{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Economy","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:15:48.829309Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"},"items":[{"source":"myriad","id":"741","ticker":null,"slug":"will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion","title":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close prior to the IPO of SpaceX, and will be adjusted to this once the date is officially announced.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined as soon as SpaceX’s stock has completed its first day of public trading.\n- **Market Target:** $1,300,000,000,000 (1.3 Trillion USD).\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if the closing market cap of SpaceX is above the Market Target at the end of its first day of public trading.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official data from Nasdaq.\n- In case SpaceX doesn’t begin trading on Nasdaq, the resolution source will be adapted to the stock exchange it begins trading on instead.\n- Only the market capitalization of SpaceX at the stock market close of its first day of trading is of subject to this market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official SpaceX communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on SpaceX’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- SpaceX doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWBBk7WaB42n1VSaCKN62pk65hksovDFACn9QAQSHwNE4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d74b4511-fb18-442b-8d3a-77f1a854d400/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-13T17:19:27Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","volume":33300.602079,"volume_24hr":8346.738303,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":36.32342529296875,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-13T16:25:16.806307Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"606422","ticker":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","slug":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","title":"Fed Decision in October?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T23:34:28.470106Z","end_date":"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61314489.959938005,"volume_24hr":3737075.012195,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":95.42649841308594,"normalized_volume":73.02600860595703,"liquidity":6662341.96123,"open_interest":9540427.088821,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"106367","slug":"us-cpi","label":"US CPI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.935,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":34097.79241099977,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:31.309433Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:31.309433Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T01:10:00.403648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","chart_24h":[3226280.503739,3255761.933575,3095753.086312,3077449.9162279996,3085696.937504,3173688.486815,3003596.3601280004,4019975.8936850005,4037016.443475,4217658.3811449995,4163539.946231,4021393.5331609994,3802516.4533609995,3667515.653527,3865689.614923,3915311.963056,3879915.5647750003,3662865.741632,3716946.404191,3661482.157928,3676690.752888,3676834.269487,3696141.3035110002,3696656.186787,3723482.712933,3892426.1541680004,3904533.1057070005,3910089.09514,3913060.110676,3917220.5588829997]},{"source":"myriad","id":"120473","ticker":null,"slug":"crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","title":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** 120.000\n- **Dump Target**: 55.000\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$120”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The market resolves based on the one-minute (1m) price updates on the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) chart on the Trading Economics website.\n- Only the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) on Trading Economics will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The [Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update for seven days straight.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmYWuwsHv8ZRYthkFc5SF7DZNTfqv8pvG1mJRKW2uzFP2M","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e11bc0f6-a97f-4e7b-981e-2340057bb700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T15:04:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13825138.58664634,"volume_24hr":3372.72143912,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":80.94021606445312,"normalized_volume":90.55536651611328,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.68430415,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","top_outcome_probability":0.68430415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04645882000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2145.2360223,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:14:00.484649Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:14:00.484649Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","chart_24h":[0.63784533,0.6378451,0.63768,0.63799398,0.65009471,0.65029026,0.66231918,0.67371743,0.67371743,0.67371743,0.67326988,0.68432226,0.68432226,0.68432279,0.68429766,0.68609755,0.68430415]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hII6EUzNlU","ticker":"hII6EUzNlU","slug":"fed-decision-in-october","title":"Fed decision in October?","description":"This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.\n\nThe outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.\n\nIf the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).\n\nResolution Sources:\n\nThe official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe Federal Reserve’s published target rate level and changes:\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the March FOMC statement is released.\n\nIf no statement is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the market resolves “No change.”","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T15:16:32.674000Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":98567.51582883512,"volume_24hr":9346.35450963136,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":75.7988510131836,"normalized_volume":48.6304931640625,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["inflation","federal-reserve","economics-default","central-banks","interest-rates"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.927534,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.002665999999999946,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:30:27.969709Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:30:27.969709Z","added_at":"2026-10-24T02:28:02.123196Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/fed-decision-in-october","chart_24h":[9402.427333791253,9297.35450963136,9296.35450963136,9346.35450963136]},{"source":"myriad","id":"22438","ticker":null,"slug":"will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion-76c0b6d2-3421-43fe-bbd1-9cbfde308933","title":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close prior to the IPO of SpaceX, and will be adjusted to this once the date is officially announced.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined as soon as SpaceX’s stock has completed its first day of public trading.\n- **Market Target:** $1,300,000,000,000 (1.3 Trillion USD).\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if the closing market cap of SpaceX is above the Market Target at the end of its first day of public trading.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official data from Nasdaq.\n- In case SpaceX doesn’t begin trading on Nasdaq, the resolution source will be adapted to the stock exchange it begins trading on instead.