{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Culture","as_of":"2026-10-23T15:15:22.838546Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"},"items":[{"source":"myriad","id":"108507","ticker":null,"slug":"cs2-will-falcons-win-an-s-tier-tournament-in-2026-7a38024a-7cd7-48d7-b24e-a52c4394461c","title":"CS2: Will Falcons win an S-Tier tournament in 2026?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if an outcome has been reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- This market will resolve to “**Yes**” if Falcons win an S-Tier tournament during the Market Period.\n- This market will resolve to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will be resolved based on official data posted on Liquipedia.\n- In case the resolution source fails to upload, the official stream recording can be used to resolve.\n- An S-Tier tournament is defined as any concluded tournament classified as S-Tier by the resolution source. Events downgraded prior to event start do not qualify.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This may result in a profit or a loss depending on market prices.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmQx4AhJk7vZ944GcjJvnug8G5d1oc1RHG8HKbSHGk2xue","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d35e5cc1-0632-425c-7840-a55075d54200/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-04T17:04:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","volume":16831.45505195,"volume_24hr":6991.25942115,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":96.1139907836914,"normalized_volume":31.719449996948242,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Gaming","Sports"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"CS2: Will Falcons win an S-Tier tournament in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T10:14:03.752654Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T10:14:03.752654Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/cs2-will-falcons-win-an-s-tier-tournament-in-2026-7a38024a-7cd7-48d7-b24e-a52c4394461c","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"688","ticker":null,"slug":"will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season","title":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, before the 2026 LCK playoff finals start.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the outcome is confirmed by the resolution source.\n\n*Note: The Market Period and Close will be adjusted to close before the 2026 LCK playoff finals once a specific date has been announced.*\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThis market will resolve to “**Yes**” if GenG (Generation Gaming) are officially declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\nThis market will resolve to “**No**” if any other team is declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the League of Legends Esports homepage.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- The season format changes drastically from the announced format.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n- The League of Legends 2026 LCK season is cancelled or postponed indefinitely.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWGSry1twr1QZKDTjJqezR9mdMwXX6a5MnU3SxCKBNnLu","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d586dcb8-0ead-4041-3e6a-eb5d3e658f00/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-30T19:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","volume":21690.387522,"volume_24hr":3538.324839,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":81.89791107177734,"normalized_volume":33.39430618286133,"liquidity":1001.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Gaming"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-13T22:03:00.116351Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T22:03:00.116351Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"48361","ticker":"ballon-dor-winner-2026","slug":"ballon-dor-winner-2026","title":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-22T23:39:02.010671Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59946363.465103,"volume_24hr":1838433.958232,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.67729187011719,"normalized_volume":72.8415298461914,"liquidity":13495751.89296,"open_interest":5013064.080000001,"categories":["Sports","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.7645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.00649999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":136012.94676599995,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:24.585649Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:24.585649Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026","chart_24h":[1431773.0761799999,1437046.958226,1461799.081318,1470893.5410489999,1594704.130754,1612888.12891,1590590.691483,1582791.248381,1593639.8694,1500656.1190900002,1574584.592835,1622235.478355,1736675.2157780002,1858432.0200940003,1867447.421508,1916667.192944,2065525.2483289998,2140296.814077,2170759.267974,2145280.5431190003,1886908.19464,1880650.640874,1891960.403502,1906401.636982,1921359.1048530003,1950576.1629670002,2041099.553108,2056915.1875079998,2046262.894123,2018117.693596,1997150.992267,1944285.9826810001]},{"source":"myriad","id":"73807","ticker":null,"slug":"will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season-ea6151f2-8ed5-4176-adc6-81344a3180cf","title":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, before the 2026 LCK playoff finals start.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the outcome is confirmed by the resolution source.\n\n*Note: The Market Period and Close will be adjusted to close before the 2026 LCK playoff finals once a specific date has been announced.*\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThis market will resolve to “**Yes**” if GenG (Generation Gaming) are officially declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\nThis market will resolve to “**No**” if any other team is declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the League of Legends Esports homepage.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- The season format changes drastically from the announced format.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n- The League of Legends 2026 LCK season is cancelled or postponed indefinitely.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWGSry1twr1QZKDTjJqezR9mdMwXX6a5MnU3SxCKBNnLu","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d586dcb8-0ead-4041-3e6a-eb5d3e658f00/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-12T15:42:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","volume":34881.02223226,"volume_24hr":2664.19950517,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":76.3108901977539,"normalized_volume":36.64760971069336,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Gaming","Sports"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-14T09:48:55.550514Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T09:48:55.550514Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season-ea6151f2-8ed5-4176-adc6-81344a3180cf","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"9376","ticker":"9376","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","title":"Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T15:24:05.992000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35119982.14,"volume_24hr":55584.40000000596,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.16380310058594,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.0095,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0014999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":93622.39000000805,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:51.121516Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:43.406999Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","chart_24h":[38306.14999999851,110796.51999999583,116944.31000000238,115133.0399999991,115603.54999999702,116578.55999999493,116585.48999999464,117705.0700000003,117199.8599999994,115968.03000000119,119609.4299999997,122170.83999999613,126219.82999999821,133077.8500000015,130943.97999999672,127582.8900000006,130570.0,127484.59000000358]},{"source":"predict","id":"643985","ticker":"643985","slug":"oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857","title":"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. 