{"items":[{"source":"opinion","id":"337","ticker":"337","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3cd3c3d78cacb0770e3a6862269da45ca9f06c75ba90ca7d0bf0f6111c6a2efd","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:38:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":252412108.991,"volume_24hr":7910555.773999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":96.62560272216797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ubisoft","top_outcome_probability":0.598,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.936999999918044,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[2466663.9305,2466663.9305,3088050.206,3088050.206,4031173.6465,4977157.5205,5505274.669,5743158.4285,5623527.2025,5572195.632000001,5572195.632000001,6064721.755500001,6064721.755500001,6186787.6605,6744891.411,7297984.674,7297984.674,7910555.773999999]},{"source":"opinion","id":"212","ticker":"212","slug":"lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","title":"LoL: LPL 2026 Season Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.\n\nIf the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8da448d31f9ce70ef85cda23c55c44526e57d7f3a6cb7096ef908706a933d313","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T03:33:52Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":352827175.0975,"volume_24hr":4003166.7835,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":91.6076431274414,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bilibili Gaming","top_outcome_probability":0.589,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000008,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":113.93699999945238,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:42.477989Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:42.477989Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","chart_24h":[2758172.2495,2758172.2495,3545094.6684999997,4000438.013,4851203.1565,4429854.3095,3822730.386,3037874.1665000003,2422850.042,2412909.5215,2412909.5215,2412976.7145,2413018.604,2413018.604,2752535.052,3114148.0215,3537795.087,3537795.087,4003166.7835]},{"source":"opinion","id":"360","ticker":"360","slug":"lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","title":"LoL: Worlds 2026 Winning Region","description":"This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026).\n\nIf the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).\n\nRegions counted in World 2026:\n- LCK (South Korea)\n- LPL (China)\n- LEC (Europe / EMEA)\n- LCP (Asia-Pacific)\n- LCS (North America)\n- CBLOL (Brazil)","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7ee320804caafe46952a439b5d4f4d4ea8d24787a943e327dd9456c90e426eae","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T05:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":184587112.7015,"volume_24hr":3927732.2845,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":91.37852478027344,"normalized_volume":93.52494049072266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"LCK (South Korea)","top_outcome_probability":0.617,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","chart_24h":[2819381.758,2813174.4895,2813174.4895,3134685.5795,2855777.7355000004,2717769.7795,2927838.9465,2927783.9465,2927783.9465,2725723.9465,2725143.1605,2725143.1605,2869620.839,3200320.5685,3439662.7335,3439662.7335,3927732.2845]},{"source":"opinion","id":"432","ticker":"432","slug":"lol-lec-2026-spring-winner","title":"LoL - LEC 2026 Spring: Winner","description":"The League of Legends EMEA Championship (LEC) 2026 Spring is currently scheduled to take place from March 28 to June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the winner of the LEC 2026 Spring Grand Final.\n\nIf the LEC 2026 Spring is postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nIf multiple teams are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LEC/2026/Spring) may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0a6ce2fae72b09339f5946a35acc196405e4c2915ac3ab8fe56de8b460812e4f","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-30T02:53:02Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46720389.4555,"volume_24hr":342139.5315,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.36325073242188,"normalized_volume":80.51009368896484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Karmine Corp","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:04:25.520394Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:04:25.520394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lec-2026-spring-winner","chart_24h":[272186.1585,272186.1585,348644.3285,290754.3285,178811.3285,178811.3285,219791.44900000002,292465.427,342139.5315]},{"source":"opinion","id":"380","ticker":"380","slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcb42f112953cc7e513b8cf74262f32eab068943f50a4f9ab7b827084b1af0c79","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:51:25Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16846793.5325,"volume_24hr":298250.1165,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.983890533447266,"normalized_volume":71.47819519042969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jon Stewart","top_outcome_probability":0.952,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:19:48.349879Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:19:48.349879Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":[294919.635,294919.635,296134.8325,296617.992,297835.529,297835.529,298250.1165]},{"source":"opinion","id":"167","ticker":"167","slug":"will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xfed2b01b8e01a4e7efffd6921ac7c7ad25182408be3af93c77dcc08c0d441030","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:18:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:05:07Z","volume":72051669.5155,"volume_24hr":258929.4785,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.57905197143555,"normalized_volume":84.50846099853516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-162.08000000193715,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:15:40.520489Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:15:40.520489Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[258784.7335,258929.4785]},{"source":"opinion","id":"389","ticker":"389","slug":"next-james-bond-actor","title":"Next James Bond actor?