\n- Only the market capitalization of SpaceX at the stock market close of its first day of trading is of subject to this market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official SpaceX communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on SpaceX’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- SpaceX doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWBBk7WaB42n1VSaCKN62pk65hksovDFACn9QAQSHwNE4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d74b4511-fb18-442b-8d3a-77f1a854d400/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-13T18:28:31Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","volume":12151.08157962,"volume_24hr":2244.41163706,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.03076934814453,"normalized_volume":29.630990982055664,"liquidity":1000.00008103,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will SpaceX’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $1.3 Trillion?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T22:05:18.279540Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T22:05:18.279540Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-spacex-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-1-3-trillion-76c0b6d2-3421-43fe-bbd1-9cbfde308933","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"255554","ticker":"FED261030","slug":"fed-decision-in-october","title":"Fed decision in October?","description":"Fed decision in October?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/fed_Contract_Image_33bd1879-aa29-454f-81a0-363174001f46.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T23:18:53.836000Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":160234.31,"volume_24hr":7577.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.6683120727539,"normalized_volume":79.36883544921875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:12:54.054047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:12:54.054047Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T23:40:46.465165Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED261030/fed-decision-in-october","chart_24h":[1307.21,1361.55,1334.84,7577.2,7577.5]},{"source":"predict","id":"139731","ticker":"139731","slug":"fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","title":"Fed Decision in October?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/market-images/c78bdcda-f371-4931-8869-4991d4436a7b.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T23:34:28.470000Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2568813.0,"volume_24hr":89928.40999999992,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.44017028808594,"normalized_volume":72.15821838378906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.931,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010499999999999954,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-19876.480000000098,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:44.883285Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:40:14.478442Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:29:16.290108Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","chart_24h":[143679.14000000013,172376.52000000008,174314.36,167843.26999999996,190054.56000000006,202992.66999999998,204099.57999999996,207694.63000000006,228302.65999999992,203003.55999999994,200693.29999999993,200686.43,190020.41999999995,189823.22999999984,189813.6899999999,189858.92999999982,121645.5799999999,120962.32999999984,89928.40999999992]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDDECISION-26OCT","ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-26OCT","slug":"KXFEDDECISION-26OCT","title":"Fed decision in Oct 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T18:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15009596.93,"volume_24hr":623296.9299999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.45560836791992,"normalized_volume":73.13834381103516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7536672.6,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-37925.07000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:46.655664Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:46.655664Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-oct-2026/kxfeddecision-26oct","chart_24h":[662971.2899999999,663061.51,671777.0499999999,672362.5,672744.29,586872.25,583574.86,901888.61,873305.99,903511.47,914697.9099999999,827545.82,773982.1,782830.38,691343.52,669446.1799999999,677595.82,680373.01,662778.54,624347.74,620214.53,610697.14,609572.61,609549.69,610481.03,611249.01,609713.02,609939.05,609407.0,607762.36,606437.75,609876.62,617828.48,619014.49,618009.53,623128.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASD-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASD-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASD-26OCT24","title":"US gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":576410.24,"volume_24hr":576410.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.76070022583008,"normalized_volume":47.129302978515625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":161915.68,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.2550","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":835.0799999999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:28.770294Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:28.770294Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasd/us-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasd-26oct24","chart_24h":[39327.44,84471.33,162594.75,224340.51,236460.47,244580.64,260071.57,265535.08999999997,278953.45,296050.48,319127.07,334465.98,352879.0,369097.42,388165.57,408512.99,424957.0,437904.04,448633.58999999997,459796.52,462665.89,483239.38,511171.68,543353.15,576410.24]},{"source":"manifold","id":"sgUZP8EzSq","ticker":null,"slug":"bitcoin-87500-in-october-2026","title":"Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during October 2026 (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than $87,500.00 Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T21:09:59.842000Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48887.77890028965,"volume_24hr":2471.9428288799604,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.35456466674805,"normalized_volume":42.880157470703125,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.055131,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.055131,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.122765,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3078.99569823142,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T20:11:27.816978Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/bitcoin-87500-in-october-2026","chart_24h":[0.177896,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.135259,0.135259,0.135259,0.135259,0.135259,0.144103,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.135075,0.135075,0.135075,0.135075,0.104394,0.104394,0.104394,0.104394,0.105259,0.105259,0.105259,0.070181,0.070181,0.055131]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASW-26OCT26","ticker":"KXAAAGASW-26OCT26","slug":"KXAAAGASW-26OCT26","title":"US gas prices this week","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T13:40:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1819446.1800000002,"volume_24hr":288792.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.7971305847168,"normalized_volume":55.651371002197266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":388538.07,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.1000","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":61.720000000000006,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:52.336674Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:52.336674Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T13:48:12.208300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasw/us-gas-prices-this-week/kxaaagasw-26oct26","chart_24h":[209968.23,233025.61000000002,234736.01,235997.69,237662.2,246952.76,255756.48,261248.84,251034.45,248089.03999999998,258145.66,261786.3,259956.54,258818.72,257385.03,266106.95,283425.27,294093.46,295344.63,296255.8,287622.29,289399.25,291091.89,298310.58,297326.06,300494.72000000003,282951.49,273334.73,272910.58999999997,276661.58999999997,272425.1,271395.67,269409.11,286496.63,287107.27,287822.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"301111","ticker":"FED261211","slug":"fed-decision-in-december","title":"Fed decision in December?","description":"Fed decision in December?