{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Elections","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:15:48.706033Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"},"items":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"32228","ticker":"balance-of-power-2026-midterms","slug":"balance-of-power-2026-midterms","title":"Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balance-of-power-2024-election-r-Fp-y4ONJBS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balance-of-power-2024-election-r-Fp-y4ONJBS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T21:05:18.843000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35624025.601748005,"volume_24hr":5125593.964463,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":98.81976318359375,"normalized_volume":68.6681900024414,"liquidity":14166102.54342,"open_interest":13682368.117325999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democrats Sweep","top_outcome_probability":0.665,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":145786.22387099982,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balance-of-power-2026-midterms","chart_24h":[949337.4810889999,944951.6155,1103878.471469,2351673.779106,2380117.028353,2484576.551292,2483520.5205309996,2475446.447102,2472447.514002,2449324.494318,2429999.114887,2222916.736852,2281677.762425,2682108.929882,2658557.024129,2725853.268298,2720671.257917,2734625.7402689997,2713807.0224630004,2777425.871899,2778737.579588,2746836.003902,2794030.754805,2791584.313468,2828963.977168,4962397.77974,4968758.016432,4967789.554483,5046182.966593,5087515.156497001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"32224","ticker":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-wins-the-senate-in-the-2026-midterms-OXeDuHUkn3kf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-wins-the-senate-in-the-2026-midterms-OXeDuHUkn3kf.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T19:48:59.128000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8851895.963605,"volume_24hr":854762.907804,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":77.22677612304688,"normalized_volume":58.1126708984375,"liquidity":4735035.8659,"open_interest":3254008.840513,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"103123","slug":"parent-for-derivative","label":"Parent For Derivative"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"},{"id":"514","slug":"congress","label":"Congress"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.675,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":460683.502705,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[299604.113772,300072.037427,313347.660997,850159.2013209999,877267.804897,900691.300417,909252.97197,912694.891721,888055.941438,852650.0687099999,849583.9358889998,834159.1855179999,827784.3381479998,829809.971379,833142.4896849999,828158.0314139999,831887.320034,887859.12628,886630.1159579998,890709.5913929999,895313.057425,914924.3842099999,903127.438817,899626.631184,896836.5738949998,899853.7535329999,890000.9225309999,895989.8402319999,894871.5405989998,892335.5325799998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1138953","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","title":"Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory","description":"The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf a candidate other than Flávio Bolsonaro or Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receives the most valid votes in the second round, or if the top two candidates receive exactly the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5554477.542308999,"volume_24hr":689644.5267810001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":74.84426879882812,"normalized_volume":54.77629852294922,"liquidity":689729.56898,"open_interest":748927.4087140001,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:31.686279Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:31.686279Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.592714Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[562423.086198,559589.252844,559840.020547,561586.118363,559094.725579,556075.268525,550971.097908,553532.140852,533336.387949,532658.2635840001,532152.758551,525634.359693,527273.766839,534909.737159,537119.499729,559872.705441,598284.86765,635754.503866,655792.346067,655757.172726,674992.076702,688393.4852219999,701514.282,708606.613068,603022.7039890001,621189.835354,673741.686189,689058.446838,671050.7453409999,699321.122717]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"32225","ticker":"which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the House in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T19:50:44.885000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21163252.764829006,"volume_24hr":584943.521816,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.14787292480469,"normalized_volume":64.61878967285156,"liquidity":7689304.1646,"open_interest":9708335.027265001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"103123","slug":"parent-for-derivative","label":"Parent For Derivative"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.915,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-221532.21770499996,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","chart_24h":[728089.9265179995,715533.3903510002,712873.4224210001,474968.11086500005,476453.63688399974,457191.19905999955,457738.0287459997,448959.19975199964,446317.1434099998,445027.39451199997,467577.71311100014,452234.02984099946,450561.79322100006,444579.85972199996,436432.45396999957,688516.3481030002,685858.7932639999,765011.5109560001,768377.1798710001,779286.262104,775944.4724550002,780493.9974629999,811884.9733670001,828249.9051420001,823715.0780590002,715916.0515190001,603015.5571120001,596660.67878,593798.069963,590079.636705]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATETX-26","ticker":"SENATETX-26","slug":"SENATETX-26","title":"Texas Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39370496.79,"volume_24hr":2475859.