{"items":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"106520","ticker":"peru-presidential-election-winner","slug":"peru-presidential-election-winner","title":"Peru Presidential Election Winner","description":"General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peru-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peru-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:20:08.258628Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":92520012.13598152,"volume_24hr":6823168.701304995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":73.8816146850586,"liquidity":11037945.70017,"open_interest":7690796.602806001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101284","slug":"peru","label":"Peru"},{"id":"104274","slug":"peru-elections","label":"Peru Election"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keiko Fujimori","top_outcome_probability":0.935,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3202999.8573300093,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner","chart_24h":[12150864.612843992,12208547.620093986,12235402.424853986,12314407.739068981,12423521.031302977,12508330.82419499,12478295.56271198,12706040.96810799,12803793.21484999,12526615.326069992,12848652.353104984,12848484.10991899,12820776.996557971,12639664.335985966,12141715.157597965,11873258.013869975,11519846.30683098,10630545.111947985,10090993.43842899,8603657.477794025,8338436.004773021,7957072.850449018,7575022.250336015,7327952.5244140215,7237139.050678013,7124958.973997011,7051999.050360014,7114529.110028014,7100028.918258006,7049905.813299,6957617.519857996,6798312.223596996,6815729.684436996]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"357807","ticker":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","slug":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-yYlzv70Hi7j9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-yYlzv70Hi7j9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T16:23:18.231513Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":277868805.20260257,"volume_24hr":4409774.793979995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":94.52909851074219,"normalized_volume":83.006103515625,"liquidity":3064883.3067,"open_interest":13118726.538879,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"334","slug":"ceasefire","label":"ceasefire"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"104513","slug":"agreement","label":"Agreement"},{"id":"104514","slug":"10-point","label":"10-point"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.675,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1941788.090974997,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:54.173346Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:54.173346Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","chart_24h":[4452799.211622997,4431561.163002997,4358253.306798997,4032379.8802360008,3848947.0931180026,3976004.411432003,4367436.803832003,4494973.9675619975,4637896.795947998,4844396.582169997,4941196.063848996,5556249.700997995,5764791.508613996,5869015.850964996,5907186.8599799955,5908798.403499996,6306097.888682995,6416050.853224996,6298039.423770996,4996501.677362997,4851978.592816,4492190.552073998,4494488.625433998,4439208.769533999,4460920.861522999,4482325.616065999,4462327.779854999,4429269.853750999,4485495.880170999,4506049.212851999,4424508.204426999,4410514.111301999,4409001.483832995]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"517606","ticker":"us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","slug":"us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","title":"US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-YUbbIA8Q0bWa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-YUbbIA8Q0bWa.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-23T19:10:37.288944Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35027063.96029478,"volume_24hr":4090792.058208001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":93.60352325439453,"normalized_volume":66.26434326171875,"liquidity":308049.3512,"open_interest":978388.7167390002,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 31","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6089.735299999957,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:29.348265Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:29.348265Z","added_at":"2026-05-23T19:16:49.906369Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","chart_24h":[875833.5013210004,878378.6901440005,815440.7193119999,770214.2346939999,706105.9149880001,698137.105785,743304.3509480001,783688.9214920001,807230.2711380001,834362.4771150001,884562.3937610001,979226.001401,1029391.310341,1014637.991597,1010896.9700030001,989785.9164400003,1034467.5766660004,1083562.6924990003,1195655.8444510002,1265799.1670820003,1254264.6156150002,1267294.1483140003,1310879.0583980002,1504647.6223420002,1537098.912547,1618000.221627,2218264.4357330007,4032799.9800660005,4023264.062844001,4033227.377937001,4031405.583986001,4094734.411187001,4090176.7863620007]},{"source":"predict","id":"10273","ticker":"10273","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-29T22:24:45.988000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7772740.54,"volume_24hr":535695.4900000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":92.57074737548828,"normalized_volume":61.39522933959961,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics","Economy","Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0 (0 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.7895,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5841.8000000000175,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:12.094026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[633961.6000000001,575672.92,383368.83000000054,613538.0000000001,797647.8700000006,797557.1300000004,797280.5900000003,797284.7100000003,796112.5900000003,796112.5900000003,794450.0600000003,793294.1100000003,685852.5000000002,541239.1000000003,535822.8800000004,535703.3000000002,535695.4900000002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"101772","ticker":"fed-decision-in-june-825","slug":"fed-decision-in-june-825","title":"Fed Decision in June?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T21:50:37.376667Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76585984.89053176,"volume_24hr":3286921.3653269964,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":90.93251037597656,"normalized_volume":72.36685943603516,"liquidity":3583120.87459,"open_interest":10643420.67265,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.9905,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-633695.6221500024,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:23.827226Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825","chart_24h":[2583276.4400120024,2648524.3920990024,2627902.8601220027,2519636.9052660023,2594857.031030003,2579169.9284740025,2685138.6738440036,2715532.6398590035,2678356.7879140032,2652021.8283410035,2452662.397527003,2381895.923087,2842919.920962,3273674.45756,3277858.836912,3184676.539737,3193562.4404370002,3214147.550412,3141516.3448980004,2918757.644854001,2923758.6576280007,2918860.334775001,2913977.7238050005,2941732.1818840005,2920984.943198001,2943540.190899001,3013020.5621460006,3028827.3941120007,3032604.526038001,3039172.160049998,3117377.438486997,3238780.9376019966,3256837.7015109966]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"449163","ticker":"israel-closes-its-airspace-by","slug":"israel-closes-its-airspace-by","title":"Israel closes its airspace by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T23:52:26.542773Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12105430.768712971,"volume_24hr":1591559.547483,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":82.35511016845703,"normalized_volume":58.4066276550293,"liquidity":370701.71119,"open_interest":1049669.1732839998,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"},{"id":"103160","slug":"rewards-50-4pt5-20","label":"Rewards 50, 4.5, 