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x394cb320db347e403d914c5333da30e1f33cd43cec1fc7d690262b888d82ce73","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T05:46:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12840800.9335,"volume_24hr":118672.0705,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.11139678955078,"normalized_volume":69.1644058227539,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Henry Cavill","top_outcome_probability":0.799,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:08:48.071134Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T11:08:48.071134Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-james-bond-actor","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"823","ticker":"823","slug":"fifa-world-cup-team-to-advance-to-knockout-stages","title":"FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages","description":"This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x542d93a88a2ec13ac2b95607ae84bd7fe7f73974098036ef07d6df08877cdc32","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T05:50:18Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":217599.469,"volume_24hr":31215.0555,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.44892883300781,"normalized_volume":38.995750427246094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Portugal","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3.4450000000000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:13:59.128908Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:13:59.128908Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T05:51:44.956068Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/fifa-world-cup-team-to-advance-to-knockout-stages","chart_24h":[31176.8085,31182.2905,31188.543,31243.3885,31215.0555]},{"source":"opinion","id":"103","ticker":"103","slug":"2026-nba-champion","title":"2026 NBA Champion","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified team wins the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals under NBA rules.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb90151eaa6e7034950c7d0d12e185c16d5f05081104da4fd4683df996e9e2e67","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-21T03:01:40Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-31T03:56:16Z","volume":146309663.1405,"volume_24hr":28723.418,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.76924514770508,"normalized_volume":91.25505065917969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New York Knicks","top_outcome_probability":0.637,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1188.2124999985099,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:19.855801Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:19.855801Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/2026-nba-champion","chart_24h":[29617.838,29522.227,28942.665,28922.726,28962.779,28960.6665,28723.418]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7315","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","title":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0e1eca1cf907de5c40a22c8bf658e1fb3015019dcef14cb747610d954c018a6f","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T04:44:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308924.7525,"volume_24hr":26493.3675,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.114173889160156,"normalized_volume":41.25124740600586,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.389,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":24719.187,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:22:20.380740Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:22:20.380740Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.111,0.111,0.111,0.119,0.112,0.112,0.112,0.114,0.114,0.111,0.118,0.113,0.111,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"opinion","id":"527","ticker":"527","slug":"belgium-vs-egypt","title":"Belgium vs Egypt","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Belgium (BEL) and Egypt (EGY), scheduled for 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC.\n\n- BEL: If Belgium wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- EGY: If Egypt wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both BEL and EGY options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:51:23Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28726.566,"volume_24hr":21803.5585,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.55635070800781,"normalized_volume":27.205318450927734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Egypt wins","top_outcome_probability":0.515,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.28800000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21164.041999999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:03:40.485278Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:03:40.485278Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/belgium-vs-egypt","chart_24h":[699.882,794.7025,798.7905,807.2405,816.1555,816.1555,19155.537999999997,21803.5585]},{"source":"opinion","id":"353","ticker":"353","slug":"hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Hyperbeat FDV above ... one day after launch?·","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x68f53c40990c7a52d09559ecba82cc4b13e5e4566c358e66e6d113d9cd8c31c6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:18:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6258342.4705,"volume_24hr":20306.036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.99488830566406,"normalized_volume":63.22385025024414,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.214,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T00:17:09.121460Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T00:17:09.121460Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"2668","ticker":null,"slug":"9pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027","title":"9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 15, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc78d2205640a9e8ebd3f149e0ec61ef55f05ef411b35d7c7aa985d86c14ee7f6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-19T15:54:33Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4003526.4725,"volume_24hr":19988.799,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.87118148803711,"normalized_volume":59.66570281982422,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.271,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.271,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.01100000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":19883.53,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:17:53.653981Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:17:53.653981Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/9pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.113,0.271,0.271]},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-14T15:14:54Z","volume":14572622.4175,"volume_24hr":18971.147,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.46207809448242,"normalized_volume":70.23774719238281,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SpaceX","top_outcome_probability":0.782,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.2399999999906868,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":[1041.0705,1212.131,1212.131,4497.0635,4502.4815,18181.7275,18181.7275,18971.147]},{"source":"opinion","id":"548","ticker":"548","slug":"ecuador-vs-curacao","title":"Ecuador vs Curaçao","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Ecuador (ECU) and Curaçao (), scheduled for 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC.