completely nullified on the merits) by either: the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT), or the Supreme Court of India, then the market resolves “No.”\n\nNotes for clarity:\n\nIf an appeal is pending, or the SEBI order is stayed but not fully set aside/vacated, the market still resolves based on whether a qualifying SEBI final order exists by the deadline.\n\nIf a court/SAT partially modifies the SEBI order but leaves intact a conclusion that Jane Street violated PFUTP / engaged in manipulation, it remains “Yes.”\n\nPrimary Sources\n\nSEBI official order/publication pages, official gazette postings, or SEBI press releases linking to the order.\n\nIf SEBI documents are not accessible, a consensus of reputable reporting that reproduces the key conclusion and identifies the order type and date.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0e1b87e3474639048ba087503973ce2dd997710587c31ff75ee00c452882a8c5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28640.456,"volume_24hr":4030.6255,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.96322250366211,"normalized_volume":25.998720169067383,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.104,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","top_outcome_probability":0.104,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","chart_24h":[0.104,0.104]},{"source":"opinion","id":"336","ticker":"336","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest Company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3bdaf162bdf3b4ba942d72983e38de4dd2fedb438f1af6aef0fc23a80af0b015","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:24:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5493053.965,"volume_24hr":3206.955,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.173372268676758,"normalized_volume":59.45159149169922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Saudi Aramco","top_outcome_probability":0.941,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:22:14.942211Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:22:14.942211Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/largest-company-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED","ticker":"KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED","slug":"KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED","title":"Robinhood funded customers in 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T22:17:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86809.42,"volume_24hr":11959.74,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.888330459594727,"normalized_volume":28.89483642578125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":23728.23,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 28 million","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-33.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:32:56.396936Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:32:56.396936Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T22:21:55.850247Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhooda/robinhood-funded-customers-in-2026/kxhooda-28janfunded","chart_24h":[2915.62,8387.66,10228.41,10296.33,10168.3,10420.539999999999,10581.08,11122.92,11934.86,12713.86,13319.59,13336.6,13307.87,13307.960000000001,14134.1,14131.1,11804.49,11576.74,11578.74,11578.74,11598.44,11942.74,11959.74]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NESEdRQ9O0","ticker":null,"slug":"will-opus-46-pay-back-his-loan","title":"Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?","description":"@ClaudeOpus46 \n\n[image][image][image]So… Will I see the money back plus interest, before the deadline?\n\nUpdate 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial repayment is not sufficient — the full amount plus interest must be repaid for the market to resolve YES.\n\nUpdate 2026-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Repayments made by other users on behalf of Opus 4.6 will not count towards a YES resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T12:59:36.721000Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7950.306667548015,"volume_24hr":185.00664039450254,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.974197387695312,"normalized_volume":30.245800018310547,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.380545,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?","top_outcome_probability":0.380545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.01277900000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-220.78614216639176,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T05:26:24.135087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T05:26:24.135087Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T13:19:39.007175Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-opus-46-pay-back-his-loan","chart_24h":[0.367766,0.367766,0.367766,0.37745,0.37745,0.37745,0.397023,0.397613,0.397613,0.397613,0.397613,0.388021,0.388021,0.388021,0.388021,0.388021,0.380545,0.380545,0.380545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"688041","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623","title":"GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:07:23.673300Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15658.048949999999,"volume_24hr":3202.83124,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.444725036621094,"normalized_volume":18.94942283630371,"liquidity":34290.59063,"open_interest":1871.333073,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104958","slug":"h100","label":"H100"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$3.00-$3.50","top_outcome_probability":0.3075,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.014500000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1982.528014,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:09.265344Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:09.265344Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:20:51.331720Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623","chart_24h":[40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,3006.75074,3088.75074,3088.75074,3098.75074,3098.75074,3098.75074,3109.83074,3109.83074,3109.83074,3202.83124,3202.83124,3202.83124,3202.83124]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE","ticker":"KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE","slug":"KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE","title":"When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":994792.9400000001,"volume_24hr":6827.51,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.310495376586914,"normalized_volume":42.61787414550781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":556744.73,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Apr 