{"items":[{"source":"myriad","id":"120473","ticker":null,"slug":"crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","title":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** 120.000\n- **Dump Target**: 55.000\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$120”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The market resolves based on the one-minute (1m) price updates on the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) chart on the Trading Economics website.\n- Only the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) on Trading Economics will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The [Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update for seven days straight.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmYWuwsHv8ZRYthkFc5SF7DZNTfqv8pvG1mJRKW2uzFP2M","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e11bc0f6-a97f-4e7b-981e-2340057bb700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T15:04:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9779677.33312042,"volume_24hr":34866.16114862,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":80.08836364746094,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.58960958,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?","top_outcome_probability":0.58960958,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02593919,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10252.072131449997,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/crude-oil-s-next-move-pump-to-120-or-dump-to-55","chart_24h":[0.56367039,0.56367039,0.56367039,0.56367039,0.5745185,0.57451884,0.57898594,0.57899363,0.57899363,0.57899363,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.57679682,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.5765342,0.57652494,0.57652494,0.58846071,0.59344096,0.57652491,0.57652491,0.57652491,0.59376758,0.59462302,0.58564184,0.57651711]},{"source":"myriad","id":"695","ticker":null,"slug":"will-strategy-mstr-sell-any-btc-by-end-of-2026","title":"Will Strategy (MSTR) sell any BTC by end of 2026?","description":"*To find out how your company can make use of Myriad market data, contact [insights@myriad.markets](mailto:insights@myriad.markets)*\n\n**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, or sooner if definitive information becomes available.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves **Yes** if Strategy (MSTR) publicly reports—via an SEC 8-K filing or another official announcement—any Bitcoin sale executed during the Market Period, regardless of intent (planned or forced).\n- Resolves **No** if no such sale is reported within the Market Period.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market resolves based on SEC 8-K filings or other official announcements published by Strategy (MSTR) announcing bitcoin sales made during the Market Period.\n- Any Strategy announcement or SEC filing published after the Resolution Deadline will not count toward this market’s resolution, even if it confirms Bitcoin sales made during the Market Period.\n- If contradictory information appears, SEC filings take precedence over other sources.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- No authoritative source (e.g., SEC filings) is available, or the information is ambiguous.\n- A corporate action (merger, ticker change, trading halt, etc.) makes resolution impossible or irrelevant.\n\n*In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeTu83E7XsgUhKTYhZZmaUiedvn8SrKYbMRSV1SimC22b","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/4c359adc-9da7-4158-6c0a-0eb53b4b1000/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:20:20Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":56336.551487,"volume_24hr":5614.175797,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":36.99200439453125,"liquidity":2500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Strategy (MSTR) sell any BTC by end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-01T13:59:12.198758Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T13:59:12.198758Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-strategy-mstr-sell-any-btc-by-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0]},{"source":"myriad","id":"19075","ticker":null,"slug":"will-strategy-mstr-sell-any-btc-by-end-of-2026-c2005bf8-916d-4076-b401-822f1c40dca7","title":"Will Strategy (MSTR) sell any BTC by end of 2026?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, or sooner if definitive information becomes available.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves **Yes** if Strategy (MSTR) publicly reports—via an SEC 8-K filing or another official announcement—any Bitcoin sale executed during the Market Period, regardless of intent (planned or forced).\n- Resolves **No** if no such sale is reported within the Market Period.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market resolves based on SEC 8-K filings or other official announcements published by Strategy (MSTR) announcing bitcoin sales made during the Market Period.\n- Any Strategy announcement or SEC filing published after the Resolution Deadline will not count toward this market’s resolution, even if it confirms Bitcoin sales made during the Market Period.\n- If contradictory information appears, SEC filings take precedence over other sources.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- No authoritative source (e.g., SEC filings) is available, or the information is ambiguous.\n- A corporate action (merger, ticker change, trading halt, etc.) makes resolution impossible or irrelevant.\n\n*In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeTu83E7XsgUhKTYhZZmaUiedvn8SrKYbMRSV1SimC22b","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/4c359adc-9da7-4158-6c0a-0eb53b4b1000/public","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:31:48Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":28180.36422573,"volume_24hr":4588.71474771,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":95.3829574584961,"normalized_volume":32.45542907714844,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Strategy (MSTR) sell any BTC by end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-01T13:39:06.189085Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T13:39:06.189085Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-strategy-mstr-sell-any-btc-by-end-of-2026-c2005bf8-916d-4076-b401-822f1c40dca7","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0]},{"source":"myriad","id":"61675","ticker":null,"slug":"btc-next-move-pump-to-84k-or-dump-to-55k-3d262902-135d-416e-90bc-8e80233f341e","title":"BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $84,000.00\n- **Dump Target**: $55,000.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$84K”** if the BTC/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55K”** if the BTC/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmZyvTZ2ZayiJSXTVYhTiDc6oSpJcYL7TMsof2oypxi5fj","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b38e2fa6-7760-4fc1-973c-fd67268fdf00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T15:21:47Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":193945.47316806,"volume_24hr":1159.48524868,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.81035614013672,"normalized_volume":45.82530975341797,"liquidity":1500.00008716,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.27207713,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?","top_outcome_probability":0.27207713,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030584869999999986,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-601.71202268,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:54:47.227956Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:54:47.227956Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/btc-next-move-pump-to-84k-or-dump-to-55k-3d262902-135d-416e-90bc-8e80233f341e","chart_24h":[0.302662,0.302662,0.302662,0.25284749,0.25284749,0.25284749,0.25284749,0.25284749,0.24266855,0.24266855,0.24266855,0.24339074,0.29545505,0.27207713,0.27207713,0.27207713,0.27207713,0.27207713,0.27207713,0.27207713]},{"source":"myriad","id":"752","ticker":null,"slug":"will-nfts-make-a-comeback-before-july","title":"Will NFTs make a comeback before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From market publication until Market Close.\n- **Observation Period**: From market publication until June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Market Targets:**\n\n1. [Bored Ape Yacht Club](https://opensea.io/collection/boredapeyachtclub): 10.00 ETH\n2. [Pudgy Penguins](https://opensea.io/collection/pudgypenguins): 10.00 ETH\n3. [CryptoPunks](https://opensea.io/collection/cryptopunks): 50.00 ETH\n4. [Hypurr](https://opensea.io/collection/hypurr-hyperevm): 900.0000 HYPE\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\nResolves to “**Yes**” if at least three of the Market Targets are hit during the Observation Period.\n\nResolves to “**No**” if only 2 or less of the Market Targets are hit during the Observation Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- All Market Targets refer to “Floor” prices as per OpenSea’s data. No other floor price data but OpenSea’s is subject to this market.\n- The market resolves based on the “Insights” of OpenSea and the “Floor” chart.\n- Any data point equal to or above the Market Target occuring during the Observation Period will be enough to count towards a “Yes” resolution. Targets reached during the Observation Period will be marked as such in this markets description to allow easier tracking for participants.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking for a prolonged time during the Observation Period.\n- OpenSea is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Observation Period.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmfBM6B3uKATgJNDYAtYsSNukLA6rPafGfpdMZj92s3Hn4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/6d5d1eb7-e086-42a6-5b8b-530c0c4f8a00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-15T17:46:14Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37041.365145,"volume_24hr":1027.208284,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.53840637207031,"normalized_volume":34.21052932739258,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.04923228,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will NFTs make a comeback before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.04923228,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T02:39:42.059791Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T02:39:42.059791Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-nfts-make-a-comeback-before-july","chart_24h":[0.04923228,0.04923228]},{"source":"myriad","id":"56422","ticker":null,"slug":"ethereum-next-move-pump-to-3k-or-dump-to-1-5k-2165c555-6846-4387-84ab-9f11d08820b9","title":"Ethereum next move: Pump to $3K or Dump to $1.5K?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $3,000.00\n- **Dump Target**: $1,500.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$3K”** if the ETH/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$1.5K”** if the ETH/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of ETH/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The ETH/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmU8dHDzLTc9EoLDitnQcye5LzgyBf6BUXeiRQtxqNQEje","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/ead824ab-51de-4389-cf79-9b821eb7df00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-02T14:40:03Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100460.10069075,"volume_24hr":730.56657042,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.35901641845703,"normalized_volume":41.007354736328125,"liquidity":1521.59702107,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.13971228,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ethereum next move: Pump to $3K or Dump to $1.5K?","top_outcome_probability":0.13971228,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.029463810000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":192.27093473999992,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:55:02.486866Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:55:02.486866Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/ethereum-next-move-pump-to-3k-or-dump-to-1-5k-2165c555-6846-4387-84ab-9f11d08820b9","chart_24h":[0.16917609,0.16917609,0.16917609,0.15429026,0.15429026,0.15510917,0.15510917,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.14641331,0.13929775,0.13929775,0.13971228,0.13971228,0.13971228,0.13971228]},{"source":"myriad","id":"84254","ticker":null,"slug":"keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","title":"Keir Starmer out before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** After Market Close, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will only be resolved through official announcements by the Government of the United Kingdom.