{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Finance","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:15:48.737187Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"},"items":[{"source":"manifold","id":"CZp52czdQL","ticker":"CZp52czdQL","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31st 2026, as of market close. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com\n\nSee also\n@/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-2025 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if Shayne Coplan is no longer serving as CEO of Polymarket for any length of time between market creation and the listed date at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement of Shayne Coplan's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.\n\nThis market's primary resolution source will be official information from Shayne Coplan and Polymarket, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/main-target-zachxbt-investigation-feb-2026-polymarket","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T09:48:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":78394.23,"volume_24hr":49607.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.894344329833984,"normalized_volume":42.07123565673828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":["Finance"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":31281.09,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:44.883285Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:39:27.524698Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T15:12:27.585581Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/shayne-coplan-out-as-polymarket-ceo-by","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,655.61,655.61,702.34,45605.75,45621.02,45621.02,46678.729999999996,47008.46000000001,47202.06,47202.06,47202.06,47202.06,48698.58,49406.0,49607.6,49607.6]},{"source":"predict","id":"504999","ticker":"504999","slug":"polymarket-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","description":"This market will resolve based on Polymarket’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Polymarket becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe company performing the IPO will count towards this market as long as it is the company that owns (directly or via subsidiaries) the brand, software or CFTC-regulated exchange that is used to operate either Polymarket US or the international site (polymarket.com).\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on Polymarket’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.\n","image":"https://static.predict.fun/polymarket-ipo-by","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2592335.27,"volume_24hr":43852.56,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.581321716308594,"normalized_volume":72.24737548828125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":["Finance","IPO"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$15B","top_outcome_probability":0.2665,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-25711.099999999977,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:44.290983Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:40:02.098388Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T11:08:24.558733Z","url":"https://predict.fun/market/polymarket-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":[50828.22,50602.199999999924,50596.02999999991,52975.31999999983,55817.61999999991,30840.26999999996,7673.139999999985,33408.07999999996,33151.50999999995,40340.360000000044,43081.97999999998,43081.97999999998,42814.95000000001,42820.73000000004,42929.20999999996,42929.619999999995,43844.65000000002,43844.65000000002,43852.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"549019","ticker":"anthropic-ipo-by","slug":"anthropic-ipo-by","title":"Anthropic IPO by __?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T21:08:14.753601Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5401580.112623,"volume_24hr":124291.627462,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.427101135253906,"normalized_volume":54.579559326171875,"liquidity":257436.98111,"open_interest":693730.340236,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"105184","slug":"dario","label":"Dario"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":16175.096890000004,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T21:21:46.019461Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by","chart_24h":[61438.156464,58225.436464,58828.972333,58798.912333,59606.33117899999,29397.051268,28881.30728,28469.534177999998,40917.709935,44136.974481,53871.644014,54074.17219,57887.503914,53832.605872,59555.307231,61153.294056,59217.31342,57451.246753,56122.548124,80217.885809,85618.96805699999,95714.966994,99968.32119799999,102351.84049799999,108173.891051,119266.524149,118384.296365,118590.256365,117802.109511,117385.496721]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"548858","ticker":"anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","slug":"anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","title":"Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T21:07:04.528790Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2236707.094935,"volume_24hr":93977.567793,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.503787994384766,"normalized_volume":48.5473747253418,"liquidity":157999.82573,"open_interest":111112.358089,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"103151","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$1.75–$2.0T","top_outcome_probability":0.29,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4095.084145999994,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T21:21:44.379872Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","chart_24h":[92448.88237200001,92550.476338,85782.38604,94535.26827,98160.28786600001,98900.711578,94875.882174,80725.826305,81726.179898,80631.74989800001,67532.877077,67833.18707700001,68622.62757,68693.62757,88728.211917,76745.519241,79234.40543,78327.247248,79219.313114,78965.993953,84748.869328,81187.912409,81409.246894,90527.079417,90447.229417,90537.465667,90720.50196299999,91477.537568,88774.77439,86406.44469100001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"743553","ticker":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","slug":"bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","title":"Bank of Russia decision in October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bank-of-russia-decision-in-february-m717beK5QxQC.