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T06:26:20.112362Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T06:26:20.112362Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanthropic/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo/kxipoanthropic-date","chart_24h":[17963.82,17270.03,17245.03,17225.03,17221.98,16127.38,21681.24,21681.24,21802.15,21798.06,21800.850000000002,21667.850000000002,21562.48,21514.780000000002,21586.59,21686.59,6939.71,6939.71,6949.0599999999995,6817.62,6809.509999999999,6827.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"730792","ticker":"scribe-therapeutics-ipo-closing-market-cap-copy-20260721213718516","slug":"scribe-therapeutics-ipo-closing-market-cap-copy-20260721213718516","title":"Scribe Therapeutics IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on Scribe Therapeutics' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before September 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/scribe-a7d56841a0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/scribe-a7d56841a0.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-21T22:43:37.719200Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-25T05:32:10Z","volume":7116.203364,"volume_24hr":2979.779059,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.956220626831055,"normalized_volume":15.981698989868164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1159.298994,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"104860","slug":"biotech","label":"Biotech"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$145M+","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1615.703555,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T05:46:01.274690Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T05:46:01.274690Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T22:54:50.473227Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scribe-therapeutics-ipo-closing-market-cap-copy-20260721213718516","chart_24h":[5688.792614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6079.812614,6585.803364,6645.803364,6339.223364,6339.223364,5623.573364,5901.323364,5901.323364,5775.323364,5775.323364,5599.863364,5544.873364,5524.883364,5510.7390589999995,3960.229059,3751.229059,3731.229059,3731.229059,2979.779059]},{"source":"opinion","id":"327","ticker":"327","slug":"what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x56e259f239cbf1ed400d7d66eacf27d6c3a061ef2993112d130c451a0203730b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T04:15:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2466780.8929999997,"volume_24hr":1750.8215,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.67647933959961,"normalized_volume":53.47600555419922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6,500-7,000","top_outcome_probability":0.507,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T13:16:12.928066Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T13:16:12.928066Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"638415","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-july-20260626214212582","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-july-20260626214212582","title":"GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T21:59:21.975496Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69194.974503,"volume_24hr":1637.6500529999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.15636444091797,"normalized_volume":25.22817611694336,"liquidity":17713.6117,"open_interest":8049.072698,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104726","slug":"b200","label":"B200"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$6.00-$7.00","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-129.25764600000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T22:04:32.033759Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-july-20260626214212582","chart_24h":[1788.01592,1778.01592,1778.01592,1773.01592,1558.01592,1558.01592,1558.01592,1558.01592,1690.02592,1931.02592,2161.02592,2199.809702,2813.555973,2818.5659729999998,2607.075973,2607.075973,2607.075973,2607.075973,2607.075973,2607.075973,2647.075973,2697.075973,2697.075973,2697.075973,2912.175973,2945.845973,2945.845973,2945.845973,2960.845973,2970.845973,2970.845973,2643.818327,2643.818327]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18","ticker":"KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18","slug":"KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18","title":"When will Apple release the iPhone 18?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":982292.99,"volume_24hr":5562.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.057601928710938,"normalized_volume":42.53986740112305,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":385453.47,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.17,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1497.96,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:05:48.636929Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:05:48.636929Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxiphonerelease/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/kxiphonerelease-iphone18","chart_24h":[7826.719999999999,7776.4400000000005,7710.65,7647.61,7240.98,6936.34,5983.6900000000005,5525.54,5575.54,5031.5,5026.98,5814.63,5799.37,6031.32,5969.12,5858.38,6569.97,6703.15,5074.96,5088.68,5081.4400000000005,5061.51,5054.67,5108.98,5484.01,5560.74,6007.6,5465.24,5568.3099999999995,5534.63,5562.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"68543","ticker":"openai-ipo-by","slug":"openai-ipo-by","title":"OpenAI IPO by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. 