\n- An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal during the Market Period will trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaWq8LdKK6G7S4BiLXWCLRk1KkWD4qGMzgPghGHW5VVxB","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06cff809-06a1-4d6b-15fb-05740c8ab000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T16:37:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32548.25767417,"volume_24hr":606.44410458,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.11494445800781,"normalized_volume":33.37467956542969,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.15380999,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keir Starmer out before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.15380999,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04579223,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":177.99389686000006,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","chart_24h":[0.10801776,0.10801776,0.10801776,0.14195938,0.15380999,0.15380999,0.15380999]},{"source":"myriad","id":"813","ticker":null,"slug":"ethereum-next-move-pump-to-3k-or-dump-to-1-5k","title":"ETH next move: Pump to $3K or Dump to $1.5K?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $3,000.00\n- **Dump Target**: $1,500.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$3K”** if the ETH/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$1.5K”** if the ETH/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of ETH/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The ETH/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. 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This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmckmABAsp5S9S6pr91ZbrLzPKKCxrhWQYW4trrTh9bKAN","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/0b19eb42-af2b-40c6-172d-95b202876d00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:24:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28513.307261,"volume_24hr":407.874176,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.51709747314453,"normalized_volume":32.529876708984375,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0467311,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.0467311,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T20:45:38.174067Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T20:45:38.174067Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-more-than-25-bps-before-july","chart_24h":[0.0467311,0.0467311]},{"source":"myriad","id":"827","ticker":null,"slug":"btc-next-move-pump-to-84k-or-dump-to-55k","title":"BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $84,000.00\n- **Dump Target**: $55,000.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$84K”** if the BTC/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$55K”** if the BTC/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. 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$55K?","top_outcome_probability":0.25865738,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01476651000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":48.70633399999997,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:54:54.739236Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T14:54:54.739236Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/btc-next-move-pump-to-84k-or-dump-to-55k","chart_24h":[0.27342389,0.27342389,0.25865738,0.25865738,0.25865738]},{"source":"myriad","id":"694","ticker":null,"slug":"new-btc-ath-before-july","title":"New BTC ATH before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication date until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close**: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time**: Resolution will be determined on June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $126,199.63 (BTC/USDT all-time high on Binance).\n\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance reaches above the Market Target at 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July?","top_outcome_probability":0.04009634,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T20:40:50.670059Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T20:40:50.670059Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/new-btc-ath-before-july","chart_24h":[0.04009634,0.04009634]},{"source":"myriad","id":"22426","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","title":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, 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$3.700?","top_outcome_probability":0.56823064,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.008471409999999957,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":34.73702799,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:26:51.176300Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:26:51.176300Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/gold-price-pump-to-4-900-or-dump-to-3-700","chart_24h":[0.55975923,0.55975923,0.56823064]},{"source":"myriad","id":"725","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4","title":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target 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cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-09T14:53:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25260.261634,"volume_24hr":236.990616,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.17745590209961,"normalized_volume":31.766151428222656,"liquidity":1500.005013,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.911051,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","top_outcome_probability":0.911051,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.00012228999999996937,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":97.159922,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:08:57.963862Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:08:57.963862Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4","chart_24h":[0.91117329,0.911051,0.911051,0.911051]},{"source":"myriad","id":"718","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july","title":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Donald Trump makes a formal offer to buy Greenland before Market Close.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- A formal offer is defined as a written proposal by President Trump or his administration that expresses serious intent to acquire part or all of Greenland and includes a proposed price.\n- Official reporting from the resolution sources that a formal offer consistent with the definitions of this market has been transmitted from POTUS to the Government of Denmark will trigger a successful “Yes” resolution, even if the written proposal is not made public.\n- The official [White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) communication channels will serve as the primary resolution source for this market.\n- If the primary resolution source does not report on a formal offer it has made, the following secondary sources may be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, the [Government of Denmark](https://denmark.dk/)’s official communication channels, or reporting from [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP](https://apnews.com/), and [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/).\n\n**Cancelation Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.\n- The official White House channels are suspended, become unreliable or experience significant disruptions during the Market Period.\n- Donald Trump is removed as President of the United States of America for any reason.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPpeBv7UcS6ntU64o5UZYZBtQY1iHSwx4wPgWNRMt2str","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/25dee060-dadd-4813-0989-f7c079d1ae00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T10:49:29Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42218.005845,"volume_24hr":202.99393,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.94590759277344,"normalized_volume":35.06659698486328,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.04558138,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.04558138,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-31T01:05:15.281335Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T01:05:15.281335Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july","chart_24h":[0.04558138,0.04558138]},{"source":"myriad","id":"717","ticker":null,"slug":"which-bubble-bursts-first","title":"Which bubble bursts first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution.\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto.\n- The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first:\n  - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09\n  - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28\n  - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29\n  - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days.\n  - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy.\n  - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.\n- The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first:\n  - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85\n  - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00\n  - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅\n  - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53\n  - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅\n  - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy.\n  - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\n- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes.\n- To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used.\n- To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/).\n- To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications:\n  - 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n  - Trading View.\n  - \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- All-time high refers to the highest price ever reached for each specific asset.\n  - For crypto targets, the ATH is defined by the USDT chart linked to each asset.\n  - For stock market targets the ATH is defined by the Advanced Charting function by Nasdaq that is present on the linked resolution source for all assets.\n- If an asset’s all-time high changes during the Market Period, the downside price targets will be recalculated, adjusted, and updated in the market rules accordingly.\n- The market resolves when **three qualifying events occur within a 90-day rolling window** for either sector. The window will be monitored in UTC.\n- Events are tracked **separately for each sector** (Crypto and AI).\n- **Example:** If no AI events occur, and BTC hits its threshold on March 2, 2026, ETH on April 9, 2026, and BNB on May 28, 2026—all within 90 days—the market resolves to “Crypto”.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution sources become unavailable or experience significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmSbtNdHvnszowYghtCKzqCZnqk5DzEiQVYRTBgfZU5imD","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/27bbe5f0-5651-416d-2981-66aa4ee6b100/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T16:06:16Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13762.725968,"volume_24hr":191.231083,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.10308837890625,"normalized_volume":28.074382781982422,"liquidity":2000.009038,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.1154901,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Which bubble bursts first?","top_outcome_probability":0.1154901,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T23:43:02.445364Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T23:43:02.445364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/which-bubble-bursts-first","chart_24h":[0.1154901,0.1154901]},{"source":"myriad","id":"19072","ticker":null,"slug":"new-btc-ath-before-july-c64330c0-0e15-473b-9b1d-569520948bb4","title":"New BTC ATH before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication date until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close**: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time**: Resolution will be determined on June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $126,199.63 (BTC/USDT all-time high on Binance).\n\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance reaches above the Market Target at any point before or at the Resolution Time.\n- Resolves to **\"No\"** if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\nThe **Binance BTC/USDT spot price** will be used and monitored throughout the market until its resolution time:\n\n- **1-minute timeframe (\"1m\")**\n- **\"Trading View\"**\n- **Any 1-minute candle (Close Price)**\n\nOnly the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available for significant periods during the market duration.\n- The BTC/USDT spot market is not available on Binance for extended periods during the market duration.