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-24T16:01:34.964086Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T12:31:41Z","volume":480187.415723,"volume_24hr":67026.07727400001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.13955307006836,"normalized_volume":38.8675537109375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":158538.711362,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"102973","slug":"macro","label":"macro"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Change","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-168.28112300000066,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:42.779773Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:02:42.779773Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:31.007802Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","chart_24h":[130756.57745600001,130202.57843200001,136266.082545,130601.60422299999,149891.375287,151332.518573,155937.4824,155782.688527,152655.265014,150417.824465,149227.38455,148185.37815099998,143896.302876,126223.762905,122452.79587300001,118625.656309,110025.58321499999,98284.110062,97977.00129799999,97552.49673,97264.242147,91662.52035499999,91531.530355,90834.583688,90833.36417500001,90829.50466400001,90726.064664,85607.113157,82580.443249,80147.559883]},{"source":"opinion","id":"2649","ticker":"2649","slug":"will-micron-mu-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will Micron (MU) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0xfa32b0c20b3405cc0d80583eeac6c30dbec4faada053d0b38b15eb45431e76cb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:24:20Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":349813.014,"volume_24hr":37799.314,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.887176513671875,"normalized_volume":38.660457611083984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1,120","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":51.404999999998836,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-micron-mu-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[35009.272,33429.871999999996,33429.871999999996,35474.683,35474.683,45791.053,56315.261,50271.763,44519.919,39403.132,37530.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956932","ticker":"how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","slug":"how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027","title":"How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. 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This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. 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A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x01d47e80485563f7dc2b4245c68c81f8e858fef5e772bcd4c5faa14651e8e3bb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:23:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":816163.4325,"volume_24hr":32994.4865,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.608577728271484,"normalized_volume":43.962486267089844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"170","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-226.0740000000078,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-nvidia-nvda-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[33288.2375,33342.4875,33342.4875,33613.6285,33613.6285,43557.5375,53797.1135,47902.2745,37544.3165,32385.3085,32385.3085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"435099","ticker":"crude-oil-all-time-high-by","slug":"crude-oil-all-time-high-by","title":"Crude Oil all time high by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. 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2026?","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aapl-week-december-5-2025-ezxpBoeOg6BO.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-16T22:00:00.101000Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T22:17:17Z","volume":104025.818779,"volume_24hr":14645.698412000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.09969711303711,"normalized_volume":30.310148239135742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3125.136504,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102264","slug":"weekly","label":"Weekly"},{"id":"102134","slug":"hit-price","label":"Hit Price"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"104152","slug":"finance-updown","label":"Finance Updown"},{"id":"104466","slug":"pyth-finance","label":"Pyth 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$348","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:14:57.547468Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:14:57.547468Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T22:20:07.875991Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-aapl-hit-week-of-october-19-2026","chart_24h":[1741.328006,1815.569573,1805.569573,1849.23624,1849.23624,1849.23624,2127.102153,2425.596023,2967.126023,3422.8435970000005,3202.843597,3192.843597,10038.012407,13591.530607,14034.670607,14094.074122,13816.973989,15282.195754,15282.195754000002,15282.195754000002,15139.049412,15065.069412,15032.069412,14727.068412,14694.068412,14667.068412,14645.698412000002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"500753","ticker":"will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","slug":"will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","title":"Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T04:57:57.988000Z","end_date":"2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6072365.049627,"volume_24hr":13945.171827,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.813514709472656,"normalized_volume":55.40693283081055,"liquidity":374660.0457,"open_interest":1917259.085887,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"104970","slug":"privates","label":"Privates"},{"id":"662","slug":"llm","label":"llm"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"104108","slug":"dario-amodei","label":"Dario Amodei"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑$1.5T","top_outcome_probability":0.935,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-372.728115,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:27.293109Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:27.293109Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T05:19:10.300636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","chart_24h":[47498.815446,47498.815446,48505.185446,48495.185446,53294.57878,53311.40378,53311.40378,54501.407069,54476.40706899999,54630.077069,54390.895402999995,48795.107346,46512.987345999994,42555.681596,42237.307766,35381.757366,34924.153081000004,31999.486057000002,26594.486057,26594.486057,26634.079571,27985.260048,27985.260048,28067.260048,28117.750048,17720.383666,11047.880018,11522.520018,14168.608113,14126.487785]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1202050","ticker":"will-xauusd-hit-week-of-october-19-2026","slug":"will-xauusd-hit-week-of-october-19-2026","title":"What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?","description":"What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gold-logo-0d00c80498.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gold-logo-0d00c80498.