20"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-129441.16155499994,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:07.711292Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:07.711292Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-closes-its-airspace-by","chart_24h":[2065113.1203560014,1931225.5543400012,1758025.4640550008,1508565.3885770005,1376987.9702629992,1272349.5188579995,1184263.450652,1137659.040446,1115078.4826139999,1051053.117621,977687.3056809999,1059595.2665199996,1035078.2688689997,1020958.3317759999,1004703.3240289998,1152539.4431909998,1239948.1262619996,1293786.2313009999,1422821.5684959998,1534927.5654259995,1508469.7656349996,1557178.2860409995,1585007.2271859997,1609987.885132,1616454.6356229999,1638615.5331390002,1605182.00756,1601839.44075,1591319.3575190003,1636252.2685790004,1616096.1733460003,1599537.7134630003,1594441.38398]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tIylsIZu95","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-SuEQdq5zlI","title":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?","description":"This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg. I intend to meet the spirit of the following, but will use my best judgement to resolve, including replacing these sources with other financial media if I decide it's necessary: \n\n\"If both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on any single date on or before Dec 31st, 2028, the market will resolve yes; otherwise it will resolve no. \"\n\nReferences for resolution:\nhttps://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/\n\nUpdate 2024-27-12 (PST): - If Elon Musk dies before January 1st, 2029 without reaching >1Tn net worth, the market will resolve as No (AI summary of creator comment)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zn/950LZtSRRN.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-17T21:13:16.101000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1486269.9983710458,"volume_24hr":241533.09811271058,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":81.15496063232422,"normalized_volume":75.82089233398438,"liquidity":100000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.921448,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?","top_outcome_probability":0.921448,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0243509999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":238033.09811271058,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:50:19.159341Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:50:19.159341Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/pixel__/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-SuEQdq5zlI","chart_24h":[0.945799,0.945799,0.945799,0.945799,0.945799,0.93547,0.935494,0.935494,0.935494,0.927392,0.916815,0.916663,0.918033,0.918033,0.918033,0.919371,0.919393,0.919393,0.919393,0.919393,0.921383,0.921383,0.921383,0.921426,0.921426,0.921426,0.921447,0.921447]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"30829","ticker":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/democrats+2028+donkey.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/democrats+2028+donkey.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T18:41:17.827458Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1191427762.2687967,"volume_24hr":1281533.508491,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.87511444091797,"normalized_volume":95.90152740478516,"liquidity":66340043.05043,"open_interest":16396818.894128999,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 4%"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gavin Newsom","top_outcome_probability":0.2355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2719.9000410000044,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":[1365462.323308,1395321.7431790002,1417249.326149,1415278.074457,1347894.989995,1352503.696644,1348035.676165,1384057.520681,1327690.408587,1320853.496154,1290950.869862,1412446.256395,1406833.634517,1413436.071393,1410253.324922,1394342.033979,1361708.884665,1361705.398945,1355847.263811,1464192.376383,1461474.4321849998,1462413.3854409999,1468528.009569,1441547.395455,1364271.732322,1362076.695178,1303184.762778,1286702.074703,1285079.910601,1310211.971783,1354903.361908,1318764.194628,1275228.899477]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"438327","ticker":"iran-closes-its-airspace-by","slug":"iran-closes-its-airspace-by","title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T18:22:49.431559Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67936038.08371325,"volume_24hr":1262564.84,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.70581817626953,"normalized_volume":71.41452026367188,"liquidity":8660978.84737,"open_interest":7226531.416956998,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.9995,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-174314.35000000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:07.711292Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:07.711292Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-by","chart_24h":[3578094.162843,3377610.3378430004,3357507.4478430003,3327592.966713,3285776.664613,3160302.4746129997,3115070.304613,2980645.194613,2916096.0446129995,2699864.394613,1941121.3946130003,1512958.729613,1314866.737608,1268840.057608,1326537.126608,1334313.936608,1419016.466608,1346221.3381059999,1335448.944604,1076073.011095,1109173.3900000001,1105764.2,1114912.5,1099923.34,1073859.83,1071907.42,1124323.88,1150329.61,1294952.25,1289962.25,1292494.2,1290433.19,1278764.83]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540037","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-2-june-9","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-2-june-9","title":"Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-30T04:32:08.851517Z","end_date":"2026-06-09T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-09T20:54:42Z","volume":6476007.941456001,"volume_24hr":1262309.8413089996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":79.70352935791016,"normalized_volume":54.0120964050293,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":630686.2379569999,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"104246","slug":"rewards-automation-100-1","label":"Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"220-239","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.375,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":81031.86458299993,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:58:11.698562Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:58:11.698562Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T04:22:59.011077Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-2-june-9","chart_24h":[1501741.2371959998,1510353.651454,1514478.747432,1528584.4095579998,1513346.8169359998,1520745.7520989997,1599775.2259669995,1644588.1813339996,1740118.2141909995,1794572.1351509995,1919617.6377239996,1846484.4496439996,1817753.5035029997,1782230.8288119996,1743055.9676909996,1291865.6258619996,1262309.8413089996]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"73923","ticker":"russia-nuclear-test-by","slug":"russia-nuclear-test-by","title":"Russia nuclear test by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.\n\nAccidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as \"dirty bombs\"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nTests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 \"Vela Incident\" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-nuclear-test-by-n0ZGKxWlxHAp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-nuclear-test-by-n0ZGKxWlxHAp.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:16:48.987253Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2531225.3213610044,"volume_24hr":1154117.819,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":78.69000244140625,"normalized_volume":47.73555374145508,"liquidity":23076.76911,"open_interest":28355.816635,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.069,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.00399999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:17.793145Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:17.793145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-nuclear-test-by","chart_24h":[179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,179.980728,110.4,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,122908.71,911497.999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"524097","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T05:16:54.399594Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5848372.993840034,"volume_24hr":935127.7408769999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":76.33562469482422,"normalized_volume":53.31224060058594,"liquidity":525293.0568,"open_interest":2091909.651871,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":374499.0582490002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:31.715844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:31.715844Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T05:17:11.666153Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","chart_24h":[578591.5894599998,563125.031228,513886.61428799987,501053.4373629998,464516.33736299985,458149.01519299985,224365.13475100006,227332.29925700012,247250.76283400005,250469.76283400005,243616.463037,279561.872335,311272.17866700003,291714.694542,285697.947877,295542.875988,284354.356862,284553.85742700007,291839.00742700003,295119.46431500005,294952.564315,271628.37215300003,258701.211153,287069.151041,289485.168813,288504.738813,287914.045262,288682.00209599995,408526.198764,406261.538767,420315.88486899994,424968.00595399993,721588.073322]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"79987","ticker":"next-french-presidential-election","slug":"next-french-presidential-election","title":"Next