\n- Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source\n\n*If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmZyvTZ2ZayiJSXTVYhTiDc6oSpJcYL7TMsof2oypxi5fj","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/ef330f0a-53bf-4060-3d44-b1064a5de600/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:27:49Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80654.77861961,"volume_24hr":172.54912656,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.6744270324707,"normalized_volume":39.45866012573242,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.02910531,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New BTC ATH before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.02910531,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010677500000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":164.21726009999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:40:16.457499Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:40:16.457499Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/new-btc-ath-before-july-c64330c0-0e15-473b-9b1d-569520948bb4","chart_24h":[0.03017306,0.02910531,0.02910531]},{"source":"myriad","id":"120546","ticker":null,"slug":"eth-at-three-digits-when-bitcoin-goes-below-50k","title":"ETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Observation Period:** From the minute candle the Conditional BTC Target is hit on the resolution source until exactly 48 hours later.\n- **Resolution Time:** 48 hours after the Conditional BTC Target is met or before during the Observation Period if the ETH Market Target is reached.\n- **Conditional BTC Target:** $50,000.00\n- **ETH Market Target**: $999.99\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves to “**Yes**” if ETH/USDT is at or below the ETH Market Target at any point during the Observation Period.\n- The market resolves to “**No**” if ETH/USD is above the ETH Market Target during the entire Observation Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT and BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of ETH/USDT and BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n- The Observation Period will start at the exact 1-minute candle that the Conditional BTC Target was hit and last until exactly 48 hours later. For example, if the Conditional BTC Target is hit on March 31, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC, all 1-minute candles until April 2, 2026 at 11:32 (including the last candle) will be subject to this markets resolution.\n- The ETH Market Target being hit outside of the Observation Period will not have any influence on the resolution of this market.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The BTC/USDT or ETH/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n- Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmQpfZBnU1V9bBQqQV86VqgWdk4kjWLQxTfnzWPL1UNsK4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/c41e5029-9b30-488e-4cb4-dc15abfa0600/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T16:02:42Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3222.07215795,"volume_24hr":143.18895438,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.15605545043945,"normalized_volume":20.172548294067383,"liquidity":700.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.29548705,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"ETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?","top_outcome_probability":0.29548705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T11:14:53.617654Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T11:14:53.617654Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/eth-at-three-digits-when-bitcoin-goes-below-50k","chart_24h":[0.29548705,0.29548705]},{"source":"myriad","id":"790","ticker":null,"slug":"sol-vs-silver-which-hits-150-first","title":"SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?","description":"# Rules / Description\n\n### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $150.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThe market resolves based on which asset first reaches or exceeds the Market Target:\n\n- **“SOL”** if Solana (SOL/USDT) price on Binance hits or exceeds the Market Target.\n- **“SILVER”** if Silver (XAG/USD) price on TradingView hits or exceeds the Market Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- SOL price will be tracked using **Binance’s SOL/USDT spot chart:**\n\n<https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot>\n\n- SILVER price will be tracked using **TradingView’s XAG/USD chart (Source: OANDA):**\n\n<https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAGUSD>\n\n- The **1-minute candle close price** (“C”) will be used to confirm when a target is hit\n\n**Tie-breaker rules:**\n\n- If both assets reach or exceed $150 **within the same 1-minute candle**, the first to hit the mark will be determined using finer candle data (e.g. tick data) from their respective platforms.\n- Price spikes or brief wick touches that do not close above $150 will **not** count as a hit — only candle **close** values are valid.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Either Binance or TradingView becomes unavailable, unreliable, or experiences major disruptions.\n- Price data for either SOL or SILVER cannot be verified during the Market Period.\n- Any significant technical issue prevents proper tracking or confirmation of the target hit.\n\nIn case of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the current market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmVF4FZDkgwvMk69nVh6LuDiJuFmnGN2KKaaeLBj2kBD3G","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/ca84788c-4ddd-4f12-4b7d-b2f3c1fd1700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-28T17:39:13Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21813.945146,"volume_24hr":112.02997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.987810134887695,"normalized_volume":30.85352897644043,"liquidity":1600.002259,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.44337858,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?","top_outcome_probability":0.44337858,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T18:24:24.025447Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T18:24:24.025447Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/sol-vs-silver-which-hits-150-first","chart_24h":[0.44337858,0.44337858]},{"source":"myriad","id":"693","ticker":null,"slug":"will-revolut-announce-the-launch-of-its-own-stablecoin-before-july","title":"Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin before July?","description":"### Market Dates:\n\n- **Market Period:** Upon market publication until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\nThe market resolves to \"**Yes**\" if:\n\n- Revolut officially announces its the launch of its stablecoin during the market period, AND:\n- The announced launch date falls within the Market Period.\n- The stablecoin does not need to start trading\n\nThe market resolves to \"**No**\" if:\n\n- No launch announcement is made by Market Close.\n- An announcement is made but the stated launch date falls after Market Close.\n- Revolut explicitly cancels or indefinitely postpones its stablecoin plans.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\nPrimary sources:\n\n- Revolut's official blog (<https://www.revolut.com/blog/>).\n- Revolut's newsroom (<https://www.revolut.com/news/>).\n\nSecondary source:\n\n- Official Revolut social media channels (X/@RevolutApp).\n- The following media sources will be considered: Decrypt, CoinDesk, BBC or Reuters.\n\nIn case of conflicting information, primary sources will take precedence over secondary sources.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Revolut undergoes a major corporate restructuring affecting its crypto operations.\n- Regulatory changes make the resolution impossible or unreliable.\n- The official resolution source becomes unavailable.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmSC6QJCV5w73574pruVX2ZbseDs7jWt9q5eUvFtD4Lo7w","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/87ea43db-01e7-4589-7761-f10949a9e300/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:18:44Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8231.690616,"volume_24hr":108.491832,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.585708618164062,"normalized_volume":25.128032684326172,"liquidity":1200.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.1033174,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.1033174,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T14:35:25.492176Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T14:35:25.492176Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-revolut-announce-the-launch-of-its-own-stablecoin-before-july","chart_24h":[0.1033174,0.1033174]},{"source":"myriad","id":"19071","ticker":null,"slug":"will-revolut-announce-the-launch-of-its-own-stablecoin-before-july-df7b115f-b466-49e8-85d6-c3d62ba377b8","title":"Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin before July?","description":"### Market Dates:\n\n- **Market Period:** Upon market publication until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\nThe market resolves to \"**Yes**\" if:\n\n- Revolut officially announces its the launch of its stablecoin during the market period, AND:\n- The announced launch date falls within the Market Period.\n- The stablecoin does not need to start trading\n\nThe market resolves to \"**No**\" if:\n\n- No launch announcement is made by Market Close.\n- An announcement is made but the stated launch date falls after Market Close.\n- Revolut explicitly cancels or indefinitely postpones its stablecoin plans.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\nPrimary sources:\n\n- Revolut's official blog (<https://www.revolut.com/blog/>).\n- Revolut's newsroom (<https://www.revolut.com/news/>).\n\nSecondary source:\n\n- Official Revolut social media channels (X/@RevolutApp).\n- The following media sources will be considered: Decrypt, CoinDesk, BBC or Reuters.\n\nIn case of conflicting information, primary sources will take precedence over secondary sources.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Revolut undergoes a major corporate restructuring affecting its crypto operations.\n- Regulatory changes make the resolution impossible or unreliable.\n- The official resolution source becomes unavailable.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmSC6QJCV5w73574pruVX2ZbseDs7jWt9q5eUvFtD4Lo7w","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/87ea43db-01e7-4589-7761-f10949a9e300/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:27:04Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9189.22039749,"volume_24hr":106.60943001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.36759376525879,"normalized_volume":25.745084762573242,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0794071,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.0794071,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T06:25:30.716402Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T06:25:30.716402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-revolut-announce-the-launch-of-its-own-stablecoin-before-july-df7b115f-b466-49e8-85d6-c3d62ba377b8","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"857","ticker":null,"slug":"new-jeans-comeback-before-july","title":"New Jeans comeback before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the outcome is confirmed by the resolution source.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThis market will resolve to **“Yes”** if, at any time during the Market Period, **NewJeans** (뉴진스, also known as NJZ) either:\n\n1. Perform live as a group featuring at least three members of NewJeans at a public event, concert, broadcast, or festival; **OR**\n2. Officially release any new song (single) or album under the group name.\n\nThis market will resolve to **“No”** if neither of the above occurs during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will be resolved exclusively using official announcements or confirmations from: the official social media accounts of NewJeans (NJZ); The official website or communications of ADOR; Or, in the event the group changes labels, the official website or verified social media accounts of the new label representing the group. If multiple sources conflict, priority will be given to the group’s official social media accounts.\n- For the purposes of this market, any newly released song or album—regardless of format—will count if it is officially distributed or announced by the group or its label, and any qualifying live performance must be performed under the group name “NewJeans” and occur within the Market Period.\n- The following do **not** qualify for a “Yes” resolution: Prerecorded performances that were filmed before the Market Period but aired during it, Solo member performances, Sub-unit performances, Dance practice videos, Behind-the-scenes footage, Re-releases, remasters, previously released songs, OST appearances of previously released tracks, or compilation albums containing no new original group material.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution sources become permanently unavailable or compromised.\n- The group officially disbands before the market closes and no qualifying event has occurred.\n- A legal or contractual dispute makes it impossible to determine whether a qualifying performance or release occurred.\n- Any other circumstance makes definitive resolution impossible.