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-16T22:01:33.683000Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-23T23:37:00Z","volume":43821.320802,"volume_24hr":13949.056462,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.71355438232422,"normalized_volume":25.943464279174805,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4175.113560000001,"categories":["Finance","Commodities"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102264","slug":"weekly","label":"Weekly"},{"id":"102134","slug":"hit-price","label":"Hit Price"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"104152","slug":"finance-updown","label":"Finance Updown"},{"id":"104466","slug":"pyth-finance","label":"Pyth Finance"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"101589","slug":"gold","label":"Gold"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↓ $4,150","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:15:01.656144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:15:01.656144Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T22:20:09.100744Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-october-19-2026","chart_24h":[11015.961648,10965.001648,11793.868148,11897.652635,11858.432358,11730.560221,13740.391752,16323.131752,16680.847831,16172.265376,16549.276286,16555.277286,16252.014991999999,14931.785164,15310.458305999999,14339.178306,14361.449505999999,14826.509506,15396.459506,16888.27884,16888.27884,16726.213137,16721.213137,15936.319136999999,14096.897691,14008.847691,13949.056462]},{"source":"opinion","id":"2643","ticker":"2643","slug":"will-meta-meta-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will Meta (META) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Meta (META) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Meta (META) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x0701e35047db66f12a3d1c18eae2929766b995ed33466017ac38505657e2b431","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:21:47Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179756.747,"volume_24hr":9396.934,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.5817756652832,"normalized_volume":34.73280715942383,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"660","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3921.4219999999914,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:05:21.861969Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-meta-meta-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[10136.136,10136.136,13903.090999999999,17699.991,15400.074,11434.742,9407.242]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"549095","ticker":"what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","slug":"what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","title":"What will Anthropic's public ticker be?","description":"An official announcement from Anthropic that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf a ticker used by Anthropic in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if Anthropic uses a ticker symbol of $ANTH.A or $ANTHA, this market will resolve to $ANTH). \n\nIf Anthropic announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $ANTH.A and $ANTH.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until Anthropic's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nIf Anthropic IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\" \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. \n\nNote: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T21:12:00.482230Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":150822.82589500002,"volume_24hr":13368.983688999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.57667541503906,"normalized_volume":32.290714263916016,"liquidity":11696.71022,"open_interest":23329.392624999997,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105184","slug":"dario","label":"Dario"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$ANT","top_outcome_probability":0.592,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10900000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5046.496745000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:29.959460Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T21:21:46.746191Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","chart_24h":[8938.941586,8894.626281,7996.751018999999,7986.751018999999,7993.719523,8097.052857,8571.637369,8726.218547,8819.308234999999,8870.288235,11490.521891999999,14718.805105,16305.179361,17584.693567,17877.767251,18347.837251,18910.837251,19002.199649,19144.706153,19144.706153,19144.706153,19144.706153,18783.473373999997,18889.57205,18910.772614999998,19467.876088999998,19068.942517,13796.964483999998,13748.308426000001,13709.333689]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD","ticker":"KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD","slug":"KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD","title":"First Solar module volume sold in Q3","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T02:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":145612.34,"volume_24hr":39915.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.48554992675781,"normalized_volume":37.859397888183594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":67797.04000000001,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3700 mw","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:10.785489Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:10.785489Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T03:00:53.710028Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfslr/first-solar-module-volume-sold-in-q3/kxfslr-26octmwsold","chart_24h":[34842.979999999996,39842.99,39893.33,39894.8,39909.58,39915.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1040303","ticker":"anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","slug":"anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","title":"Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-kuqe-I60SJVbXGoPg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-kuqe-I60SJVbXGoPg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T22:38:03Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2608839.461457,"volume_24hr":12901.071308,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.09883117675781,"normalized_volume":49.57514572143555,"liquidity":693638.9671,"open_interest":1010462.639176,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105300","slug":"corporate-financials","label":"Corporate Financials"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 3.25%"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.235,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999977,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8461.409259,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:49.345116Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:49.345116Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T22:56:08.625984Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","chart_24h":[229436.530115,230293.530115,230041.122288,230041.122288,230058.89340000003,230159.21557400003,230159.21557400003,230165.87557400003,230155.35557400002,230084.475574,227996.947771,227986.34283500002,224907.29283500003,224893.712835,227694.712835,206888.970857,206261.250857,197886.307047,197650.307047,197650.307047,200538.437047,203202.837047,203202.837047,202895.00130800004,202895.001308,202895.001308,205908.00130800004,205908.001308,205714.951308,205714.951308]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79048","ticker":"ipos-before-2027","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ipos-in-2025-KrATqO4tCGa9.