French Presidential Election","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z","end_date":"2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95502395.8980392,"volume_24hr":911995.357041,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":76.05772399902344,"normalized_volume":74.13740539550781,"liquidity":9588626.69901,"open_interest":710527.0066630002,"categories":["Elections","World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100282","slug":"french-election","label":"French Election"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Bardella","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":45361.146586,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:19.496649Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:19.496649Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election","chart_24h":[637259.475101,654187.190134,669396.71467,675625.1622400001,679130.117169,681856.220881,680806.505175,689740.99852,690416.832337,769726.1531390001,765851.140703,766175.540424,739023.811085,737474.679203,758863.317269,762152.287555,766352.9120750001,783239.802186,760221.438178,760022.629224,753303.127909,750915.932654,757284.187201,749584.979647,738778.088313,752691.5382830001,727614.9544880001,716238.8919610002,833961.2998090001,902483.7536170001,929733.251732,914583.940963,905361.629696]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57096","ticker":"california-governor-election-2026","slug":"california-governor-election-2026","title":"California Governor Election Winner","description":"This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-09T23:36:09.952693Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35896997.505996056,"volume_24hr":844824.109755,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":75.2120590209961,"normalized_volume":66.4516372680664,"liquidity":6117823.72187,"open_interest":897728.670774,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104094","slug":"governor-midterms","label":"Governor midterms"},{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"},{"id":"102670","slug":"california-governor","label":"California Governor"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra","top_outcome_probability":0.8735,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007999999999999896,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-233.8326890000062,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026","chart_24h":[228178.59715500002,219243.534782,222443.523782,222721.176559,220976.35,217453.90678000002,224227.936198,226887.711991,234030.855936,241359.88954000003,252372.34508600004,261911.24278100004,280953.1796150001,283596.77711500006,664395.4541150001,866590.8440360001,862671.0955800001,866040.3541150001,868815.8751350001,857599.079564,861969.6773760001,869320.913234,882857.38057,877525.67532,873596.398458,859482.519482,852537.261494,850799.123494,840705.015241,838066.716514,842362.398514,845495.553777,842834.1237550001]},{"source":"gemini","id":"28771","ticker":"FEDCRIME26","slug":"who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","title":"Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?","description":"Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T18:38:39.831000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27447.0,"volume_24hr":26008.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":74.91252899169922,"normalized_volume":57.7396354675293,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Courts"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Raúl Castro","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:49:49.658689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:49:49.658689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FEDCRIME26/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026","chart_24h":[3010.0,9098.0,12142.0,21424.0,22964.0,26008.0]},{"source":"predict","id":"6590","ticker":"6590","slug":"starmer-out-in-2026-1","title":"Starmer out by..?","description":"This market is for if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/starmer-out-in-2026-1","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-10T10:14:11.563000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1050264.88,"volume_24hr":138338.63999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":74.54432678222656,"normalized_volume":46.88179397583008,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics","Global"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.7515,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.005999999999999894,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-26626.18000000005,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:12.094026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1","chart_24h":[69230.95000000001,77187.28000000003,81290.36000000004,69732.44000000006,67631.35000000003,142344.95000000007,149529.69000000006,151615.88000000012,151615.88000000012,151850.38000000012,139005.12,134805.15000000002,134894.05,147299.61,145342.2,146348.94,138338.63999999996]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"31875","ticker":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republicans+2028.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/republicans+2028.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T19:42:53.683776Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":654749316.2384207,"volume_24hr":709962.971942,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.3072738647461,"normalized_volume":90.48583984375,"liquidity":46043571.84447,"open_interest":8815830.638226997,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 4%"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","top_outcome_probability":0.49,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":[1193472.094551,973033.610515,974521.462597,977050.5462249999,971764.722372,969220.787838,951255.768179,950752.823652,922308.2856460001,705151.456583,653933.945681,634951.0741590001,631295.9947220001,632973.373308,635102.006941,636186.670104,721983.7796860001,720266.201202,716823.9987560001,715882.513146,717078.88596,719685.912265,726628.046253,711053.760231,713477.0907640001,796313.3012290001,779734.2412700001,772755.573239,783721.765383,788131.737361,761034.255199,784680.8203360001,704890.013055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"550185","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-5-june-12","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-5-june-12","title":"Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T04:26:14.427064Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3262791.2704569995,"volume_24hr":656343.1719710003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.45520782470703,"normalized_volume":49.39361572265625,"liquidity":964330.30212,"open_interest":389083.4059799999,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"104246","slug":"rewards-automation-100-1","label":"Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"200-219","top_outcome_probability":0.365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.13999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":30936.741635000006,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:40.453119Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:40.453119Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T04:21:11.425302Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-5-june-12","chart_24h":[432572.03869099997,448225.51222599996,445577.80535999994,444542.36203,445034.29215,466653.73742200003,519191.159263,535654.174422,524100.041354,531624.572065,572855.8909209999,579578.896477,580789.178315,581903.6105920001,571592.140951,558339.9313020001,555411.324461,540154.648442,537021.894214,548352.573459,545130.8446439999,547359.757095,569643.812714,556304.089824,603136.375286,587189.767032,550889.411696,537927.962334,544501.084777,546765.772796,591532.4001590001,623010.4432590002,654328.2338370002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"31552","ticker":"presidential-election-winner-2028","slug":"presidential-election-winner-2028","title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028","description":"The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/presidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-11T19:11:35.945569Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":623469967.6935065,"volume_24hr":596751.440819,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.42910766601562,"normalized_volume":90.04996490478516,"liquidity":35900915.0577,"open_interest":62063845.488281995,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102458","slug":"earn-4","label":"Earn 