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This may result in a profit or loss depending on the price of outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPyo72Zv5ecpvLXNp6aZMGA7hBjDTjcWD842dRzd7NWrd","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/8b46af2c-16c2-4214-5006-2ea038b7a800/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T16:22:50Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4804.161717,"volume_24hr":104.785209,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.153339385986328,"normalized_volume":22.216386795043945,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.07201508,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Jeans comeback before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.07201508,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T18:11:10.489404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T18:11:10.489404Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/new-jeans-comeback-before-july","chart_24h":[0.07201508,0.07201508]},{"source":"myriad","id":"20780","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","title":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Donald Trump makes a formal offer to buy Greenland before Market Close.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- A formal offer is defined as a written proposal by President Trump or his administration that expresses serious intent to acquire part or all of Greenland and includes a proposed price.\n- Official reporting from the resolution sources that a formal offer consistent with the definitions of this market has been transmitted from POTUS to the Government of Denmark will trigger a successful “Yes” resolution, even if the written proposal is not made public.\n- The official [White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) communication channels will serve as the primary resolution source for this market.\n- If the primary resolution source does not report on a formal offer it has made, the following secondary sources may be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, the [Government of Denmark](https://denmark.dk/)’s official communication channels, or reporting from [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP](https://apnews.com/), and [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/).\n\n**Cancelation Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.\n- The official White House channels are suspended, become unreliable or experience significant disruptions during the Market Period.\n- Donald Trump is removed as President of the United States of America for any reason.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPpeBv7UcS6ntU64o5UZYZBtQY1iHSwx4wPgWNRMt2str","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/25dee060-dadd-4813-0989-f7c079d1ae00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T11:28:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46035.42417782,"volume_24hr":103.10326479,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.95320701599121,"normalized_volume":35.638916015625,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05181351,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.05181351,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T16:38:14.749188Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:38:14.749188Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","chart_24h":[0.05181351,0.05181351]},{"source":"myriad","id":"170145","ticker":null,"slug":"will-base-tge-in-2026","title":"Will Base TGE in 2026?","description":"## **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From market publication until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** By Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n\n## **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Yes”** if Base officially launches a token on or before the Market Close.\n- The token must be **publicly announced** by Base and **transferable on a blockchain** within the Market Period.\n- If the token launch or announcement occurs **outside of the Market Period**, the market will resolve to **“No.”**\n- Resolves to **“No”** if no eligible token launch is announced or occurs by the Market Close.\n\n## **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The outcome will be determined based on **public announcements from Base**, including but not limited to:\n  - Base’s verified X (formerly Twitter) account\n  - Base’s official website or app\n  - Other official company communication channels\n- Unverified reports, leaks, or third-party speculation will not be considered for resolution.\n- The token launched must be branded as Base’s official token or similar to resolve “**Yes.**”\n- Stablecoins do not count towards resolution.\n\n## **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The platform ceases operations before the resolution date.\n- The resolution source becomes unavailable or compromised.\n- Any other circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome undisputably.\n\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/Qmacfs1qiiUW5cnMRUyzji393Vn2DcvNdydGukf1Xk82b6","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/1fef43b3-c4da-4954-fbfc-061dbea13300/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-10T09:44:41Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4830.72848035,"volume_24hr":102.89077917,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.927743911743164,"normalized_volume":22.24529457092285,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.30408202,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Base TGE in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.30408202,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01863228,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":73.52744279000001,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:55:35.905517Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-base-tge-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.3227143,0.3227143,0.31149416,0.31180482,0.3034598]},{"source":"myriad","id":"844","ticker":null,"slug":"cs2-knife-index-next-move-pump-to-220-or-dump-to-110","title":"CS2 knife index next move: Pump to $220 or Dump to $110?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $220.00\n- **Dump Target**: $110.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$220”** if the CS2 knife index price on Dupe reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$110”** if the CS2 knife index price on Dupe drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the CS2 knife index price on Dupe, using the total calculation methodology. Only finished data for concluded days will be used for resolution.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The CS2 knife index price on Dupe is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Dupe platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmVEtrMKb3bLBBY1Ye2M9ctGmykb4eJwx2JbbZ1GMHw1wx","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/82dbcb92-91e5-4479-fe45-46c5fa6d6f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T16:41:27Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4847.366322,"volume_24hr":102.335405,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.86099624633789,"normalized_volume":22.26332664489746,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Gaming"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.46763609,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"CS2 knife index next move: Pump to $220 or Dump to $110?","top_outcome_probability":0.46763609,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-01T13:59:12.198758Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T13:59:12.198758Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/cs2-knife-index-next-move-pump-to-220-or-dump-to-110","chart_24h":[0.46763609,0.46763609]},{"source":"myriad","id":"23912","ticker":null,"slug":"will-discord-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-20-billion-2d759207-9227-4b58-930e-7ffec8dd9049","title":"Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close prior to the IPO of Discord, and will be adjusted to this once the date is officially announced.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined as soon as Discord’s stock has completed its first day of public trading.\n- **Market Target:** $20,000,000,000 (20 Billion USD).\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if the closing market cap of Discord is above the Market Target at the end of its first day of public trading.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official data from Nasdaq.\n- In case Discord doesn’t begin trading on Nasdaq, the resolution source will be adapted to the stock exchange it begins trading on instead.\n- Only the market capitalization of Discord at the stock market close of its first day of trading is of subject to this market.\n- Market capitalization refers to the product of the total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first day the stock is traded.\n- In case the primary resolution source does not report on the market cap or the number of outstanding shares then official Discord communications or a media consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the amount of outstanding shares.\n- If normal trading on Discord’s first trading day is disrupted (for example, due to a circuit breaker or a shortened session), the market will settle based on the official closing price from that shortened session. If no official closing price is issued, the market will instead settle using the official closing price from the next trading day on which one is published, which will be considered the first trading day.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Discord doesn’t IPO before 2028.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmcwKUHGaBaF66tyvgobt1MnhsGhWbJQgKrKi6jLiYuiet","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/027475e0-b783-41d7-ea7f-37dfb87e9800/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-14T14:55:29Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11073.61604301,"volume_24hr":102.31513362,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.85855484008789,"normalized_volume":26.808198928833008,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.44220513,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?","top_outcome_probability":0.44220513,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T21:01:12.356067Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T21:01:12.356067Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-discord-s-ipo-closing-market-cap-be-above-20-billion-2d759207-9227-4b58-930e-7ffec8dd9049","chart_24h":[0.44220513,0.44220513]},{"source":"myriad","id":"19078","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-more-than-25-bps-before-july-88b08bb7-01a3-4f32-befa-4066def67627","title":"Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Observation Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the Observation Period has ended, or earlier if the FED has cut more than 25 bps.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if the FED cuts its interest rates by more than 25 bps during the Observation Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if the FED cuts its interest rates not at all, by less than 25 bps or by exactly 25 bps.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statements throughout the Observation Period.\n- Emergency rate lowering will also be counted towards resolution.\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Observation Period.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Observation Period.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmckmABAsp5S9S6pr91ZbrLzPKKCxrhWQYW4trrTh9bKAN","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/0b19eb42-af2b-40c6-172d-95b202876d00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:34:20Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18381.46245255,"volume_24hr":101.83080969,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.800106048583984,"normalized_volume":29.80515480041504,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.03723484,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.03723484,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T17:56:37.910681Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T17:56:37.910681Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-more-than-25-bps-before-july-88b08bb7-01a3-4f32-befa-4066def67627","chart_24h":[0.03723484,0.03723484]},{"source":"myriad","id":"688","ticker":null,"slug":"will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season","title":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, before the 2026 LCK playoff finals start.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the outcome is confirmed by the resolution source.\n\n*Note: The Market Period and Close will be adjusted to close before the 2026 LCK playoff finals once a specific date has been announced.*\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThis market will resolve to “**Yes**” if GenG (Generation Gaming) are officially declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\nThis market will resolve to “**No**” if any other team is declared the 2026 League of Legends LCK season winner.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the League of Legends Esports homepage.\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- The season format changes drastically from the announced format.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n- The League of Legends 2026 LCK season is cancelled or postponed indefinitely.