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.38350677490234,"normalized_volume":81.92391204833984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":29423094.049999997,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"James Talarico","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":106070.59000000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:02.271895Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:02.271895Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatetx/texas-senate-winner/senatetx-26","chart_24h":[2073349.06,2094053.85,2102337.3000000003,2104310.47,2116200.23,2111010.79,2109339.63,2023987.15,2033683.33,2067205.29,2107892.72,2163798.84,2189431.25,2249208.56,2296709.25,2329375.46,2290574.42,2382376.1799999997,2382194.12,2453490.74,2444775.7,2463333.57,2464098.1,2486357.54,2527297.4899999998,2573433.88,2531804.36,2523813.01,2526232.24,2522367.02,2591199.67,2570384.97,2625620.37,2615539.79,2436180.02,2471087.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1061332","ticker":"serbia-parliamentary-election-winner-2026","slug":"serbia-parliamentary-election-winner-2026","title":"Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.\n\nElectoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T21:28:53.882000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5892379.148924001,"volume_24hr":260241.963669,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.3471450805664,"normalized_volume":55.19265365600586,"liquidity":834149.2798,"open_interest":3395560.833025,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"103792","slug":"texas-senate","label":"Texas Senate"},{"id":"104040","slug":"texas-midterm","label":"Texas Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate Elections"},{"id":"105150","slug":"ken-paxton","label":"Ken Paxton"},{"id":"105151","slug":"james-talarico","label":"James Talarico"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"106217","slug":"senate-tossups","label":"Key Senate Races"},{"id":"106369","slug":"senate-midterm-winners","label":"Senate Midterm Winners"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"James Talarico (D)","top_outcome_probability":0.635,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":48603.217252,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-winner","chart_24h":[150962.50759,135293.782884,135293.897253,141483.047223,138072.563471,139590.815935,139454.815935,137880.218217,140148.180691,151626.190089,162500.100229,159955.830448,162646.12758200002,141505.286541,146595.397154,143055.34362200001,152845.95776299998,150814.265451,179680.70709700003,198127.05329,227702.039218,216615.260502,282371.644363,276964.458767,277727.77394,268714.38013899996,264955.962347,267534.90467200003,262641.017973,259590.027708]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"31875","ticker":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. 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Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. 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If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T19:05:46.369000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":718533263.878194,"volume_24hr":168625.029425,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.154117584228516,"normalized_volume":94.44821166992188,"liquidity":59848261.82815,"open_interest":38017834.83832899,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102886","slug":"president","label":"President"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"JD Vance","top_outcome_probability":0.2055,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999977,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6300.1777999999995,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028","chart_24h":[138056.328807,137006.74478100002,139589.696783,140796.958974,153232.211632,171641.07896,168445.414238,167760.522091,168057.989214,170411.276293,170788.140708,164992.90074100002,160038.762956,155615.609728,154014.058376,130358.35987300001,120163.517428,130863.064595,131706.156109,167332.245054,162319.608453,162544.529603,168258.321799,168367.781524,165821.327675,163116.018479,161131.612326,162203.94024,173165.606737,171829.602508]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"CONTROLS-2026","ticker":"CONTROLS-2026","slug":"CONTROLS-2026","title":"Which party will win the U.S. Senate?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18001471.08,"volume_24hr":662262.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.99724578857422,"normalized_volume":74.75621795654297,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11105824.030000001,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.67,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12231.550000000017,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/controls/which-party-will-win-the-us-senate/controls-2026","chart_24h":[544859.35,545344.55,549102.39,550875.93,551209.8099999999,552459.37,561457.6799999999,540255.66,540772.86,551976.73,521404.43999999994,504200.24,512304.18000000005,551693.43,535083.22,545471.36,710486.49,696315.76,665236.53,664090.54,666752.36,674202.77,671235.05,683719.16,665569.68,652567.51,647233.9199999999,647099.94,638291.03,639947.2,657919.72,659093.4199999999,655060.92,673622.05,670940.76,661367.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3jy4qri234","ticker":"3jy4qri234","slug":"2028-democratic-nominee","title":"2028 Democratic nominee?","description":"Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to \"Yes\" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/predyx_markets/ahuewxla5g.