{"items":[{"source":"myriad","id":"120473","ticker":null,"slug":"crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","title":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** 120.000\n- **Dump Target**: 55.000\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$120”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The market resolves based on the one-minute (1m) price updates on the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) chart on the Trading Economics website.\n- Only the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) on Trading Economics will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The [Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update for seven days straight.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmYWuwsHv8ZRYthkFc5SF7DZNTfqv8pvG1mJRKW2uzFP2M","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e11bc0f6-a97f-4e7b-981e-2340057bb700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T15:04:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12640301.87317407,"volume_24hr":43980.58952409,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":89.5759506225586,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.52881095,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","top_outcome_probability":0.52881095,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.012458509999999978,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":24307.075039299998,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T15:19:25.971567Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T15:19:25.971567Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","chart_24h":[0.51635244,0.53366791,0.51635248,0.53315323,0.51635248,0.60122448,0.57896721,0.57896721,0.57896721,0.57896721,0.57896721,0.52881095]},{"source":"myriad","id":"741","ticker":null,"slug":"will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion","title":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close prior to the IPO of SpaceX, and will be adjusted to this once the date is officially announced.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined as soon as SpaceX’s stock has completed its first day of public trading.\n- **Market Target:** $1,300,000,000,000 (1.3 Trillion USD).\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if the closing market cap of SpaceX is above the Market Target at the end of its first day of public trading.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official data from Nasdaq.\n- In case SpaceX doesn’t begin trading on Nasdaq, the resolution source will be adapted to the stock exchange it begins trading on instead.\n- Only the market capitalization of SpaceX at the stock market close of its first day of trading is of subject to this market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official SpaceX communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on SpaceX’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- SpaceX doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWBBk7WaB42n1VSaCKN62pk65hksovDFACn9QAQSHwNE4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d74b4511-fb18-442b-8d3a-77f1a854d400/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-13T17:19:27Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","volume":33300.602079,"volume_24hr":8346.738303,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":36.325382232666016,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"481717","ticker":"fed-decision-in-september-762","slug":"fed-decision-in-september-762","title":"Fed Decision in September?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T21:23:09.737806Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104763091.25460306,"volume_24hr":1789285.4277819996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":85.06835174560547,"normalized_volume":77.58952331542969,"liquidity":5316479.3531,"open_interest":22677395.555695,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome 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Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-09T14:53:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","volume":29380.297003,"volume_24hr":3063.457591,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.03567504882812,"normalized_volume":35.456825256347656,"liquidity":1500.005013,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","slug":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","title":"Fed decision in Sep 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T18:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40230389.15,"volume_24hr":3021118.6700000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.59635162353516,"normalized_volume":83.37882232666016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":30438791.46,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hike 25bps","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21661.059999999998,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:56.134337Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:56.134337Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-sep-2026/kxfeddecision-26sep","chart_24h":[714548.2,722306.8300000001,701310.74,688336.63,707236.38,710822.96,729762.28,1215921.8800000001,1212095.84,1215220.6700000002,1233140.05,1232633.43,1237985.8599999999,1237102.47,1236325.51,1291787.02,1290848.07,1301563.65,1329713.23,1931162.75,1932334.8599999999,1933849.05,1937046.94,2043258.65,2008746.8699999999,2991496.1799999997,3096183.2,3067490.6,2964571.64,2947370.3000000003,3010350.98,3017542.26,3002145.2199999997,3004591.63,3018208.84,3009067.7399999998,3013891.68]},{"source":"myriad","id":"22438","ticker":null,"slug":"will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion-76c0b6d2-3421-43fe-bbd1-9cbfde308933","title":"Will 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market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official SpaceX communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on SpaceX’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- SpaceX doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWBBk7WaB42n1VSaCKN62pk65hksovDFACn9QAQSHwNE4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d74b4511-fb18-442b-8d3a-77f1a854d400/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-13T18:28:31Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","volume":12151.08157962,"volume_24hr":2244.41163706,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.03076934814453,"normalized_volume":29.632587432861328,"liquidity":1000.00008103,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T22:05:18.279540Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T22:05:18.279540Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion-76c0b6d2-3421-43fe-bbd1-9cbfde308933","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"22426","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","title":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-13T18:26:08Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","volume":29984.46772457,"volume_24hr":2022.16051238,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.07125854492188,"normalized_volume":35.59726333618164,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-13T20:26:32.941786Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-13T20:26:32.941786Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","chart_24h":null},{"source":"predict","id":"263696","ticker":"263696","slug":"fed-decision-in-september-762","title":"Fed Decision in September?