\n\n- ECU: If Ecuador wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- : If Curaçao wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both ECU and  options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:52:25Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17907.6565,"volume_24hr":18009.9495,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.05714416503906,"normalized_volume":24.758201599121094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ecuador wins","top_outcome_probability":0.788,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.28800000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17907.656500000005,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:19:04.971231Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:19:04.971231Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ecuador-vs-curacao","chart_24h":[4616.234,16598.4155,16598.4155,18009.9495]},{"source":"opinion","id":"553","ticker":"553","slug":"new-zealand-vs-egypt","title":"New Zealand vs Egypt","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between New Zealand (ZEA) and Egypt (EGY), scheduled for 2026-06-22 01:00 UTC.\n\n- ZEA: If New Zealand wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- EGY: If Egypt wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both ZEA and EGY options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:52:40Z","end_date":"2026-06-22T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36285.2465,"volume_24hr":17854.7865,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.989967346191406,"normalized_volume":28.45745277404785,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Egypt wins","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:43:10.933026Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:43:10.933026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/new-zealand-vs-egypt","chart_24h":[404.12749999999994,2429.6375,2970.893,3693.2270000000003,3693.2270000000003,5607.1155,6580.696,6977.4980000000005,7044.052500000001,10051.023500000001,10051.023500000001,17854.7865]},{"source":"opinion","id":"554","ticker":"554","slug":"argentina-vs-austria","title":"Argentina vs Austria","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Argentina (ARG) and Austria (AUS), scheduled for 2026-06-22 17:00 UTC.\n\n- ARG: If Argentina wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- AUS: If Austria wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both ARG and AUS options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:52:42Z","end_date":"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21260.547,"volume_24hr":17684.033,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.915428161621094,"normalized_volume":25.633544921875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Argentina wins","top_outcome_probability":0.526,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05899999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3388.8755,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:03:21.073369Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:03:21.073369Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/argentina-vs-austria","chart_24h":[224.1,451.849,916.24,916.24,2883.082,3318.708,3490.1385,3592.9405,11926.864,17331.775,17684.033]},{"source":"opinion","id":"386","ticker":"386","slug":"where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next","title":"Where will Trump and Putin meet next?","description":"This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between February 1, 2026 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by June 30\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x72cdf3a55754980d5f7bb315f77f7a8b379eb10423a522654073c0241db8c818","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T04:34:27Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9058702.3975,"volume_24hr":12905.309,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.512454986572266,"normalized_volume":66.24723052978516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No meeting by June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T11:07:43.597034Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T11:07:43.597034Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"89","ticker":"89","slug":"gpt-6-released-by","title":"GPT-6 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa6aa6ed8c1e41f597d9598409a9e6cd93c8b031c06da555c530321e8e53204eb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T07:12:35Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T09:53:32Z","volume":17758449.5375,"volume_24hr":12630.849,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.351348876953125,"normalized_volume":71.93167877197266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jun 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.486,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T05:15:07.731001Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T05:15:07.731001Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/gpt-6-released-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"119","ticker":"119","slug":"will-base-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Base launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcd6e34345da26e129510f2a661fc91ddfda94dec0724dc5570f4c672f0404cc2","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T02:46:49Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T09:53:54Z","volume":19815458.9065,"volume_24hr":9803.698499999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.480003356933594,"normalized_volume":72.87937927246094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9302.287000000011,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-base-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[263.8955,263.8955,3773.402,6916.400000000001,6916.400000000001,9803.698499999999]},{"source":"opinion","id":"537","ticker":"537","slug":"uzbekistan-vs-colombia","title":"Uzbekistan vs Colombia","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Uzbekistan (UZB) and Colombia (COL), scheduled for 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC.