{"items":[{"source":"myriad","id":"120473","ticker":null,"slug":"crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","title":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** 120.000\n- **Dump Target**: 55.000\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$120”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The market resolves based on the one-minute (1m) price updates on the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) chart on the Trading Economics website.\n- Only the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) on Trading Economics will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The [Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update for seven days straight.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmYWuwsHv8ZRYthkFc5SF7DZNTfqv8pvG1mJRKW2uzFP2M","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e11bc0f6-a97f-4e7b-981e-2340057bb700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T15:04:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9779677.33312042,"volume_24hr":34866.16114862,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":80.08836364746094,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.58960958,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","top_outcome_probability":0.58960958,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02593919,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10252.072131449997,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","chart_24h":[0.56367039,0.56367039,0.56367039,0.5745185,0.57451884,0.57898594,0.57899363,0.57899363,0.57899363,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.57652494,0.57652494,0.58846071,0.59344096,0.57652491,0.57652491,0.57652491,0.59376758,0.59462302,0.58564184,0.57651711]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"101772","ticker":"fed-decision-in-june-825","slug":"fed-decision-in-june-825","title":"Fed Decision in June?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T21:50:37.376667Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76585984.89053176,"volume_24hr":3286921.3653269964,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":90.93251037597656,"normalized_volume":72.36685943603516,"liquidity":3583120.87459,"open_interest":10643420.67265,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.9905,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-633695.6221500024,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825","chart_24h":[2583276.4400120024,2648524.3920990024,2627902.8601220027,2519636.9052660023,2594857.031030003,2579169.9284740025,2685138.6738440036,2715532.6398590035,2678356.7879140032,2652021.8283410035,2452662.397527003,2381895.923087,2842919.920962,3273674.45756,3277858.836912,3184676.539737,3193562.4404370002,3214147.550412,3141516.3448980004,2918757.644854001,2923758.6576280007,2918860.334775001,2913977.7238050005,2941732.1818840005,2920984.943198001,2943540.190899001,3013020.5621460006,3028827.3941120007,3032604.526038001,3039172.160049998,3117377.438486997,3238780.9376019966,3256837.7015109966]},{"source":"predict","id":"10607","ticker":"10607","slug":"fed-decision-in-june-825","title":"Fed Decision in June?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/fed-decision-in-june-825","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-30T06:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3073040.8,"volume_24hr":163410.14000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":76.65682220458984,"normalized_volume":54.42365646362305,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.9855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17926.23999999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:12.094026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/fed-decision-in-june-825","chart_24h":[134858.39000000004,117711.85000000003,133061.48000000016,132472.08000000002,127431.70000000001,129135.37000000011,151419.41999999993,150739.85999999987,150216.99999999988,150836.08999999997,149542.24000000005,185146.50000000006,204169.35,184809.84,169399.02,165689.1,163410.14000000004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"524097","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T05:16:54.399594Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5848372.993840034,"volume_24hr":935127.7408769999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":76.33562469482422,"normalized_volume":53.31224060058594,"liquidity":525293.0568,"open_interest":2091909.651871,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":374499.0582490002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:31.715844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:31.715844Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T05:17:11.666153Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","chart_24h":[578591.5894599998,563125.031228,513886.61428799987,501053.4373629998,464516.33736299985,458149.01519299985,224365.13475100006,227332.29925700012,247250.76283400005,250469.76283400005,243616.463037,279561.872335,311272.17866700003,291714.694542,285697.947877,295542.875988,284354.356862,284553.85742700007,291839.00742700003,295119.46431500005,294952.564315,271628.37215300003,258701.211153,287069.151041,289485.168813,288504.738813,287914.045262,288682.00209599995,408526.198764,406261.538767,420315.88486899994,424968.00595399993,721588.073322]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUN","ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUN","slug":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUN","title":"Fed decision in Jun 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T18:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19803374.11,"volume_24hr":1067742.