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/fed_Contract_Image_0473d1d2-593c-4acf-b619-cc645a4347fb.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:34:37.931000Z","end_date":"2026-12-11T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5502.54,"volume_24hr":3121.33,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.46699142456055,"normalized_volume":40.9959716796875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hike 25bps","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:23:34.369813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:23:34.369813Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T17:06:30.570614Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED261211/fed-decision-in-december","chart_24h":[0.0,3121.33]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"743553","ticker":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","slug":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","title":"Bank of Russia decision in October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-24T16:01:34.964086Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T12:31:41Z","volume":480187.415723,"volume_24hr":67026.07727400001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.13955307006836,"normalized_volume":38.8675537109375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":158538.711362,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"102973","slug":"macro","label":"macro"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Change","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-168.28112300000066,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:42.779773Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:42.779773Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:31.007802Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","chart_24h":[130756.57745600001,130202.57843200001,136266.082545,130601.60422299999,149891.375287,151332.518573,155937.4824,155782.688527,152655.265014,150417.824465,149227.38455,148185.37815099998,143896.302876,126223.762905,122452.79587300001,118625.656309,110025.58321499999,98284.110062,97977.00129799999,97552.49673,97264.242147,91662.52035499999,91531.530355,90834.583688,90833.36417500001,90829.50466400001,90726.064664,85607.113157,82580.443249,80147.559883]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"770450","ticker":"fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","slug":"fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","title":"Fed Decision in December?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-decision-in-september-762-c4RyWuxRPo1L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T00:43:48.912145Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4505715.083965,"volume_24hr":61479.969546,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.34772872924805,"normalized_volume":53.310096740722656,"liquidity":734998.75332,"open_interest":600712.715172,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.74,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-66856.88670100002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:53:13.642916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:53:13.642916Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T01:04:53.900533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","chart_24h":[168084.019464,167178.959718,160624.773218,160318.86483,174660.34537300002,175004.401565,164333.377151,164542.515771,163706.545771,170499.89947,116759.88125199999,101264.85197999999,104196.651486,73505.56012,69691.863682,57651.034218,56981.683733000005,55375.103732999996,54893.270876,56950.500876,55950.500876,56409.230876,49908.050422,49765.193279,51873.441106,52417.929201,62841.234329,62940.594329,62209.116068,61579.969546]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956932","ticker":"how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","slug":"how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","title":"How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:07Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":220336.939461,"volume_24hr":56516.172524,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.58189010620117,"normalized_volume":34.37633514404297,"liquidity":83841.80791,"open_interest":53658.515094,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 4.70%","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.25,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11555.058583000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","chart_24h":[32299.736442,37597.540652,37819.110652,47406.236141,49176.52771,52801.230949000004,56129.960164000004,56732.027113000004,59548.873875,59068.636665000005,59129.325052,59486.743516,59410.193516,56267.927446,55926.305196,58405.744885,55858.733068,57314.902564,57258.5173,57258.5173,57258.5173,55039.327300000004,50309.431883000005,49849.117068,49472.540713,49415.530713,51139.692544,50326.294036,56381.992524,56486.172524]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"51456","ticker":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:24:45.988997Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54744284.909398995,"volume_24hr":52506.722714,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.40312194824219,"normalized_volume":72.10579681396484,"liquidity":3986042.47415,"open_interest":1931109.7259969998,"categories":["Business","Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"103151","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0 (0 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.9625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8565.624663,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[26920.409811999998,25954.412218,25617.531119,22991.904626,23237.487626,23103.195126000002,21750.442126,21415.252044,16926.115044,17364.205044000002,17229.032417,15102.427604,20413.329604000002,19650.314495000002,44245.370995,44468.396161,44639.996836,49494.379836,49625.214836,57355.816313999996,55691.496314,55761.935313999995,55751.228149,55769.541649000006,55838.017439,55984.082747,55534.848777,55467.078505,55409.626505,55434.022427]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1114519","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-october-2026","slug":"largest-company-end-of-october-2026","title":"Largest Company end of October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:14:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":805473.242095,"volume_24hr":53492.803649,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.084903717041016,"normalized_volume":42.00192642211914,"liquidity":368002.7826,"open_interest":147037.873862,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.62,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.1825,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9679.130053,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:24.963555Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:24.963555Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:34:41.942523Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","chart_24h":[63920.279631,64005.793372,62212.343456999995,62366.950948,62452.203577,67378.380592,69060.502682,69500.357944,71035.59418799999,72611.09449399999,69855.026231,66122.070962,53608.67174399999,53844.790827000004,58097.610246,52629.132719,53288.79599399999,55888.698016,55699.802062,55304.521931,55508.773296,55348.700005000006,55514.643944,57095.13159599999,59466.726607,59447.183417,60630.80817300001,61389.016114000005,59963.541984,49798.358311]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79041","ticker":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","slug":"largest-company-end-of-december-2026","title":"Largest Company end of December 