\n\n- UZB: If Uzbekistan wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- COL: If Colombia wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both UZB and COL options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T02:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11874.29,"volume_24hr":9704.879500000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.40624237060547,"normalized_volume":22.72452735900879,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Colombia wins","top_outcome_probability":0.609,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9696.9865,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:06:11.079739Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:06:11.079739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/uzbekistan-vs-colombia","chart_24h":[2178.1085,6432.5154999999995,6432.5154999999995,9704.879500000001]},{"source":"opinion","id":"99","ticker":"99","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Polymarket officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x503b9f4734a4bfa128ec083e793779f1f5257e37e5a00c5a36fbda47d2ce9317","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T04:59:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T09:53:34Z","volume":148716262.2655,"volume_24hr":9543.147500000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.284061431884766,"normalized_volume":91.41349029541016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.579,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5539999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":943.117499999702,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:22:21.657351Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:22:21.657351Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[8615.12,8615.12,9543.147500000001]},{"source":"opinion","id":"415","ticker":"415","slug":"trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by","title":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nQualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x05b2c237f454eddc1ebf1f1c481cf6dae712410b46a976e805a768f68d08da3e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T08:23:53Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T23:54:59Z","volume":1174339.82,"volume_24hr":9134.338,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.96680450439453,"normalized_volume":50.427032470703125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-22T12:42:58.908176Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T12:42:58.908176Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"549","ticker":"549","slug":"tunisia-vs-japan","title":"Tunisia vs Japan","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Tunisia (TUN) and Japan (JAP), scheduled for 2026-06-21 04:00 UTC.\n\n- TUN: If Tunisia wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- JAP: If Japan wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both TUN and JAP options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:52:28Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26753.7745,"volume_24hr":8820.6155,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.71464538574219,"normalized_volume":26.82954216003418,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tunisia wins","top_outcome_probability":0.537,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:27:53.165331Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:27:53.165331Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/tunisia-vs-japan","chart_24h":[418.4549999999999,414.13999999999993,8820.6155,8820.6155]},{"source":"opinion","id":"274","ticker":"274","slug":"us-strike-on-mexico-by","title":"US strike on Mexico by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa93ead326184275ec45165b54713a60a209cffd1b80c364660164938485025db","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T04:11:39Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T12:05:29Z","volume":4558440.4755,"volume_24hr":8810.224,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.70615768432617,"normalized_volume":60.688941955566406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.697,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T17:13:05.128814Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T17:13:05.128814Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/us-strike-on-mexico-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"150","ticker":"150","slug":"starmer-out-by","title":"Starmer out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time on and before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x45768e18ed3244234dc0268f2d693534e403dd2853062557a29a7b916f707dde","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T15:47:22Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-02T10:00:22Z","volume":9623943.8965,"volume_24hr":8080.204,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.086341857910156,"normalized_volume":66.7488021850586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.303,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:08:32.991264Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:08:32.991264Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/starmer-out-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"172","ticker":"172","slug":"will-theo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Theo launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x34ec30e72519166e0aae558904c7bfd6ce5b02b9b51a753af22b750d024a885b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:31:42Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:24Z","volume":17148379.669,"volume_24hr":7891.324500000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.917879104614258,"normalized_volume":71.6307144165039,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.868,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T04:15:58.453524Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T04:15:58.453524Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-theo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"422","ticker":"422","slug":"ecb-rates-decision-dfr-june-2026","title":"ECB Rates Decision (DFR): June 2026","description":"This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:\nhttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html\n\nThe level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:\nhttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.