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Diesel fuel carried as a vessel’s own fuel, held in bond for re-export, or passing through the United States in transit to another country will not qualify.\n\nTo qualify, the import must either be described by a consensus of credible reporting as having been made under the agreement announced on October 9, 2026 (or any amended or successor arrangement between the governments of the United States and Russia), or be authorized under General License 135 (or any amended or successor authorization permitting the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31-_7i_ar2rMxHS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31-_7i_ar2rMxHS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T22:48:21Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":513091.8122580001,"volume_24hr":58565.963852,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.905277252197266,"normalized_volume":39.26239013671875,"liquidity":59494.59234,"open_interest":132944.712514,"categories":["Politics","Commodities"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"106264","slug":"diesel","label":"diesel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102620","slug":"sanctions","label":"Sanctions"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2752.5701,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:44.779526Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:44.779526Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T23:02:25.086788Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31","chart_24h":[22037.125145,25726.523609,30532.478681,47028.044418,50482.364418000005,43800.304518,47715.852226,48952.873586,52189.434063,55310.235511,54480.503413000006,56510.727623,57770.90355,57804.90355,58292.293606,58819.782616000004,58946.390116,59987.303694,59456.641970000004,59510.797645000006,59501.307645,60493.687645000005,60443.687645,60443.497645,60353.617645,61593.617645,61837.51764500001,62208.037645000004,62933.974312000006,64583.844361]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"435099","ticker":"crude-oil-all-time-high-by","slug":"crude-oil-all-time-high-by","title":"Crude Oil all time high by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. 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$4005.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":251.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T08:00:53.330351Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T08:00:53.330351Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T06:07:53.527744Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-400-am-et/kxgoldh-26oct2304","chart_24h":[1567.3100000000002,18426.68]},{"source":"predict","id":"625777","ticker":"625777","slug":"cl-updown-15m-1792762200","title":"Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.\n2026-10-23T13:30:00Z","image":"https://static.predict.fun/automarket-cl-usdt-15-minutes","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T13:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T13:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T15:15:31.254734Z","volume":3089.16,"volume_24hr":3089.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.982177734375,"normalized_volume":21.392032623291016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Finance","Commodities","Commodity_15min","CL","Commodity_updown"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3089.16,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:32:55.619889Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:54.512667Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T03:19:35.591454Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/cl-updown-15m-1792762200","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,3089.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWTI-26OCT2614","ticker":"KXWTI-26OCT2614","slug":"KXWTI-26OCT2614","title":"Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 26, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T19:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16183.87,"volume_24hr":16152.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.357404708862305,"normalized_volume":25.160310745239258,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":14068.5,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $89.49","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":300.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:52.336674Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:52.336674Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T23:38:21.745838Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwti/oil-price-wti-on-oct-26-2026/kxwti-26oct2614","chart_24h":[31.0,61.0,74.0,314.0,314.0,376.23,390.23,426.23,1496.23,1769.7,4769.67,5409.69,6906.06,8381.61,10840.869999999999,12203.6,12551.43,12667.75,13054.289999999999,13277.28,13437.16,13692.51,13862.84,13925.130000000001,14457.6,14523.8,14968.57,15089.08,15788.15,15948.6,16103.35]},{"source":"predict","id":"625808","ticker":"625808","slug":"xau-updown-15m-1792763100","title":"Gold Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.\n2026-10-23T13:45:00Z","image":"https://static.predict.fun/automarket-xau-usdt-15-minutes","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T13:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T15:15:31.254734Z","volume":2624.13,"volume_24hr":2624.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.697175979614258,"normalized_volume":20.532529830932617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Finance","Commodities","Commodity_15min","XAU","Commodity_updown"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gold Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10AM ET","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2624.13,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:32:55.619889Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:55.419892Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T03:19:35.591454Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/xau-updown-15m-1792763100","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2624.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2314","ticker":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2314","slug":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2314","title":"Gold price on Oct 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T19:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T18:00:00Z","volume":13629.98,"volume_24hr":13629.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.267967224121094,"normalized_volume":24.276567459106445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5168.78,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3997.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3282.46,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T18:12:51.787915Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T18:12:51.787915Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T16:02:00.105820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-200-pm-et/kxgoldh-26oct2314","chart_24h":[0.0,945.5,2021.68,7571.57,13629.98]},{"source":"predict","id":"625198","ticker":"625198","slug":"xau-updown-15m-1792748700","title":"Gold Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable 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$3.10","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:38:19.240778Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:38:19.240778Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T22:20:09.100744Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-october-19-2026","chart_24h":[5890.037790999999,6250.447791,6258.602078999999,6198.602078999999,5672.4568,5622.4568,6232.0204779999995,6232.0204779999995,6557.000477999999,6557.000477999999,6537.000478,6580.485277999999,6575.485277999999,7281.8752779999995,6641.6652779999995,6273.699245,3468.346138,3556.746138,3756.519666,5588.710666,5588.710666,5588.710666,5588.710666,5562.684666,5562.684666,5500.622666,4972.553766]},{"source":"gemini","id":"351708","ticker":"BRENT2610232100","slug":"oil-brent-price-on-october-23","title":"Oil (Brent) price on October 23?","description":"Interval Brent price prediction event expiring on October 23, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/oil_thumb_b051e146-0bb8-480e-9a08-14ebbc9aa70c.