4%"},{"id":"102886","slug":"president","label":"President"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Marco Rubio","top_outcome_probability":0.159,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.003500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-90778.82048900002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028","chart_24h":[1766758.828058,1330705.584239,1342828.13271,1351326.455671,1336682.676928,1333009.944494,1334882.880631,1342378.657762,1345411.2396830001,1163893.637763,1161180.731404,1150902.380231,1172169.691134,1185850.148625,1180568.7758519999,1158463.8188699998,1219438.387956,1204124.474743,1192008.2471609998,1195161.132968,1196791.24847,1205200.074427,1201147.9471769999,1209007.294463,1192016.201497,1199341.603917,1046107.7837939999,880260.298266,841214.3416599999,830397.409948,817796.04898,716816.893183,594063.358932]},{"source":"gemini","id":"22931","ticker":"NEXTLABOR29","slug":"who-will-be-trumps-next-secretary-of-labor","title":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?","description":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor before Jan 20, 2029?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T22:18:53.338000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T10:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20461.0,"volume_24hr":20461.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.41908264160156,"normalized_volume":54.46846008300781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Glenn Youngkin","top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:46:12.490509Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T22:46:12.490509Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NEXTLABOR29/who-will-be-trumps-next-secretary-of-labor","chart_24h":[3044.0,6124.0,9168.0,12178.0,18957.0,20461.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"574642","ticker":"trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290","slug":"trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290","title":"Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that no ceasefire between the United States and Iran is in effect between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any US-Iran ceasefire commitment to refrain from military hostilities in effect, including statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement. The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without  extension will not alone qualify. \n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the US government and the US military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-by-FgM_giNPEqIQ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-by-FgM_giNPEqIQ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T02:06:46.864969Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":622870.035185,"volume_24hr":579587.0986580004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.11595916748047,"normalized_volume":39.088294982910156,"liquidity":410455.84728,"open_interest":207019.570399,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.165,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.035,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":95125.34696900005,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:04.078978Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:04.078978Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T02:02:28.589672Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290","chart_24h":[52395.034849,55379.871937,55714.920384,79573.837049,88593.28131399999,98487.289874,98793.949874,110661.712132,118015.714768,118042.922699,118372.32968400001,253859.32747299998,266795.161594,293987.634402,311813.9707990001,326453.6647580005,368808.0616150004,419164.50264800043,447951.61117900047,503131.2053380004,512045.73643100035,542263.9593700003,555733.2696280003,562699.6755260003,567672.7816210003,556482.6117630003,548894.2633210003,536705.1008550003,541570.6891660003,561325.6742880003,562649.0425350004,570689.6980010003,575359.7677710004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"90177","ticker":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","title":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T18:07:25.773403Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50794578.63815341,"volume_24hr":525928.3900710001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":70.07848358154297,"normalized_volume":69.1301498413086,"liquidity":2910874.56267,"open_interest":9827284.75976,"categories":["Culture","Politics","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"71","slug":"aliens","label":"Aliens"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":28826.375465999976,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:21.558390Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:21.558390Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","chart_24h":[190292.120958,198367.836019,165091.617861,155589.44286399998,155525.74647299998,163780.52365599998,164120.23122299998,164354.82912699998,159064.751724,208872.48482899996,206963.67819399998,199317.363165,187790.61287,189589.213143,193046.98123799998,205855.771238,217199.89886,230767.54843099997,229813.97841199997,233979.687474,241903.96944400002,505900.07345200004,498611.03920500004,499594.236754,539845.8278910001,542880.457992,534370.009558,534472.314202,528727.0382310001,529279.8320070001,532559.5162190001,533731.0346090001,526054.753292]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"108634","ticker":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025-YLXIniTmQs4q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025-YLXIniTmQs4q.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T23:04:55.928775Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51119941.42696233,"volume_24hr":514160.1717179999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.83790588378906,"normalized_volume":69.1799087524414,"liquidity":754364.84031,"open_interest":11733590.836979,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102304","slug":"khamenei","label":"Khamenei"},{"id":"103996","slug":"reza-pahlavi","label":"Reza Pahlavi"},{"id":"104005","slug":"iranian-leadership-regime","label":"Iran Regime"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-228653.78755400056,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","chart_24h":[754523.5181930005,655807.7193610003,572906.3380210004,560304.8083650004,518931.36346400046,451595.78348300053,441042.8092120005,445908.93603200046,433546.5683220004,437263.2683220004,443076.686158,536236.3036849999,514833.8431649999,516645.76391700003,503127.0129080001,544810.899847,552010.200684,592431.965102,602428.3725040002,600288.867117,603847.2038390001,586390.15255,470158.4462589998,495295.12033199985,496614.3603749998,489635.0539429998,485613.2843969997,571092.7579649998,545006.7309139998,547072.5181479998,515689.4136059999,513811.79971999984,514717.3476489999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"566154","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-8-june-10","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-8-june-10","title":"Elon Musk # tweets June 8 - June 10, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-06T16:16:18.564211Z","end_date":"2026-06-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":827032.3562980002,"volume_24hr":505827.7244599998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.66447448730469,"normalized_volume":40.76711654663086,"liquidity":330859.9966,"open_interest":206271.17525699997,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104246","slug":"rewards-automation-100-1","label":"Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"40-64","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.36500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":86205.09318399995,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:50.041330Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:50.041330Z","added_at":"2026-06-06T16:24:31.136869Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-8-june-10","chart_24h":[251244.41342700005,252704.48187900006,259556.60096900005,265768.11916000006,276009.854578,288311.89530300006,293692.30662200006,299340.369903,321454.722203,350773.278761,425292.59072000004,405875.347506,405072.14145,404916.71408899996,410773.39158899995,406937.81916,404723.18566799996,400987.820081,398264.01170699997,405690.484203,426395.036649,457661.032734,469638.671498,474376.41830799996,471180.18141799996,465982.31724899996,447005.5630009999,444159.6468829999,448302.5795059999,452865.9231889999,458991.84092599986,499441.87700799986,505214.4217679998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"375597","ticker":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-13T22:22:40.961472Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16015534.172963232,"volume_24hr":477717.53547099995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.05924987792969,"normalized_volume":60.42863082885742,"liquidity":583728.2235,"open_interest":3368978.652956,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101253","slug":"macro-geopolitics","label":"Macro Geopolitics"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104131","slug":"transit","label":"transit"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-16483.53685500013,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","chart_24h":[494977.9305560001,490923.67022200004,327089.19957600016,326197.3215060002,248412.97771900022,244255.2777810003,299180.1870010003,314690.14324000024,318463.1813320001,305887.5042759999,320693.8887649998,510805.34234699997,519367.03209700005,525801.239992,526760.835811,527617.821767,528996.250567,525832.385064,528706.9484400001,543178.3127220002,522967.5825010001,522283.85086000006,531119.017449,528617.3492100001,532742.2683280001,473796.84009800013,472765.7227670001,472864.1227670001,468359.61990800005,467517.4044140001,466074.1977540001,466146.06041200005,477895.520079]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"267102","ticker":"kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","slug":"kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-14T00:25:34.154359Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":52217389.62983658,"volume_24hr":457650.4090459998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":68.60673522949219,"normalized_volume":69.3455810546875,"liquidity":186577.68046,"open_interest":2322022.947142,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102304","slug":"khamenei","label":"Khamenei"},{"id":"104005","slug":"iranian-leadership-regime","label":"Iran Regime"},{"id":"104230","slug":"kharg-island","label":"Kharg Island"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104127","slug":"mojtaba-khamenei","label":"Mojtaba Khamenei"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.027,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":161048.41741500032,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","chart_24h":[297976.3224229995,280658.6569649995,280556.41053399944,240460.54011199958,187840.24158499963,136143.99558200024,111429.76879500023,110773.93031000019,219754.08944000024,230074.47714600025,250318.73276900023,279639.0074500002,287312.1767030002,300289.40714399976,342043.78112700005,345302.483792,356199.374963,382813.0583260001,401814.257615,399403.13590900006,417046.29614700004,423236.70476299996,440907.49933499994,442370.48952999996,449256.475544,449165.8495409999,448809.1447959999,427855.14126899984,434596.9359219999,448786.75302299985,458350.91029999976,457651.26203199977,457939.8760609998]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"372242","ticker":"trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","slug":"trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","title":"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?","description":"On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by-X3wf-2Pi8W96.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by-X3wf-2Pi8W96.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-12T20:47:47.510974Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30465301.73430391,"volume_24hr":449040.2735549998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":68.40692901611328,"normalized_volume":65.2041244506836,"liquidity":258341.5889,"open_interest":816463.1356030001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 31","top_outcome_probability":0.565,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999907,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-27202.833428999962,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","chart_24h":[366958.37893199996,379221.10728100006,381926.41035500006,369169.27283800003,372820.79736400006,379669.80673700006,407327.18255800003,411613.650133,418442.26023400004,412812.949467,414925.993898,469055.761928,465708.61715600005,457080.2045770001,451327.3401180001,451417.45535299997,462271.128295,460152.18104199995,461053.80333200004,455564.075802,449417.89784399996,477993.1330459999,475411.23569899984,463054.19003399985,463773.9868629998,460687.8139659998,457867.7903829998,461837.96393999987,456988.5219779999,466162.35321899987,463331.9859489999,460376.5839599999,453357.52709599986]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"564322","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-9-june-16","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-june-9-june-16","title":"Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-06T04:46:09.641483Z","end_date":"2026-06-16T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1184231.14535,"volume_24hr":383305.798835,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.7531967163086,"normalized_volume":42.94366455078125,"liquidity":1259845.17428,"open_interest":280858.717634,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104246","slug":"rewards-automation-100-1","label":"Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"200-219","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8744.86736900001,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:50.041330Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:50.041330Z","added_at":"2026-06-06T04:42:14.738742Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-9-june-16","chart_24h":[210896.93415,208182.776889,205953.062889,205181.108999,205307.162374,208408.577729,211445.057076,213454.406628,202693.523837,190564.089245,231336.522205,238040.59075,246652.388612,205052.734526,212505.19026899998,223523.140411,170550.419917,195415.77493400002,209599.628686,211166.976948,202197.868497,203334.405668,233581.23765,257724.930062,259010.73303899998,256689.665135,257038.117018,259910.256106,277378.623312,286533.84074899997,301737.30329,340414.701338,374813.484417]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZRRud9Nc2P","ticker":null,"slug":"will-kamala-harris-run-for-governor","title":"Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?","description":"YES = \"I am running for governor of California\" -Kamala Harris. Market close date reflects date of market resolution i.e. she would need to announce before Nov 5, 2026","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/DylanSlagh/5PNLZnECNp.