{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?source=opinion","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:13:42.847470Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"},"items":[{"source":"opinion","id":"337","ticker":"337","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3cd3c3d78cacb0770e3a6862269da45ca9f06c75ba90ca7d0bf0f6111c6a2efd","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:38:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-22T03:56:40Z","volume":824384797.8955001,"volume_24hr":3003581.4864999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ubisoft","top_outcome_probability":0.426,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:28:14.462237Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T16:28:14.462237Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[4004396.4865,4370396.4865,5057521.4865,5669956.4865,5647521.486500001,5647521.486500001,5505581.486499999,4811021.4865,4123896.4865,3429271.4865,3003581.4864999996]},{"source":"opinion","id":"360","ticker":"360","slug":"lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","title":"LoL: Worlds 2026 Winning Region","description":"This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026).\n\nIf the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).\n\nRegions counted in World 2026:\n- LCK (South Korea)\n- LPL (China)\n- LEC (Europe / EMEA)\n- LCP (Asia-Pacific)\n- LCS (North America)\n- CBLOL (Brazil)","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7ee320804caafe46952a439b5d4f4d4ea8d24787a943e327dd9456c90e426eae","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T05:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":775874210.3915,"volume_24hr":2505433.7400000007,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":97.58313751220703,"normalized_volume":99.44540405273438,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"LCK (South Korea)","top_outcome_probability":0.709,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.7604999999748543,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:25.958472Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T15:13:25.958472Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","chart_24h":[3502681.523,3885632.4390000007,4619626.278,5273840.1345,5162142.159,5162142.159,4404234.3235,3662246.488,2928252.649,2505433.7400000007]},{"source":"opinion","id":"380","ticker":"380","slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcb42f112953cc7e513b8cf74262f32eab068943f50a4f9ab7b827084b1af0c79","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:51:25Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16852526.1115,"volume_24hr":294710.132,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.29273223876953,"normalized_volume":65.71695709228516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mark Kelly","top_outcome_probability":0.989,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:26:56.921670Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:26:56.921670Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"167","ticker":"167","slug":"will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xfed2b01b8e01a4e7efffd6921ac7c7ad25182408be3af93c77dcc08c0d441030","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:18:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:49Z","volume":72055766.6785,"volume_24hr":258599.6505,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.82051849365234,"normalized_volume":77.69427490234375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.206,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-20T17:52:32.728052Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T17:52:32.728052Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"2649","ticker":"2649","slug":"will-micron-mu-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will Micron (MU) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0xfa32b0c20b3405cc0d80583eeac6c30dbec4faada053d0b38b15eb45431e76cb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:24:20Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":347443.096,"volume_24hr":50271.763,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.675472259521484,"normalized_volume":38.63312530517578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1,120","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":629.8949999999895,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:51:25.317025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:51:25.317025Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-micron-mu-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[31984.907,35009.294,36882.394,36655.972,35009.272,33429.871999999996,33429.871999999996,35474.683,35474.683,45791.053,56315.261,50271.763]},{"source":"opinion","id":"2647","ticker":"2647","slug":"will-nvidia-nvda-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x01d47e80485563f7dc2b4245c68c81f8e858fef5e772bcd4c5faa14651e8e3bb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:23:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":814378.434,"volume_24hr":47902.2745,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.206661224365234,"normalized_volume":43.964088439941406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"170","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3579.3439999999973,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:27:17.330911Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:27:17.330911Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-nvidia-nvda-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[31290.627,33910.363999999994,33910.363999999994,33288.2375,33288.2375,33342.4875,33342.4875,33613.6285,33613.6285,43557.5375,53797.1135,47902.2745]},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107064415.0025,"volume_24hr":23023.539,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.3498420715332,"normalized_volume":81.13240051269531,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 (150 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.906,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T11:12:18.025823Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T11:12:18.025823Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[27007.539,48917.539,34974.539,23023.539]},{"source":"opinion","id":"353","ticker":"353","slug":"hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Hyperbeat FDV above ... one day after launch?