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:16:56.414786Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8904035.781928001,"volume_24hr":51022.729875,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.66730499267578,"normalized_volume":58.1557502746582,"liquidity":1201531.33412,"open_interest":556629.9489659999,"categories":["Economy","Business","Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-14515.645440999997,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[77447.456039,75255.271188,74998.08001500001,73696.368682,73837.43253,75260.56690399999,75201.819021,75404.599802,85390.421222,91884.048268,89907.278305,87796.51495499999,87646.897136,79981.541723,72258.724743,69222.582921,69239.493772,65530.697611,66198.735611,66222.083415,65405.236743,66092.19944,70879.82677100001,70485.78082,68838.151775,69828.315575,56009.679634,55966.009736,52089.913613000004,51926.723613]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1034268","ticker":"another-fed-rate-hike-in-2026","slug":"another-fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Another Fed rate hike in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T18:24:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1037999.2775729999,"volume_24hr":42628.473491,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.05923080444336,"normalized_volume":43.58317565917969,"liquidity":240169.1682,"open_interest":482100.145473,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"105614","slug":"cpi-release","label":"CPI Release"},{"id":"101250","slug":"macro-single","label":"Macro Single"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.735,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-57131.866109,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:46.786107Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:46.786107Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T18:45:45.941315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-fed-rate-hike-in-2026","chart_24h":[99964.614786,99906.61478599999,99890.404786,100882.244786,101343.044786,101866.034786,101849.50392300001,105193.041196,105193.04119600002,107387.71520500001,107680.318249,53175.091037000006,52562.25559,48597.444551,19656.681859,19511.351859,18978.791859,18932.298352,16192.297582,18684.517582,16717.691421,15733.340042000002,15203.472709,13983.195603,37935.656046,39218.656046,40076.375163,40075.076463,39945.076463,42595.473491]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDWI-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDWI-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDWI-26OCT24","title":"Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":129838.40000000001,"volume_24hr":129838.40000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.296932220458984,"normalized_volume":37.13267517089844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":120722.82,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.2950","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2694.01,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:37.668409Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:37.668409Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdwi/wisconsin-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdwi-26oct24","chart_24h":[0.0,37487.590000000004,49945.61,55519.96,74390.12,80856.14,80859.14,85512.02,106139.17,109764.18000000001,109775.69,112921.64,113089.06,113216.48,113715.16,115323.84,116392.18000000001,116512.77,117408.79000000001,119895.37,125088.2,129838.40000000001]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASM-26OCT31","ticker":"KXAAAGASM-26OCT31","slug":"KXAAAGASM-26OCT31","title":"Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":877436.84,"volume_24hr":118883.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.60635757446289,"normalized_volume":50.16244125366211,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":277596.88,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 2.50","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.03,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:42.078803Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:42.078803Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T14:05:30.286276Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasm/gas-prices-in-the-us-in-oct-2026/kxaaagasm-26oct31","chart_24h":[69586.5,69609.26000000001,69392.57,69462.32,59726.18,59180.97,59107.43,58508.33,51826.82,58182.69,59510.979999999996,54557.44,54435.72,54372.29,54488.39000000001,64679.08,65970.98,60931.68,66087.27,69455.45,68466.8,68396.86,68121.7,67842.33,67822.48,58326.32,58760.88,58857.06,58882.27,58892.03,61396.56,61256.75,107763.31,116955.45,118438.92]},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107064415.0025,"volume_24hr":23023.539,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.30461502075195,"normalized_volume":81.10334777832031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 (150 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.906,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T11:12:18.025823Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T11:12:18.025823Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[27007.539,48917.539,34974.539,23023.539]},{"source":"manifold","id":"AqZzEnIysE","ticker":null,"slug":"bitcoin-120k-in-2026","title":"Bitcoin $120K in 2026?","description":"This market resolves to “Yes” if the BTC/USD spot price reaches or exceeds $120,000 at any time between January 1, 2026, 00:00 PT and December 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, based on Coinbase spot pricing.\n\nPrimary source (API):\n\nhttps://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot\n\nhttps://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic?period=year\n\nOtherwise, the market resolves to “No.”","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T05:21:15.140000Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43045.14372147329,"volume_24hr":1152.2566215910433,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.07339859008789,"normalized_volume":41.87519836425781,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.06,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bitcoin $120K in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.009001000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1148.0572530257582,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","added_at":"2026-05-24T13:41:50.409306Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-120k-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.069001,0.050414,0.050414,0.050414,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDIL-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDIL-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDIL-26OCT24","title":"Illinois gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":104434.97,"volume_24hr":104434.97,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.600528717041016,"normalized_volume":35.77206802368164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":90347.97,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.7700","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1011.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:31.498622Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:31.498622Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdil/illinois-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdil-26oct24","chart_24h":[1894.0,2894.0,2917.0,8333.0,8408.0,18928.0,18928.0,55151.66,56085.66,56123.66,76519.66,79410.97,81507.48,81712.24,82967.23,83168.23,83447.75,96664.75,96683.34,96892.8,98870.8,101358.42,101360.42,104434.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDMI-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDMI-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDMI-26OCT24","title":"Michigan gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":102055.06,"volume_24hr":102055.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.42277526855469,"normalized_volume":35.62949752807617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":97661.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.7250","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":695.