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T03:55:37.209000Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":470.33,"volume_24hr":415.78,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.491241455078125,"normalized_volume":20.938831329345703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Oil (Brent)"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$99 or 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ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T14:00:00Z","volume":11512.23,"volume_24hr":11512.23,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.20382308959961,"normalized_volume":23.423067092895508,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6204.98,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $4007.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7.15,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:04:36.223942Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:04:36.223942Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:10:12.205681Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-1000-am-et/kxgoldh-26oct2310","chart_24h":[0.0,11.0,4258.65,11512.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRENTMON-26OCT3017","ticker":"KXBRENTMON-26OCT3017","slug":"KXBRENTMON-26OCT3017","title":"Brent crude oil price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T10:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":170464.98,"volume_24hr":11343.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.1116943359375,"normalized_volume":38.86967468261719,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":104910.36,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $88.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:42:11.541171Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:42:11.541171Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T10:04:08.269913Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrentmon/brent-crude-oil-price-on-october-30-2026-at-500-pm-edt/kxbrentmon-26oct3017","chart_24h":[6851.4,6852.4,4780.04,5264.94,5276.65,5300.12,5597.2699999999995,6197.15,8472.18,8562.86,8909.3,8925.93,8792.15,7930.29,9158.82,9563.36,10278.42,10831.81,11454.49,12037.62,12802.27,12844.289999999999,12836.18,12782.76,12841.619999999999,12446.09,12440.09,12238.02,12050.73,11882.15,11316.53,11315.62,11343.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2316","ticker":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2316","slug":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2316","title":"Gold price on Oct 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T20:00:00Z","volume":11159.58,"volume_24hr":11159.58,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.009841918945312,"normalized_volume":23.26748275756836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5848.2,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3993.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":838.91,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:10:08.771445Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:10:08.771445Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T18:12:40.856629Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-400-pm-et/kxgoldh-26oct2316","chart_24h":[0.0,3031.42,11159.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2309","ticker":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2309","slug":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2309","title":"Gold price on Oct 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T11:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T13:00:00Z","volume":11130.48,"volume_24hr":11130.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.99359130859375,"normalized_volume":23.25444793701172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8384.53,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3999.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.04,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T13:06:32.910377Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T13:06:32.910377Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T11:14:37.936418Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-900-am-et/kxgoldh-26oct2309","chart_24h":[0.0,493.84999999999997,11130.48]},{"source":"predict","id":"625779","ticker":"625779","slug":"xau-updown-15m-1792762200","title":"Gold Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.\n2026-10-23T13:30:00Z","image":"https://static.predict.fun/automarket-xau-usdt-15-minutes","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T13:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T13:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T15:15:31.254734Z","volume":2084.02,"volume_24hr":2084.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.9271240234375,"normalized_volume":19.348588943481445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Finance","Commodities","Commodity_15min","XAU","Commodity_updown"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gold Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2084.02,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:32:55.619889Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:54.833386Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T03:19:35.591454Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/xau-updown-15m-1792762200","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2084.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDD-26OCT2617","ticker":"KXGOLDD-26OCT2617","slug":"KXGOLDD-26OCT2617","title":"Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T09:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T22:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10929.08,"volume_24hr":10912.05,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.87038803100586,"normalized_volume":23.16339874267578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6302.75,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3824","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.93,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":41.87,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:49.729101Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:49.729101Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T09:09:11.910609Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldd/gold-price-on-oct-26-2026-at-500-pm-edt/kxgoldd-26oct2617","chart_24h":[31.41,75.58,86.53,161.65,1016.4599999999999,1154.34,1221.93,2579.42,3190.29,3212.83,3339.02,3429.3199999999997,3658.11,3750.86,3783.68,3810.51,3904.65,4925.32,6291.49,7457.41,7556.09,7988.1,8365.82,8452.4,8475.53,8658.09,8743.09,8825.67,9157.36,10266.59,10533.949999999999,10685.35,10814.460000000001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1234952","ticker":"xauusd-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","slug":"xauusd-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","title":"Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on October 23, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on October 23, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.\n\nIf the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nTrading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nFor each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth \"Close\" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET) on that date.\n\nIf either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET), the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined using the official daily close price of the CME COMEX Gold Futures (GC) futures contract for that trading day.\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session will be considered.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the \"Close\" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gold-logo-0d00c80498.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gold-logo-0d00c80498.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-22T12:01:26Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T23:37:00Z","volume":4151.613805999999,"volume_24hr":3755.4879350000006,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.056686401367188,"normalized_volume":15.764820098876953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1965.38265,"categories":["Finance","Commodities"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"104152","slug":"finance-updown","label":"Finance Updown"},{"id":"104466","slug":"pyth-finance","label":"Pyth Finance"},{"id":"101589","slug":"gold","label":"Gold"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.39,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2935.0430390000006,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:46:54.235684Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:46:54.235684Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T12:23:56.190705Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/xauusd-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","chart_24h":[827.744896,908.744896,1340.012887,1379.012887,1429.797005,1458.2536,1969.3053160000002,2069.3053160000004,2369.029961,2493.8871050000002,2825.91693,3229.1909499999997,3189.19095,3273.47095,3438.686505,3558.686505,3977.2579349999996,3977.257935,4020.257935,3895.257935,3775.487935,3755.4879350000006]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2315","ticker":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2315","slug":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2315","title":"Gold price on Oct 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T19:00:00Z","volume":9535.15,"volume_24hr":9535.