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Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T04:00:32Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3071357.803025,"volume_24hr":748343.520938,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.73939514160156,"normalized_volume":50.676517486572266,"liquidity":536601.69704,"open_interest":348320.03930500004,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"260-279","top_outcome_probability":0.775,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":51153.99102899999,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:17.532196Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:17.532196Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T04:09:45.052728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-16-october-23-2026","chart_24h":[968278.1250479999,983576.314395,905108.702837,929957.068859,856764.257366,819925.579792,798263.12653,817121.331602,803285.817202,805794.332338,805873.631444,806978.816442,777105.458517,767232.688023,781295.27322,783809.395116,802034.030135,807091.93939,804806.441086,815473.796006,842651.919741,832858.7662549999,837053.0612349999,814398.235797,798587.9878860001,715251.176027,690839.4189299999,672640.859985,671883.666747,683894.5126029999,707320.5945519999,722425.369394]},{"source":"predict","id":"9340","ticker":"9340","slug":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","title":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T10:39:08.823000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4911504.45,"volume_24hr":65705.13999999966,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.814205169677734,"normalized_volume":78.64814758300781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.0415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":50671.20999999996,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:51.121516Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:43.406999Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","chart_24h":[3522.140000000596,3546.4699999997392,3873.899999999441,3767.7999999998137,5802.799999999814,5802.799999999814,5824.700000000186,5824.700000000186,5813.929999999702,5829.109999999404,5855.449999999255,5869.600000000559,5869.600000000559,48134.69000000041,56339.35000000056,56293.699999999255,54156.78000000026,53775.79000000004]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9JGPEGsYeAoqaOykIgHO","ticker":"9JGPEGsYeAoqaOykIgHO","slug":"who-is-the-knight-in-deltarune","title":"Who is the Knight in Deltarune?","description":"Parimutuel market for the same question:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/Ibozz91/deltarune-who-is-the-knight)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Tetraspace%2F744e476ee43a.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-09T18:22:05.623000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25587.548425337252,"volume_24hr":1636.162877213257,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.954063415527344,"normalized_volume":37.89789962768555,"liquidity":1310.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["deltarune","gaming"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Dess Holiday","top_outcome_probability":0.685493,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10609500000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T11:37:15.306744Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T11:37:15.306744Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T13:41:22.378543Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/who-is-the-knight-in-deltarune","chart_24h":[379.2670009293818,0.0,1636.162877213257]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ACIIs2ngRC","ticker":"ACIIs2ngRC","slug":"will-something-crazy-happen-monthly","title":"Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]","description":"For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy. This is determined based on the following method:\n\nOn Google Trends, pick \"Worldwide\" and \"Web Search\".\n\nPick a search term that you want to check for craziness.\n\nPick \"google\" as the search term to compare to.\n\nLook at the end-of-day scores for \"google\" and [term]. The [term] : google ratio is the craziness score (C).\n\nIf on one of the days, C(term, day) > 0.5, and there exists a day in the previous 30 days such that C(term, day) / C(term, past_day) > 5, then this term is indeed CRAZY, and the market resolves YES.\n\nImportant exception: scheduled events which are fully expected to trend ahead of time do not count as crazy, even if they meet the craziness criteria. This includes things like:\n\nOlympics\n\nWorld Cup\n\nBig movie releases\n\nU.S. presidential elections\n\nSome events in recent years which did meet the craziness criteria are:\n\nCOVID-19 pandemic\n\nJanuary 6 capitol riots\n\nRussian invasion of Ukraine\n\nWill Smith slapping Chris Rock\n\nDeath of Queen Elizabeth II\n\nIsrael-Gaza war\n\nTrump assassination attempt\n\nBiden dropping out of election\n\nIran-Israel war\n\nCharlie Kirk assassination\n\nPrior to any month, I may modify the criteria to preserve the intent of the market, if for example, \"Google\" is no longer a popular search term. Due to the partially subjective criteria, I am not betting in this market.\n\nUPDATES: \n\nGoing forward, an event must end up having a Wikipedia article associated with it in order to qualify. The article must be about the same specific event as the Google Trends search term, according to my judgement. For example, the Wikipedia article on Will Smith is not specific enough to relate to the slap incident, but Chris Rock–Will Smith slapping incident is.\n\nOnce a search term becomes crazy, its history is \"reset\". That means for it to qualify again, its popularity must quintuple from since after it became crazy. That is, you cannot pick an old past_day to satisfy the quintupling requirement.\n\nResolutions\n\nJanuary: Capture of Nicolas Maduro\n\nFebruary: Israeli–United States strikes on Iran\n\nMarch: None","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T18:29:05.847000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":140883.65404408795,"volume_24hr":1500.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.67206573486328,"normalized_volume":51.70657730102539,"liquidity":12000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World","Politics","Culture"],"tags":["world-default","politics-default","news","culture-default","entertainment"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"February","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T12:45:24.335192Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T12:45:24.335192Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ItsMe/will-something-crazy-happen-monthly","chart_24h":[1250.0,1500.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1203169","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T04:00:31Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":503199.656479,"volume_24hr":125650.957849,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.552589416503906,"normalized_volume":39.146209716796875,"liquidity":224552.70028,"open_interest":99531.33253699998,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"280-299","top_outcome_probability":0.205,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":558.4903330000006,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:20.409581Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:20.409581Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T04:14:59.929343Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026","chart_24h":[152950.015716,153156.59132,136985.392394,141094.93058,130723.470787,126757.323367,128114.347969,126439.679242,127415.51591,131340.31691,134099.683629,135603.599853,135185.058273,143895.424028,149179.26553,150054.317278,147916.158194,148905.912795,146093.962795,151959.963744,156284.91558,155342.24208,157588.345577,157194.76027199998,154038.758731,141263.668249,138711.38392,127245.28057,129565.580931,124747.864889,123957.51108,127505.174285]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1218521","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-22-october-24-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-22-october-24-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":162488.075137,"volume_24hr":123371.727327,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.388851165771484,"normalized_volume":32.69546890258789,"liquidity":53615.73508,"open_interest":55113.397814,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"65-89","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6970.375170999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:47.444865Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:47.444865Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:30.341842Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-22-october-24-2026","chart_24h":[22660.98243,22467.428859,27719.76932,30487.657275,32309.177674,33948.413322,33769.964789,34308.16583,35238.864521,41244.740768,41307.756527,42278.615847,44117.308526,47645.537122,50821.539742,52118.203826,59723.619344,64501.933841,65332.197382,69286.051026,81585.821622,84346.35922999999,88268.680881,92735.483055,92964.375555,100657.397874,100501.494547,101328.155496,101979.398127,102031.619644,104595.712166,116222.39890700001]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lQhdpUhUS0","ticker":"lQhdpUhUS0","slug":"will-trump-win-the-2026-nobel-peace","title":"Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?","description":"Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.