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:32.873795Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:32.873795Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdmi/michigan-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdmi-26oct24","chart_24h":[0.0,1801.0,2554.01,5850.01,5850.01,55604.29,59378.23,60908.23,83634.83,83657.92,83658.92,87721.93,91462.93,91506.66,95606.66,95606.66,98703.38,101213.97,102055.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDOH-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDOH-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDOH-26OCT24","title":"Ohio gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":93442.61,"volume_24hr":93442.61,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.7462043762207,"normalized_volume":35.08685302734375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":76005.6,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.3350","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1695.01,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:35.098311Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:35.098311Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdoh/ohio-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdoh-26oct24","chart_24h":[0.0,1435.0,10662.05,10771.05,51022.14,54086.24,56039.38,56039.38,71472.48,72959.33,73687.43,76604.25,76645.25,76700.25,81240.71,81251.68,84463.61,84531.67,84724.23,86044.32,90594.1,90607.04,92120.13,93442.61]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79104","ticker":"how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","slug":"how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","title":"How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:49:21.041000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1095274.0392759999,"volume_24hr":25406.853611000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.82293701171875,"normalized_volume":43.92171859741211,"liquidity":56838.35655,"open_interest":126666.81517699998,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"106207","slug":"us-inflation-august","label":"US Inflation August"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"},{"id":"106367","slug":"us-cpi","label":"US CPI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.3%","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":249.08545500000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","chart_24h":[35289.21183199999,36689.472524,37541.30614,34160.091907,34090.091907,34152.210089,31801.510089,32030.565483,32264.291726,31745.531725999997,31342.691726,30787.328059,30796.108059,21727.419929,18670.367216,17942.112836,16844.174059999998,14431.35406,14411.35406,34620.634060000004,31168.444059999998,30902.86406,30589.37406,28474.2637,28583.062589,28583.062588999997,28583.062588999997,28603.062589,26112.36719,26085.28719]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDCO-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDCO-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDCO-26OCT24","title":"Colorado gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":81414.22,"volume_24hr":81414.22,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.699161529541016,"normalized_volume":34.247066497802734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":59074.9,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.2400","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:30.079637Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:30.079637Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdco/colorado-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdco-26oct24","chart_24h":[12.0,2410.6200000000003,3434.1800000000003,3938.0800000000004,4213.08,20115.61,28334.79,30232.79,37343.79,37909.79,38715.770000000004,47311.64,54771.3,59212.8,62386.8,63769.8,64798.64,65355.64,65358.64,65369.04,66428.59,68004.37,79931.02,81414.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956930","ticker":"how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","slug":"how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:40Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":182460.05147200002,"volume_24hr":24483.921844,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.291038513183594,"normalized_volume":33.33031463623047,"liquidity":50265.11853,"open_interest":42316.345708,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 5.25%","top_outcome_probability":0.655,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":208.947928,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","chart_24h":[30308.148444,30308.148444,30431.708444,32817.310208,31904.866895,34923.996359,32094.077159,32652.492359,31744.374825,28299.421967,26518.574163,26588.20958,26588.20958,20021.977763,26531.447127,26263.043793,26297.043793,25523.21198,31106.720914999998,32394.862027,32394.862027,26633.532025,28475.539406,28578.763851,28630.793851,28618.793851,28883.513851,27423.325368,27423.325367999998,24917.610941]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"955999","ticker":"fed-decisions-sepdec","slug":"fed-decisions-sepdec","title":"Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate cut will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arch-fed-decisions-in-2025-Vowt-IlTgfPc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:24:24Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":445090.767636,"volume_24hr":22989.789439,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.76569747924805,"normalized_volume":38.41786575317383,"liquidity":247681.77876,"open_interest":97439.744129,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"105614","slug":"cpi-release","label":"CPI Release"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hike–Pause–Hike","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5306.584102999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:18.632528Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:18.632528Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.797536Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decisions-sepdec","chart_24h":[31946.757623,31896.757623,31896.757622999998,31963.417622999998,31888.938533,31946.406062,31924.015933,31218.366815999998,31396.176816,41153.022511,39201.149808,39843.090963,39843.090963,36357.251555,33574.4054,33670.4354,33470.400958,33470.400958,33338.400958,33260.400958,31406.740159999998,30978.740159999998,30070.659633999996,30039.129634,30937.811453,31639.220546,23102.28509,18395.70509,18139.60509,22979.789439]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDMD-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDMD-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDMD-26OCT24","title":"Maryland gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":66108.81,"volume_24hr":66108.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.14087677001953,"normalized_volume":32.99723815917969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":56868.26,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.9450","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2046.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:32.560556Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:32.560556Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdmd/maryland-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdmd-26oct24","chart_24h":[75.0,357.0,377.0,6894.0,8194.0,9194.0,26367.02,32344.02,33370.840000000004,34350.840000000004,36852.85,36873.81,37894.81,44762.69,48811.67,53049.67,55052.31,56451.83,57359.58,61528.69,63547.17,63703.4,66108.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTXERCOTPEAK-27JAN01","ticker":"KXTXERCOTPEAK-27JAN01","slug":"KXTXERCOTPEAK-27JAN01","title":"How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":875068.1799999999,"volume_24hr":59208.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.327735900878906,"normalized_volume":50.14262771606445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":140167.45,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 91,500 MW","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2570.1899999999987,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:36.625304Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:36.625304Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T03:02:21.445389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtxercotpeak/how-high-will-peak-electricity-demand-on-the-texas-ercot-grid-get-in-2026/kxtxercotpeak-27jan01","chart_24h":[122656.25,122867.13,123080.8,37403.81,46928.37,18583.63,18500.47,11497.470000000001,36814.450000000004,36814.450000000004,57593.62,57406.1,56831.1,56164.44,59132.44,59130.44,59208.