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/636a5950-4141-41c2-bdda-43421af15c9b.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T21:23:09.737000Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1624388.68,"volume_24hr":43415.79999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.95018005371094,"normalized_volume":67.8861083984375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.5465,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04149999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5419.320000000007,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:42:11.785684Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:25:55.971827Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:15:38.367281Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/fed-decision-in-september-762","chart_24h":[129467.89000000004,131075.6,129507.98999999996,137312.63000000003,118407.38000000006,116394.37000000008,113178.86999999994,113979.65999999997,100530.96000000014,85422.39000000001,84872.71000000002,90129.27999999994,39563.88999999993,38949.619999999966,41166.6400000001,41437.62000000008,42591.58999999987,43415.79999999995]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79041","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","slug":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","title":"Largest Company end of December 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:16:56.414786Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6943043.6497990005,"volume_24hr":122493.480542,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.33129119873047,"normalized_volume":56.459991455078125,"liquidity":1461954.18067,"open_interest":436550.492468,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2729.936214,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:41.293975Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:41.293975Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[122742.632432,122751.214432,119764.149332,120326.826108,123554.652604,123267.237872,122190.828249,122078.449295,122320.537343,122733.631143,122759.621343,122899.100343,11034.490001,10545.745801,12639.387901,25210.152301,25648.406301,25729.305397,27236.23806,107602.99016,106947.502923,106966.172923,122326.993947,122175.827747,122298.082949,122299.407949,123115.966699,123107.733699,123233.566815,123514.867599,122817.322999,122831.755242,122560.760292,122493.480542]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP09","ticker":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP09","slug":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP09","title":"US gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":458265.15,"volume_24hr":456109.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.12725830078125,"normalized_volume":46.207515716552734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":298722.87,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.1100","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":683.5999999999999,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:56:50.853951Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:56:50.853951Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T12:09:23.908749Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasd/us-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasd-26sep09","chart_24h":[6598.2,11650.3,17398.99,21300.37,33445.47,47159.21,88391.3,101910.11,128446.31999999999,185921.38,199074.29,212539.34,251769.17,310516.8,374848.29,411194.09,447636.94]},{"source":"predict","id":"63699","ticker":"63699","slug":"fed-decisions-jun-sep","title":"Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/4b6cce0b-89a5-4fb6-90c6-e7dcbdf9e481.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:56:11.281000Z","end_date":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64801.189999999995,"volume_24hr":14656.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.41209030151367,"normalized_volume":40.74538040161133,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.695,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16499999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:42:11.785684Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:25:53.712941Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T11:23:08.153957Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/fed-decisions-jun-sep","chart_24h":[10173.209999999997,13673.209999999997,14673.209999999997,14673.209999999997,14660.379999999997,14660.379999999997,14160.379999999997,14360.379999999997,11860.379999999997,14700.0,19242.469999999994,17200.0,16700.0,14400.0,14456.1,14456.1,14456.1,14656.1]},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104782620.144,"volume_24hr":69861.7015,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.240177154541016,"normalized_volume":82.01221466064453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 (150 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.906,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T15:21:42.164777Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T15:21:42.164777Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[19179.805,69861.7015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"455875","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T13:03:57.905316Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10625761.813040005,"volume_24hr":79179.17822899998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.213462829589844,"normalized_volume":59.55148696899414,"liquidity":449138.0204,"open_interest":1832068.915457,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.225,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":33395.69670799998,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:09.560348Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:09.560348Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T13:04:48.315040Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","chart_24h":[37421.891521,37421.891521,37434.748189,37534.748189,38136.550296,37797.788759,31057.748758999995,42659.388759,43187.628758999985,43233.355425999995,48317.458762,48394.368762000006,48841.938762,44032.898762,44091.148762000004,39151.935811999996,39644.571876,39637.555383,37331.221175,41698.414334,41404.34942400001,41468.963636,41444.13784800001,40750.97573800001,41076.70099600001,41076.70099600001,40707.23363100001,40170.46310400001,41313.75099800001,41126.34099800001,75823.965208,78383.802576,79095.482576,79179.17822899998]},{"source":"predict","id":"1610","ticker":"1610","slug":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/fed-rate-hike-in-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T14:57:14.030000Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6316828.87,"volume_24hr":14093.429999999702,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.985206604003906,"normalized_volume":81.39219665527344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Rates","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.6915,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0025000000000000577,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12884.449999999255,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:42:11.785684Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:26:03.106268Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/fed-rate-hike-in-2026","chart_24h":[1085.5400000000373,813.2000000001863,950.2199999997392,2283.489999999292,4140.200000000186,4174.319999999367,4248.3300000000745,4253.010000000708,4224.1899999994785,4204.1899999994785,4100.679999999702,4097.7400000002235,13112.77999999933,13204.69000000041,13728.679999999702,14297.580000000075,14056.199999999255,14093.429999999702]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDFL-26SEP09","ticker":"KXAAAGASDFL-26SEP09","slug":"KXAAAGASDFL-26SEP09","title":"Florida gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":229426.86000000002,"volume_24hr":229226.86000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.356632232666016,"normalized_volume":41.43263244628906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":182457.94,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.8600","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4067.5,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:56:50.853951Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:56:50.853951Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T12:09:23.908749Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdfl/florida-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdfl-26sep09","chart_24h":[500.0,1078.0,3850.0,8038.0,12480.85,35962.85,48639.71,59422.43,147477.75,162239.01,185671.83,190951.35,200494.45,222032.77,223638.3,224268.87,228798.59]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"51456","ticker":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:24:45.988997Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51636447.501522,"volume_24hr":58305.496392,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.41878890991211,"normalized_volume":71.75852966308594,"liquidity":4158829.21242,"open_interest":2034692.390677,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"103151","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0 (0 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.9295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1865.302517000002,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:37.866397Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:37.866397Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[77945.014589,77741.377589,78047.546816,87261.23781600001,87263.729261,91424.851412,91118.464412,74000.145471,73844.524626,73812.963739,73733.344739,48851.283521,49034.061144,48824.03355,49201.304281000004,49497.322281,44084.472280999995,40363.959634,39919.288634,39649.252962,37072.628408,34915.903732,34283.315182,35077.696125999995,39150.376126,51181.090086000004,49138.811977,48613.453178,51866.136327,55386.69506,52127.882014,52043.375878,58364.433878,58305.496392]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"606422","ticker":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","slug":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","title":"Fed Decision in October?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T23:34:28.470106Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1385445.172157,"volume_24hr":57279.338852,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.25899124145508,"normalized_volume":45.49811553955078,"liquidity":1185226.00231,"open_interest":378175.590094,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.675,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3455.6866010000003,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T01:10:00.403648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","chart_24h":[38236.463942,38236.463942,44693.215442,45834.373492,48505.073491999996,50889.483492,50914.533492,49792.123492,46915.94349199999,43900.894335000005,43618.478565,44119.451187,40250.012173,39824.790998000004,39314.790998000004,39323.170998,39323.170998,38065.890998,38760.930998,46877.450998,46885.710998,47080.640998,47083.581587,46907.941587,31765.771587,31771.660476,32068.727048,32281.117048,32370.535388,32128.857550999997,33831.969496,56782.709495999996,57064.709495999996,57279.338852]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"627652","ticker":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993","slug":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993","title":"Bank of Russia decision in September?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T00:29:15.447101Z","end_date":"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":313175.3772059999,"volume_24hr":53267.768917,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.60824203491211,"normalized_volume":36.43274688720703,"liquidity":145396.98547,"open_interest":159157.34409499998,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"102973","slug":"macro","label":"macro"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Change","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-276.7473250000003,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T00:41:39.235006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993","chart_24h":[47730.336875999994,47757.44140499999,47769.057831,46267.211781,46038.18035499999,46312.95432099999,47634.247039999995,50011.340217,50574.168027,50322.532003,50183.31622399999,46419.232276999996,46381.923517,46072.965138,46571.527044,45593.97849,45812.882489999996,46040.773913,45914.861651,45622.949031,46073.330523,55990.668596999996,57960.346463000016,49017.432837,51792.247126,51803.26231900001,50615.04842,53834.871016,52251.142200999995,51770.210528,51924.325691,52281.475719,53478.178039,53267.768917]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP08","ticker":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP08","slug":"KXAAAGASD-26SEP08","title":"US gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-07T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","volume":174929.52,"volume_24hr":174929.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.17494201660156,"normalized_volume":39.63197326660156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":113778.38,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.1100","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":607.8499999999999,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:06:06.652461Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:06:06.652461Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T12:19:44.002308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasd/us-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasd-26sep08","chart_24h":[133448.44,142342.15,148561.27,154919.71,162062.46,169865.67,174929.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"606452","ticker":"bank-of-japan-decision-in-september-20260616002734979","slug":"bank-of-japan-decision-in-september-20260616002734979","title":"Bank of Japan Decision in September?