\n\nThis is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:\n\n[markets]Previously:\n\n@/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-11T17:11:45.225000Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16462.50158633656,"volume_24hr":1372.5197793379673,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.37733459472656,"normalized_volume":34.67622375488281,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Culture","World"],"tags":["donald-trump","trumps-second-term","academic-awards","ukrainerussia-war"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No peace, no Nobel","top_outcome_probability":0.927927,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020782000000000078,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1372.5197793379666,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T12:23:21.110851Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T12:23:21.110851Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T21:35:05.334277Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2026-nobel-peace","chart_24h":[1172.5197793379673,1372.5197793379673]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"90177","ticker":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","title":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T18:05:19.721000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74582978.58569105,"volume_24hr":90524.01329399999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.59356689453125,"normalized_volume":74.6302719116211,"liquidity":688399.06057,"open_interest":8641891.340780001,"categories":["Politics","Culture","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"71","slug":"aliens","label":"Aliens"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.0445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0029999999999999957,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":33629.581431000006,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:29.818124Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:29.818124Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","chart_24h":[42416.66563,43885.620077,59046.410077,59774.725674,60973.03147,61130.903076999995,59280.79141,63280.78141,57182.306964999996,59682.306964999996,61168.286965,62263.525061,62332.05994499999,60771.23527800001,60499.818005,60500.818005,59165.396425,59165.396425,57923.690425,57942.365172,54859.643565,54009.643565,54713.281661,60385.671661,61900.821661,61356.701661,61680.137043,88483.24977,89185.431588,71536.542054,82359.568383,86940.456071]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"498879","ticker":"next-james-bond-actor","slug":"next-james-bond-actor-398","title":"Next James Bond actor?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-james-bond-actor-d648bfbf-75d1-4a29-be40-7a50ea1c18e2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-james-bond-actor-d648bfbf-75d1-4a29-be40-7a50ea1c18e2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T23:03:13.530086Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1612261.036882,"volume_24hr":70323.997117,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.777183532714844,"normalized_volume":46.38664627075195,"liquidity":213346.19047,"open_interest":325406.18658199994,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"},{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jack Lowden","top_outcome_probability":0.4135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.02100000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4399.994023,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:49.448168Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:49.448168Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T23:21:02.013399Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-398","chart_24h":[43195.716533,44946.598558,50907.3236,53577.151428000005,56634.7039,68454.34389999999,71759.412672,72767.971622,72001.648288,59512.439662,58325.489662,58123.448666000004,58074.080878,57369.055783,57403.977474,57461.967474000005,57442.452548,57317.457229,58720.228153000004,58645.010869,58337.453185,58945.202519,59330.943495,58292.843495,59360.919590000005,59599.29959,63208.565396,73628.94801,74187.71801,75879.165103,74008.783855,73844.115816]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1218178","ticker":"ballon-d-or-2026-2nd-place-20261019143424322","slug":"ballon-d-or-2026-2nd-place-20261019143424322","title":"Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place","description":"This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.\n\nThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nIf two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T14:47:34Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":230639.78209599998,"volume_24hr":64340.3895,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.73183059692383,"normalized_volume":34.6321907043457,"liquidity":242390.91103,"open_interest":70755.688226,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Kylian Mbappé","top_outcome_probability":0.73,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1249.3589810000012,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:44.402529Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:44.402529Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T15:08:29.219754Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-d-or-2026-2nd-place-20261019143424322","chart_24h":[30499.841905999998,29123.758296,31717.670296,31870.000296000002,31366.964133,32663.390374,32925.821718,33646.937821,32089.104402,23645.136607,23317.546089,39117.307578,39890.977578,38606.834533,38498.834533,39567.264533,39579.912551,37808.355408,37808.355408,36567.538074000004,35137.290457,36295.702298000004,36408.762298,51063.076915,49543.546915,49270.466915,48338.524386,55722.224448,57398.990376,57996.095477999996,58679.180035,64153.5295]},{"source":"predict","id":"539707","ticker":"539707","slug":"ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher","title":"Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Mbappé\" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to \"Yamal\" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé.\n\nThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nIf both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/ballon-dor-winner-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T12:27:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17153.77,"volume_24hr":11264.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.283477783203125,"normalized_volume":31.19544219970703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?","top_outcome_probability":0.725,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10340.429999999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:51.121516Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:06.225732Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T14:26:50.703876Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher","chart_24h":[1200.69,1435.3799999999997,5774.230000000001,5787.449999999999,6823.580000000001,7055.999999999999,7055.999999999999,7055.999999999999,7068.92,7068.92,7077.24,6838.68,7322.3099999999995,7618.259999999999,8067.8099999999995,8379.19,9364.15,11498.789999999999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1178376","ticker":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2027","slug":"nobel-peace-prize-winner-2027","title":"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to \"Yes\". This market is not limited to a single winner.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T18:19:08Z","end_date":"2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134770.513357,"volume_24hr":60373.263272,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.1961555480957,"normalized_volume":31.684101104736328,"liquidity":345701.62636,"open_interest":59471.964072,"categories":["World","Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100771","slug":"nobel","label":"nobel"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"106306","slug":"nobel-prize","label":"Nobel Prize"},{"id":"103070","slug":"nobel-peace-prize","label":"Nobel Peace Prize"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Donald Trump","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-215.217391,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:04.599328Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:04.599328Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T18:42:52.332658Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2027","chart_24h":[95456.004116,97912.163646,98173.303646,98173.303646,98173.303646,98223.303646,97628.201436,97687.824078,98502.714078,98502.714078,98502.714078,98503.114078,83666.397917,83576.507917,83576.107917,87173.029546,88055.132271,92601.60739800001,92958.296531,93340.796531,93500.796531,95052.693197,95272.473197,89970.673197,89904.223197,94158.481332,94107.481332,93977.151332,93984.461332,93987.811332,93982.411332,94050.241332]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1105364","ticker":"ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher","slug":"ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher","title":"Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Mbappé\" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to \"Yamal\" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé.\n\nThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nIf both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026-Zy0v0R0nc3hy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026-Zy0v0R0nc3hy.