·","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x68f53c40990c7a52d09559ecba82cc4b13e5e4566c358e66e6d113d9cd8c31c6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:18:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6270138.6975,"volume_24hr":20317.596,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.227909088134766,"normalized_volume":58.1395378112793,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.201,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T06:14:13.158022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T06:14:13.158022Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"2643","ticker":"2643","slug":"will-meta-meta-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will Meta (META) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Meta (META) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Meta (META) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x0701e35047db66f12a3d1c18eae2929766b995ed33466017ac38505657e2b431","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:21:47Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179756.747,"volume_24hr":15400.074,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.79137420654297,"normalized_volume":34.74524688720703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"660","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7163.909999999974,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:27:17.330911Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:27:17.330911Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:09:02.502425Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-meta-meta-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":[11280.547999999999,13308.047999999999,13308.047999999999,13318.356,10136.136,10136.136,13903.090999999999,17699.991,15400.074]},{"source":"opinion","id":"99","ticker":"99","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Polymarket officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x503b9f4734a4bfa128ec083e793779f1f5257e37e5a00c5a36fbda47d2ce9317","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T04:59:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-02T12:15:21Z","volume":148951251.662,"volume_24hr":9035.7705,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.29768753051758,"normalized_volume":84.05611419677734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.015,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T08:33:30.889291Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T08:33:30.889291Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"274","ticker":"274","slug":"us-strike-on-mexico-by","title":"US strike on Mexico by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa93ead326184275ec45165b54713a60a209cffd1b80c364660164938485025db","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T04:11:39Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T12:05:29Z","volume":4691563.707,"volume_24hr":8893.461,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.167816162109375,"normalized_volume":56.0047492980957,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.123,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T16:30:44.238114Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T16:30:44.238114Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/us-strike-on-mexico-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"8453","ticker":null,"slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","title":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nReza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, exile leadership without effective authority inside Iran, nomination without effective authority, or ceremonial or transitional status without governing control will not qualify.\n\nIf Iran experiences a period in which no individual exercises effective governing control, this will not alone qualify for a “Yes” resolution unless Reza Pahlavi subsequently meets the criteria above within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0a419b69ac11603d9239f6d10ca9edb6ea868b38ab0eb5808b1664632e71f9e8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T08:12:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11462989.017,"volume_24hr":8686.887999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.9759635925293,"normalized_volume":62.7082405090332,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.054,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.054,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"172","ticker":"172","slug":"will-theo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Theo launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x34ec30e72519166e0aae558904c7bfd6ce5b02b9b51a753af22b750d024a885b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:31:42Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-08T13:12:25Z","volume":17148410.209000003,"volume_24hr":7896.868,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.202693939208984,"normalized_volume":65.85450744628906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.406,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:28:46.057299Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T16:28:46.057299Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-theo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[0.0,7896.868]},{"source":"opinion","id":"312","ticker":"312","slug":"f1-world-drivers-champion-2026","title":"F1 World Drivers’ Champion 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8ab1b8bb6c0da0cbb5103192c80adcf90d2745bdbe4992458eda060e001d8dab","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T10:41:50Z","end_date":"2026-12-06T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-12T14:53:25Z","volume":14228216.913999999,"volume_24hr":7764.802000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.066768646240234,"normalized_volume":64.38672637939453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Max Verstappen","top_outcome_probability":0.961,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/f1-world-drivers-champion-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1191","ticker":"1191","slug":"mlb-world-series-champion-2026","title":"MLB World Series Champion 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x35f36dc4f00e49db250511db92718c9a050dc98726f926047299921eaf8b4746","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T05:25:49Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1640746.0105,"volume_24hr":6600.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.76997756958008,"normalized_volume":48.60597610473633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Milwaukee Brewers","top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-14T11:20:59.237689Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T11:20:59.237689Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T21:14:41.406255Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/mlb-world-series-champion-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"233","ticker":"233","slug":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Loopscale launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x920ccdedcec759ee4a59f8bae3870e5518579d70e51ab8fc03bd6e7721cfe9fe","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:40:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:38:48Z","volume":10409463.5215,"volume_24hr":5779.455,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.728363037109375,"normalized_volume":61.96658706665039,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.323,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:33:45.718394Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:33:45.718394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"396","ticker":"396","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6055a496564f52640204ce2ff7fb53695b8251f2d2d4c8f87cf15b4cc52baa3a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:45:32Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":336012.487,"volume_24hr":5213.0425,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.93004608154297,"normalized_volume":38.43080139160156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$25M","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T07:22:52.629123Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T07:22:52.629123Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"327","ticker":"327","slug":"what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x56e259f239cbf1ed400d7d66eacf27d6c3a061ef2993112d130c451a0203730b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T04:15:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2489708.9135,"volume_24hr":4644.1145,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.047000885009766,"normalized_volume":51.480018615722656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6,500-7,000","top_outcome_probability":0.507,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T15:21:49.722718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T15:21:49.722718Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"378","ticker":"378","slug":"where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","title":"Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","description":"This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).\n\nIf NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\n\nIf no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcc76c7e013d7f7ad9d9903b2c7ffc2fa80708b7f4d7e3b2295c52d4118d5a522","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-14T14:46:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50534.653,"volume_24hr":4135.4675,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.172706604003906,"normalized_volume":27.839534759521484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 or lower","top_outcome_probability":0.924,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:52:25.067942Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:52:25.067942Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","chart_24h":[4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7991","ticker":null,"slug":"sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","title":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","description":"Resolution Deadline\n\nDecember 31, 2026, 11:59 PM IST.\n\nThis market resolves to“Yes”if by the resolution deadline, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) publishes or issues a Final Order or Adjudication Order that explicitly concludes that Jane Street: engaged in market manipulation, fraud, or unfair trade practices, or violated the SEBI Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations (PFUTP).\n\nThis market resolves to“No”if, by the resolution deadline: no qualifying SEBI Final Order / Adjudication Order is issued, or SEBI issues only interim orders, show-cause notices, investigation updates, press statements, or charges/allegations without a qualifying final determination.\n\nEdge case: \n\nJudicial Overrule. If SEBI issues a qualifying final finding that would otherwise trigger “Yes”, but before the resolution deadline that finding is fully set aside / vacated (i.e., completely nullified on the merits) by either: the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT), or the Supreme Court of India, then the market resolves “No.”\n\nNotes for clarity:\n\nIf an appeal is pending, or the SEBI order is stayed but not fully set aside/vacated, the market still resolves based on whether a qualifying SEBI final order exists by the deadline.\n\nIf a court/SAT partially modifies the SEBI order but leaves intact a conclusion that Jane Street violated PFUTP / engaged in manipulation, it remains “Yes.”\n\nPrimary Sources\n\nSEBI official order/publication pages, official gazette postings, or SEBI press releases linking to the order.\n\nIf SEBI documents are not accessible, a consensus of reputable reporting that reproduces the key conclusion and identifies the order type and date.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0e1b87e3474639048ba087503973ce2dd997710587c31ff75ee00c452882a8c5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28640.456,"volume_24hr":4030.6255,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.980802536010742,"normalized_volume":24.996885299682617,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.104,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","top_outcome_probability":0.104,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"354","ticker":"354","slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Puffpaw FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xf71b7f26a9563898e1914ad911b9d41cf2da0a26b333947bff74418390d72546","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:20:29Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8054750.297,"volume_24hr":3405.4495,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.7359676361084,"normalized_volume":60.01520538330078,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$400M","top_outcome_probability":0.562,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T09:24:26.297971Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T09:24:26.297971Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"394","ticker":"394","slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Predict.fun FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\n The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc3f6d5fc5f7cbfb666eb8aa7f3f30097b34314e0b292a695f4ec3f301a18cf77","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:37:17Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1137984.915,"volume_24hr":3251.4915,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.398754119873047,"normalized_volume":46.152259826660156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.999,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T17:13:58.704382Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T17:13:58.704382Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"340","ticker":"340","slug":"what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","title":"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?","description":"Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered.\n\nTime window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on  December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints.\n\nMeaning of “hit”:\n\nFor any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.