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boj-emergency-rate-cut-in-august-K4KcXEDWiliA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boj-emergency-rate-cut-in-august-K4KcXEDWiliA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T23:32:33.975876Z","end_date":"2026-09-18T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":687678.263829,"volume_24hr":45487.236218,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.2080192565918,"normalized_volume":41.102535247802734,"liquidity":108386.39249,"open_interest":224932.39912099997,"categories":["World","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"102990","slug":"boj","label":"BOJ"},{"id":"101522","slug":"japan","label":"Japan"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.9755,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.006000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":19598.672026,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T00:11:25.618251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-september-20260616002734979","chart_24h":[14450.154753,23070.838692,23070.838692,23070.838692,23470.838692,23987.958636000003,24818.109741,25792.660846,33630.646043,33630.646043,33493.031366,33498.741366,36474.611482,36693.210827,36693.210827,36693.210827,36610.710827,37570.24966,44404.101271,46561.706270999995,46561.706270999995,46149.007384,46459.235957000004,44730.295957,45339.225956999995,45539.225957,45539.225957,44937.8231,44937.8231,44937.8231,45994.16785699999,45617.58479,45487.236218000005,45487.236218]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"606384","ticker":"ecb-interest-rates-september-2026-20260616222636097","slug":"ecb-interest-rates-september-2026-20260616222636097","title":"ECB Interest Rates: September 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T22:53:34.353489Z","end_date":"2026-09-10T11:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":495105.34039,"volume_24hr":37465.199543,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.51551818847656,"normalized_volume":39.11769485473633,"liquidity":168438.31106,"open_interest":177586.95864300002,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100448","slug":"ecb","label":"ECB"},{"id":"100817","slug":"euro","label":"Euro"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"102900","slug":"eurozone","label":"eurozone"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"131","slug":"interest-rates","label":"interest rates"},{"id":"132","slug":"monetary-policy","label":"monetary policy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"},{"id":"101615","slug":"european-central-bank","label":"European Central Bank"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.9955,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1750.8125969999983,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:17.569490Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T23:05:32.772288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-september-2026-20260616222636097","chart_24h":[20174.931384,20173.126051,20173.126051,20173.126051,20173.126051,20747.126051,20747.126051,19732.063384999998,19397.073385,19998.393716,19901.496381,19956.05938,20072.375044,20497.279711,21600.561376999998,11358.892474999999,11358.892474999999,11291.250474999999,10884.579763999998,5470.233236,5470.233236,34308.377098,34308.377098000004,34264.93678,34239.861556,34195.027056,34171.95785,35199.283417,34430.074416999996,37161.849356,37486.619543,37486.619543,37486.619543,37465.199543]},{"source":"gemini","id":"168090","ticker":"FED260917","slug":"fed-decision-in-september","title":"Fed decision in September?","description":"Fed decision in September?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5KuZuT0taRI8tqRyE3DMWk/16f9f7bb5e07a8c06767acfe8c32cf3b/fed_Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T14:24:23.155000Z","end_date":"2026-09-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":192158.0,"volume_24hr":2312.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.45283126831055,"normalized_volume":93.36319732666016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hike 25bps","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:02:01.725916Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:02:01.725916Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:33:56.893413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260917/fed-decision-in-september","chart_24h":[2164.0,2383.0,2633.0,2585.0,2555.0,2554.0,2580.0,2391.0,2102.0,1767.0,1965.0,2673.0,2318.0,2322.0,2312.0]},{"source":"predict","id":"139731","ticker":"139731","slug":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","title":"Fed Decision in October?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/c78bdcda-f371-4931-8869-4991d4436a7b.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T23:34:28.470000Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":258314.15000000002,"volume_24hr":7465.279999999992,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.30032730102539,"normalized_volume":51.55144119262695,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.\n\nThe resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-emergency-rate-cut-in-2025-Qswtta0b_qXR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-emergency-rate-cut-in-2025-Qswtta0b_qXR.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T23:04:24.466213Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":207648.3008450001,"volume_24hr":10500.100208,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.184749603271484,"normalized_volume":34.10508346557617,"liquidity":16167.58657,"open_interest":58277.122215,"categories":["Business","Finance","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.04,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0215,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10500.100208,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:41.293975Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:50:41.293975Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-emergency-rate-cut-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,377.246377,377.246377,377.246377,7323.436377,7553.243196,8648.26711,8648.26711,8648.26711,8648.26711,8648.26711,8648.26711,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208,10500.100208]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"329566","ticker":"fed-rate-hike-by","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by","title":"Fed rate hike by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:28.411000Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2888619.259223999,"volume_24hr":10280.717227000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.024478912353516,"normalized_volume":50.34886169433594,"liquidity":395935.8085,"open_interest":431104.012515,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"105614","slug":"cpi-release","label":"CPI Release"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October Meeting","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2184.294819,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:00.002581Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:51:00.002581Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by","chart_24h":[27316.067069999997,27127.950404,27273.783738,28361.463234,28859.463244,26340.193244,26634.993244,26404.283248,26399.713257,23389.713261,20666.905581000003,20026.765581000003,20049.682249,19842.482249,19842.482249,21328.212249,21338.212249,12695.517074,12116.714376,12116.714376,12116.714376,11474.630848,14038.618508,14182.657028,14182.657028,15630.601446,13167.311446,13099.521445999999,13505.571446,14280.332355999999,14289.937227,12840.977227,10174.817227,10280.717227000001]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":1049,"total_pages":21},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Economy","as_of":"2026-09-09T00:00:47.505355Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}