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.48936462402344,"normalized_volume":74.32831573486328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":17017947.36,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":298124.80000000005,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:19.770148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:19.770148Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-jun-2026/kxfeddecision-26jun","chart_24h":[424208.89,444447.84,466766.82,482920.98,489204.94,491185.87,486558.72,498739.75,506477.8,504815.77,520116.55,543631.55,565581.7,572980.39,602230.9,612592.54,601341.74,602912.88,608084.21,606940.47,582756.71,533373.52,507336.48,503656.06,541668.41,536525.18,880909.2,960076.1799999999,941588.55,1060658.52,1069497.52,1070436.57,1067401.23,1068018.2,1068526.1400000001,1041506.25,1051505.25,1067749.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"375597","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-13T22:22:40.961472Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16015534.172963232,"volume_24hr":477717.53547099995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.05924987792969,"normalized_volume":60.42863082885742,"liquidity":583728.2235,"open_interest":3368978.652956,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101253","slug":"macro-geopolitics","label":"Macro Geopolitics"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-16483.53685500013,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","chart_24h":[494977.9305560001,490923.67022200004,327089.19957600016,326197.3215060002,248412.97771900022,244255.2777810003,299180.1870010003,314690.14324000024,318463.1813320001,305887.5042759999,320693.8887649998,510805.34234699997,519367.03209700005,525801.239992,526760.835811,527617.821767,528996.250567,525832.385064,528706.9484400001,543178.3127220002,522967.5825010001,522283.85086000006,531119.017449,528617.3492100001,532742.2683280001,473796.84009800013,472765.7227670001,472864.1227670001,468359.61990800005,467517.4044140001,466074.1977540001,466146.06041200005,477895.520079]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"287395","ticker":"fed-decision-in-july","slug":"fed-decision-in-july-181","title":"Fed Decision in July?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-20T00:13:40.941235Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8965142.009982085,"volume_24hr":300419.960221,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.24703216552734,"normalized_volume":56.27547836303711,"liquidity":871295.88076,"open_interest":843414.005036,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.925,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-86699.21187400007,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-july-181","chart_24h":[307805.1988370001,268233.409265,268635.71976400004,266402.554039,267729.392092,263749.47553399997,256866.78155400002,257049.210532,255165.43734499998,458236.77369400003,457159.979119,447233.10254500003,434356.59458100004,419909.021027,399725.551317,401090.304484,405144.17407,404164.746272,406337.838099,328965.331572,328755.783804,335503.683479,327689.140776,324975.238157,323417.14696,320769.28696,319380.42306999996,319417.075869,311284.747299,309086.06805299997,310241.099171,299801.69613399997,300586.260221]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"455867","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T13:18:59.354260Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3421633.7844359563,"volume_24hr":215493.87663800002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.9068489074707,"normalized_volume":49.707210540771484,"liquidity":233643.8643,"open_interest":821694.582612,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":105866.76221399999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T13:18:58.934604Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","chart_24h":[110856.15032900003,110023.87261700002,98710.15582000001,95407.07825000002,93710.01554800004,83855.26867400002,110275.178072,108330.70401499998,121429.82542199994,121634.616166,131135.11442099998,140584.675359,140405.91728499997,158032.74084299998,142416.331943,145653.018794,143556.759024,143511.083432,148771.30920299998,149887.165695,152788.973438,152854.75121299998,202514.74854499998,204616.29908099998,204911.899143,210513.302981,215576.61546000003,217283.39867700005,217203.84020300006,218134.081078,225870.94524800003,227162.09457200006,213577.109318]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57711","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-june-712","slug":"largest-company-end-of-june-712","title":"Largest Company end of June?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-10T21:54:22.488268Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21374517.815139864,"volume_24hr":202419.52093599996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.28759765625,"normalized_volume":62.54977035522461,"liquidity":1681770.85677,"open_interest":1394302.244821,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Business","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101734","slug":"deepseek","label":"DeepSeek"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-34981.679648000005,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-june-712","chart_24h":[236741.62792399997,232940.66285899997,231383.32870699995,231644.63192299995,230074.89034299998,228984.52162299995,200685.28508599996,204678.52384799998,210168.90032,203702.715519,200433.808168,207617.073208,202908.70121499998,204872.737233,197353.354982,197351.882215,198586.84785,210695.88212899998,212036.52861699997,214644.416984,210706.14331999997,212644.48996499996,212793.97644899995,216282.78212799996,213319.4059669999,212630.68339699993,213053.99216299993,203135.76696699992,213723.56396499992,197765.83521099994,186838.619487,200959.17065699995,201664.46490099994]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"51456","ticker":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:29:04.308480Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33506819.93679184,"volume_24hr":150686.82075400001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.410194396972656,"normalized_volume":65.92626190185547,"liquidity":2001813.95766,"open_interest":1316057.2293290002,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"103151","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0 (0 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.7985,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-20216.022835000018,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[224232.41514500015,226805.83243400013,231310.50540500012,234791.9939480001,235593.40566000008,230967.4064600001,223567.67413200001,211067.467626,202016.88746199996,199727.14763799997,193892.51299699998,194327.43772799996,196002.366896,180491.949523,179949.35113199998,179199.75468599997,176072.07574499998,176547.83905299997,176293.49621999997,175119.87823199996,176124.28211399997,171612.00185799997,163994.85756999996,163801.69608399997,156036.07479099996,161319.845923,160502.99510399997,155867.90823399997,150805.73628499996,163061.68541799998,158977.223783,150841.47586600002,150554.60777800003]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCPIYOY-26MAY","ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26MAY","slug":"KXCPIYOY-26MAY","title":"Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":901024.82,"volume_24hr":231914.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.62660598754883,"normalized_volume":49.50189971923828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":535958.1,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 2.4%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":69.33,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:32.819362Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:32.819362Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcpiyoy/inflation-in-may-2026-cpi-yoy/kxcpiyoy-26may","chart_24h":[138011.43,137520.24,137477.56,138168.93,137619.99,142237.94,150315.18,152317.84,153033.77,155679.27000000002,169444.67,154949.94,155929.99,159770.7,161703.23,164141.22,167094.95,167533.32,170126.36000000002,179664.82,177811.53,177132.1,183612.82,185632.29,185974.11,197465.35,202105.96,219101.5,228350.5,198329.78,205869.16,202214.19999999998,210099.55,231259.97,236371.6,236589.93,236507.66,233249.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"455875","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T13:06:32.524519Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":844620.8101589977,"volume_24hr":111015.499216,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.50556945800781,"normalized_volume":40.89313507080078,"liquidity":185904.7057,"open_interest":287816.133608,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.765,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":78016.595458,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T13:04:48.315040Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","chart_24h":[31736.463758,29435.863758,30929.548619999998,32362.80862,28752.981698000003,30664.139588000002,29227.954776000002,35606.40039,36941.023842,47190.901633,48320.234968000004,51654.088167999995,54377.178168,59139.164836,60999.204836000004,64628.521504000004,66342.781504,72307.01150400001,74837.844834,79402.864834,80092.787912,84432.72457699999,90065.11089399998,94181.87089399999,99303.87089399999,102982.87089399999,104754.17859,107013.13397599998,109540.85397599998,111786.16167199997,110160.870564,112287.61921599998,111125.499216]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFED-26JUN","ticker":"KXFED-26JUN","slug":"KXFED-26JUN","title":"Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-06T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-24T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2200201.14,"volume_24hr":162343.22,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.404266357421875,"normalized_volume":56.15810775756836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1767991.84,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 2.75%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-140.27,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:19.770148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:19.770148Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfed/fed-funds-rate-after-jun-2026-meeting/kxfed-26jun","chart_24h":[45281.49,43361.55,43360.87,43260.87,43260.87,43172.87,67877.87000000001,68465.46,68354.17,67762.17,70676.81,166480.44,163300.8,163684.13999999998,166990.3,166933.81,169271.03,167538.93,158326.37,158324.37,165021.3,164890.55,161084.23,156155.28999999998,168780.36,157785.43,156760.76,156754.76,158746.43000000002,161939.17,162428.29,162381.5,162343.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"192082","ticker":"fed-decisions-mar-jun","slug":"fed-decisions-mar-jun","title":"Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T22:23:38.052802Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1698617.6371779998,"volume_24hr":91356.838048,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.69213104248047,"normalized_volume":45.187625885009766,"liquidity":95973.98984,"open_interest":276722.968894,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Pause–Pause–Pause","top_outcome_probability":0.9915,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.000500000000000056,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-25431.214614000004,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:41.442583Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:41.442583Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decisions-mar-jun","chart_24h":[84664.560666,84664.560666,84662.20916600002,85862.20916600002,84152.731421,84058.731421,84058.731421,83987.731421,83987.731421,83821.061421,67432.769178,48226.125896,29955.443244,40514.253243,44454.303243,43889.43685699999,44423.598857,54054.588856999995,53954.588856999995,43937.698857,43802.768857,64254.510431,67754.314181,67754.314181,67754.314181,67754.314181,91199.585381,90929.073716,96107.197048,96107.197048,96112.197048,96114.048048,96114.048048]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"287227","ticker":"ecb-interest-rates-june-2026","slug":"ecb-interest-rates-june-2026","title":"ECB Interest Rates: June 2026","description":"This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:\nhttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html\n\nThe level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:\nhttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.