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDIN-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDIN-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDIN-26OCT24","title":"Indiana gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":54996.89,"volume_24hr":54996.89,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.787960052490234,"normalized_volume":31.91212272644043,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":46469.39,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.9400","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1700.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:31.683597Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:31.683597Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdin/indiana-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdin-26oct24","chart_24h":[800.0,7294.0,7711.0,18000.02,27377.65,27468.65,29768.65,31366.65,31771.65,46668.15,47668.15,48590.65,49591.65,50591.65,52301.65,54504.65,54504.66,54996.89,54996.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","ticker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","slug":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","title":"Number of rate cuts in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11020880.59,"volume_24hr":54869.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.77098846435547,"normalized_volume":70.42945098876953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6591643.64,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Exactly 0 cuts","top_outcome_probability":0.935,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0029999999999998916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":18280.5,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:15.067341Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:15.067341Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratecutcount/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026/kxratecutcount-26dec31","chart_24h":[184264.24,184702.09,184890.51,184987.61,185041.07,184968.68,185181.21,185940.93,186435.66,164569.69999999998,165506.8,165695.12,162616.99,162815.4,163269.55,167513.41999999998,174738.96,175238.25999999998,175610.25,183556.53,185719.5,188682.24,189353.44999999998,189532.02,189457.82,189622.1,190158.18,186923.16,187669.99,194959.48,195427.9,196111.95,60934.43,57367.020000000004,57655.009999999995,55225.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDMS-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDMS-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDMS-26OCT24","title":"Mississippi gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":54580.73,"volume_24hr":54580.73,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.732601165771484,"normalized_volume":31.86772346496582,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":47845.8,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.8200","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1694.01,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.378782Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.378782Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdms/mississippi-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdms-26oct24","chart_24h":[60.0,20209.06,21209.06,24179.120000000003,25850.210000000003,26111.210000000003,27224.210000000003,28224.210000000003,32553.210000000003,33621.97,47990.53,48775.340000000004,48968.990000000005,50878.0,51285.380000000005,51296.66,52900.450000000004,53035.83,53076.270000000004,54580.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASEOYNJ-26DEC31","ticker":"KXAAAGASEOYNJ-26DEC31","slug":"KXAAAGASEOYNJ-26DEC31","title":"New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":334057.57,"volume_24hr":53022.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.52180099487305,"normalized_volume":43.3326301574707,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6413.95,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.7000","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2022.04,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:17.354623Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:17.354623Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.061515Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagaseoynj/new-jersey-gas-price-at-year-end-2026/kxaaagaseoynj-26dec31","chart_24h":[30334.3,30334.3,30307.48,33320.72,36737.68,37831.68,37794.68,37135.08,37004.22,37732.92,36818.89,39011.36,37703.5,39116.02,41216.0,42363.04,43143.299999999996,42989.47,44053.47,44604.67,44868.83,47008.25,49382.25,49521.25,49572.25,49606.25,51194.25,51346.25,49487.409999999996,49210.409999999996,50645.13]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QpnZhLQU6u","ticker":"QpnZhLQU6u","slug":"bitcoin-price-in-2026","title":"Bitcoin price in 2026?","description":"The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds/below listed price in USD at any point in 2026, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year. If Bitcoin does not hit listed price during 2026, the market resolves “No.”\n\nPrimary source (API) Example:\n\nhttps://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\n\nRequired URL parameters:\n\nstart — ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g., 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)\n\nend — ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g., 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)\n\ngranularity — seconds per candle (e.g., 60 for 1-minute bars)\n\nResponse:\n\n[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]\n\ncurl -X GET \"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\"\n\nResolution Date & Time: December 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses listed price at any time during the month.\n\nUpdate 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Data Source Specification: The creator will use the Coinbase API (https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic) as the authoritative data source for determining exact Bitcoin prices, rather than relying on visual charts or rounded displays on Coinbase's website interface.\n\nUpdate 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): API Data Takes Precedence Over All Other Sources: The creator will strictly rely on the Coinbase API for price resolutions, even when other data sources (including Coinbase's own website interface, advanced trader charts, or TradingView) show different values. In cases where the API shows a rounded price (e.g., 60000.005 rounds to 60000.01), the market will resolve based on the API's reported value, not the exact threshold price.\n\nUpdate 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Specific API Endpoint for 1-Minute Candle Data: The creator will use the Coinbase Exchange API endpoint https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles with granularity=60 (1-minute candles) to determine the exact high/low prices for resolution, rather than other Coinbase API endpoints or data sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T07:43:23.476000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94651.64969881628,"volume_24hr":734.2208586897176,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.50116729736328,"normalized_volume":48.288204193115234,"liquidity":8500.