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:28:41.148275Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7571928.362666996,"volume_24hr":12828.917951,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.053043365478516,"normalized_volume":56.98379898071289,"liquidity":369139.04122,"open_interest":382438.286083,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8599.274063,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:06.533436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":[2627.105239,2628.965705,2628.965705,2628.965705,2628.965705,2672.31024,2527.0402400000003,2533.560506,3485.944734,3541.934734,5061.851334,5169.851334,5169.851334,5370.611334,6554.948834,7157.978834,7068.628833999999,5853.922019999999,5748.652019999999,5798.832019999999,5637.88202,11209.818866,11230.788865999999,11342.558866,12087.419819,12596.679818999999,12603.679818999997,12655.935375,12825.905901999999,12825.905901999999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956931","ticker":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","slug":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:43Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":152580.393161,"volume_24hr":12765.897173000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.01631546020508,"normalized_volume":32.353492736816406,"liquidity":16396.42329,"open_interest":24186.190917,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.80%","top_outcome_probability":0.994,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02849999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3661.874395,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:21.135918Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","chart_24h":[11017.473423,13641.572719000002,14610.832719,16318.492719,16335.592719,16318.352719,17550.466448,17570.466448,17951.187186,15440.728679,14860.569027000001,14788.2963,14741.0063,12032.026300000001,11887.7363,11819.1763,12749.816966,12709.796948,12689.796948000001,12689.796948000001,12756.796948,12756.796948000001,12756.796948,12756.796948,12756.796948,12649.895518000001,12617.735518,12687.735518,12707.735518,12607.087649]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1114518","ticker":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","slug":"2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","title":"2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/largest-company-eoy-KS99l6lbxfCc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:14:21Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96025.17709400001,"volume_24hr":12660.094406,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.9511833190918,"normalized_volume":29.89166259765625,"liquidity":160391.00106,"open_interest":23689.465629,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Apple","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.20000000000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2914.3739380000006,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:24.963555Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:55:24.963555Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:34:41.942523Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026","chart_24h":[6545.1748,6545.1748,6722.4398,6579.342329,6604.18705,6765.6870499999995,6866.148712,6866.190498,7551.424438999999,8749.200466,8358.680021,9359.40574,10624.475218,11386.492580000002,12029.782580000001,12570.469095999999,12933.022867,13525.957153000001,13457.957153000001,13457.967153000001,13438.081221,14523.76722,15280.638930000001,13126.430127000001,13089.663026,12924.040025999999,12927.548798,12842.518798000001,12842.518798,12678.728754]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1078036","ticker":"what-price-will-meta-hit-in-october-2026","slug":"what-price-will-meta-hit-in-october-2026","title":"What will Meta Platforms, Inc. 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The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.\n\nAn IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.\n\nIf Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T13:36:52Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":441087.822803,"volume_24hr":11144.228908999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.96025466918945,"normalized_volume":38.36450958251953,"liquidity":70339.3445,"open_interest":46837.03274300001,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.602,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.13250000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2598.608478,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:53:58.983014Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:53:58.983014Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:27.529439Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo","chart_24h":[4090.893438,4090.893438,4090.893438,4090.893438,4184.853438,3432.983438,3432.983438,1004.56944,1452.31944,2280.2166939999997,2830.216694,2969.6966939999998,2571.6966939999998,2557.480902,3979.2509019999998,4035.670902,3881.797254,3881.797254,3881.797254,4715.526202,4715.526202,4762.466202,4782.466202,5060.7306419999995,5938.394601,10575.297965,10653.267965000001,10821.947965,11102.339374,11144.228909000001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"428957","ticker":"anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979","slug":"anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979","title":"Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)","description":"This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:15:58.140786Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":567230.744203,"volume_24hr":10729.405417,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.668113708496094,"normalized_volume":39.856117248535156,"liquidity":74507.14343,"open_interest":66777.620136,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"103796","slug":"rewards-50-4pt5-100","label":"Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1.8T+","top_outcome_probability":0.605,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3305.3039009999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:24.749671Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:15:24.749671Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979","chart_24h":[4422.766835,4522.766834999999,4547.756835,3957.9868349999997,3947.826835,3947.826835,3947.826835,4780.004453,4804.484453,4323.518968,4085.7140900000004,4208.71409,4008.71409,3855.75409,6645.200383,5049.87922,4978.586838,4518.14593,8274.178232,8374.178232,8374.178232,8074.178232,8074.178232,9564.388232,9564.388232,9694.388232,9694.388232,9694.388232000001,9694.388232,10009.405417]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"626860","ticker":"how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369","title":"How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369-4jkAPcKtJbqP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369-4jkAPcKtJbqP.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-23T19:43:58.372796Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1203317.796056,"volume_24hr":10609.744971,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.581966400146484,"normalized_volume":44.518062591552734,"liquidity":246226.37413,"open_interest":194930.431862,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"103274","slug":"rate","label":"Rate"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. \n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. 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