\n\nFor any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x171560c68677aeb578d28d82258e6ad0e18d8237e04ec29af129df13444761b9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T05:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T09:50:01Z","volume":879503.0725,"volume_24hr":2998.2245,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.81230926513672,"normalized_volume":44.46250915527344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 130,000","top_outcome_probability":0.966,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T07:23:35.441722Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T07:23:35.441722Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"234","ticker":"234","slug":"will-nansen-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Nansen launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa8cc9fac710250a14aaa6ff177141c0454535d0c216b8c4e63c93b6fff0b14ee","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:43:22Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-02T12:15:44Z","volume":30417317.0055,"volume_24hr":2180.1345,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.565418243408203,"normalized_volume":70.46397399902344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2000.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T08:20:54.337404Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T08:20:54.337404Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-nansen-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[205.3245,2180.1345]},{"source":"opinion","id":"381","ticker":"381","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb8b45b0c7950bafeab9c4f389a4d6252a5d98d3074e894c6078481eb3f4691ba","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:56:22Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25639302.6825,"volume_24hr":2154.2415,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.482946395874023,"normalized_volume":69.07323455810547,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ron DeSantis","top_outcome_probability":0.968,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T16:25:38.266808Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T16:25:38.266808Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"395","ticker":"395","slug":"predict-fun-launch-a-token-by","title":"Predict.fun launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Predict.fun officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Predict.fun’s official X account, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x2589d83e6fedb3329efc78344c6337271413506571770d6c8df3ab5ec1a519a6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:40:50Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-02T14:14:51Z","volume":4957599.328,"volume_24hr":2074.0725,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.222017288208008,"normalized_volume":56.40764617919922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T13:15:50.480713Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T13:15:50.480713Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/predict-fun-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"349","ticker":"349","slug":"what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","title":"What will Silver settle at in June?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.\n\nFor CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x92c300e8074e81036682236828a190b32966568ce7d374ab409714e897e71f7a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T05:17:50Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T02:57:26Z","volume":1453292.227,"volume_24hr":1972.5105,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.878578186035156,"normalized_volume":47.78535079956055,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$60-$70","top_outcome_probability":0.461,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T18:58:16.773081Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T18:58:16.773081Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"336","ticker":"336","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest Company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3bdaf162bdf3b4ba942d72983e38de4dd2fedb438f1af6aef0fc23a80af0b015","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:24:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5493433.5415,"volume_24hr":1840.1804999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.40729522705078,"normalized_volume":57.16119384765625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Saudi Aramco","top_outcome_probability":0.949,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T17:13:49.914812Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/largest-company-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"7653","ticker":null,"slug":"will-usd1-depeg-before-2027","title":"Will USD1 depeg before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6e74d61a91f1797195c3b497a6620515d94db17349696633f344ab5351a00439","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T13:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71483.923,"volume_24hr":1786.8120000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.20887565612793,"normalized_volume":29.651012420654297,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto","Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.52,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will USD1 depeg before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T04:15:23.381994Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T04:15:23.381994Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-usd1-depeg-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"96","ticker":"96","slug":"standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"StandX FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project’s token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xd30ec96396a10e2cce4eb69de85a6ed7d1fa894c5d0f8e817814949a69bdb965","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-16T16:25:22Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128274862.6645,"volume_24hr":1742.8890000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.041685104370117,"normalized_volume":82.72642517089844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$800M","top_outcome_probability":0.098,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-16T07:15:40.836525Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T07:15:40.836525Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"434","ticker":"434","slug":"netanyahu-out-by","title":"Netanyahu out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x9168217788a134d4613c8217cf9f20ec4e9a9422468c0ac21fd12ca1ead3ccc6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T03:38:58Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:15:04Z","volume":110197.396,"volume_24hr":1333.4475,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.278247833251953,"normalized_volume":31.99171257019043,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.346,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/netanyahu-out-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"205","ticker":"205","slug":"consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3899e02d4bce226940b09faf3335dfb93005c3577f2cb28dfee35d87e6b1782a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-24T05:37:49Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097448.3525,"volume_24hr":1034.5135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.666358947753906,"normalized_volume":55.021793365478516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2B","top_outcome_probability":0.396,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-12T14:38:25Z","volume":14634047.943500001,"volume_24hr":979.7595,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.32861328125,"normalized_volume":64.6067886352539,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T21:25:32.411838Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T21:25:32.411838Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"192","ticker":"192","slug":"will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Tempo launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x4f531206782c8d1b65089a6bc42df2f9963be81afa7db4852f06f112ee75d64c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T07:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:43Z","volume":7848770.4135,"volume_24hr":918.8190000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.933198928833008,"normalized_volume":59.819828033447266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.066,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T12:10:03.810657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T12:10:03.810657Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"344","ticker":"344","slug":"how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","title":"How high will the US inflation get in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x5b7abb577c923843fcec6b9e4b2287c0964f6415ee61148e0175c6e6f8dd4ba9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T06:18:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-11T17:04:00Z","volume":9342098.342500001,"volume_24hr":906.959,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.853656768798828,"normalized_volume":61.13959503173828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 5%","top_outcome_probability":0.899,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"2639","ticker":"2639","slug":"will-amazon-amzn-close-above-end-of-october","title":"Will Amazon (AMZN) close above … end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Amazon (AMZN) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0xa149fff6320d60031791c90500b7f88ccaf2d3f8ff56ed9686736604bdf6245c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T22:20:49Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":267432.145,"volume_24hr":867.259,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.580785751342773,"normalized_volume":37.06428909301758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"210","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T02:12:01.467348Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T02:12:01.467348Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T22:43:52.985342Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-amazon-amzn-close-above-end-of-october","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"201","ticker":"201","slug":"will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will fomo.family launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fomo (https://fomo.family/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fomo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x825a5026b183bf3e68c4763ce0911bcc64421a2465b267bc1c60027e20b29a5b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T04:14:43Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-02T12:15:06Z","volume":14855850.3085,"volume_24hr":801.92,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.107622146606445,"normalized_volume":64.72465515136719,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.133,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-560.3299999998417,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T18:35:50.958188Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T18:35:50.958188Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"143","ticker":"143","slug":"kraken-ipo-by","title":"Kraken IPO by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb3f99d660681931944795316ebd517344ed63ecef485183413c11b8453c78232","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-05T04:30:33Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:19Z","volume":7699686.668,"volume_24hr":744.1065,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.66080665588379,"normalized_volume":59.67539596557617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.152,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T02:14:25.105674Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T02:14:25.105674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/kraken-ipo-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"397","ticker":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by","title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x46289c6779e6fcd9409567a228ee35df008b35963aaaa310352ee05058d7957c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:39Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:19:37Z","volume":5631888.473,"volume_24hr":699.254,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.293411254882812,"normalized_volume":57.344703674316406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.816,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-13T19:01:40.045622Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T19:01:40.045622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"118","ticker":"118","slug":"will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will MetaMask launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if MetaMask officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MetaMask (https://x.com/MetaMask), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6ee5f997496e4dbca72218b4be1438527cf774a7fc3f64aa3ec6ae386137fe25","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T17:39:10Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:04:10Z","volume":10956020.5725,"volume_24hr":542.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.8311767578125,"normalized_volume":62.359710693359375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T05:25:46.954673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T05:25:46.954673Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"173","ticker":"173","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0d2569a1cafc6fd22f6113c8a5f70204c32584c062749097e0694f1cd982a241","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:38:41Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42427468.322000004,"volume_24hr":463.7055,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.953929901123047,"normalized_volume":73.21208953857422,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$3B","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T03:08:23.988515Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T03:08:23.988515Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"168","ticker":"168","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Abstract launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc5d211fd123c3d38e57d78a33e1625a5e7d1a5c907db6bbb1879c1dc4e4f2402","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:30:20Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":5907446.611500001,"volume_24hr":429.77,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.537845611572266,"normalized_volume":57.69770431518555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.017,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T13:16:26.130319Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T13:16:26.130319Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1185","ticker":"1185","slug":"time-person-of-the-year-2026","title":"TIME Person of the Year 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.