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Economy"],"tags":["bitcoin","crypto-speculation","prices","bitcoin-maxi"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$60K","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:58.902771Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:58.902771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-price-in-2026","chart_24h":[339.3506089327308,324.32750393333237,18.523400448606772,734.2208586897176]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXTGAW-26OCT26","ticker":"KXTGAW-26OCT26","slug":"KXTGAW-26OCT26","title":"US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T21:40:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T20:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":83357.23,"volume_24hr":51932.83,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.371131896972656,"normalized_volume":34.39008331298828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6167.15,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $875 billion","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":539.19,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:56:26.814965Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:56:26.814965Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T21:52:34.316666Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw/us-treasury-cash-balance-on-october-23-2026/kxtgaw-26oct26","chart_24h":[30975.4,31172.05,31188.05,31198.85,30405.420000000002,37326.12,37330.71,37368.71,40781.11,40937.11,40925.87,50917.88,52536.28,47329.41,40583.72,33343.09,33797.2,33036.27,36513.35,40637.89,43660.14,49335.24,51899.950000000004,51933.560000000005,51935.58,51917.58,51899.76,51899.76,51918.91,51930.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT24","title":"California gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":50075.33,"volume_24hr":50075.33,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.10743713378906,"normalized_volume":31.366308212280273,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":42047.13,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 6.0200","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1566.75,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:29.886690Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:29.886690Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdca/california-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdca-26oct24","chart_24h":[111.03,136.03,247.06,1835.09,3898.5899999999997,5071.59,6969.55,7022.55,11870.51,15746.86,19634.59,21844.59,24269.1,24504.09,46469.0,46472.5,48810.49,49126.84,49173.63,49849.67,49967.659999999996,50027.42,50075.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELD-26OCT24","ticker":"KXDIESELD-26OCT24","slug":"KXDIESELD-26OCT24","title":"Diesel prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T07:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":49282.38,"volume_24hr":49282.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.99215316772461,"normalized_volume":31.27384376525879,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":32121.83,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $6.325","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5221.74,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:38.441143Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:38.441143Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:02.767472Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieseld/diesel-prices-tomorrow/kxdieseld-26oct24","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,2500.0,4510.0,4532.0,6351.0,8161.65,8612.4,10042.95,11064.880000000001,11510.08,12510.08,12724.93,12810.32,15813.43,18901.07,18982.27,19102.01,20153.01,20165.7,20250.86,23513.32,23555.21,23679.96,49282.38]},{"source":"myriad","id":"23912","ticker":null,"slug":"will-discord-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-20-billion-2d759207-9227-4b58-930e-7ffec8dd9049","title":"Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close prior to the IPO of Discord, and will be adjusted to this once the date is officially announced.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined as soon as Discord’s stock has completed its first day of public trading.\n- **Market Target:** $20,000,000,000 (20 Billion USD).\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if the closing market cap of Discord is above the Market Target at the end of its first day of public trading.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official data from Nasdaq.\n- In case Discord doesn’t begin trading on Nasdaq, the resolution source will be adapted to the stock exchange it begins trading on instead.\n- Only the market capitalization of Discord at the stock market close of its first day of trading is of subject to this market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official Discord communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on Discord’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Discord doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmcwKUHGaBaF66tyvgobt1MnhsGhWbJQgKrKi6jLiYuiet","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/027475e0-b783-41d7-ea7f-37dfb87e9800/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-14T14:55:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14363.73077638,"volume_24hr":279.90411796,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.98532485961914,"normalized_volume":30.69435691833496,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.359016,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?","top_outcome_probability":0.359016,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T15:28:04.000818Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T15:28:04.000818Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-discord-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-20-billion-2d759207-9227-4b58-930e-7ffec8dd9049","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDDE-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDDE-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDDE-26OCT24","title":"Delaware gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":47086.03,"volume_24hr":47086.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.663822174072266,"normalized_volume":31.0105037689209,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":37891.36,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.8900","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1969.01,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:30.494677Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:30.494677Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdde/delaware-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdde-26oct24","chart_24h":[175.0,1021.98,1021.98,3966.98,4391.9800000000005,6491.990000000001,12355.99,21735.0,26329.02,28931.65,31269.65,34400.67,35643.56,37685.86,39423.86,41534.87,42821.87,44105.87,44127.94,44422.770000000004,44648.81,45191.02,45202.03,47086.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDND-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDND-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDND-26OCT24","title":"North Dakota gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":46550.21000000001,"volume_24hr":46550.21000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.58161544799805,"normalized_volume":30.944570541381836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":42530.020000000004,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.0850","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1200.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.865685Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.865685Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdnd/north-dakota-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdnd-26oct24","chart_24h":[50.0,34600.3,35600.3,36615.05,36839.69,38490.72,39490.72,41690.72,44313.73,44317.72,45317.72,45391.0,45806.0,45806.0,45850.51,45910.51,45910.520000000004,46160.65,46160.65,46230.21000000001,46550.21000000001]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCREDITC-27JAN05","ticker":"KXCREDITC-27JAN05","slug":"KXCREDITC-27JAN05","title":"SOFR at end of Q4 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-25T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T12:55:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65926.55,"volume_24hr":46077.