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.038894653320312,"normalized_volume":22.48872947692871,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3653.9,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3987.99","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":37.2,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T19:11:44.032554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T19:11:44.032554Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T17:00:18.798059Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-300-pm-et/kxgoldh-26oct2315","chart_24h":[0.0,2800.31,9535.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2313","ticker":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2313","slug":"KXGOLDH-26OCT2313","title":"Gold price on Oct 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T18:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T17:00:00Z","volume":11236.41,"volume_24hr":8244.619999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.156042098999023,"normalized_volume":23.301748275756836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5297.59,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $3991.99","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":19.33,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T17:00:26.293260Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T17:00:26.293260Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T15:02:53.508916Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoldh/gold-price-on-oct-23-2026-at-100-pm-et/kxgoldh-26oct2313","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,5029.62,8244.619999999999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"106981","ticker":"bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026","slug":"bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026","title":"Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. \n\nThe percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles).\n\nThe percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch.\n\nThe resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00.\n\nThe percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance.\n\nThe resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/.\n\nIf two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin).\n\nOnly closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied.\n\nIf either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used.\n\nIf any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026-rWzGB9IW6HC2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026-rWzGB9IW6HC2.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T17:41:37.176667Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":963933.7431559999,"volume_24hr":3149.391833,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.86998176574707,"normalized_volume":43.118614196777344,"liquidity":91327.3814,"open_interest":103101.794882,"categories":["Finance","Crypto","Commodities"],"tags":[{"id":"102849","slug":"sp-500","label":"S&P 500"},{"id":"105301","slug":"price-comparison","label":"Price Comparison"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"102683","slug":"spx","label":"SPX"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"S&P 500","top_outcome_probability":0.735,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":51.75,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:09.962231Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:09.962231Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026","chart_24h":[2245.92,2245.92,2208.89,5173.43,5186.58,5186.58,3198.58,3198.58,3198.58,3198.58,3198.58,3098.58,3098.58,3098.58,3098.58,3168.22,3268.22,3268.22,3268.22,3268.22,3165.22,3165.22,3165.22,3147.33,3147.33,3147.33,3147.33,3147.33,3147.33,3147.33]},{"source":"gemini","id":"377466","ticker":"BRENT2610242100","slug":"oil-brent-price-on-october-24","title":"Oil (Brent) price on October 24?","description":"Interval Brent price prediction event expiring on October 24, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/oil_thumb_b051e146-0bb8-480e-9a08-14ebbc9aa70c.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T19:55:21.045000Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":300.0,"volume_24hr":300.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.395050048828125,"normalized_volume":17.999067306518555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Oil (Brent)"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$110 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:43:08.070915Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:43:08.070915Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T20:01:03.807529Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BRENT2610242100/oil-brent-price-on-october-24","chart_24h":[0.0,300.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1234954","ticker":"wti-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","slug":"wti-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","title":"WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 23?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as \"CLL\") for the October 23, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the October 23, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.\n\nFor a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth \"Close\" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: \"Trading Hours\" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).\n\nThe Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.\n\nEach contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry.\n\nFor example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nBoth closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date.\n\nIf either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with \"T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future\" selected).\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the \"Close\" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-22T12:01:28Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T22:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:08:57Z","volume":3283.862108,"volume_24hr":2888.33433,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.29599952697754,"normalized_volume":14.890188217163086,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":2627.168213,"categories":["Finance","Commodities"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"104152","slug":"finance-updown","label":"Finance Updown"},{"id":"104466","slug":"pyth-finance","label":"Pyth Finance"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.25,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1806.026299,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:28:06.577058Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:28:06.577058Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T12:23:56.190705Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wti-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026","chart_24h":[1082.308031,1082.308031,1082.308031,1282.308031,1282.308031,1282.308031,1320.722664,1530.722664,2320.112108,3136.362108,3148.362108,3173.862108,3173.862108,3173.8621080000003,3243.8621080000003,3243.862108,3243.8621080000003,3243.862108,3243.8621080000003,3283.862108,3283.862108,3263.8621080000003,3263.8621080000003,3223.8621080000003,3133.8621080000003,2888.33433]},{"source":"predict","id":"625202","ticker":"625202","slug":"cl-updown-15m-1792748700","title":"Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6AM ET","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIt will resolve to \"Down\" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range.\r\n\r\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50.\r\n\r\nThe primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick\r\n\r\nTo verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price.\r\n\r\nThe resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency.\r\n\r\nThis market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets.\r\n\r\nIf Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable 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