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmWGSry1twr1QZKDTjJqezR9mdMwXX6a5MnU3SxCKBNnLu","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/d586dcb8-0ead-4041-3e6a-eb5d3e658f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T19:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14229.078051,"volume_24hr":98.372015,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.376310348510742,"normalized_volume":28.27105140686035,"liquidity":1001.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Gaming"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.40352898,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Gen.G win the 2026 LCK season?","top_outcome_probability":0.40352898,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T02:39:42.059791Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T02:39:42.059791Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-gen-g-win-the-2026-lck-season","chart_24h":[0.40352898,0.40352898]},{"source":"myriad","id":"120406","ticker":null,"slug":"will-democrats-sweep-the-2026-u-s-midterm-elections","title":"Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?","description":"## **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources.\n\n## **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Yes”** if the Democratic Party controls **both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate** following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n- Resolves to **“No”** if the Democratic Party does not control both chambers after the elections.\n\n## **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- For the purposes of this market, a “Democratic sweep” means the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the election.\n- A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats.\n- A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds:\n  - More than half of the voting Senate seats, or\n  - Half of the seats plus the Vice President, who can cast tie-breaking votes.\n- A candidate’s party affiliation will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time the election results are conclusively called by the resolution sources.\n- Candidates without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered aligned with the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time results are finalized.\n- If control of the House remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the U.S. House selected following the 2026 midterm elections.\n- If control of the Senate remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Senate Majority Leader selected following the elections.\n\n## **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve once all the following sources have conclusively called winners determining control of the House and Senate.\n  - [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/)\n  - [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/)\n  - [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/)\n- If the three sources **do not reach consensus**, this market will resolve according to the **official certification of election results**.\n\n## **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\n\n- The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are not held.\n- Determining control of Congress becomes impossible due to extraordinary circumstances preventing certification or recognition of results.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a major technical or contractual change requiring cancellation of active markets.\n\nIf canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmcC48r1A8Jrdn61YWYPNGwktBci4vCyyUGkMn91D83caa","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/0bd92a13-587e-49ed-8ad7-b1f62811db00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T14:10:51Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3254.08424868,"volume_24hr":93.54006602,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.764507293701172,"normalized_volume":20.221939086914062,"liquidity":1540.80334859,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.46789607,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?","top_outcome_probability":0.46789607,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T15:05:01.840354Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T15:05:01.840354Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-democrats-sweep-the-2026-u-s-midterm-elections","chart_24h":[0.46789607,0.46789607]},{"source":"myriad","id":"698","ticker":null,"slug":"new-solana-ath-before-july","title":"New Solana ATH before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication date until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close**: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time**: Resolution will be determined on June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $294.33\n\n**Yes/No Criteria**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if the **SOL/USDT** price on Binance reaches above the Market Target at any point before or at the Resolution Time.\n- Resolves to **\"No\"** if not.\n\n**Resolution**\n\nThe **Binance SOL/USDT spot price** will be used, monitored throughout the market and until its Resolution Time:\n\n- **1 minute timeframe (\"1m\")**\n- **\"Original\" view**\n- **Any 1-minute candle (Close Price)**\n\nOnly the price of SOL/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\n\n- The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available for significant periods during the market duration.\n- The SOL/USDT spot market is not available on Binance during the market period.\n- Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmapLTDfmmgCKGQVx1TZ2MCQkuaTpufxfEWR5ZwKibLQDo","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/14c56018-453d-4379-5dfb-b4bf89746d00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:23:22Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49623.189449,"volume_24hr":73.44948,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.924842834472656,"normalized_volume":36.13883972167969,"liquidity":2000.000218,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.0355586,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Solana ATH before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.0355586,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T11:35:08.137212Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T11:35:08.137212Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/new-solana-ath-before-july","chart_24h":[0.0355586,0.0355586]},{"source":"myriad","id":"10197","ticker":null,"slug":"will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks-by-mid-2026","title":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by mid-2026?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From market publication until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Closes:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves to “**Yes**” if Americans receive stimulus checks before the Resolution Time.\n- The market resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- To qualify for a “Yes” resolution the stimulus checks must be at least in part **directly attributable to tariff revenue**.\n- The distribution of the stimulus checks must begin before the Resolution Time and they must be be **intended for a broad distribution (at least 1 million Americans)**.\n- To proof the intent and start of the distribution, the White House communication channels will be used as a primary resolution source. In cases of dispute or unavailability of data, the following secondary sources may be used to confirm: [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [APNews](https://apnews.com/) or [PBS](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/).\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experiences major changes preventing verification.\n- Any major external factor prevents fair or consistent resolution.\n\nIf canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on their open positions.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmYDt4sGB1rE73e1iKxVqPrscu3GTmRtsCcz8KiscFQHfw","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/7693ad44-6a00-439e-7af7-d66054314c00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-01T20:23:03Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15927.65839215,"volume_24hr":69.73337501,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.336158752441406,"normalized_volume":28.94169044494629,"liquidity":1926.73583823,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy","Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.07107477,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by mid-2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.07107477,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T18:24:24.025447Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T18:24:24.025447Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks-by-mid-2026","chart_24h":[0.07107477,0.07107477]},{"source":"myriad","id":"14781","ticker":null,"slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-august-385439af-9967-4a76-9d73-d84b49905571","title":"Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time. The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions). Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea).\n- Resolves to **\"No\"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends\n\n**Resolution:**\n\n- To confirm Ukraine’s agreement to the ceasefire, the official President’s website will be used as resolution source: <https://www.president.gov.ua/en>\n- To confirm Russia’s agreement to the ceasefire, the official government’s website will be used as resolution source: <http://en.kremlin.ru/>\n- To trigger a “Yes” resolution, the ceasefire must come into effect during the Market Period\n- The official social media accounts of both Ukraine and Russia will be used as secondary sources if needed\n\nThe following scenarios will not trigger a “Yes” resolution:\n\n1. Humanitarian Pauses: Temporary halts in fighting for humanitarian purposes, such as allowing civilian evacuations or aid deliveries, do not qualify\n2. Informal Agreements: Verbal, unofficial, or non-binding commitments do not qualify\n3. Partial Ceasefires: Agreements that cover only specific regions, fronts, or types of military activity (e.g., a ceasefire limited to artillery or drone strikes) do not qualify\n4. Unilateral Actions: A ceasefire declared by only one side without mutual agreement from the other does not qualify\n\n**Cancelation Conditions**\n\nThe market will be canceled if:\n\n- Both resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experience significant disruptions for prolonged periods\n- Any circumstance prevents determining the outcome\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeAFTQYzzFzbDkWpTCpxDR3daX7HXAJP4ksMSQr9SPBeL","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/4fcfcffb-4da4-4d43-0d9a-159871a86f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T15:09:45Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67717.06043854,"volume_24hr":61.48649642,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.940040588378906,"normalized_volume":38.24685287475586,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.20795099,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?","top_outcome_probability":0.20795099,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T22:15:58.798326Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:15:58.798326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-august-385439af-9967-4a76-9d73-d84b49905571","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"49327","ticker":null,"slug":"how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next-e469154d-aa2c-4ccc-8ceb-2e2158f3e18d","title":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Targets:**\n  - **10 oz Target:** 1 Bitcoin = 10.0000 ounces of Gold.\n  - **30 oz Target**: 1 Bitcoin = 30.0000 ounces of Gold.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“30 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends reaches or exceeds the 30 oz Target.\n  - **“10 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends drops to equal or below the 10 oz Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the BItcoin to Gold Ratio Chart (logarithmic scale) on Longterm Trends, specifically:\n\n- 1-Year view (\"1y\").\n- Bitcoin / Gold ratio in ounces for each day\n\nOnly the “Bitcoin / Gold Ratio” value as quoted by Longterm Trends will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The BItcoin / Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Longterm Trends platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPEyDGGhFPqfTwxovAzF1icd5Xq8bb6fAXmWt1wpfRBpK","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06533ba4-1c6d-479f-6f38-9fd710b18200/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T12:07:38Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12354.89916907,"volume_24hr":53.64796766,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.476898193359375,"normalized_volume":27.44222640991211,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.81403988,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","top_outcome_probability":0.81403988,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T18:11:10.489404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T18:11:10.489404Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next-e469154d-aa2c-4ccc-8ceb-2e2158f3e18d","chart_24h":[0.81403988,0.81403988]},{"source":"myriad","id":"120550","ticker":null,"slug":"will-george-russell-win-the-f1-drivers-championship-2026","title":"Will George Russell win the F1 Drivers Championship 2026?