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.508304595947266,"normalized_volume":32.9808235168457,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8599.77,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.00%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:30.676037Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:30.676037Z","added_at":"2026-06-25T21:10:43.032591Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcreditc/sofr-at-end-of-q4-2026/kxcreditc-27jan05","chart_24h":[3547.26,6369.26,6369.26,8797.26,12060.68,13729.48,16300.48,16840.48,17674.23,23026.42,23126.42,26993.6,32875.8,44121.020000000004,46045.04,46077.04]},{"source":"myriad","id":"143344","ticker":null,"slug":"gold-price-pump-to-4-900-or-dump-to-3-700","title":"GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $4,900.000\n- **Dump Target**: $3,700.000\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$4900”** if the Gold (USD/t.oz) price on Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$3700”** if the Gold (USD/t.oz) price on Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The Trading Economics closing price of Gold (USD/t.oz) for the Resolution Date will be used, specifically:\n  - One-Day view timeframe (“1D”)\n  - Gold (USD/t.oz) price\n  - Only the Gold (USD/t.oz) price reported by Trading Economics will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable or experiences major changes.\n- Any circumstance that prevents reliable price tracking at the Resolution Deadline.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancelation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaLkJqqk4anYggbF5PmcE5A4j1zkqRJe7wSyf2VC8P4dn","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/0a8c2124-445f-40e8-2f91-cdc2617c4200/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-24T20:14:37Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53193.1562916,"volume_24hr":258.23973225,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.883270263671875,"normalized_volume":39.664207458496094,"liquidity":1000.00005746,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.34707278,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?","top_outcome_probability":0.34707278,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.02166714999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-111.61123118,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:08:25.428154Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:08:25.428154Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/gold-price-pump-to-4-900-or-dump-to-3-700","chart_24h":[0.36873993,0.36873993,0.34707278,0.34707278,0.34707278]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"455875","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T13:03:57.905316Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15443260.901607001,"volume_24hr":8172.608916000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.84407043457031,"normalized_volume":62.2271842956543,"liquidity":693092.0297,"open_interest":1548513.600593,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.115,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-10647.442399999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:25.991306Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:25.991306Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T13:04:48.315040Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","chart_24h":[35629.341316,35629.341316000005,35624.854124,35624.854124,35665.400791,35623.40412400001,35581.737457,35581.737457,35581.737457,36150.047457,36120.047457,13989.774123000003,13971.154123000002,13989.114123,14143.136931000001,14297.946931,14553.503597,14553.503597,14553.503597,14554.627193,14071.197193,14071.197193,14275.627193,14275.627193,14275.627193,14272.263597,14263.430263,14262.824983,14162.764983,14179.618916000001]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDVT-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDVT-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDVT-26OCT24","title":"Vermont gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":40991.54,"volume_24hr":40991.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.67409896850586,"normalized_volume":30.216691970825195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":33171.07,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 4.3250","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:37.267500Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:37.267500Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdvt/vermont-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdvt-26oct24","chart_24h":[25.0,45.51,2845.51,12900.35,15300.35,16400.36,18400.36,33132.38,34132.38,36335.12,36829.78,37978.57,38035.17,38387.48,38612.54,40599.700000000004,40776.880000000005,40959.35,40960.53,40986.53,40991.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDMO-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDMO-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDMO-26OCT24","title":"Missouri gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":37622.3,"volume_24hr":37622.3,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.068115234375,"normalized_volume":29.73065948486328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":32154.3,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.9100","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1000.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.224866Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.224866Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdmo/missouri-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdmo-26oct24","chart_24h":[12.0,1694.01,1697.01,21879.02,24079.02,24129.02,25549.02,25549.02,25587.02,25587.02,25624.28,27984.28,28616.28,30540.28,30728.68,34628.68,36181.9,37213.85,37394.3,37421.3,37622.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956931","ticker":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","slug":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:43Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":152580.393161,"volume_24hr":12765.897173000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.01631546020508,"normalized_volume":32.353492736816406,"liquidity":16396.42329,"open_interest":24186.190917,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.80%","top_outcome_probability":0.994,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02849999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3661.874395,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","chart_24h":[11017.473423,13641.572719000002,14610.832719,16318.492719,16335.592719,16318.352719,17550.466448,17570.466448,17951.187186,15440.728679,14860.569027000001,14788.2963,14741.0063,12032.026300000001,11887.7363,11819.1763,12749.816966,12709.796948,12689.796948000001,12689.796948000001,12756.796948,12756.796948000001,12756.796948,12756.796948,12756.796948,12649.895518000001,12617.735518,12687.735518,12707.735518,12607.087649]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAAAGASDNC-26OCT24","ticker":"KXAAAGASDNC-26OCT24","slug":"KXAAAGASDNC-26OCT24","title":"North Carolina gas prices tomorrow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-23T12:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","volume":37027.5,"volume_24hr":37027.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.95606231689453,"normalized_volume":29.64078712463379,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":30417.28,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.4950","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5179.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.704909Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:03:33.704909Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T12:09:45.758870Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasdnc/north-carolina-gas-prices-tomorrow/kxaaagasdnc-26oct24","chart_24h":[4570.0,4575.0,4578.0,4578.0,4779.0,14156.04,14359.62,20819.62,21126.06,22126.06,24705.06,26805.06,27805.06,29118.07,32581.07,32616.4,32636.02,33870.5,34764.5,34764.5,36027.5,36036.12,36350.25,37027.5]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":1547,"total_pages":31}}