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-29T20:58:04Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":726903.9957409999,"volume_24hr":59379.070023,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.05690383911133,"normalized_volume":41.37032699584961,"liquidity":28116.603,"open_interest":410301.715436,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"102183","slug":"fifa","label":"FIFA"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.745,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":15827.727643999991,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:53:07.237380Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:53:07.237380Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T04:59:51.473287Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-2026-kylian-mbappe-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher","chart_24h":[45760.526443999996,39838.594697,40526.946944999996,35335.715017999995,42854.30462,35859.478234999995,38286.451901,38324.855234,36540.260798,31713.423591999996,30653.270812,30643.840811,30687.07414699999,30681.359861,30681.359861,31145.266265,31651.743852,31655.192128,31313.334985,32689.324985,32419.638209,32628.043606000003,33977.150541,33864.132267,35578.143581,37492.45972499999,37783.696868,42108.334009,42973.405437,43700.921396,45785.292628,53093.397519000006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"811117","ticker":"ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","slug":"ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","title":"Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026","description":"This market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.\n\nIf the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026-GUyJ2k3Cbk3a.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026-GUyJ2k3Cbk3a.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T15:20:23.116809Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":749737.78477,"volume_24hr":42516.863758,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.176673889160156,"normalized_volume":41.51402282714844,"liquidity":184826.87833,"open_interest":422058.741764,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"102183","slug":"fifa","label":"FIFA"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.9775,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0004999999999999449,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2012.5453109999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:23.008201Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:23.008201Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T15:36:42.288977Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","chart_24h":[62228.912733,68845.28596,68797.916516,68883.682442,68865.264252,71509.727738,71686.958502,71831.80997,72922.01393399999,71391.880506,70380.588668,72212.605234,69035.384118,63138.289119,63271.151319000004,63354.008461,61288.888460999995,60589.238461,60234.538461,60222.178614000004,60613.883393000004,60534.202564,61414.439064,62498.209064,43930.373935,42745.513935,34525.042622,40704.487866,39714.487866,37156.034605,36603.035769,36917.398107]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRT-CLA","ticker":"KXRT-CLA","slug":"KXRT-CLA","title":"Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T22:17:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1307581.5,"volume_24hr":169470.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.50225830078125,"normalized_volume":53.14402770996094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":569452.85,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 45","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5274.86,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:43.638475Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:43.638475Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T22:31:50.452471Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrt/clayface-rotten-tomatoes-score/kxrt-cla","chart_24h":[456646.63,431911.08,451439.28,453494.08,462919.76,427788.52,342127.93,331192.14,299457.24,281564.71,257969.74,251240.15,252508.13999999998,252461.12,252918.12,252763.18,248660.95,251547.19,252693.33,236357.53,234655.94,235277.81999999998,237904.09999999998,237627.85,236841.03,237170.22999999998,237302.94,237831.74,231414.86,231795.49,188667.97,184780.57,182956.65,177061.16,167488.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1232463","ticker":"what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-iowa-october-22","slug":"what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-iowa-october-22","title":"What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?","description":"Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt)\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-alabama-october-2-QLCYcFjaMxRe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-alabama-october-2-QLCYcFjaMxRe.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-22T00:01:10Z","end_date":"2026-10-22T23:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T06:40:29Z","volume":45956.035896,"volume_24hr":35325.060937,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.807518005371094,"normalized_volume":26.174888610839844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2594.8991859999996,"categories":["Politics","Culture","Mentions"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"100343","slug":"mention-markets","label":"Mentions"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105622","slug":"trump-speech","label":"Trump Speech"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tax 33+ times","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.685,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4172.108795,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:00:10.185628Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:00:10.185628Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T00:18:41.371245Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-iowa-october-22","chart_24h":[12158.210237,13394.157884,15429.917008,16089.602958,16995.382636,20045.822677,21947.488354999998,25652.126584999998,29692.796305,31145.117982,34100.697258,35908.931673,39110.124373,41542.19794,42089.127625,41591.220036,41403.867047,41594.587597,41594.587597,40896.437761,40679.495713,40938.230750999996,40279.628897,39958.822305,39806.656766,39616.495833,37897.576583,37858.661198,37747.814315999996,36913.706123,36119.349624,35948.365207]},{"source":"predict","id":"643961","ticker":"643961","slug":"will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027","title":"Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?","description":"If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/doge-1-lunar-mission","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T23:09:00.166000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7082.78,"volume_24hr":7082.78,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.578670501708984,"normalized_volume":26.0411319732666,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.32500000000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2459.8,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:50.369846Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:03.308892Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T16:13:12.055582Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,7058.46,7058.46,7058.46,7058.46,7058.46,7058.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"90178","ticker":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","title":"Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jesus-christ-return-in-2025-qulWN7QCehv8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jesus-christ-return-in-2025-qulWN7QCehv8.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T18:08:21.296000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66639500.54780301,"volume_24hr":32544.538500000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.155517578125,"normalized_volume":73.70596313476562,"liquidity":434549.27873,"open_interest":990049.016024,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"103123","slug":"parent-for-derivative","label":"Parent For Derivative"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25066.900836999997,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:29.818124Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:29.818124Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","chart_24h":[7477.637663,9596.677663,8947.626638999998,8797.626638999998,8797.626639,8873.606639,26076.108173,36213.108173,36213.108173,36213.108173,36355.228172999996,36355.228173,36355.22817300001,33113.118243000004,31964.338243,31457.752630000003,31313.876945999997,31212.596945999998,31212.596945999998,31222.596946,31247.116946000002,31380.846247999998,32539.974922,32547.776342,32574.216342,32553.856342000003,32534.838499999998,32501.341672000002,32491.701672000003,32488.658499999998,32554.4385,32544.5385]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6U9tCEA0gn","ticker":"6U9tCEA0gn","slug":"what-will-be-the-top-grossing-movie","title":"What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?","description":"Resolves according to which movie Box Office Mojo lists as the #1 top grossing film in the United States in 2026 (using calendar gross).","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T10:29:58.459000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25385.632977880803,"volume_24hr":599.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.065006256103516,"normalized_volume":37.83876419067383,"liquidity":300.