\n\nIf no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-19T23:33:53.809879Z","end_date":"2026-06-11T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":864157.0317279999,"volume_24hr":83140.584296,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.82626724243164,"normalized_volume":41.030296325683594,"liquidity":154961.70975,"open_interest":207873.836777,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"131","slug":"interest-rates","label":"interest rates"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101615","slug":"european-central-bank","label":"European Central Bank"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps Increase","top_outcome_probability":0.9945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009500000000000064,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10734.870276999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-june-2026","chart_24h":[52210.851467,53689.134792,52904.498692,55324.052164,57352.552164,47412.154798,46427.71699,46350.328224,46340.328224,46304.798224,47159.971415,55571.879852,55206.193919,55961.749473,56557.614192,55928.266008,65778.174411,67596.23773600001,67269.513647,67382.623647,66455.38364700001,66669.38364700001,67012.613647,67314.767492,66862.018492,66862.018492,66052.934312,66172.934312,65567.945884,58140.196343,67570.878189,82182.532296,83140.584296]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"477999","ticker":"may-inflation-us-annual","slug":"may-inflation-us-annual","title":"May Inflation US - Annual","description":"This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T19:50:56.071491Z","end_date":"2026-06-10T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":543812.47584,"volume_24hr":79228.699521,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.38623809814453,"normalized_volume":38.297027587890625,"liquidity":70999.03711,"open_interest":123118.53254799999,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"101701","slug":"cpi","label":"CPI"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.2%","top_outcome_probability":0.49,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":13902.635436,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:12.130409Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:12.130409Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T19:48:26.830640Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/may-inflation-us-annual","chart_24h":[35527.922444,36754.532444,38729.677444,38684.657444,38639.717444,37682.373196,41451.318196,44246.938195999996,45415.271129,45954.716683,45652.285990000004,44032.812443999996,42650.967952,43862.510571,41093.568403,40032.640959,39540.639713,48548.029482,49194.360342,44722.776286,44623.711423,48902.442392000004,51011.835834000005,60022.554766,60148.988132000006,60092.347701000006,61009.720462000005,56840.08960900001,58031.84259300001,60255.717430000004,64106.351441000006,65929.67992600001,77147.85942000001]},{"source":"myriad","id":"699","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-more-than-25-bps-before-july","title":"Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Observation Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the Observation Period has ended, or earlier if the FED has cut more than 25 bps.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if the FED cuts its interest rates by more than 25 bps during the Observation Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if the FED cuts its interest rates not at all, by less than 25 bps or by exactly 25 bps.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statements throughout the Observation Period.\n- Emergency rate lowering will also be counted towards resolution.\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Observation Period.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Observation Period.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmckmABAsp5S9S6pr91ZbrLzPKKCxrhWQYW4trrTh9bKAN","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/0b19eb42-af2b-40c6-172d-95b202876d00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:24:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28513.307261,"volume_24hr":407.874176,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.51709747314453,"normalized_volume":32.529876708984375,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0467311,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.0467311,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T20:45:38.174067Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T20:45:38.174067Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-more-than-25-bps-before-july","chart_24h":[0.0467311,0.0467311]},{"source":"gemini","id":"2316","ticker":"FED260617","slug":"fed-decision-in-june","title":"Fed decision in June?","description":"Fed decision in June?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/fed_Contract_Image_9953cc30-db8d-47f1-a861-52d37e330e11.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T21:06:37.565000Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":131263.0,"volume_24hr":3235.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.34619140625,"normalized_volume":76.77587890625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:56:30.992926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:56:30.992926Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260617/fed-decision-in-june","chart_24h":[10037.0,9918.0,9928.0,9938.0,9959.0,10629.0,12681.0,12595.0,3443.0,3235.