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The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:28:41.148275Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6892760.081965995,"volume_24hr":2505.355602,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.836050033569336,"normalized_volume":50.3603515625,"liquidity":73529.63133,"open_interest":299659.76207500004,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SHEIN","top_outcome_probability":0.9025,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-116.51552900000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:56.385604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:56.385604Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":[3358.98233,2558.99233,2530.16123,3494.624526,3640.765113,3640.765113,3341.006096,2876.591726,3052.361352,3130.781352,3051.781352,3036.781352,2963.781352,2766.72253,2834.165952,2672.435952,2622.435952,2378.318306,2378.318306,2493.308306,2493.308306,2427.588306,2377.588306,2412.681969,2378.881969,2378.881969,2348.881969,2293.881969,2293.881969,2575.995602,2575.995602,2518.855602,2518.855602]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"193867","ticker":"will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","slug":"will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","title":"Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Anthropic\" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"OpenAI\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve 50-50 if:\n- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;\n- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or\n- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T22:45:43.987000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":238260.00478300004,"volume_24hr":2147.493633,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.764726638793945,"normalized_volume":31.136249542236328,"liquidity":20563.9419,"open_interest":57206.724101,"categories":["Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"103648","slug":"claude-5","label":"Claude 5"},{"id":"105048","slug":"openai-ipo","label":"OpenAI IPO"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.895,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1519.570991,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","chart_24h":[617.922642,617.922642,617.922642,617.922642,617.922642,617.922642,617.922642,854.692642,854.692642,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2755.416275,2180.703633,2180.703633,2180.703633,2137.493633]},{"source":"limitless","id":"327633","ticker":null,"slug":"apple-aapl-up-or-down-weekly-1784318400","title":"Apple (AAPL) Up or Down - Weekly","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) on July 24, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) on July 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
The price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) captured on July 17, 2026 was $333.69901.
Resolution source: Pyth AAPL/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 24, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which AAPL is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AAPL during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.\n\nIf a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-kind-of-consumer-hardware-device-will-openai-announce-in-2026-VvaVSYkaICFb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-kind-of-consumer-hardware-device-will-openai-announce-in-2026-VvaVSYkaICFb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T16:54:01.979537Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":389100.896599,"volume_24hr":2024.189089,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.347530364990234,"normalized_volume":33.6519660949707,"liquidity":24884.85904,"open_interest":38101.006783000004,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"102161","slug":"jony-ive","label":"Jony Ive"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Earbuds/Headphones","top_outcome_probability":0.335,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":83.81013800000001,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:19.972815Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026","chart_24h":[5119.758999,5109.758999,5109.758999,5105.346812,1822.0038379999999,1710.343838,1710.343838,482.107944,405.887944,405.887944,405.887944,240.887944,203.327944,182.327944,162.327944,162.327944,162.327944,163.327944,142.78,142.78,142.78,130.78,130.78,130.78,130.78,84.78,59.78,34.78,1636.28,1983.189089,1983.189089,2003.189089,2003.189089]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"638416","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664","title":"GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T21:59:42.010007Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51269.93049600001,"volume_24hr":1915.749353,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.06266212463379,"normalized_volume":23.889039993286133,"liquidity":19713.26655,"open_interest":7122.584708,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104958","slug":"h100","label":"H100"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2.60-$2.90","top_outcome_probability":0.705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-364.40428199999997,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T22:19:20.133077Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664","chart_24h":[2107.57,2107.57,2109.653332,2109.653332,2109.653332,2108.163332,2108.163332,2108.163332,2063.163332,2015.163332,2015.163332,2015.163332,2047.503332,2047.503332,176.543332,1649.823332,1649.823332,1649.823332,1881.323332,1895.686967,1895.686967,1895.686967,1895.686967,1895.686967,1910.046967,1855.566967,1860.666967,1860.666967,1860.666967,1860.666967,1866.2444289999999,1880.179353,1915.749353]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"638417","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-july-20260626215340357","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-july-20260626215340357","title":"GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T22:00:13.312998Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35030.251139,"volume_24hr":1859.4571850000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.821928024291992,"normalized_volume":22