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture","Business"],"tags":["boxoffice","culture-default","movies","entertainment","business"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day","top_outcome_probability":0.938981,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009981999999999935,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T01:35:45.263671Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T01:35:45.263671Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T20:55:18.263142Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/delfinasu/what-will-be-the-top-grossing-movie","chart_24h":[648.6171827859421,648.6171827859421,642.6171827859421,599.34]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1200407","ticker":"who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566","slug":"who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566","title":"Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?","description":"The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:25:48Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":153669.443936,"volume_24hr":32053.080185,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.03506851196289,"normalized_volume":32.39206314086914,"liquidity":24310.32415,"open_interest":43968.11602800001,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lamine Yamal","top_outcome_probability":0.9875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0045000000000000595,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2077.888968,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:15.571927Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:15.571927Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:45:32.294856Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566","chart_24h":[19644.176947,19649.176947,17378.839991,15761.590503000001,15496.191479000001,15764.87598,17203.758866,17250.05603,17324.47394,17850.650191,18358.87035,18611.026034,18540.185592,18550.225592,20902.702727,21661.166338,23027.207704,23181.877704,23181.877704,28371.93843,29076.142449,29122.432449,29115.488004,34862.13054,33603.779967,32427.363069,32081.215890000003,31247.046975,31247.640642,32641.491691,31091.222036,31837.137232]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1105185","ticker":"ballon-dor-top-10-finish-2026","slug":"ballon-dor-top-10-finish-2026","title":"Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nIf more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.\n\nIf the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026-Zy0v0R0nc3hy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026-Zy0v0R0nc3hy.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-29T20:14:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151139.104552,"volume_24hr":30613.049391,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.67227554321289,"normalized_volume":32.302059173583984,"liquidity":138668.85543,"open_interest":90743.851067,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"102183","slug":"fifa","label":"FIFA"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.9975,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":194.971,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:53:07.237380Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:53:07.237380Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T04:59:50.082289Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-10-finish-2026","chart_24h":[4680.369407,6297.07918,6458.260885,6966.9130589999995,7078.953586,7521.396482,7672.168806,9385.823634,9585.623634,10017.073653,8910.71466,8910.71466,8784.082463,23416.003419,23611.815294,23774.615294,24546.665294,24797.113437,23765.764011,23864.764011,23555.462177,24019.517824000002,25092.19441,25344.490706,25445.490706,25415.480706,26202.264811000005,26218.709210999998,26282.336313,27674.65706,30171.749676,30605.099391]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1218179","ticker":"ballon-d-or-2026-3rd-place-20261019143424322","slug":"ballon-d-or-2026-3rd-place-20261019143424322","title":"Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place","description":"This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.\n\nThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.\n\nIf two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ballon-dor-winner-2025-vTCj-1ZkJzga.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T14:48:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":176981.761537,"volume_24hr":30399.061874,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.6170539855957,"normalized_volume":33.16278076171875,"liquidity":195884.5777,"open_interest":76898.67761,"categories":["Culture","Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"106280","slug":"ballon-dor","label":"Ballon d'Or"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lamine Yamal","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3523.731074000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:44.402529Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:57:44.402529Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T15:08:29.219754Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-d-or-2026-3rd-place-20261019143424322","chart_24h":[24238.958556999998,19827.236299999997,19766.229633,19806.229633,20128.101661,24705.742761999998,25053.529428,25115.720112000003,22667.078429,17008.226176,16826.948398,18652.006927,18618.296928,17300.372378,17300.372378,17360.372378,18667.323755,18667.323755,18667.323755,18460.067087,18851.945347,18600.792122,18700.826707,23010.399788,23304.563396,23548.895215,22243.929501000002,24496.207089,26738.93471,26611.902467,28301.517736,29427.541874]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOSCARPIC-27","ticker":"KXOSCARPIC-27","slug":"KXOSCARPIC-27","title":"Oscar Winner: Best Picture","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9906145.42,"volume_24hr":120624.65000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.67571258544922,"normalized_volume":69.5204086303711,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7033835.29,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The Odyssey","top_outcome_probability":0.47,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-286.03999999999996,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:54.101454Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:54.101454Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxoscarpic/oscar-winner-best-picture/kxoscarpic-27","chart_24h":[149877.14,143916.75,143703.16999999998,145297.07,143075.6,142544.44,121506.73,120490.04,118459.23,110934.45,112218.76999999999,108165.56,107010.77,114868.78,106883.16,119181.69,116466.11,110330.19,110662.4,119002.3,118580.01,121004.76,87279.1,90768.72,91201.31,91411.92,92400.74,92650.91,92246.71,93132.87,94279.65,95896.7,96045.23999999999,111707.98,110888.93]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1236433","ticker":"of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-6-20261017","slug":"of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-6-20261017","title":"# of views of MrBeast video on day 6?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000\" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T18:34:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T16:00:18Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20662.77524,"volume_24hr":23930.731997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.75609588623047,"normalized_volume":22.42221450805664,"liquidity":39602.37968,"open_interest":11097.121405999998,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"618","slug":"views","label":"views"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"145","slug":"mrbeast","label":"MrBeast"},{"id":"146","slug":"youtube","label":"YouTube"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"131-133M","top_outcome_probability":0.953,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.3929999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8020.983348999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:28.015031Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:28.015031Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T18:58:07.297048Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-6-20261017","chart_24h":[0.0,825.701916,907.097516,907.097516,907.097516,1057.4871819999998,1227.693348,2230.693348,2390.935748,2621.125748,3053.382364,3696.960157,4542.521214,5231.819157,7394.450438,7876.734056,9307.618819,10154.941306,11540.139263,12263.153162999999,13747.127806999999,15049.443417,16300.885843,17901.645957,18443.068106,19667.216238,20373.29524]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"759150","ticker":"oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857","slug":"oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857","title":"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. \n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-810eefffe5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-uExlgIhppb3W.