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:11:24.620000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":429363.83029435773,"volume_24hr":3316.8021277807397,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.597232818603516,"normalized_volume":61.87424087524414,"liquidity":32000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":["2024-us-presidential-election","politics-default","us-politics","kamala-harris","democratic-party"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jon Ossoff","top_outcome_probability":0.15549,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.014308999999999988,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":91.6433285232124,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:05:38.779518Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:05:38.779518Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-democratic-nominee","chart_24h":[893.3537589542301,963.3537589542301,973.4037589542302,966.8637589542301,933.7959631168204,833.7959631168204,1563.7112320387293,1627.3658738674426,1626.1162373752327,896.0962373752326,1542.5194759004992,1667.5194759004992,2612.600054614203,2724.6877176798016,2724.6877176798016,3338.6223874573984,3316.1460608327875,3316.8021277807397]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVCA-26","ticker":"KXGOVCA-26","slug":"KXGOVCA-26","title":"California Governor winner? (Person)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21658406.509999998,"volume_24hr":629299.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.541053771972656,"normalized_volume":76.42052459716797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10998258.35,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra","top_outcome_probability":0.971,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":129952.50000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:35.799973Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:35.799973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovca/california-governor-winner-person/kxgovca-26","chart_24h":[273068.0,272973.95,276374.47,269852.77,271448.92,220285.56,181813.34999999998,210777.55,206505.40999999997,227023.59,278609.27999999997,281121.21,299654.0,296163.92,322430.3,386174.18000000005,382846.08999999997,368408.24,375175.76,387938.66000000003,604829.45,605529.0,604865.39,616638.8300000001,617076.95,614209.45,613967.39,615447.38,614971.25,625200.46,625245.85,625407.0900000001,622645.77,629474.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1071009","ticker":"bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","slug":"bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1076205.4304479999,"volume_24hr":152523.628793,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.98704528808594,"normalized_volume":43.810916900634766,"liquidity":745425.70979,"open_interest":448410.552967,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"102953","slug":"bulgaria","label":"Bulgaria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Iotova 10-20%","top_outcome_probability":0.63,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9546.257191999997,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:59.898818Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:59.898818Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.553131Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[165642.248793,195236.328779,183574.027391,167982.423954,167054.911976,165402.846642,164270.883069,160939.360692,161411.661453,147035.990762,145855.919119,149575.918795,150857.74054,155004.355717,183877.142269,175125.422226,172918.006185,175998.19535800003,172555.25687700004,160874.988306,160617.17923100002,158551.77211800002,151644.328118,147551.777038,148153.171217,148155.80906600002,143909.150372,143833.299547,143435.81147000002,141809.177725]},{"source":"manifold","id":"s5PACNtgqp","ticker":"s5PACNtgqp","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-winner","title":"Brazil Presidential Election Winner","description":"From Polymarket:\n\nA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T13:55:57.272000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41486.23779307703,"volume_24hr":3175.643944640518,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.959720611572266,"normalized_volume":41.5861701965332,"liquidity":1010.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World","Elections"],"tags":["elections-world","latin-america","latam-caribbean","brazil-3292d24d179f","elections"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Flávio Bolsonaro","top_outcome_probability":0.799768,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.012562000000000073,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":207.32322184795703,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:07:04.330634Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:07:04.330634Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T21:12:40.384780Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/brazil-presidential-election-winner","chart_24h":[318.97667558897615,349.92413819147504,299.92413819147504,713.7502679105079,702.1300730383753,1343.3387652884653,1932.71685079187,2528.506746404996,3124.274678198991,3124.0885542731326,2933.353368854291,2923.353368854291,2677.883559257206,2920.480635035633,2920.480635035633,2945.4079917321374,3151.2756012390887,3175.643944640518]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RcL0Q9O0EU","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-democratic-party-candidate-NQOPZAnOA8","title":"Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?","description":"Resolves YES if the Democratic Party win the 2026 Maine United States Senate Election.\n\nThis means the winning candidate appears on the ballot as the Democratic Party candidate.\n\n2026 United States Senate election in Maine - Wikipedia \n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-06T04:58:44.436000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48650.34266612643,"volume_24hr":3098.1285816514587,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.599002838134766,"normalized_volume":42.841495513916016,"liquidity":1046.