.238670349121094,"liquidity":19812.42203,"open_interest":6018.09699,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104728","slug":"h200","label":"H200"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4.00-$5.00","top_outcome_probability":0.775,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-818.8255599999998,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:55.946186Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T22:19:20.133077Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-july-20260626215340357","chart_24h":[2712.41666,2712.41666,2712.41666,2712.41666,2712.41666,2711.09666,2693.819995,2696.259018,2696.259018,2696.259018,2656.259018,2656.259018,2656.259018,2656.259018,3138.112353,2509.545688,2499.985688,2599.985688,2563.235688,2588.235688,2588.235688,2318.235688,2118.235688,2118.235688,2158.235688,2147.865108,2149.8907480000003,2165.96767,2121.394625,2121.394625,1836.354625,1844.4571850000002,1844.4571850000002]},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T15:33:06Z","volume":14611174.3615,"volume_24hr":1155.7095,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.79364776611328,"normalized_volume":67.18338775634766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T01:21:03.754410Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T01:21:03.754410Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"86832","ticker":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-s3oFXGknOa38.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-s3oFXGknOa38.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-24T17:49:12.509000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18097973.630181976,"volume_24hr":1846.681567,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.221866607666016,"normalized_volume":56.72438430786133,"liquidity":41646.68391,"open_interest":78613.98235600001,"categories":["Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"93","slug":"prediction-markets","label":"Prediction Markets"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"102691","slug":"acquisitions","label":"Acquisitions"},{"id":"101779","slug":"buy","label":"buy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"PayPal","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-84.15058,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:58.555155Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:50:58.555155Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[1505.970563,1526.970563,1526.970563,1496.970563,1511.820563,1551.820563,1424.940563,1424.940563,1356.32596,1355.34596,1301.311042,1301.311042,1290.311042,2052.4134990000002,1879.837457,1775.9874570000002,1770.9874570000002,1770.9874570000002,1770.9874570000002,1770.9874570000002,1845.2274570000002,1845.2274570000002,1845.2274570000002,1914.132567,1914.132567,1893.982567,1864.9075670000002,1884.9075670000002,1884.9075670000002,1766.377567,1766.377567,1676.6675670000002,1676.6675670000002]},{"source":"opinion","id":"205","ticker":"205","slug":"consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3899e02d4bce226940b09faf3335dfb93005c3577f2cb28dfee35d87e6b1782a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-24T05:37:49Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097448.3525,"volume_24hr":1034.5135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.052759170532227,"normalized_volume":57.22697830200195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2B","top_outcome_probability":0.396,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","ticker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","slug":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","title":"Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1038854.52,"volume_24hr":3330.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.050769805908203,"normalized_volume":42.885780334472656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":289048.09,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Rigetti Computing","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":123.24,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:36:42.030005Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:36:42.030005Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusacompanystake/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in-this-year/kxusacompanystake-27jan01","chart_24h":[2042.0,2042.0,2274.6,2257.6,2252.6,2951.68,3235.68,3173.53,3177.53,3298.4900000000002,2994.81,2648.7,2659.94,2699.94,2554.94,2820.94,2828.94,3193.42,3193.42,3202.42,3302.42,3289.42,3327.42,3330.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"688065","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026-20260709165336437","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026-20260709165336437","title":"GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:16:39.816581Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34586.422819,"volume_24hr":1223.314669,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.97061538696289,"normalized_volume":22.166391372680664,"liquidity":30589.22651,"open_interest":5677.026354,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104726","slug":"b200","label":"B200"},{"id":"104727","slug":"ornn","label":"Ornn"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1330","slug":"nvidia","label":"NVIDIA"},{"id":"104967","slug":"compute","label":"Compute"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$5.50-$6.00","top_outcome_probability":0.37,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1478.1098109999998,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:09.265344Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:52:09.265344Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:36:31.934115Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026-20260709165336437","chart_24h":[10080.387329000001,10080.387329000001,10080.387329000001,10080.387329000001,10080.387329000001,10080.387329000001,9455.698054,9455.698054,9455.698054,9455.698054,9959.348054,9999.348054,9999.348054,9949.348054,9945.318054000001,8834.962494,8834.962494,8834.962494,8834.962494,6649.523586,6609.5335860000005,6609.5335860000005,6609.5335860000005,6609.5335860000005,6611.373586000001,6989.023586,6989.023586,1820.25,1660.95,1446.08,1373.7,1373.7,1368.7]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"648785","ticker":"largest-indian-company-at-end-of-2026-20260629145859074","slug":"largest-indian-company-at-end-of-2026-20260629145859074","title":"Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest Indian public company by market cap on December 31, 2026, at 11:59PM ET. \n\nIn the event that two listed companies merge prior to the resolution date, the merged entity will be considered to be the same company as the acquirer. If there is no clear acquirer, or if the merged entity trades under a new ticker, the merged entity will be considered to be the company that comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange can be found here as of the launch of this market: https://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/eqreports/topmarketcapitalization","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-indian-company-end-of-2026-20260629145849049-FyoZ_EbUFJC2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-indian-company-end-of-2026-20260629145849049-FyoZ_EbUFJC2.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T19:55:48.719582Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11192.130849000001,"volume_24hr":1253.3833319999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.313098907470703,"normalized_volume":17.646114349365234,"liquidity":41288.99455,"open_interest":1229.0675330000001,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"518","slug":"india","label":"India"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reliance Industries Ltd","top_outcome_probability":0.91,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.1100000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-665.0666680000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:58.690008Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:51:58.690008Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.271099Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-indian-company-at-end-of-2026-20260629145859074","chart_24h":[1352.45,1352.45,1352.45,1352.45,1352.45,1352.45,1352.45,1720.09,2275.09,2275.09,2155.09,2217.833332,2217.833332,2217.833332,2217.833332,2217.833332,2217.833332,2177.833332,2177.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,2157.833332,1427.663332,1427.663332,1427.663332,1427.663332,1263.3833319999999,1263.3833319999999,1227.3833319999999]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LRCtPOuC5t","ticker":"LRCtPOuC5t","slug":"largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-g2N6295UzR","title":"Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","description":"Resolves YES to the company that has the largest market cap by the closing market cap value on IPO day in 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-05T02:50:11.808000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126770.78086910551,"volume_24hr":83.3333333333343,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.86663246154785,"normalized_volume":51.77178955078125,"liquidity":401.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":["companies","technology-default","economics-default","finance","business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SpaceX","top_outcome_probability":0.786656,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.013244999999999951,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":83.33333333334303,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:58:22.121866Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T02:58:22.121866Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:57:24.899610Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-g2N6295UzR","chart_24h":[33.33333333333429,83.3333333333343]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7990","ticker":null,"slug":"terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","title":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","description":"his market resolves to YES if in the lawsuit filed by the Terraform Labs liquidation administrator against Jane Street (U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, filed February 2026), the court enters an order that denies, in whole or in part, any defendant’s motion to dismiss the operative complaint.\nThis market resolves to NO if the court grants a motion to dismiss that disposes of all claims in the operative complaint with prejudice.\n\nEdge Case:\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the case is otherwise finally terminated without any qualifying denial (including voluntary dismissal/settlement).\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the deadline below passes without a qualifying denial.\n\nIf all claims are dismissed without prejudice and an amended complaint is filed, the market resolves YES only if a later motion to dismiss the amended complaint is denied in whole or in part before the deadline; otherwise NO.\n\nDeadline: 2027-12-31 23:59 (New York time). If no qualifying court order exists on the docket by this time, resolve NO.\n\nPrimary resolution source: the official SDNY docket entry (PACER/ECF) for the relevant order. If inaccessible, a publicly mirrored docket/order (e.g., RECAP/CourtListener) is acceptable; reputable legal-news reporting that quotes the docket/order may be used as a last resort.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x78dff998d83bb250afe3063c46b7986195967ec28ee74bd58184666ca33ff62c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:28:12Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21242.8325,"volume_24hr":710.7775,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.63038444519043,"normalized_volume":24.50688934326172,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance","Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.111,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","top_outcome_probability":0.111,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","chart_24h":[0.111,0.111]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":379,"total_pages":8},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"http://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Business","as_of":"2026-07-25T10:55:09.601010Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}