\n\nAdditionally, the following rules apply:\n\nIf multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.\n\nIf the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.\n\nIf the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.\n\nIf TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.\n\nIf for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.\n","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x9798f9610a65054f2ba9c47127f61b03f912aba3bc9cb360e9760b5b289c3dd7","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T04:19:03Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6134.1905,"volume_24hr":400.6275,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.158071517944336,"normalized_volume":18.05436134338379,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Zohran Mamdani","top_outcome_probability":0.303,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T05:29:53.257812Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T05:29:53.257812Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T21:14:41.406255Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/time-person-of-the-year-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"119","ticker":"119","slug":"will-base-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Base launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcd6e34345da26e129510f2a661fc91ddfda94dec0724dc5570f4c672f0404cc2","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T02:46:49Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-10-02T12:14:59Z","volume":19855396.6965,"volume_24hr":396.86,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.107311248779297,"normalized_volume":67.01852416992188,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.139,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-15T05:24:41.059408Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T05:24:41.059408Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-base-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"152","ticker":"152","slug":"openai-ipo-closing-market-cap","title":"OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8d0b8977a6cd5ce99db32a36c87ec77a136d4591741206288326c65a81c71312","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T16:16:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33567036.1075,"volume_24hr":378.0045,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.84708309173584,"normalized_volume":71.27217102050781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No IPO before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.949,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-20T15:23:51.268445Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T15:23:51.268445Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/openai-ipo-closing-market-cap","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"112","ticker":"112","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by","title":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by ...?","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x380dfdca9187c1ec27d529d45daa773253907de09c403b920c58ca9fe9155248","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T02:16:08Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:36:15Z","volume":32473101.674,"volume_24hr":377.5595,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.840812683105469,"normalized_volume":70.99989318847656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.004,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T04:31:04.081936Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T04:31:04.081936Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"352","ticker":"352","slug":"polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7bbcc503bbd9f5f29aeb34d9f38d6d9440bf5ce952a0fb1d1e2832e53aaedee8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:08:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9169946.4885,"volume_24hr":375.198,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.80743408203125,"normalized_volume":60.99797439575195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$10B","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:11:45.664507Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:11:45.664507Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"193","ticker":"193","slug":"which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027","title":"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between December 20, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.\n\nThis market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x48c09fe78495cb233261f2c38946b5e249b2c5edb3c0d5e17a5f4d9eadb84ec5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T07:26:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-30T11:47:51Z","volume":28556864.635,"volume_24hr":340.8645,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.301345825195312,"normalized_volume":69.9487075805664,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sam Altman - OpenAI","top_outcome_probability":0.876,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T04:13:31.861026Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T04:13:31.861026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"330","ticker":"330","slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by","title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa4cd116e7343ae43d1d9ee6fe7e90f73cb32b7c5c5ff3af48e162e1b716de14e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T06:05:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T07:10:59Z","volume":557610.7195,"volume_24hr":247.8945,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.681875228881836,"normalized_volume":41.5511474609375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.202,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"232","ticker":"232","slug":"will-perena-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Perena launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa1b369727d5f74d1b7086c64568bd0297d7bf9f833f0320217c5c629fcbeede0","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:35:29Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-02T12:15:29Z","volume":10321700.3985,"volume_24hr":220.1155,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.101200103759766,"normalized_volume":61.90166473388672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-07T16:30:04.630466Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T16:30:04.630466Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-perena-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":389,"total_pages":8}}