\n\nIf no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8fe3b91e5427ead70847677ef6f2f37dfbcc4d60137aa7196fe7406027b3d77b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-21T05:17:25Z","end_date":"2026-06-11T13:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7067.631,"volume_24hr":5855.4945,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.83086395263672,"normalized_volume":20.280887603759766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"50+ bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T17:16:33.510358Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T17:16:33.510358Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ecb-rates-decision-dfr-june-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"345","ticker":"345","slug":"2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion","title":"2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion","description":"The market will resolve to “Yes” if the particular team listed in the option win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x418a33885914c1a3247fc85c0b0d13743044ac4df12a68847ac09b224f59c9f2","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T06:29:29Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-03T09:09:45Z","volume":9862528.303,"volume_24hr":5660.91,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.598936080932617,"normalized_volume":66.95226287841797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Carolina Hurricanes","top_outcome_probability":0.383,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T06:12:38.643813Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T06:12:38.643813Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"79","ticker":"79","slug":"2026-fifa-world-cup-winner","title":"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbc0f6542b568395c3e1bae1708041be4d14f66aaad90e77e23b104244abc5114","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-04T04:38:11Z","volume":121951268.769,"volume_24hr":5632.133,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.564041137695312,"normalized_volume":89.49586486816406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"France","top_outcome_probability":0.159,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":306.4849999998696,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:56.527081Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:56.527081Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner","chart_24h":[11449.929,10766.539,10748.009,11854.259,11830.725,11688.5555,11809.103500000001,11678.5085,11737.0735,11502.331,11529.8955,11529.8955,5632.133]},{"source":"opinion","id":"136","ticker":"136","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x65406d0d1a53c79c86c99adaf8c7dd428c669d9ceb65b7519fa3d085fff0ef0c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T17:36:54Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4697413.428499999,"volume_24hr":5427.8895,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.311737060546875,"normalized_volume":60.92691421508789,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Republican Party","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1195.8500000000931,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:48.116297Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[181.153,393.65,774.853,1215.9385,1215.9385,4840.585,5360.7015,5360.7015,5427.8895]},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97166574.789,"volume_24hr":5296.566,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.145044326782227,"normalized_volume":87.3250961303711,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 (150 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.906,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:56.527081Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:56.527081Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[802.0925,750.3625,750.3625,755.797,950.357,2313.943,3998.5195,3898.5195,4373.08,4373.08,5296.566]},{"source":"opinion","id":"233","ticker":"233","slug":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Loopscale launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x920ccdedcec759ee4a59f8bae3870e5518579d70e51ab8fc03bd6e7721cfe9fe","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:40:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:40Z","volume":10402411.76,"volume_24hr":4960.1425,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.70074462890625,"normalized_volume":67.3961410522461,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.323,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:06:13.425416Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T22:06:13.425416Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[1370.8255,4960.1425]},{"source":"opinion","id":"319","ticker":"319","slug":"us-fed-decision-in-june","title":"US Fed Decision in June?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x9445a3731783310cd59050109f321a2ad10b15e13d4b4f972fd5c1f6a3c09f41","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T11:35:02Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4217542.839,"volume_24hr":4683.455,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.314939498901367,"normalized_volume":60.07517623901367,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No change","top_outcome_probability":0.999,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:09.596401Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:09.596401Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/us-fed-decision-in-june","chart_24h":[4746.466,4683.455]},{"source":"opinion","id":"143","ticker":"143","slug":"kraken-ipo-by","title":"Kraken IPO by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb3f99d660681931944795316ebd517344ed63ecef485183413c11b8453c78232","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-05T04:30:33Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:19Z","volume":7405069.011499999,"volume_24hr":4393.2845,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.888118743896484,"normalized_volume":64.59061431884766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.499,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.247,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4335.074999999255,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:10:29.934045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:10:29.934045Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/kraken-ipo-by","chart_24h":[74.7285,77.2545,3182.031,3182.031,3568.7625,4393.2845]},{"source":"opinion","id":"378","ticker":"378","slug":"where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","title":"Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","description":"This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).\n\nIf NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\n\nIf no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcc76c7e013d7f7ad9d9903b2c7ffc2fa80708b7f4d7e3b2295c52d4118d5a522","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-14T14:46:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50534.653,"volume_24hr":4135.4675,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.487524032592773,"normalized_volume":30.28139305114746,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 or lower","top_outcome_probability":0.924,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:04.053235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","chart_24h":[4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675]},{"source":"opinion","id":"189","ticker":"189","slug":"metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Metamask FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. \n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3532271e3f9c2d9603417917280a232aed2846831a531ae4fb7d8162f3508def","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-20T12:45:19Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22222978.717,"volume_24hr":3658.2960000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.684316635131836,"normalized_volume":73.87750244140625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$700M","top_outcome_probability":0.205,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2421.8685000003316,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:05:45.249926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:05:45.249926Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[1194.0755,3038.7135,3029.7580000000003,3658.2960000000003]},{"source":"opinion","id":"392","ticker":"392","slug":"megaeth-airdrop-by","title":"MegaETH airdrop by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xe996ca0bb943d2087f965b89409fe71e7bf49556664488a0356c0e6bcbc40417","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:15:06Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-18T07:03:59Z","volume":2766538.0225,"volume_24hr":3517.625,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.429950714111328,"normalized_volume":56.80000686645508,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.134,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T18:20:34.842932Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T18:20:34.842932Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/megaeth-airdrop-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"159","ticker":"159","slug":"who-will-acquire-tiktok","title":"Who will acquire TikTok?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb87b3fd8e63ff345514fd8b09cd17af90f860beb9d7a1bd7138c4e98b45b9854","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T13:23:18Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-26T13:06:44Z","volume":54371213.005499996,"volume_24hr":3512.126,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.419828414916992,"normalized_volume":81.8988037109375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Meta","top_outcome_probability":0.975,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T08:08:31.843812Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T08:08:31.843812Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/who-will-acquire-tiktok","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"558","ticker":"558","slug":"portugal-vs-uzbekistan","title":"Portugal vs Uzbekistan","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Portugal (POR) and Uzbekistan (UZB), scheduled for 2026-06-23 17:00 UTC.\n\n- POR: If Portugal wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- UZB: If Uzbekistan wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both POR and UZB options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:52:54Z","end_date":"2026-06-23T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3064.771,"volume_24hr":3093.8835000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.605823516845703,"normalized_volume":16.638137817382812,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Portugal wins","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:09:45.217066Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:09:45.217066Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/portugal-vs-uzbekistan","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"168","ticker":"168","slug":"will-abstract-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Abstract launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc5d211fd123c3d38e57d78a33e1625a5e7d1a5c907db6bbb1879c1dc4e4f2402","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:30:20Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":5859600.0855,"volume_24hr":2893.313,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.18069076538086,"normalized_volume":62.69302749633789,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.106,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2844.5194999999367,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:09:12.483106Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:09:12.483106Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-abstract-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[1098.1735,2893.313]},{"source":"opinion","id":"381","ticker":"381","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb8b45b0c7950bafeab9c4f389a4d6252a5d98d3074e894c6078481eb3f4691ba","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:56:22Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25326046.032,"volume_24hr":2822.048,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.023412704467773,"normalized_volume":75.0235366821289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ron DeSantis","top_outcome_probability":0.968,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T18:22:45.625661Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T18:22:45.625661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"340","ticker":"340","slug":"what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","title":"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?","description":"Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered.\n\nTime window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on  December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints.\n\nMeaning of “hit”:\n\nFor any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.\n\nFor any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x171560c68677aeb578d28d82258e6ad0e18d8237e04ec29af129df13444761b9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T05:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T09:50:01Z","volume":644872.422,"volume_24hr":1831.1094999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.374263763427734,"normalized_volume":46.19438171386719,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 130,000","top_outcome_probability":0.966,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:08:16.622885Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:08:16.622885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","chart_24h":[1828.7765,1831.1094999999998]},{"source":"opinion","id":"327","ticker":"327","slug":"what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x56e259f239cbf1ed400d7d66eacf27d6c3a061ef2993112d130c451a0203730b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T04:15:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2398183.1059999997,"volume_24hr":1716.9905,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.99285888671875,"normalized_volume":55.71098709106445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"7,000-7,500","top_outcome_probability":0.87,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-01T08:17:53.689782Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T08:17:53.689782Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"396","ticker":"396","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6055a496564f52640204ce2ff7fb53695b8251f2d2d4c8f87cf15b4cc52baa3a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:45:32Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":330996.477,"volume_24hr":1644.7190000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.73980712890625,"normalized_volume":41.702880859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$25M","top_outcome_probability":0.999,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T15:34:18.333828Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T15:34:18.333828Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"208","ticker":"208","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch its own L2 (“POLY”) by ...?","description":"Resolution Source(s):\n\nPolymarket’s official communications: https://x.com/Polymarket\nPublic, independently verifiable network evidence (e.g., a public block explorer / public RPC endpoints) confirming the existence of a live network branded/announced as Polymarket’s own L2.\n\nResolution Criteria:\n\nThis market resolves Yes if, on or before [DATE] 23:59 UTC, Polymarket has launched a public mainnet of its own Ethereum Layer 2 network (commonly referred to as “POLY” or an equivalent official name).\n\n“Public mainnet” means (i) Polymarket publicly announces the L2 mainnet launch as its own network, and (ii) the network is publicly accessible (public RPC or official access instructions) with ongoing block production that can be independently verified (e.g., via a block explorer or equivalent onchain evidence).\n\nThis market resolves No if the above conditions are not met by [DATE] 23:59 UTC.\n\nClarifications / Edge Cases:\n\nTestnets, devnets, private/invite-only launches, or “announced plans” without a publicly verifiable mainnet do not count as a launch.\n\nIf the network is launched but not explicitly branded “POLY,” it still counts only if Polymarket officially states it is Polymarket’s own L2 mainnet.\n\nIf sources conflict, Polymarket’s official announcement takes precedence, provided it is consistent with publicly verifiable network evidence.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x2481377f97421592b0226d631295d57f6b8013824c671b0e8eb655ac231cd5ea","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-25T04:11:22Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:36Z","volume":11651052.898,"volume_24hr":1597.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.56743812561035,"normalized_volume":68.34513854980469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T16:18:45.145241Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T16:18:45.145241Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"562","ticker":"562","slug":"switzerland-vs-canada","title":"Switzerland vs Canada","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Switzerland (SWI) and Canada (CAN), scheduled for 2026-06-24 19:00 UTC.\n\n- SWI: If Switzerland wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- CAN: If Canada wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both SWI and CAN options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:53:06Z","end_date":"2026-06-24T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18426.978,"volume_24hr":1501.208,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.20743751525879,"normalized_volume":24.902952194213867,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Canada wins","top_outcome_probability":0.272,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.007000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1493.5055000000011,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:43:10.933026Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:43:10.933026Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T00:37:49.310360Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/switzerland-vs-canada","chart_24h":[4.648,1501.208,1501.208]},{"source":"opinion","id":"521","ticker":"521","slug":"australia-vs-turkiye","title":"Australia vs Türkiye","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Australia (AUS) and Türkiye (TUR), scheduled for 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC.\n\n- AUS: If Australia wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- TUR: If Türkiye wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both AUS and TUR options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\n\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-17T05:51:05Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34276.143,"volume_24hr":1262.2150000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.214582443237305,"normalized_volume":28.149517059326172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Türkiye wins","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":665.2915000000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:06:32.047049Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T19:06:32.047049Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T12:42:58.908176Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/australia-vs-turkiye","chart_24h":[1243.007,1262.2150000000001]},{"source":"opinion","id":"382","ticker":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x202e7bcf8ed921913982759874bdf2a004afcb40edcb444c1ebd65695be923f4","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16535411.433,"volume_24hr":1146.279,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.67326545715332,"normalized_volume":71.31800079345703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lucy Powell","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T01:25:28.829363Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T01:25:28.829363Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"96","ticker":"96","slug":"standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"StandX FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project’s token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xd30ec96396a10e2cce4eb69de85a6ed7d1fa894c5d0f8e817814949a69bdb965","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-16T16:25:22Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128175515.569,"volume_24hr":1136.3135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.62457275390625,"normalized_volume":89.97504425048828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$800M","top_outcome_probability":0.249,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:19:37.392392Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:19:37.392392Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":267,"total_pages":6},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"http://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?source=opinion","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:04:55.301726Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}