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T01:41:55.469000Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1184609.6085180866,"volume_24hr":67747.66764069235,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.36210632324219,"normalized_volume":73.41962432861328,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?","top_outcome_probability":0.01,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.018463,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":67067.66764069235,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:50:19.159341Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:50:19.159341Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/will-kamala-harris-run-for-governor","chart_24h":[0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.028463,0.027573,0.027573,0.027573,0.027573,0.027573,0.027573,0.027573,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"485538","ticker":"makerfield-by-election-winner","slug":"makerfield-by-election-winner","title":"Makerfield by-election Winner","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-14T23:54:58.372284Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3120957.4820049936,"volume_24hr":325724.75787799986,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.07354736328125,"normalized_volume":49.101318359375,"liquidity":866777.88712,"open_interest":2179926.177991,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104949","slug":"main-elections","label":"Main Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"104846","slug":"uk-elections","label":"UK Elections"},{"id":"734","slug":"uk","label":"UK"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101319","slug":"starmer","label":"Starmer"},{"id":"104999","slug":"makerfield","label":"Makerfield"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Andy Burnham","top_outcome_probability":0.845,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8842.643633000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:14.414482Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:14.414482Z","added_at":"2026-05-14T23:56:12.510224Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-winner","chart_24h":[307115.131803,307012.807013,312362.577216,310081.147216,303725.521337,298084.905567,297416.734529,495880.27230799996,481728.70932400005,480619.68149499997,480834.15223,448524.5422299999,398544.57971599995,398512.00445,398497.252846,411036.482161,281777.66645099997,275459.73085,273351.75314299995,272258.03139199986,274453.07844899985,273954.65806299984,279555.55546899984,278788.31763099984,278624.6697099998,277528.9032759998,276960.2814529998,277426.4669089998,277262.3002439998,322967.3533469998,324490.3709909998,325877.0489689999,325338.9724949999]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"571253","ticker":"any-departure-from-tehran-ika-byptptpt-20260607232607846","slug":"any-departure-from-tehran-ika-byptptpt-20260607232607846","title":"Any departure from Tehran (IKA) by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAt least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/any-departure-from-tehran-ika-byptptpt-20260607232607846-C3tdknqD0yK4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/any-departure-from-tehran-ika-byptptpt-20260607232607846-C3tdknqD0yK4.jpg","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-08T03:02:40.827192Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-09T11:28:13Z","volume":312757.30653000006,"volume_24hr":309821.5474160002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.56134796142578,"normalized_volume":35.155921936035156,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":157735.548034,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102798","slug":"airspace","label":"Airspace"},{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"103820","slug":"airport","label":"airport"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 8","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":55665.68068399996,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:36:12.519296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T11:36:12.519296Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T02:56:19.765090Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/any-departure-from-tehran-ika-byptptpt-20260607232607846","chart_24h":[251652.3439530002,273340.88353400026,286592.5273190002,309821.5474160002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"108031","ticker":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","slug":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","title":"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T22:54:48.222970Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6491069.047917081,"volume_24hr":300594.25601700024,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.25294494628906,"normalized_volume":54.02809524536133,"liquidity":141656.0658,"open_interest":1565528.158038,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"1289","slug":"nuclear","label":"Nuclear"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.195,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":36147.85948700021,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:26.073479Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","chart_24h":[260725.65513900004,267093.205815,237969.986345,237513.586933,205662.50796100008,219957.16987000007,259866.3089430001,261167.20699300003,265264.65835300006,276241.6013160001,293636.8861640001,330828.303541,346963.790656,351566.53891400015,357186.6466050001,356868.4541840001,368317.807888,368739.734518,370090.960027,369476.809013,363262.6512370001,360175.0879820001,352680.04586,351001.12473100005,336894.72517800005,337268.14399300003,334020.61395100004,332925.1710890001,318303.05807300017,316459.8069140002,318789.41143300023,309640.16014300025,301271.26835100027]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"287395","ticker":"fed-decision-in-july","slug":"fed-decision-in-july-181","title":"Fed Decision in July?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-20T00:13:40.941235Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8965142.009982085,"volume_24hr":300419.960221,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.24703216552734,"normalized_volume":56.27547836303711,"liquidity":871295.88076,"open_interest":843414.005036,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome 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change","top_outcome_probability":0.925,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-86699.21187400007,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:48.029214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-july-181","chart_24h":[307805.1988370001,268233.409265,268635.71976400004,266402.554039,267729.392092,263749.47553399997,256866.78155400002,257049.210532,255165.43734499998,458236.77369400003,457159.979119,447233.10254500003,434356.59458100004,419909.021027,399725.551317,401090.304484,405144.17407,404164.746272,406337.838099,328965.331572,328755.783804,335503.683479,327689.140776,324975.238157,323417.14696,320769.28696,319380.42306999996,319417.075869,311284.747299,309086.06805299997,310241.099171,299801.69613399997,300586.260221]},{"source":"gemini","id":"4065","ticker":"FRA2027","slug":"french-presidential-election-winner-2027","title":"French Presidential Election Winner 2027?","description":"Who will win the next French presidential election?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4VjL9XomOU4rDdA36zzPnI/a4dfe5c3ef587ad4c89972928670dccb/France__1_.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T16:57:51.831000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13270.0,"volume_24hr":12150.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.1165771484375,"normalized_volume":49.820247650146484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["International"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Bardella","top_outcome_probability":0.25,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:06.862609Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:06.862609Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FRA2027/french-presidential-election-winner-2027","chart_24h":[3024.0,9150.0,12150.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610","ticker":"LEAVE2026","slug":"which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","description":"For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3rdP1n4b0vhNOnsC4BqVDm/42c96d5cfdddd5825f068ae1ffc6cc8b/046-united-nations.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T20:34:17.468000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24425.0,"volume_24hr":12074.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.03105926513672,"normalized_volume":56.42914962768555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["International"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gustavo Petro","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:35.120891Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:35.120891Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","chart_24h":[13550.0,22614.0,18094.0,12074.