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUL","ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUL","slug":"KXFEDDECISION-26JUL","title":"Fed decision in Jul 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T18:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":603554.67,"volume_24hr":67304.89,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.85342025756836,"normalized_volume":46.650909423828125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":456873.17,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7079.119999999995,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:57:35.585391Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:57:35.585391Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-jul-2026/kxfeddecision-26jul","chart_24h":[85343.85,68576.1,69934.84000000001,69937.0,69949.08,72491.82,73484.31,52065.68,39330.3,39458.39,41357.19,59484.4,60083.68,52100.630000000005,44839.45,44128.54,44508.57,50282.87,44390.87,45959.020000000004,70271.63,70321.70000000001,70476.86,70520.63,69935.5,70837.46,70886.59,70945.69,70588.59,68674.98,68643.98,67522.83,67207.03,67207.03,67287.65,67309.17,67304.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASD-26JUN10","ticker":"KXAAAGASD-26JUN10","slug":"KXAAAGASD-26JUN10","title":"US gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-09T13:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T03:59:00Z","volume":64573.6,"volume_24hr":64573.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.51232147216797,"normalized_volume":32.299659729003906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":47585.7,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.100","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2377.13,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:04:03.591757Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:04:03.591757Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T13:06:57.261272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasd/us-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasd-26jun10","chart_24h":[0.0,865.3000000000001,4322.46,4651.13,4878.83,5564.4,5611.33,6459.02,7390.26,8723.38,9566.78,10268.710000000001,12782.69,14619.81,16228.72,17915.14,19947.25,22163.37,26938.94,35526.3,37840.57,44469.87,57514.71,64573.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUEV-26JUN09","ticker":"KXTRUEV-26JUN09","slug":"KXTRUEV-26JUN09","title":"EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-09T00:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-09T23:59:00Z","volume":58158.87,"volume_24hr":58158.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.656517028808594,"normalized_volume":31.692304611206055,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":39986.84,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 1160.36","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:07:35.659313Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:07:35.659313Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T00:14:31.494991Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruev/ev-commodity-prices-on-jun-9-2026/kxtruev-26jun09","chart_24h":[27704.530000000002,27822.420000000002,27822.420000000002,28215.34,28316.81,32011.780000000002,32112.190000000002,32495.99,33261.05,38510.03,39212.14,39221.5,45701.44,48058.450000000004,49046.87,50443.19,50573.62,50599.62,51267.65,52156.97,52396.36,52728.68,52922.6,58158.87]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"287195","ticker":"bank-of-japan-decision-in-june","slug":"bank-of-japan-decision-in-june","title":"Bank of Japan Decision in June?","description":"The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boj-emergency-rate-cut-in-august-K4KcXEDWiliA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boj-emergency-rate-cut-in-august-K4KcXEDWiliA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-19T23:17:51.829904Z","end_date":"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":409767.27967000025,"volume_24hr":36394.57765399999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.54317855834961,"normalized_volume":36.67319107055664,"liquidity":106238.10382,"open_interest":105521.21431400001,"categories":["Economy","World"],"tags":[{"id":"101522","slug":"japan","label":"Japan"},{"id":"131","slug":"interest-rates","label":"interest rates"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.9835,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-194.7667879999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-june","chart_24h":[21148.632946,20187.482946,20523.602946,20662.197124,20052.66952,21795.536161,22364.812828,23633.319828,23633.319828,25287.574709,44011.883507,41993.478507,43143.764951,43097.344951,42935.129451,41367.103909,40479.548558999995,40479.548558999995,40377.785893,40377.785893,40156.665893,40136.676226999996,39523.163727,39314.79647,39507.921424,39507.921424,39528.939700999996,39391.26814,37466.73814,37637.507368,36824.507368,36579.937368,36394.57765399999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"434804","ticker":"ecb-interest-rates-july-2026","slug":"ecb-interest-rates-july-2026","title":"ECB Interest Rates: July 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T18:32:58.591683Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46716.6052,"volume_24hr":34356.935519,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.0557975769043,"normalized_volume":25.384418487548828,"liquidity":78084.82176,"open_interest":12027.358237,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101615","slug":"european-central-bank","label":"European Central Bank"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global 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The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T21:27:12.597919Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":209526.91485300008,"volume_24hr":21845.924281,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.31895065307617,"normalized_volume":32.96522521972656,"liquidity":387422.67572,"open_interest":64121.342091,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed 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Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-09T14:53:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25260.261634,"volume_24hr":236.990616,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.17745590209961,"normalized_volume":31.766151428222656,"liquidity":1500.005013,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.911051,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","top_outcome_probability":0.911051,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.00012228999999996937,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":97.159922,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:08:57.963862Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:08:57.963862Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4","chart_24h":[0.91117329,0.911051,0.911051,0.911051]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTRUFBPPI-26JUN09","ticker":"KXTRUFBPPI-26JUN09","slug":"KXTRUFBPPI-26JUN09","title":"Bitcoin purchasing power on Jun 9, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-09T00:11:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-09T23:59:00Z","volume":30851.19,"volume_24hr":30851.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.64443588256836,"normalized_volume":28.135276794433594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":23935.95,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 1015","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2323.27,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:07:35.844907Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:07:35.844907Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T00:14:31.494991Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrufbppi/bitcoin-purchasing-power-on-jun-9-2026/kxtrufbppi-26jun09","chart_24h":[5609.42,5611.46,5620.85,5622.9,5742.84,5968.54,6420.46,7000.74,7175.55,7402.08,15375.07,17480.68,21308.97,28148.0,28327.91,28529.4,28689.35,30851.19]},{"source":"limitless","id":"228163","ticker":null,"slug":"energy-sector-etf-xle-up-or-down-daily-1781035246306","title":"Energy Sector ETF (XLE) Up or Down - Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Close price for Energy Sector ETF (<a href=\"https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH:XLE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pyth XLE/USD</a>) on June 10, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Energy Sector ETF (<a href=\"https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH:XLE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pyth XLE/USD</a>) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".</p><p><br></p><p>The Close price for Energy Sector ETF (<a href=\"https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH:XLE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pyth XLE/USD</a>) captured on June 9, 2026, was $57.36452.</p><p><br></p><p>Resolution source: <a href=\"https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH:XLE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pyth XLE/USD</a> price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.</p><p><br></p><p>For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.</p><p><br></p><p>If Energy Sector ETF (XLE) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 10, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Down\".</p><p><br></p><p>For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the \"Close\" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.</p><p><br></p><p>If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.</p><p><br></p><p>If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which XLE is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.</p><p><br></p><p>In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting XLE during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/86/58f9b967-e61b-4bf4-8e3a-bf45a1d82dd4.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/86/58f9b967-e61b-4bf4-8e3a-bf45a1d82dd4.svg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T20:00:46.305000Z","end_date":"2026-06-10T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3215.416,"volume_24hr":3215.416,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.57094955444336,"normalized_volume":30.327848434448242,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business","Economy"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Energy Sector ETF (XLE) Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3215.416,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:00:21.922167Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:00:21.922167Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T20:10:02.170288Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/energy-sector-etf-xle-up-or-down-daily-1781035246306","chart_24h":[0.496,0.5215,0.5235,0.528,0.5295,0.528,0.529,0.528,0.5295,0.5295,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.528,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASW-26JUN15","ticker":"KXAAAGASW-26JUN15","slug":"KXAAAGASW-26JUN15","title":"US gas prices this week","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T13:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59316.56,"volume_24hr":29977.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.42429733276367,"normalized_volume":31.8062801361084,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":38046.19,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.960","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1323.39,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:22.447102Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:22.447102Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T13:34:24.160392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasw/us-gas-prices-this-week/kxaaagasw-26jun15","chart_24h":[29473.760000000002,29562.28,29657.4,29779.510000000002,30197.91,30298.45,30789.41,30729.85,31801.53,34289.07,35022.58,46851.62,47539.33,45890.26,46342.36,46516.869999999995,46445.26,46565.53,33136.14,33051.75,33208.36,33358.31,33623.35,33790.53,33330.38,33265.42,33013.3,33213.76,33334.15,33541.53,33793.93,33687.63,33412.840000000004,30958.559999999998,31181.15,30249.21,29996.65,29978.850000000002]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSGASCPI-26JUN10","ticker":"KXUSGASCPI-26JUN10","slug":"KXUSGASCPI-26JUN10","title":"US