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T03:05:12.143549Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":481061.182551,"volume_24hr":23184.994494,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.54777908325195,"normalized_volume":38.878360748291016,"liquidity":388146.00856,"open_interest":74617.48991300001,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"1000","slug":"oscars","label":"Oscars"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"105659","slug":"the-odyssey","label":"The Odyssey"},{"id":"105800","slug":"oscars-2027","label":"Oscars 2027"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Film I","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:08.379521Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:08.379521Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T03:20:08.752241Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857","chart_24h":[12227.170324,12227.170323999999,8410.592451,8317.862609,12810.03633,12810.03633,11996.001938,13154.645852,13709.099766,13793.229411,13988.879411,14021.879411,14021.879411,13927.879411,14527.879411,15067.865057,15695.766801,27489.200298,27741.308997,27736.403227,27736.403227,26311.070454,26517.896708,26561.374969,26561.374969,22630.821336,23110.341336,23110.341336,23067.491336000003,23267.754494,23240.754494,23290.074494]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUMPAPOLOGY-26","ticker":"KXTRUMPAPOLOGY-26","slug":"KXTRUMPAPOLOGY-26","title":"Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-03T15:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":123870.98,"volume_24hr":84915.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.7637825012207,"normalized_volume":36.84645080566406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":82872.99,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.55,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T20:17:16.562696Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T20:17:16.562696Z","added_at":"2026-06-03T15:16:04.158049Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapology/will-donald-trump-issue-a-public-apology/kxtrumpapology-26","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1191140","ticker":"wildwood-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"wildwood-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"Wildwood\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Wildwood\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wildwood-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-4jyIQTdevK02.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wildwood-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-4jyIQTdevK02.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T23:16:56Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44013.033255999995,"volume_24hr":20689.695323,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.645484924316406,"normalized_volume":25.96466064453125,"liquidity":22126.16702,"open_interest":16642.264539,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"12m-14m","top_outcome_probability":0.4375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16049999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":968.4328179999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:45.018586Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:55:45.018586Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T23:19:21.846453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wildwood-opening-weekend-box-office","chart_24h":[12470.241058,12755.431058,12512.30283,12600.30283,12600.30283,12094.576613,12964.553297999999,12806.922685000001,12605.242049,13357.119569,13298.503036,13298.503036,18702.120061,18986.740061,18936.740061,18629.390061000002,18611.470061,19065.330061,19065.330061,20911.969526,21973.539029,22072.979029000002,21793.489029,21172.443059,21204.963059,21334.393058999998,17824.673366,17618.853366,17936.217139,18228.869923,20308.790322999997,20625.745323]},{"source":"manifold","id":"h5hy0IZsnN","ticker":"h5hy0IZsnN","slug":"way-too-early-best-picture-winner-2","title":"[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)","description":"WARNING: THIS IS FOR THE MOVIES OF 2026, WINNER AWARDED IN 2027, NOT THE CURRENT OSCARS.\n\nResolves to the winner of \"Best Picture\" at the 2027 Academy Awards.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T03:19:36.342000Z","end_date":"2027-03-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60982.822377760254,"volume_24hr":446.03917329476775,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.367000579833984,"normalized_volume":44.66073226928711,"liquidity":2500.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["oscars-2027","movies","awards-shows","academy-awards","oscars"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The Odyssey","top_outcome_probability":0.488296,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03894500000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-341.3384353174515,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:02:15.342914Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:02:15.342914Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T12:33:54.140819Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/way-too-early-best-picture-winner-2","chart_24h":[973.5447599713028,870.2893987566332,950.6351393890196,371.2863475125452,302.309706264665,193.02542513373493,410.83441316865645,334.27877499858675,326.21697131170174,377.5205105258792]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79836","ticker":"which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","slug":"which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","title":"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:23:26.972468Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2499022.0791349993,"volume_24hr":19727.793659000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.28567123413086,"normalized_volume":49.286956787109375,"liquidity":118269.26437,"open_interest":164043.76067600003,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"105659","slug":"the-odyssey","label":"The Odyssey"},{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"1493","slug":"spider-man","label":"Spider-Man"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Avengers: Doomsday","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8189.094640000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:28.305223Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:28.305223Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","chart_24h":[32859.236382,34276.556207,27896.41875,27221.765732,27327.729807,27327.729807,27151.23858,24008.26858,23679.83858,23064.93858,23064.93858,23064.93858,23064.93858,23064.93858,23064.93858,23064.93858,22813.83858,22813.83858,22845.753474,22171.455228,14815.455228,14328.550443,4198.795776,3572.305776,4592.305776,5006.862757999999,5133.442758,15594.298102999997,18994.298103,20323.543659000003,19837.793659,19727.793659000003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1064530","ticker":"trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918","slug":"trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918","title":"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declassifies-ufo-files-in-2025-t8Tno8ou_ycE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declassifies-ufo-files-in-2025-t8Tno8ou_ycE.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-22T16:15:29Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T13:29:57Z","volume":29049.033939,"volume_24hr":18693.755167,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.88084030151367,"normalized_volume":23.9859561920166,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":15479.628528,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"71","slug":"aliens","label":"Aliens"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.47,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":15580.51113,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:14:24.438445Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:14:24.438445Z","added_at":"2026-09-22T16:29:33.860423Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918","chart_24h":[535.862132,535.862132,561.517688,572.422234,579.685392,602.526445,602.526445,602.526445,750.946445,750.946445,750.946445,774.756445,3536.7464450000007,3896.746445,6007.366389000001,6275.5663890000005,7128.486389000001,7296.1063890000005,7296.1063890000005,7296.1063890000005,7296.1063890000005,7296.1063890000005,6878.564257000001,7000.744257000001,7204.326256000001,7283.833179,7872.223014,11790.099167,13163.239167,13182.039167,18693.755167000003,18693.755167]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2z9QdLUL2Q","ticker":"2z9QdLUL2Q","slug":"who-will-be-time-magazines-2025-per","title":"Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?","description":"This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of the Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. \n\nIf you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit it in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it, and you'll get a bonus. \n\nNote that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories. \n\nIf multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.\n\n@Joshua credit for market idea.\n\nthere will be no ai clarifications added to this market's description\n\nif you have a question, just ask in the comments :) !!!","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F0sZQIEzEAg.jpg?alt=media&token=32faa691-0935-482c-a3b7-ecbc2dcdc242","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T16:45:01.676000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":211691.89804930935,"volume_24hr":411.0428029501173,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.37537384033203,"normalized_volume":55.319393157958984,"liquidity":10105.