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"3007","ticker":"GOPVP28","slug":"who-will-be-the-republican-vp-nominee-in-2028","title":"Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?","description":"Who will accept the Republican Party nomination for Vice President in 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcb42f112953cc7e513b8cf74262f32eab068943f50a4f9ab7b827084b1af0c79","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:51:25Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16846793.5325,"volume_24hr":298250.1165,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.983890533447266,"normalized_volume":71.47819519042969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jon Stewart","top_outcome_probability":0.952,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:19:48.349879Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:19:48.349879Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":[294919.635,294919.635,296134.8325,296617.992,297835.529,297835.529,298250.1165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"574717","ticker":"peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549","slug":"peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549","title":"Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peru-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peru-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T02:36:16.576238Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":297858.06513600005,"volume_24hr":257346.574221,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.68012237548828,"normalized_volume":34.88521194458008,"liquidity":321842.81044,"open_interest":91731.69382800002,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104274","slug":"peru-elections","label":"Peru Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"101284","slug":"peru","label":"Peru"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fujimori 0.2–0.3%","top_outcome_probability":0.465,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.275,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21815.592718,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:05.747533Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:05.747533Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T02:33:12.691450Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549","chart_24h":[45808.026773,51165.019867999996,51623.593722,63176.024095,65052.875701,68308.113394,71270.00885,75204.171361,85425.240542,94476.484303,101441.615063,104897.737808,108394.76551900001,110169.177047,114345.46871000002,119467.14152300001,125153.969865,133334.37073000002,146448.713651,150724.072216,161264.216873,172394.529128,185298.958448,210136.515618,213456.185971,212266.671711,227555.206783,229258.595606,232079.581343,235227.449869,256117.132609,255536.104994,257240.393979]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"57111","ticker":"los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","slug":"los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","title":"Los Angeles Mayoral Election","description":"The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-09T20:46:17.342557Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10930910.427205032,"volume_24hr":238246.19185699997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.906517028808594,"normalized_volume":57.677921295166016,"liquidity":3551709.66105,"open_interest":2778504.325698999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100664","slug":"mayor","label":"mayor"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100743","slug":"los-angeles","label":"Los Angeles"},{"id":"102788","slug":"mayoral-elections","label":"Mayoral Elections"},{"id":"100741","slug":"la","label":"LA"},{"id":"104940","slug":"los-angeles-mayoral-election","label":"Los Angeles Mayoral Election"},{"id":"105067","slug":"la-mayor","label":"LA Mayor"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Karen Bass","top_outcome_probability":0.595,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.039999999999999925,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3048.7718309999254,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:15.572349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","chart_24h":[824241.226306,731225.843351,612592.3269929999,425820.03441399994,419996.487377,418686.521761,419537.394293,419267.61917099997,420205.292548,413077.410245,414975.895277,410942.559718,411005.729351,409815.138992,383890.920858,388116.162291,374518.647765,370253.708461,370030.93798499997,366111.80626099993,364883.36766399996,270487.75132599997,271383.548829,264036.4446739999,237932.2405619999,279343.3341639999,271155.11041599995,276005.6239889999,256387.11712299995,236770.76447699996,245443.99352299995,242320.74492199998,243207.311857]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"45915","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election","slug":"brazil-presidential-election","title":"Brazil Presidential Election","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-18T20:16:07.362370Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97431525.97039755,"volume_24hr":235250.40621000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.7800407409668,"normalized_volume":74.29887390136719,"liquidity":9389262.68334,"open_interest":3048739.1774809994,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101252","slug":"macro-election-2","label":"Macro Election 2"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999953,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":26203.15153299999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:13.415481Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election","chart_24h":[381977.130992,379991.44918,376896.312206,374485.89082,361661.187186,347911.709486,328002.191533,344783.418147,345201.127459,341630.858928,339519.41945,332248.540946,324066.090305,316717.605471,300895.838696,296153.155867,289193.350154,291427.229879,294397.401434,294649.168871,297137.971818,291074.02988100005,293310.909971,273785.723346,282362.42888900003,280885.780281,276921.747517,254542.171782,244648.420626,233971.074054,236054.13940000001,235972.35426400002,235133.60439800002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"73130","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible 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normal?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-17T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18407459.84,"volume_24hr":367076.94,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.91444396972656,"normalized_volume":73.68297576904297,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6936017.97,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jul 1, 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normal by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T13:18:59.354260Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3421633.7844359563,"volume_24hr":215493.87663800002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.9068489074707,"normalized_volume":49.707210540771484,"liquidity":233643.8643,"open_interest":821694.582612,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104130","slug":"ships","label":"ships"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":105866.76221399999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:09.964972Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T13:18:58.934604Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","chart_24h":[110856.15032900003,110023.87261700002,98710.15582000001,95407.07825000002,93710.01554800004,83855.26867400002,110275.178072,108330.70401499998,121429.82542199994,121634.616166,131135.11442099998,140584.675359,140405.91728499997,158032.74084299998,142416.331943,145653.018794,143556.759024,143511.083432,148771.30920299998,149887.165695,152788.973438,152854.75121299998,202514.74854499998,204616.29908099998,204911.899143,210513.302981,215576.61546000003,217283.39867700005,217203.84020300006,218134.081078,225870.94524800003,227162.09457200006,213577.109318]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15621","ticker":"NEXTAG2026","slug":"who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general","title":"Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?","description":"Who will be Trump's next Attorney General before Jan 20, 2029?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T20:54:28.786000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24778.0,"volume_24hr":9024.