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":["2026-us-congressional-elections","democratic-party","elections","politics-default","us-politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.65,"spread":null,"top_outcome":null,"top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","added_at":"2026-07-26T13:25:58.996482Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-the-democratic-party-candidate-NQOPZAnOA8","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATESC-26","ticker":"SENATESC-26","slug":"SENATESC-26","title":"South Carolina Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4922233.76,"volume_24hr":537635.69,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.14533996582031,"normalized_volume":63.6016731262207,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3094531.7199999997,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Darline Graham","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":175253.06999999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:02.271895Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:02.271895Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatesc/south-carolina-senate-winner/senatesc-26","chart_24h":[349457.01,350094.54000000004,350495.61,350642.38,350576.94,350562.57,349537.43,349459.86,343180.79000000004,337294.18,150686.54,263905.2,257518.47,255646.88,273045.35,287283.14,395314.45999999996,419135.20999999996,446790.22,443532.58999999997,446720.51,467085.95999999996,465333.53,464683.11,508331.24,508862.01,501257.61,495796.20999999996,538532.3200000001,538651.87,540423.47,542544.41,537581.97,537803.99,537566.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESNOMD-28","ticker":"KXPRESNOMD-28","slug":"KXPRESNOMD-28","title":"2028 Democratic presidential nominee","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":246353861.61,"volume_24hr":483632.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.21614074707031,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":162656064.92,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jon Ossoff","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1681.8500000000004,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:22.073565Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:22.073565Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomd/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/kxpresnomd-28","chart_24h":[667877.55,667971.08,668130.74,668515.8,668510.6900000001,669111.85,683800.96,685466.59,657830.11,691054.98,477638.94,473091.44,508450.82,476218.96,484237.54,506979.56,596179.39,612824.5599999999,626482.48,619335.15,616257.03,601055.18,583839.09,584779.31,583126.73,529334.62,496112.13,469450.46,465166.97000000003,458982.09,456221.75,454169.0,446736.27999999997,458901.06,459598.13,483692.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"166780","ticker":"bulgaria-presidential-election","slug":"bulgaria-presidential-election","title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election","description":"Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-19T20:20:24.477487Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1513505.2139710002,"volume_24hr":101379.016533,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.219783782958984,"normalized_volume":45.97252655029297,"liquidity":1837525.96191,"open_interest":317205.188573,"categories":["Elections","Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"102953","slug":"bulgaria","label":"Bulgaria"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Iliana Iotova","top_outcome_probability":0.875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-4861.763128999992,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:11.962188Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:11.962188Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election","chart_24h":[101833.99883,115540.66883,116444.777577,116444.777577,116471.139886,114991.79290100001,115096.79290099998,117913.114867,109524.682723,110634.306484,110636.686484,110436.686484,108331.14984100002,122127.87316500001,126573.54455100001,80783.24317200002,88276.519432,88558.419908,86748.73945299999,87452.9252,92362.697392,94758.45176099999,110890.106009,111290.547119,111290.54711899998,112591.685294,110662.61260400001,110575.494912,110592.207722,100111.198561]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1171733","ticker":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement","slug":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement","title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Hormuz Agreement; R Senate\" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Hormuz Agreement; D Senate\" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No Hormuz Agreement\" immediately if a Hormuz Agreement is not announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nHormuz Agreement: A \"Hormuz Agreement\" will be considered to have occurred if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.\n\nA qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nAll listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Hormuz Agreement component to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.\n\nEach announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement.\n\nWhether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, the Hormuz Agreement component will remain undetermined until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, the Hormuz Agreement component will be determined based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for the Hormuz Agreement component will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nSenate: A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for the Senate component will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-11T16:51:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-24T06:06:30Z","volume":2528307.534485,"volume_24hr":100093.31698,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.896968841552734,"normalized_volume":49.36494445800781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":145688.758719,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Hormuz Agreement","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.014499999999999957,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":48015.868779,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:47.867914Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:47.867914Z","added_at":"2026-10-11T17:05:00.243992Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement","chart_24h":[24850.308135,24850.308135,24850.308135,28380.618135,30071.548135,30071.548135,30071.548135,29156.728134999998,26785.272844,26669.962844,28258.671365,26080.361365,30080.361364999997,30327.091364999997,30347.351365,27390.844522,29396.034569,40917.922069,48909.442069,64250.872069000005,64291.712069,76335.76006900001,76335.76006900001,93308.76006900001,93475.426736,94119.86740700001,97002.90740699999,100094.39698,100094.39698,100094.39698]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"RSENATESEATS-27","ticker":"RSENATESEATS-27","slug":"RSENATESEATS-27","title":"How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4006391.01,"volume_24hr":328002.