gasoline CPI for May","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":348628.75,"volume_24hr":28721.84,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.097782135009766,"normalized_volume":42.88316345214844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":280003.77,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 330ㅤ","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:19.339722Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:19.339722Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T17:02:54.082434Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusgascpi/us-gasoline-cpi-for-may/kxusgascpi-26jun10","chart_24h":[24999.84,25000.98,25023.34,25042.85,25233.879999999997,25233.879999999997,25713.879999999997,31378.1,32403.22,35521.33,35064.56,35535.92,36360.84,36838.94,35142.89,35186.909999999996,33193.74,36091.37,36815.76,37822.96,37827.04,37877.49,37931.9,22550.16,30519.48,30571.79,30806.0,29461.42,29484.37,28744.0,28758.75,28758.8,28738.68,28750.83,28719.260000000002,28721.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-28","ticker":"KXGDPYEAR-28","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-28","title":"US real GDP growth in 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T20:30:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26091.58,"volume_24hr":25406.58,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.169132232666016,"normalized_volume":27.230552673339844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7970.62,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2.6% to 3.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3995.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:56:16.661664Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:56:16.661664Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T20:41:48.585049Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2028/kxgdpyear-28","chart_24h":[8239.0,8239.0,9255.63,12720.43,12733.16,14733.16,16671.57,17091.58,18603.58,26076.58,25754.58,25501.58,25479.58,25475.58,25448.58,25406.58]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"101936","ticker":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","slug":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T21:11:18.479556Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1584427.786026998,"volume_24hr":15048.244777999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.36696243286133,"normalized_volume":44.75026321411133,"liquidity":190908.7401,"open_interest":448757.634949,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101250","slug":"macro-single","label":"Macro Single"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-16574.416293000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-in-2026","chart_24h":[30736.571497,30715.071071,30367.480607,29825.730405000002,27504.417675999997,27040.281594,26154.577685,26719.316814,26964.604126000002,25875.778041999998,26699.269108000004,27100.178200000002,27023.188199999997,26930.613419,26877.675593999997,15643.848640000002,15639.968640000005,15018.367732000006,17515.667732000005,16418.711216000003,18539.438487000007,15615.475445,15593.266356,14956.396792,13981.084937999998,15290.981507,14793.037603,14579.476733,15187.053568,15140.709224,15158.399223999999,15042.689223999998,15048.244777999997]},{"source":"myriad","id":"717","ticker":null,"slug":"which-bubble-bursts-first","title":"Which bubble bursts first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution.\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto.\n- The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first:\n  - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09\n  - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28\n  - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29\n  - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days.\n  - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy.\n  - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.\n- The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first:\n  - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85\n  - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00\n  - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅\n  - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53\n  - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅\n  - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy.\n  - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\n- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes.\n- To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used.\n- To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/).\n- To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications:\n  - 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n  - Trading View.\n  - \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- All-time high refers to the highest price ever reached for each specific asset.\n  - For crypto targets, the ATH is defined by the USDT chart linked to each asset.\n  - For stock market targets the ATH is defined by the Advanced Charting function by Nasdaq that is present on the linked resolution source for all assets.\n- If an asset’s all-time high changes during the Market Period, the downside price targets will be recalculated, adjusted, and updated in the market rules accordingly.\n- The market resolves when **three qualifying events occur within a 90-day rolling window** for either sector. The window will be monitored in UTC.\n- Events are tracked **separately for each sector** (Crypto and AI).\n- **Example:** If no AI events occur, and BTC hits its threshold on March 2, 2026, ETH on April 9, 2026, and BNB on May 28, 2026—all within 90 days—the market resolves to “Crypto”.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution sources become unavailable or experience significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. 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