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"tags":["politics-default","time-person-of-the-year","ai-person-of-the-year","us-politics","culture-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Zohran Mamdani","top_outcome_probability":0.260711,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0039559999999999595,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-20.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T11:13:22.987281Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T11:13:22.987281Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ryanmccomb/who-will-be-time-magazines-2025-per","chart_24h":[606.0,611.0,541.0,571.0,535.0,560.0,60.0,310.0,411.0428029501173]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDANCINGWITHTHESTARS-26DEC31","ticker":"KXDANCINGWITHTHESTARS-26DEC31","slug":"KXDANCINGWITHTHESTARS-26DEC31","title":"Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4959957.28,"volume_24hr":68401.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.338356018066406,"normalized_volume":63.681907653808594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3162920.56,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ezra Frech","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12116.880000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:10.347212Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:10.347212Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:19:20.601247Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdancingwiththestars/dancing-with-the-stars-season-35-winner/kxdancingwiththestars-26dec31","chart_24h":[64160.759999999995,65430.25,66564.58,67358.38,70809.27,59712.89,68145.2,67567.55,50752.57,50448.25,60856.0,59597.78,64475.8,67872.05,67395.14,67864.36,72575.70999999999,71679.71,70686.41,70105.89,69649.83,69740.36,70331.39,70606.26,70791.31,70928.18000000001,70939.47,70898.56,70743.7,71116.75,71019.86,70823.89,70786.64,69895.24,69105.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1235511","ticker":"what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-florida-october-23","slug":"what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-florida-october-23","title":"What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?","description":"Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida on October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-fort-myers-fl-president-donald-j-trump-djt47)\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Florida on October 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be audio/video of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-the-tribute-to-america-rally-on-july-4th-202606301606--gS0PyQJyV7a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-the-tribute-to-america-rally-on-july-4th-202606301606--gS0PyQJyV7a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T14:48:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17191.648168,"volume_24hr":17275.317554999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.291481018066406,"normalized_volume":21.599905014038086,"liquidity":29666.09131,"open_interest":13646.767259,"categories":["Politics","Culture","Mentions"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"100343","slug":"mention-markets","label":"Mentions"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105622","slug":"trump-speech","label":"Trump Speech"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democrat 5+ times","top_outcome_probability":0.984,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.249,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1585.134191,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:10.376743Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:10.376743Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T15:05:40.448938Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-florida-october-23","chart_24h":[45.812169,323.612169,887.67197,1109.072897,1530.481175,2779.792694,3150.653167,3157.983167,3449.458506,3998.102668,4018.833849,4018.833849,4038.002584,4847.973609,5920.028346,7146.190473,8184.566457,8291.86554,8393.032666,8691.851611,9092.495934,9405.832973,9556.223857,10066.2879,10175.10879,10670.457576,11251.689424,11511.478902,12707.559937,13211.978375,13360.780878,17022.182713]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRT-WIC","ticker":"KXRT-WIC","slug":"KXRT-WIC","title":"Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-22T22:07:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":188967.71,"volume_24hr":64785.82,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.984657287597656,"normalized_volume":39.548194885253906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":103309.78,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 45","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:43.638475Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:43.638475Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T17:55:57.549660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrt/wicker-rotten-tomatoes-score/kxrt-wic","chart_24h":[38421.89,38703.95,38442.35,38407.45,42704.82,42024.34,28088.440000000002,29061.73,31044.53,30121.86,32699.11,26733.63,34161.67,46351.95,47981.92,47903.37,49469.909999999996,49498.36,49498.36,49744.82,58387.74,58098.27,58106.96,58216.619999999995,58166.64,58197.549999999996,58224.54,58180.32,58154.84,57567.58,57503.57,57379.92,57328.36,57336.65,59802.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXYTVIEWSW-TAT26OCT25","ticker":"KXYTVIEWSW-TAT26OCT25","slug":"KXYTVIEWSW-TAT26OCT25","title":"Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-22T15:54:18Z","volume":68816.65,"volume_24hr":63447.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.84918975830078,"normalized_volume":33.24533462524414,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":64156.07,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 2M","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T16:09:25.932872Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T16:09:25.932872Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:52.109758Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxytviewsw/tate-mcrae-highest-daily-view-count-october-19-2026-october-25-2026/kxytviewsw-tat26oct25","chart_24h":[63446.14,63447.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1221575","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T04:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80642.373697,"volume_24hr":15585.246477,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.529693603515625,"normalized_volume":28.988815307617188,"liquidity":239457.17861,"open_interest":29950.170534000004,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"240-259","top_outcome_probability":0.135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-208.99710600000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:05.233921Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:05.233921Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T04:08:07.008949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026","chart_24h":[22765.024574,23018.021674,23621.480563,23354.944004,22937.884004,22838.994004,22803.994004,23081.355670999998,22573.945670999998,23317.624375,23117.624375,25680.014375,26337.82009,15498.885922,14816.575922,14781.131136,14781.131136,13643.971136,12826.661136,13488.491136,13651.041136,12671.967645,13036.964845,14145.686273,15404.963495,15322.741433,15289.651432999999,14846.711433,15421.789694,16363.709694,16243.248155,15453.817905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1220614","ticker":"clayface-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"clayface-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"Clayface\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Clayface\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clayface-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-H6v72Jd2dDfg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clayface-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-H6v72Jd2dDfg.