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.871734619140625,"normalized_volume":61.91355895996094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3449535.41,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"48","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":442.00999999999976,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:44.181697Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/rsenateseats/how-many-senate-seats-will-republicans-hold-after-the-midterms/rsenateseats-27","chart_24h":[167124.01,176731.28,177490.31,176699.78,174926.42,169924.86,169846.5,163467.4,168384.7,165793.67,172345.9,174377.52,156488.43,223136.94,206254.71,213300.15,218012.84,220843.12,221299.34999999998,207434.54,209796.79,207949.61,215175.7,215146.8,258079.18,253201.43,312211.25,315539.52,318238.9,318013.29,308114.58999999997,301900.94,301271.05,300257.08999999997,301547.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57658","ticker":"michigan-senate-election-winner","slug":"michigan-senate-election-winner","title":"Michigan Senate Election Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-033e1ebb70.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-033e1ebb70.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T21:43:07.537005Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2322860.96149,"volume_24hr":88727.84314500002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.695552825927734,"normalized_volume":48.79835510253906,"liquidity":606328.9956,"open_interest":872570.6983700001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"104024","slug":"michigan-midterm","label":"Michigan Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate Elections"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105884","slug":"abdul-el-sayed","label":"Abdul El-Sayed"},{"id":"100547","slug":"mike-rogers","label":"mike rogers"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"106217","slug":"senate-tossups","label":"Key Senate Races"},{"id":"106369","slug":"senate-midterm-winners","label":"Senate Midterm Winners"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed (D)","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-44117.539601,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-winner","chart_24h":[152736.66894099998,141447.2495,150392.55285,150411.164094,145233.729693,146645.897932,147230.187932,146579.307932,148039.400313,137366.871461,138509.19806400003,116486.04535500002,114185.648688,114750.65911000002,111771.894042,109973.482074,79574.492215,79468.64247400001,93257.69569200001,105257.414466,106494.159113,109880.210453,114745.64683000001,115231.441272,109969.13182500002,111944.50404700001,109404.82682300001,93302.60793400001,92866.69743500001,88198.01314500002]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"GOVPARTYOH-26","ticker":"GOVPARTYOH-26","slug":"GOVPARTYOH-26","title":"Ohio Governor winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4325282.49,"volume_24hr":317639.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.5997314453125,"normalized_volume":62.538902282714844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2857879.8200000003,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Amy Acton","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999898,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9616.479999999996,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:57.553342Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:57.553342Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/govpartyoh/ohio-governor-winner/govpartyoh-26","chart_24h":[386474.37,387279.33999999997,387582.77999999997,386335.62,394251.16,390267.32,383848.37,390755.06000000006,391285.19999999995,396559.94,396425.77,395190.56,385921.52,392607.55,392540.45,396408.10000000003,397454.06,391542.34,371236.41,342968.48,291752.02,320956.48,311332.37,291806.69999999995,273261.89,287585.88,271886.54,283753.66000000003,303929.79,314880.09,316801.84,322147.14,320211.65,321586.18,322981.04,316179.95999999996]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"425728","ticker":"israeli-legislative-election-winner","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-winner","title":"Israeli Legislative Election Winner","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-legislative-election-winner-5d3iP5eOwAck.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T22:00:06.317494Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1785909.4014289998,"volume_24hr":84369.874579,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.232051849365234,"normalized_volume":47.064361572265625,"liquidity":1193838.4648,"open_interest":714840.368262,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"388","slug":"netanyahu","label":"netanyahu"},{"id":"104773","slug":"bennett","label":"Bennett"},{"id":"104774","slug":"likud","label":"Likud"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yashar","top_outcome_probability":0.695,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-41890.954004,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:24.749671Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:24.749671Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner","chart_24h":[163227.997245,164799.287568,132948.915504,132985.005504,135387.831463,131669.13611800002,127399.14183999998,127832.53327,125534.54138400001,118415.35624400001,117457.764738,119779.19001100001,134304.24415800002,86690.490732,84331.51406400002,62535.515377,65232.62621200001,63623.90859100001,64658.447409,61726.251879,68132.175212,78250.909498,80166.494257,80166.494257,88214.378774,88033.028774,87883.16017,87541.170493,83944.73715900001,83944.737159]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1177878","ticker":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-below-85-before-the-midterms","slug":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-below-85-before-the-midterms","title":"Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Oil < $85; R Senate\" if oil is less than $85 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil < $85; D Senate\" if oil is less than $85 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil ≥ $85; R Senate\" if oil is greater than or equal to $85 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil ≥ $85; D Senate\" if oil is greater than or equal to $85 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nOil price: The oil price component will be determined based on the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as \"CLL\") for the November 2, 2026 trading day.\n\nFor a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth \"Close\" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the oil price component will be determined based on the Close price for the most recent prior trading day.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: \"Trading Hours\" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).\n\nThe Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.\n\nEach contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry.\n\nFor example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with \"T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future\" selected).\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for the oil price component will be Pyth, specifically the \"Close\" value for the relevant 1-minute candle for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.\n\nSenate: A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for the Senate component will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T16:22:46Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1168955.054159,"volume_24hr":78261.40643,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.57579803466797,"normalized_volume":44.33400344848633,"liquidity":1258081.32556,"open_interest":73846.75363800001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Oil ≥ $85; D Senate","top_outcome_probability":0.651,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.023500000000000076,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":41444.21331,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:57:07.502753Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:57:07.502753Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T16:40:08.906991Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-below-85-before-the-midterms","chart_24h":[34107.856816,34102.856816,50560.426799,47370.94529,54692.545471,51249.035131,52270.155364,52280.155364,73743.483146,82861.853146,79316.732133,78615.877695,78397.73164,75923.71317100001,78518.173171,78458.173171,76042.043171,75567.390505,75567.390505,75799.110505,72954.406645,72962.051905,72531.99703500001,73885.31846400001,78534.900369,78934.900369,79334.900369,79339.900369,79339.900369,79400.50643]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATEME-26","ticker":"SENATEME-26","slug":"SENATEME-26","title":"Maine Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10436814.739999998,"volume_24hr":270429.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.246826171875,"normalized_volume":69.95722961425781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4473274.29,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Troy Jackson","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":59963.390000000014,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:03.294155Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:03.294155Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senateme/maine-senate-winner/senateme-26","chart_24h":[476173.14,476477.95,476609.95,480256.44,480641.33999999997,480403.76999999996,475106.77,454868.14,455868.13,453467.71,447300.72,452427.91,451347.77,425900.84,430937.33999999997,433689.05,426395.02,426123.19,441579.78,404750.47,400713.93,401454.76999999996,420048.36,233239.84000000003,238640.46000000002,204570.24,204151.7,295758.6,299522.89,303421.72,304886.94,276270.45999999996,261482.04,258665.47999999998,259206.39,267046.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57096","ticker":"california-governor-election-2026","slug":"california-governor-election-2026","title":"California Governor Election Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-09T23:29:47.170218Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42292642.575396,"volume_24hr":74861.147856,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.16582107543945,"normalized_volume":70.03227233886719,"liquidity":7248076.39051,"open_interest":1484843.1840059997,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"},{"id":"104094","slug":"governor-midterms","label":"Governor Elections"},{"id":"102670","slug":"california-governor","label":"California Governor"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra","top_outcome_probability":0.9655,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-11756.335222,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:14:58.918719Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026","chart_24h":[38451.095164,38823.095164,35981.295164,35981.295164,35823.407164,35823.407164,35169.807164000005,35190.717164,21719.78331,21508.23331,20990.707440000002,20646.975737,20882.557737,20882.557737,21039.297737,20285.194431,20303.553076,20303.553076,4137.703076,9529.252521,9529.252521,9529.252521,9529.252521,9419.252521,77168.475927,77235.465593,76162.39563399999,74406.55563399999,74691.147856,74691.147856]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"106193","ticker":"republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927","slug":"republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927","title":"Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","description":"This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nThe seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-republicans-lose-a-seat-in-the-us-senate-for-any-state-trump-won-in-2024-36T8qr8R2Va9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-republicans-lose-a-seat-in-the-us-senate-for-any-state-trump-won-in-2024-36T8qr8R2Va9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-19T02:05:48.995000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3401608.858914,"volume_24hr":73194.946101,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.81061935424805,"normalized_volume":51.3718376159668,"liquidity":2682596.97148,"open_interest":278826.628007,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"514","slug":"congress","label":"Congress"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"≤47","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-7596.304512000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:09.962231Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:09.962231Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927","chart_24h":[25733.152877,25742.452877,25882.730655,26705.826991,27858.604769,26138.789847,26138.789847,26533.440185,26758.589232000002,26274.968077,27043.909828000003,22550.371543999998,22700.327197,22428.066879,73000.368,72919.368,72585.327232,71591.4575,71535.4575,71449.037787,70977.398901,70634.623345,70634.623345,70824.675977,70479.398199,70479.398199,72367.158548,72078.658548,72078.658548,72078.658548]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1137668","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-in-amapa","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-in-amapa","title":"Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá","description":"The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-ap-d71a3a43ad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brsen-flag-ap-d71a3a43ad.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T15:24:50Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":736906.454199,"volume_24hr":70284.34017999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.577354431152344,"normalized_volume":41.45415115356445,"liquidity":294226.6946,"open_interest":425669.281586,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Flavio Bolsonaro","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-52789.781359000015,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:28.914070Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:28.914070Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T15:36:55.611381Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-in-amapa","chart_24h":[145726.381794,147187.258185,126064.57086,126630.341302,126630.341302,126481.719577,126481.719577,129051.75100700001,129051.751007,123716.296765,123584.27371000001,123614.57674100003,123347.21944400003,124546.24974900001,178669.033849,178532.370637,178604.42639500002,178636.62639500003,136355.727894,136790.427894,85849.207849,85689.768404,85746.11134700001,85746.111347,85746.111347,64677.37435299999,64694.3592,65645.1592,70614.874915,70771.87491499998]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATEMI-26","ticker":"SENATEMI-26","slug":"SENATEMI-26","title":"Michigan Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9014997.76,"volume_24hr":245614.29,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.445838928222656,"normalized_volume":68.695068359375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5662681.58,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-81921.54999999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:03.294155Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:10:03.294155Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatemi/michigan-senate-winner/senatemi-26","chart_24h":[278946.65,279770.58999999997,290311.19999999995,287985.91000000003,286960.48,285620.86,281908.64,244748.86,243630.03999999998,244889.02000000002,245869.53,242655.15000000002,245431.41,248593.33,266925.76,249300.19,235146.5,225917.23,238602.58000000002,257582.40000000002,252791.27,257390.2,253814.57,250744.02,247386.94,251511.39999999997,251115.97000000003,243305.27000000002,255080.32,254599.22999999998,252948.99,252174.81,257154.78,254653.99,245688.31,246140.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRHOUSESEATS-27","ticker":"KXRHOUSESEATS-27","slug":"KXRHOUSESEATS-27","title":"How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5288697.87,"volume_24hr":240724.7,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.279273986816406,"normalized_volume":64.19583892822266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3900676.5300000003,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 193","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-22630.8,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrhouseseats/how-many-house-seats-will-republicans-hold-after-the-midterms/kxrhouseseats-27","chart_24h":[234344.75,234353.76,232433.88999999998,191553.12,193944.65,192940.52,192516.66,204791.42,196246.89,224576.25,222784.19,229314.62,202719.9,225154.45,224948.28,226758.24,289446.42,293774.54,298769.42,296164.88,263298.23,261697.5,261403.52,261528.58,250796.16,250149.53,255108.49,254803.3,246570.44,247756.94,247305.21,248289.91,244188.06,241604.18,240937.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDSENATESEATS-27","ticker":"KXDSENATESEATS-27","slug":"KXDSENATESEATS-27","title":"How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-20T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6801845.35,"volume_24hr":239182.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.226104736328125,"normalized_volume":66.29961395263672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4982346.54,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 52","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-90109.53,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:09:52.045435Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms/kxdsenateseats-27","chart_24h":[372504.42,373419.10000000003,373541.10000000003,374332.89,369825.62,372067.88,372939.68,372541.11,372652.22000000003,360823.04,353079.74,353586.88,358658.98,299208.5,298608.88,295000.37,298845.13,272220.89,245340.19,318602.66000000003,304148.58,326405.59,341832.16000000003,344606.85,335145.37,339111.3,336759.43,327909.16000000003,333332.51,266119.26,263705.9,269967.45,260034.46,263120.03,260888.99,239364.