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 5, 2026, at 2:00 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 5, 2026, at 2:00 PM UTC, ahead of the last Qualifying.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if George Russel is named the official 2026 F1 Drivers Championship winner.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if any other driver wins.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- Any points adjustments, penalties, or disqualifications announced before the FIA officially certifies the final standings will be included.\n- Post-season changes announced after official certification will not affect resolution.\n\n### **Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The 2026 FIA Formula One season is canceled, abandoned, or not completed in a manner that produces official final Drivers’ standings.\n- The FIA fails to publish official final standings.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to definitively determine the Drivers’ Champion.\n- The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeeSkM7xfSUQCBL2DeYwKxRm5ztfQbfBKs47sNJZVVc46","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/88f436f2-e358-4157-3e37-d52e4c781800/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-11T16:06:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8547.25327883,"volume_24hr":53.24777765,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.398061752319336,"normalized_volume":25.338136672973633,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Sports"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.18634007,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will George Russell win the F1 Drivers Championship 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.18634007,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T00:18:23.074789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T00:18:23.074789Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-george-russell-win-the-f1-drivers-championship-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"657","ticker":null,"slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-august","title":"Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time. The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions). Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea).\n- Resolves to **\"No\"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends\n\n**Resolution:**\n\n- To confirm Ukraine’s agreement to the ceasefire, the official President’s website will be used as resolution source: <https://www.president.gov.ua/en>\n- To confirm Russia’s agreement to the ceasefire, the official government’s website will be used as resolution source: <http://en.kremlin.ru/>\n- To trigger a “Yes” resolution, the ceasefire must come into effect during the Market Period\n- The official social media accounts of both Ukraine and Russia will be used as secondary sources if needed\n\nThe following scenarios will not trigger a “Yes” resolution:\n\n1. Humanitarian Pauses: Temporary halts in fighting for humanitarian purposes, such as allowing civilian evacuations or aid deliveries, do not qualify\n2. Informal Agreements: Verbal, unofficial, or non-binding commitments do not qualify\n3. Partial Ceasefires: Agreements that cover only specific regions, fronts, or types of military activity (e.g., a ceasefire limited to artillery or drone strikes) do not qualify\n4. Unilateral Actions: A ceasefire declared by only one side without mutual agreement from the other does not qualify\n\n**Cancelation Conditions**\n\nThe market will be canceled if:\n\n- Both resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experience significant disruptions for prolonged periods\n- Any circumstance prevents determining the outcome\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeAFTQYzzFzbDkWpTCpxDR3daX7HXAJP4ksMSQr9SPBeL","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/4fcfcffb-4da4-4d43-0d9a-159871a86f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T15:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45149.528447,"volume_24hr":50.043312,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.750547409057617,"normalized_volume":35.51004409790039,"liquidity":1501.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.18610804,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?","top_outcome_probability":0.18610804,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:33:30.117382Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:33:30.117382Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-august","chart_24h":[0.18610804,0.18610804]},{"source":"myriad","id":"159909","ticker":null,"slug":"altseason-before-july","title":"Altseason before July?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the Market Target is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- **Market Target:** 75/100 (Altcoin Season Index)\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Yes”** if the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index reaches or surpasses the Market Target at any time during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to **“No”** if the index does not reach or surpass the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market resolves based on the daily and historical updates of the The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index chart.\n- Only the Altcoin Season Index value as published by CoinMarketCap will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The Altcoin Season Index is discontinued, materially changed, or becomes unreliable.\n- CoinMarketCap becomes unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking of the index during the Market Period.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmeFYHFmUzbjoU72QrKRarxWg8BrHXAzy9hJSXZpAdYnNf","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/487d1750-08c7-4259-11d8-66aa12de5e00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-03T13:13:47Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11201.62968081,"volume_24hr":49.83395779,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.707199096679688,"normalized_volume":26.87441062927246,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05952195,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Altseason before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.05952195,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0014848900000000026,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.83395779,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:40:16.457499Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:40:16.457499Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/altseason-before-july","chart_24h":[0.06100684,0.06100684,0.05952195]},{"source":"myriad","id":"8393","ticker":null,"slug":"will-brian-armstrong-appear-in-the-first-episode-of-uponly","title":"Will Brian Armstrong appear in the first episode of UpOnly?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** Upon market publication until the first episode of Up Only is announced to be released.\n- **Market Close:** Before the first episode of Up Only is released.\n- **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after the first episode of Up Only has aired.\n\n**Market Period and Market Close will be adapted once the official time of release for the first episode of the Up Only podcast has been announced.**\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Brian Armstrong appears in video, physical, or audio form in the first episode of the next season of the “Up Only” podcast.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Brian Armstrong doesn’t appear.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- An announcement that Brian Armstrong is set to appear on the episode alone is not enough to trigger a “**Yes**” resolution.\n- The official first episode of the “UpOnly” podcast by Cobie and Ledger will be used as the resolution source.\n- Any appearance of Brian Armstrong must be verifiably him. An impersonator, for example, would not resolve “Yes.”\n- In case the “Up Only” podcast by Cobie and Ledger is renamed, this market will consider the newly named podcast equally and will resolve accordingly.\n\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\nThis market will be **cancelled** if:\n\n- The Up Only podcast is cancelled before the first episode launched.\n- Any extraordinary event prevents a verifiable determination of the outcome.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This may result in a profit or loss depending on share prices.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmSknYU9QejfFWfS9QQcS5NsF3xSwvfYGdqhHCsnCNT9rL","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/ae97c3fa-209f-4560-a825-d7b00c2c0f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T14:46:59Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4273.26200918,"volume_24hr":41.42951165,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.845888137817383,"normalized_volume":21.606977462768555,"liquidity":1862.02523462,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Culture"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.46153848,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Brian Armstrong appear in the first episode of UpOnly?","top_outcome_probability":0.46153848,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-13T12:48:22.007851Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T12:48:22.007851Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-brian-armstrong-appear-in-the-first-episode-of-uponly","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"19077","ticker":null,"slug":"new-solana-ath-before-july-39790c40-c7b7-4b21-be08-3fe165c56ded","title":"New Solana ATH before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From publication date until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close**: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time**: Resolution will be determined on June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $294.33\n\n**Yes/No Criteria**\n\n- Resolves to **\"Yes\"** if the **SOL/USDT** price on Binance reaches above the Market Target at any point before or at the Resolution Time.\n- Resolves to **\"No\"** if not.\n\n**Resolution**\n\nThe **Binance SOL/USDT spot price** will be used, monitored throughout the market and until its Resolution Time:\n\n- **1 minute timeframe (\"1m\")**\n- **\"Original\" view**\n- **Any 1-minute candle (Close Price)**\n\nOnly the price of SOL/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\n\n- The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available for significant periods during the market duration.\n- The SOL/USDT spot market is not available on Binance during the market period.\n- Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmapLTDfmmgCKGQVx1TZ2MCQkuaTpufxfEWR5ZwKibLQDo","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/14c56018-453d-4379-5dfb-b4bf89746d00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T14:33:15Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":56077.06313824,"volume_24hr":38.96502205,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.248891830444336,"normalized_volume":36.96078872680664,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.02056515,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Solana ATH before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.02056515,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T04:10:40.638056Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T04:10:40.638056Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/new-solana-ath-before-july-39790c40-c7b7-4b21-be08-3fe165c56ded","chart_24h":[0.02056515,0.02056515]},{"source":"myriad","id":"858","ticker":null,"slug":"keir-starmer-out-before-july","title":"Keir Starmer out before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** After Market Close, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will only be resolved through official announcements by the Government of the United Kingdom.\n- An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal during the Market Period will trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaWq8LdKK6G7S4BiLXWCLRk1KkWD4qGMzgPghGHW5VVxB","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06cff809-06a1-4d6b-15fb-05740c8ab000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T16:23:48Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30479.597791,"volume_24hr":33.540917,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.833953857421875,"normalized_volume":32.95418167114258,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.14702829,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keir Starmer out before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.14702829,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T17:25:53.166706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T17:25:53.166706Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/keir-starmer-out-before-july","chart_24h":[0.14702829,0.14702829]},{"source":"myriad","id":"882","ticker":null,"slug":"who-ipos-first","title":"Who IPOs first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the companies has officially had its IPO.