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T23:29:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51233.9251,"volume_24hr":15083.181804,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.28910446166992,"normalized_volume":26.707700729370117,"liquidity":23185.14964,"open_interest":14527.729970000002,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"22m-25m","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-33.94641100000081,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:02.893675Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:02.893675Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T23:45:09.041719Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/clayface-opening-weekend-box-office","chart_24h":[20872.745423,18198.62634,16595.348368,14740.363669,16873.256497,17261.265771000002,18432.475771,20028.052594,20038.052594,20517.255926,19007.127553000002,18990.207553,18207.294385,18184.204385,17763.882184000002,16776.293748,16776.293748,17387.417987,17387.417987,17437.417987,17443.652469,16055.735802000001,16876.895058000002,16214.020358,16532.8841,17096.16368,16756.814041,15366.078663,15190.360115,14744.870447000001,14744.870447,15115.386702]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1230669","ticker":"of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-5-20261017","slug":"of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-5-20261017","title":"# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000\" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:38:28Z","end_date":"2026-10-22T16:00:18Z","closed_time":"2026-10-22T20:12:12Z","volume":31258.992700000003,"volume_24hr":15049.903999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.27290344238281,"normalized_volume":24.329431533813477,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":17847.713250999997,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"618","slug":"views","label":"views"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"145","slug":"mrbeast","label":"MrBeast"},{"id":"146","slug":"youtube","label":"YouTube"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"123-125M","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0014999999999999458,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10584.304055999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:37:38.661783Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:37:38.661783Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.726483Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-mrbeast-video-on-day-5-20261017","chart_24h":[16229.088699999998,30263.1027,31174.002699999997,31174.0027,30932.0027,30961.9927,29620.112699999998,29590.112699999998,29551.4927,28269.768404,28169.668404000004,28069.668404,27497.618204,27492.378204,27387.378204000004,25533.294593999995,24526.885878999998,23616.751022,23576.751022,23421.205472,22723.09412,21544.90369,21262.716264,20144.453849999998,19411.996282,18798.476073,17163.590949999998,16694.880227999998,16221.722861999999,15893.38675,15245.396749999998,15049.903999999999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1226756","ticker":"klara-and-the-sun-opening-weekend-box-office-20261025","slug":"klara-and-the-sun-opening-weekend-box-office-20261025","title":"\"Klara and the Sun\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Klara and the Sun\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/klara-and-the-sun-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-noa-Aw_ro77P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/klara-and-the-sun-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261026-noa-Aw_ro77P.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T23:39:50Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20286.399252,"volume_24hr":14338.814506,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.91884994506836,"normalized_volume":22.33932876586914,"liquidity":24348.59772,"open_interest":7715.457236,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<2M","top_outcome_probability":0.9755,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.2005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4052.4138520000015,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:31.286008Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:58:31.286008Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T23:55:05.115992Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/klara-and-the-sun-opening-weekend-box-office-20261025","chart_24h":[3580.7919509999997,3639.7919509999997,3639.791951,6700.7416410000005,7054.675853000001,7054.675853000001,7054.675853000001,7151.2982059999995,13238.676404999998,13531.226405,13531.226405,13934.040085,12596.492728,12575.942728000002,12575.942728,12666.181128,12666.181128,15062.137211000001,15082.928211,15082.928211,15158.378211000001,15128.198211,14284.303846,13626.944196,14544.607529,14481.390712999999,14481.390713,14481.390713,14222.712829,14384.320968,14437.214506,14427.214506]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1196500","ticker":"nba-2026-27-mvp","slug":"nba-2026-27-mvp","title":"NBA: 2026-27 MVP","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nba-mvp-694-FG0ToWV-YK16.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nba-mvp-694-FG0ToWV-YK16.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T20:37:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43705.655175,"volume_24hr":13987.738601,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.73821258544922,"normalized_volume":25.930635452270508,"liquidity":413749.2861,"open_interest":6763.857512000001,"categories":["Sports","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"745","slug":"nba","label":"NBA"},{"id":"707","slug":"mvp","label":"mvp"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"28","slug":"basketball","label":"Basketball"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"106395","slug":"nba-tip-off","label":"NBA Tip-Off"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Player A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:10.011755Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:56:10.011755Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T20:51:54.286235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nba-2026-27-mvp","chart_24h":[8150.7737609999995,8150.7737609999995,7894.544349,5732.057078,5826.427078,9613.724786,9505.954786,9453.093899,9533.093899,9040.112787,9075.112787,9953.255645,9611.21049,9411.230898,10413.432262,10440.984057,10440.984057,10509.060981,10449.060981,8373.724963999999,9027.71852,9180.71852,9150.996297,9150.996297,9186.718283,13090.460476,14569.7331,14563.066433,14563.066433,14656.88408,13960.121935,13987.738601]},{"source":"predict","id":"287846","ticker":"287846","slug":"ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","title":"Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026","description":"This market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.\n\nIf the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/ballon-dor-winner-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T12:29:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25447.3,"volume_24hr":1453.2999999999993,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.68798065185547,"normalized_volume":33.906551361083984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Harry Kane","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2468.1600000000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:14:51.121516Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:59:06.225732Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T14:26:50.703876Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","chart_24h":[9341.51,11163.73,11489.41,11528.91,11528.91,11528.91,11524.369999999999,11768.099999999999,11883.51,12039.939999999999,11355.490000000002,11355.490000000002,10858.14,7786.21,7240.970000000001,6968.5,3745.56,3275.5199999999995]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRT-CAT","ticker":"KXRT-CAT","slug":"KXRT-CAT","title":"The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T19:19:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":216533.92,"volume_24hr":51473.159999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.505924224853516,"normalized_volume":40.43967819213867,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":132019.22,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 45","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-9298.289999999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:26.654457Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:01:26.654457Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T19:31:27.813849Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrt/the-cat-in-the-hat-rotten-tomatoes-score/kxrt-cat","chart_24h":[74160.98999999999,74958.04,75289.74,75466.49,75596.99,77804.81,77819.5,77828.69,77837.06,77818.86,77865.14,84704.99,84706.69,84804.06999999999,84944.17,84952.68,31748.25,29906.579999999998,29964.16,29077.01,29065.2,29056.26,29075.49,29075.91,65655.15,65693.4,65700.25,65710.52,65690.16,65792.76,65713.05,61816.42,50694.62]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"315364","ticker":"pro-football-2026-mvp-winner","slug":"pro-football-2026-mvp-winner","title":"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-27T21:33:27.041999Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1311505.583793,"volume_24hr":13451.702260999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.90752029418945,"normalized_volume":45.0625114440918,"liquidity":422743.64123,"open_interest":147632.279708,"categories":["Sports","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"450","slug":"nfl","label":"NFL (All)"},{"id":"707","slug":"mvp","label":"mvp"},{"id":"10","slug":"football","label":"football"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"105603","slug":"nfl-awards","label":"Football Awards"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Brock Purdy","top_outcome_probability":0.276,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":147.969441,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:43.617769Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:43.617769Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner","chart_24h":[3142.414447,2892.67,1909.42,1938.1,1439.29,1357.603726,1327.603726,1327.603726,1327.603726,1327.603726,1127.603726,1127.603726,837.497615,726.367615,991.65336,1091.65336,1223.139163,1293.902801,1293.902801,1293.902801,1293.902801,1164.132801,1184.132801,1184.132801,2986.132801,3707.492801,4452.492801,4864.992801,4864.992801,5534.392801,11985.422800999999,12470.242800999999]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":1710,"total_pages":35}}