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1177812","ticker":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-above-or-below-80-before-the-midterms","slug":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-above-or-below-80-before-the-midterms","title":"Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Oil < $80; R Senate\" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil < $80; D Senate\" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil ≥ $80; R Senate\" if oil is greater than or equal to $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Oil ≥ $80; D Senate\" if oil is greater than or equal to $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nOil price: The oil price component will be determined based on the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as \"CLL\") for the November 2, 2026 trading day.\n\nFor a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth \"Close\" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the oil price component will be determined based on the Close price for the most recent prior trading day.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: \"Trading Hours\" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).\n\nThe Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.\n\nEach contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry.\n\nFor example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with \"T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future\" selected).\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for the oil price component will be Pyth, specifically the \"Close\" value for the relevant 1-minute candle for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.\n\nSenate: A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for the Senate component will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T16:10:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":760223.747319,"volume_24hr":66129.32978500001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.015663146972656,"normalized_volume":41.64554214477539,"liquidity":1366576.53909,"open_interest":53249.839260999994,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Oil ≥ $80; D Senate","top_outcome_probability":0.672,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020500000000000074,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-21392.709337,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:57:02.019679Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:57:02.019679Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T16:15:55.461253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-oil-above-or-below-80-before-the-midterms","chart_24h":[46790.170035,46840.170035,46461.170035,50581.170035,62381.170035,73604.046126,71263.10869000001,71220.67869,58620.68869,68376.322976,56329.000533,60429.000533000006,63748.149481,63192.269481,64027.699481,64027.699481,64027.699481,64027.699481,59027.699481,61038.705767,61038.705767,65732.365767,65764.635767,65555.635767,65511.950816,65511.950816,65429.390816,67435.084321,66129.32978500001,66129.32978500001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57222","ticker":"texas-governor-winner-2026","slug":"texas-governor-winner-2026","title":"Texas Governor Election Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T22:42:47.261385Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":843112.6892249997,"volume_24hr":64563.09144999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.7698860168457,"normalized_volume":42.279415130615234,"liquidity":325567.47719,"open_interest":283431.072356,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104040","slug":"texas-midterm","label":"Texas Midterm"},{"id":"104094","slug":"governor-midterms","label":"Governor 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Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kansas-fd80a0b343.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kansas-fd80a0b343.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T22:29:20.848663Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1182416.5791099998,"volume_24hr":48824.305977,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.717716217041016,"normalized_volume":44.40651321411133,"liquidity":440835.4774,"open_interest":656357.681093,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104020","slug":"kansas-midterm","label":"Kansas Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate Elections"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"106217","slug":"senate-tossups","label":"Key Senate Races"},{"id":"106369","slug":"senate-midterm-winners","label":"Senate Midterm Winners"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Roger Marshall (R)","top_outcome_probability":0.615,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-26888.783292999982,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:01.073863Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-election-winner","chart_24h":[99397.964368,69743.67158400001,104240.429534,104240.42953400001,98155.635431,98267.02132799999,97294.231328,97906.880302,97787.869276,96386.616637,94664.260447,94422.956022,88186.21602400001,88189.362467,47790.769309,47371.729173,47553.371251,47106.985354000004,47108.14120300001,47384.425413000004,47180.888202,46929.01640800001,49843.688260999996,50489.698518,50049.648518,51681.15526800001,51689.60937099999,51642.763218,51359.251178000006,51354.251178000006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"166565","ticker":"will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled","slug":"will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled","title":"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. 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