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Anthropic”** if Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI.\n- Resolves to **“OpenAI”** if OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official communications by Anthropic and OpenAI.\n- To IPO, for the purposes of this market, is defined as an Initial Public Offering (IPO), also known as the process where a private company first sells shares to the public and thus transitioning into a publicly traded entity.\n- A confirmation of an IPO date alone will not trigger a resolution. Either IPO must occur and be publicly tradable on any exchange for it to count towards resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmbrmNvr61Kh7jwhrFXyk7oziru1PLaU4WZCNgoqsff2ae","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b0ebb3cb-a4d2-4f5d-b2a7-b5399d616900/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T18:12:55Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8287.989327,"volume_24hr":33.109059,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.71457862854004,"normalized_volume":25.166034698486328,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.70356625,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Who IPOs first?","top_outcome_probability":0.70356625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:42:49.543196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:42:49.543196Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/who-ipos-first","chart_24h":[0.70356625,0.70356625,0.70356625]},{"source":"myriad","id":"21994","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-october-4cdabfd7-d3c7-4b5a-9aec-f5abf7f17f45","title":"Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to \"**Yes**\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population. This may occur through revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign authority.\n- Routine political events, including elections, reforms, or leadership transitions, do not qualify. Power shifts or internal coups that leave the core structure of the Islamic Republic intact also do not qualify.\n- To qualify, a definitive break in institutional continuity is required, such as the establishment of a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or a new constitution that replaces the Islamic Republic.\n- Loss of control over limited territory or opposition from rebel or exile groups does not qualify unless the Islamic Republic ceases to govern the majority of Iran’s population within the country.\n- The market will be resolved based on reports from the Iranian governements official communication channels, [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/), [The Guardian](https://www.theguardian.com/), [Al Jazeera English](https://www.aljazeera.com/) and the [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/).\n\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised.\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/Qme6hLC8UgGR6j2Lg1X3LKZhqeFV4WXAg6kgKnW2Xmhcy9","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/070b4533-1dff-428c-5d55-d83b894cb000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T16:04:44Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74145.09952812,"volume_24hr":26.39958158,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.704423904418945,"normalized_volume":38.87303161621094,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.11007311,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?","top_outcome_probability":0.11007311,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T20:57:47.453991Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T20:57:47.453991Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-october-4cdabfd7-d3c7-4b5a-9aec-f5abf7f17f45","chart_24h":[0.11007311,0.11007311]},{"source":"myriad","id":"791","ticker":null,"slug":"how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","title":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Targets:**\n  - **10 oz Target:** 1 Bitcoin = 10.0000 ounces of Gold.\n  - **30 oz Target**: 1 Bitcoin = 30.0000 ounces of Gold.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“30 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends reaches or exceeds the 30 oz Target.\n  - **“10 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends drops to equal or below the 10 oz Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Chart (logarithmic scale) on Longterm Trends, specifically:\n\n- 1-Year view (\"1y\").\n- Bitcoin / Gold ratio in ounces for each day\n\nOnly the “Bitcoin / Gold Ratio” value as quoted by Longterm Trends will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The Bitcoin / Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Longterm Trends platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPEyDGGhFPqfTwxovAzF1icd5Xq8bb6fAXmWt1wpfRBpK","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06533ba4-1c6d-479f-6f38-9fd710b18200/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T11:54:49Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11729.269306,"volume_24hr":25.037893,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.25507926940918,"normalized_volume":27.140377044677734,"liquidity":1054.396358,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.77673295,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","top_outcome_probability":0.77673295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T09:42:57.459926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T09:42:57.459926Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","chart_24h":[0.77673295,0.77673295]},{"source":"myriad","id":"68540","ticker":null,"slug":"sol-next-move-pump-to-160-or-dump-to-40-5fa05be5-5e2a-4a7e-b101-afafaabf08ae","title":"SOL next move: Pump to $160 or Dump to $40?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Pump Target:** $160.00\n- **Dump Target**: $40.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“$160”** if the SOL/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.\n  - **“$40”** if the SOL/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Binance SOL/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\n\n- 1-minute timeframe (\"1m\").\n- Trading View.\n- \"Close\" price of each candle.\n\nOnly the price of SOL/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The SOL/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmXMhHtsMdeCho7SbozdFopCPaMkptN4ZWWizZBkRnBVgt","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/5fc9a0da-4136-4b38-d688-3321e33dc300/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T14:38:18Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12991.46801273,"volume_24hr":17.90956223,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.594447135925293,"normalized_volume":27.735641479492188,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.30020637,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SOL next move: Pump to $160 or Dump to $40?","top_outcome_probability":0.30020637,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0023069000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":16.377134079999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:34:57.558941Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:34:57.558941Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/sol-next-move-pump-to-160-or-dump-to-40-5fa05be5-5e2a-4a7e-b101-afafaabf08ae","chart_24h":[0.30251327,0.30020637]},{"source":"myriad","id":"317","ticker":null,"slug":"up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","title":"Up or Down?","description":"**There are zero trading fees charged for this market.**\n\n**This market is a social sentiment experiment, is trading only, and will never be resolved towards either option.**\n\nWinning or losing? To be or not to be? *Up or Down?*\n\nQuestions that have been asked since the dawn of time, maybe even before. But is it more than a societal belief that pits us against each other?\n\nTo begin grasping a potential path to an answer, we must first acknowledge that there isn’t one. Like a caveman transported to Woodstock ‘69, we must attempt to understand the crowd that we are simultaneously part of and apart from—a crowd that behaves unpredictably based on predictable events and continues to surprise us while seemingly never changing.\n\nOnly then—once humbled, emboldened, and full of wonder—we can ask ourselves and the atoms around us the ever-ringing question, the itch at the back of our brains, the perpetrator of too many sleepless nights: **Up or Down?**\n\n**Market Period:** Infinite. Do not give heed to any calendar dates, as they are but a mere distraction\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- This market will not resolve\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- No resolution can be triggered in this market\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\nThis market will be canceled/invalid if:\n\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands the cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives\n- Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist\n\n*In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmUw7i2DikGEqWbsWnYoiMZzHeY7ztsU39hAb9USWpWJjT","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/9130cf3b-d002-46e8-abd8-bdb9c499e400/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-06T15:25:24Z","end_date":"2100-12-31T23:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31873833.204637,"volume_24hr":16.151399,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.837424278259277,"normalized_volume":92.27731323242188,"liquidity":2135.95146,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Sentiment"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.45469238,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Up or Down?","top_outcome_probability":0.45469238,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T13:22:33.282241Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T13:22:33.282241Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","chart_24h":null},{"source":"myriad","id":"34230","ticker":null,"slug":"who-airdrops-first-c97106c9-0873-4fa5-a28a-190cddb92c1c","title":"Who airdrops first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the projects has officially performed an airdrop.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Hyperliquid**\" if they perform an airdrop before [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun) does.\n- Resolves to \"[**Pump.fun**](http://Pump.fun)\" if they perform an airdrop before Hyperliquid does.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official announcements of both [Hyperliquid](https://x.com/hyperliquidx) and [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun).\n- A confirmation of an airdrop date alone will not trigger a “Yes” resolution. Any airdrop must have already occured to trigger resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmcYJmq5jbdBZYd4UQD7SAAE16eTE7Ve6XeXLX8tv3ewkN","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b397d0a5-269e-4c15-f4ee-1165d7c13400/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-20T18:41:10Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":844.63179145,"volume_24hr":16.0614093,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.797342300415039,"normalized_volume":14.043456077575684,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.61169898,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Who airdrops first?","top_outcome_probability":0.61169898,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T11:23:39.055634Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T11:23:39.055634Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/who-airdrops-first-c97106c9-0873-4fa5-a28a-190cddb92c1c","chart_24h":[0.61169898,0.61169898]},{"source":"myriad","id":"25768","ticker":null,"slug":"will-nfts-make-a-comeback-before-july-d5d80dd0-c500-4596-b41f-4eb20d066797","title":"Will NFTs make a comeback before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From market publication until Market Close.\n- **Observation Period**: From market publication until June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Market Targets:**\n\n1. [Bored Ape Yacht Club](https://opensea.io/collection/boredapeyachtclub): 10.00 ETH - Target hit ✅\n2. [Pudgy Penguins](https://opensea.io/collection/pudgypenguins): 10.00 ETH\n3. [CryptoPunks](https://opensea.io/collection/cryptopunks): 50.00 ETH\n4. [Hypurr](https://opensea.io/collection/hypurr-hyperevm): 900.0000 HYPE\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\nResolves to “**Yes**” if at least three of the Market Targets are hit during the Observation Period.\n\nResolves to “**No**” if only 2 or less of the Market Targets are hit during the Observation Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- All Market Targets refer to “Floor” prices as per OpenSea’s data. No other floor price data but OpenSea’s is subject to this market.