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.12566375732422,"normalized_volume":56.58953857421875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Eric Schmitt","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:27:18.010916Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:27:18.010916Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NEXTAG2026/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general","chart_24h":[9068.0,12048.0,13578.0,16588.0,9024.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"509893","ticker":"what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30","slug":"what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30","title":"What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nContinued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if:\n\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran.\n- Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-us-agree-to-6H3WGF-B3geo.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-us-agree-to-6H3WGF-B3geo.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:12:25.518941Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":993045.039787001,"volume_24hr":194400.03017,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.88932800292969,"normalized_volume":41.869110107421875,"liquidity":243065.31063,"open_interest":496902.173232,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"103624","slug":"uranium","label":"Uranium"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Oil Sanction Relief","top_outcome_probability":0.265,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4225.002721999997,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:21.174436Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:21.174436Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:19:25.140256Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30","chart_24h":[82262.70596600001,85585.22582800001,91042.438244,92984.906886,91913.36816700001,95133.624493,98384.934336,104917.682701,106458.299017,111327.89708699999,160889.35674299998,178331.681983,189196.231414,182816.68279800002,185111.41750600006,186114.18282100005,187972.19608200007,190606.71050300007,190134.76023300007,188736.48834900005,189256.27341900006,187346.87643200005,184865.6683150001,184752.38166900008,198198.3111420001,197238.2910990001,196853.5126580001,199889.41881000012,193647.60526000007,195142.75705500008,194114.6960010001,196276.87789800006,193960.84017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"371649","ticker":"us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329","slug":"us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329","title":"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-meeting-by-9btZGbUg-ikA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-meeting-by-9btZGbUg-ikA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-12T18:22:17.972021Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44412152.09698486,"volume_24hr":191682.67483699997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.75094985961914,"normalized_volume":68.0877914428711,"liquidity":359351.26018,"open_interest":1239922.346431,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100285","slug":"vance","label":"Vance"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 31","top_outcome_probability":0.465,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12650.415957999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:56.176381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329","chart_24h":[179253.70642599996,175417.35382399996,169970.78862299994,156336.20828599995,106911.96961499994,105681.35250499993,138627.49009599994,146331.82214399992,148562.93491399992,149760.17403199995,153606.91360399994,174863.57056599995,184472.71071799996,172736.80583199998,173423.131678,173433.60785299996,170253.23130699995,173303.10554799996,183605.98554799997,182538.498844,179928.57717699994,167350.96117699996,174397.83972199995,175289.29329699994,177201.14014299997,178200.76552699998,179170.54497099997,179895.88534599997,180056.31372499999,183909.07315299998,182722.83444399998,192606.47771699997,191721.55219199997]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"386788","ticker":"israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","slug":"israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","title":"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-S6NwYL3MbEka.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-S6NwYL3MbEka.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T23:56:56.495508Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5946062.999827027,"volume_24hr":189417.61271300004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.63422393798828,"normalized_volume":53.4256591796875,"liquidity":140729.98194,"open_interest":1641098.726489,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"},{"id":"297","slug":"hezbollah","label":"Hezbollah"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.043,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.011499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-220291.46063800002,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:58.682493Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:58.682493Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","chart_24h":[408247.7716690001,411265.55538200005,404203.85151400004,396787.5907840001,335949.3280600001,297003.72542199993,307480.61873999995,313742.2278679999,314445.5066459999,311369.19414599997,307580.56714899995,339234.5347920001,337825.21553800005,305468.32082300005,307156.51518600003,283549.59095600003,289924.593119,305875.199341,321866.9261210001,321088.953676,318870.8048390001,316802.8581740001,314257.9981740001,301530.569405,277483.7144230001,273820.2915590001,254439.94999900003,255810.286896,255371.329359,255189.789891,256444.628985,257775.33921200002,257375.340911]},{"source":"predict","id":"10130","ticker":"10130","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://static.predict.fun/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T07:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":135759.73,"volume_24hr":36786.87000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.795494079589844,"normalized_volume":34.06654739379883,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Republican Party","top_outcome_probability":0.555,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17056.65,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:08:07.240982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:12.094026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://predict.fun/market/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[251.02999999999884,251.02999999999884,254.90000000000146,1557.570000000007,1648.5000000000073,1652.320000000007,1652.320000000007,1672.320000000007,1672.320000000007,1672.320000000007,1672.320000000007,2376.320000000007,2287.040000000001,36685.87000000001,36786.87000000001,36786.87000000001,36786.87000000001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"329654","ticker":"us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","slug":"us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:53:43.811955Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25878897.877348106,"volume_24hr":164155.79561299994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.23760986328125,"normalized_volume":63.9752082824707,"liquidity":278741.25042,"open_interest":1455941.389985,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.185,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":27598.045583000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:49.667242Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:49.667242Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","chart_24h":[241158.607399,242886.620974,245120.384139,246513.63345499992,247118.56480199992,246289.31846599994,270025.3550219997,270125.035454,242043.56388700014,240664.91939700028,236997.82193600017,232034.0514450001,230659.07388800013,197599.41287800012,211322.99081699995,222921.78631000002,222115.53357099992,218932.424518,220360.88158100002,216835.72871200004,217487.15330100004,232209.04749300005,255656.07658900006,256675.59404199995,252447.71692799992,188379.98447500032,181143.8427080002,181034.45794100018,179225.95060700015,175614.35535700017,170501.91489100002,169641.83539000002,165702.89770999996]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":2727,"total_pages":55},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"http://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?categories=Politics","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:12:07.424907Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}