\n- The market resolves based on the “Insights” of OpenSea and the “Floor” chart.\n- Any data point equal to or above the Market Target occuring during the Observation Period will be enough to count towards a “Yes” resolution. Targets reached during the Observation Period will be marked as such in this markets description to allow easier tracking for participants.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking for a prolonged time during the Observation Period.\n- OpenSea is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Observation Period.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmfBM6B3uKATgJNDYAtYsSNukLA6rPafGfpdMZj92s3Hn4","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/6d5d1eb7-e086-42a6-5b8b-530c0c4f8a00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-15T17:56:20Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15302.45318256,"volume_24hr":10.17930074,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.818997859954834,"normalized_volume":28.702648162841797,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.03802773,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will NFTs make a comeback before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.03802773,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-203.99179622,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-nfts-make-a-comeback-before-july-d5d80dd0-c500-4596-b41f-4eb20d066797","chart_24h":[0.03802773,0.03802773]},{"source":"myriad","id":"27498","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-capture-another-president-before-his-birthday-0c402be6-0129-432a-bef8-cc370b6a48ed","title":"Will Trump capture another president before his birthday?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date to June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Market Close:** June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Resolution Time:** June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome has been reached.\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if the Trump Administration confirms that another president has been placed in custody of the United States of America before Resolution Time.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- Another president is considered placed in custody if they are detained and under the control of the U.S. federal government.\n- The person’s freedom of movement must be restricted by federal authority, either through incarceration, detention, or supervised federal control to count towards a potential “Yes” resolution.\n- Any president of any United Nations country will count towards resolution as long as they are the undisputed and currently active leader of their country. Previous presidents, vice-presidents or oppositional leaders that are not currently in the sole power of their country will not count towards a potential “Yes” resolution.\n- The legality aspect of a detention will not be relevant for resolving this market and will therefore not affect the outcome.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\n- The [White House website](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) will be the primary resolution source for this market.\n- In case the primary resolution source doesn’t report on an event potentially subject to this market, these secondary resolution sources can also be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, official interviews of the Trump administation or verifiable video footage.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- All listed resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experience significant disruptions for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance prevents determining the outcome conclusively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/Qma9FAX15kHewT8vm61vykGA9bqQhNdDLvEbQWSp72i3PQ","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/255d431f-1bb4-4d90-032b-d1f7032e8000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-16T18:13:33Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33465.07726889,"volume_24hr":10.00947128,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.720149040222168,"normalized_volume":33.55336380004883,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.02172365,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump capture another president before his birthday?","top_outcome_probability":0.02172365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-501.91630420999996,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:14:52.303491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-capture-another-president-before-his-birthday-0c402be6-0129-432a-bef8-cc370b6a48ed","chart_24h":[0.02172365,0.02172365]},{"source":"myriad","id":"48006","ticker":null,"slug":"sol-vs-silver-which-hits-150-first-3a972677-8d7f-4368-8901-fb03c7a8f9f1","title":"SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?","description":"# Rules / Description\n\n### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Target:** $150.00\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\nThe market resolves based on which asset first reaches or exceeds the Market Target:\n\n- **“SOL”** if Solana (SOL/USDT) price on Binance hits or exceeds the Market Target.\n- **“SILVER”** if Silver (XAG/USD) price on TradingView hits or exceeds the Market Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- SOL price will be tracked using **Binance’s SOL/USDT spot chart:**\n\n<https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot>\n\n- SILVER price will be tracked using **TradingView’s XAG/USD chart (Source: OANDA):**\n\n<https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAGUSD>\n\n- The **1-minute candle close price** (“C”) will be used to confirm when a target is hit\n\n**Tie-breaker rules:**\n\n- If both assets reach or exceed $150 **within the same 1-minute candle**, the first to hit the mark will be determined using finer candle data (e.g. tick data) from their respective platforms.\n- Price spikes or brief wick touches that do not close above $150 will **not** count as a hit — only candle **close** values are valid.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Either Binance or TradingView becomes unavailable, unreliable, or experiences major disruptions.\n- Price data for either SOL or SILVER cannot be verified during the Market Period.\n- Any significant technical issue prevents proper tracking or confirmation of the target hit.\n\nIn case of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the current market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmVF4FZDkgwvMk69nVh6LuDiJuFmnGN2KKaaeLBj2kBD3G","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/ca84788c-4ddd-4f12-4b7d-b2f3c1fd1700/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-28T17:50:23Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21649.68535308,"volume_24hr":8.84697279,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.0185627937316895,"normalized_volume":30.806861877441406,"liquidity":1000.00302099,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.44574847,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?","top_outcome_probability":0.44574847,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T06:52:11.393207Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T06:52:11.393207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/sol-vs-silver-which-hits-150-first-3a972677-8d7f-4368-8901-fb03c7a8f9f1","chart_24h":[0.44574847,0.44574847]},{"source":"myriad","id":"144497","ticker":null,"slug":"eth-flipped-on-cmc-historicals-in-2026","title":"ETH flipped on CMC Historicals in 2026?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Period:** Upon market publication until December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC or earlier if an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**\" if ETH is ranked as the third cryptocurrency or lower in any CoinMarketCap Historical Snapshot during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to \"**No**\" if ETH ranks at least as the second cryptocurrency for every CoinMarketCap Historical Snapshot during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the ranking of CoinMarketCap only.\n- Only CoinMarketCap’s Cryptocurrency Historical Snapshots, which the resolution source completes every Sunday, will be used for resolution. Daily snapshots by CoinMarketCap or any snapshots by another platform are not subject to this market.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- CoinMarketCap is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- ETH is delisted from CoinMarketCap.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmR1Y8q6v894ASWzH1Voca1egAQXRkNjXb7X5ueLVYrTks","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/4c0c23a8-1ee1-4e81-a13c-602ba6c16800/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-25T12:12:45Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8947.19251884,"volume_24hr":6.07767626,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.138200759887695,"normalized_volume":25.594724655151367,"liquidity":1019.28398173,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.86088829,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"ETH flipped on CMC Historicals in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.86088829,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T05:24:14.028058Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T05:24:14.028058Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/eth-flipped-on-cmc-historicals-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.86088829,0.86088829,0.86088829,0.86088829,0.86088829,0.86088829]},{"source":"myriad","id":"756","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-capture-another-president-before-his-birthday","title":"Will Trump capture another president before his birthday?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date to June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Market Close:** June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n- **Resolution Time:** June 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome has been reached.\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if the Trump Administration confirms that another president has been placed in custody of the United States of America before Resolution Time.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- Another president is considered placed in custody if they are detained and under the control of the U.S. federal government.\n- The person’s freedom of movement must be restricted by federal authority, either through incarceration, detention, or supervised federal control to count towards a potential “Yes” resolution.\n- Any president of any United Nations country will count towards resolution as long as they are the undisputed and currently active leader of their country. Previous presidents, vice-presidents or oppositional leaders that are not currently in the sole power of their country will not count towards a potential “Yes” resolution.\n- The legality aspect of a detention will not be relevant for resolving this market and will therefore not affect the outcome.\n\n### **Resolution Sources:**\n\n- The [White House website](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) will be the primary resolution source for this market.\n- In case the primary resolution source doesn’t report on an event potentially subject to this market, these secondary resolution sources can also be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, official interviews of the Trump administation or verifiable video footage.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- All listed resolution sources become unavailable, unreliable, or experience significant disruptions for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance prevents determining the outcome conclusively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/Qma9FAX15kHewT8vm61vykGA9bqQhNdDLvEbQWSp72i3PQ","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/255d431f-1bb4-4d90-032b-d1f7032e8000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-16T18:05:36Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15846.384739,"volume_24hr":5.13863,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.41790246963501,"normalized_volume":28.911096572875977,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.03888096,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump capture another president before his birthday?","top_outcome_probability":0.03888096,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T17:05:46.884632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T17:05:46.884632Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-capture-another-president-before-his-birthday","chart_24h":[0.03888096,0.03888096]}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":77,"total_pages":2},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"http://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?source=myriad","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:04:56.692156Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}