{"items":[{"source":"opinion","id":"360","ticker":"360","slug":"lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","title":"LoL: Worlds 2026 Winning Region","description":"This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026).\n\nIf the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).\n\nRegions counted in World 2026:\n- LCK (South Korea)\n- LPL (China)\n- LEC (Europe / EMEA)\n- LCP (Asia-Pacific)\n- LCS (North America)\n- CBLOL (Brazil)","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7ee320804caafe46952a439b5d4f4d4ea8d24787a943e327dd9456c90e426eae","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T05:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":392444834.823,"volume_24hr":1904739.5055,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":96.6575927734375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"LCK (South Korea)","top_outcome_probability":0.624,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","chart_24h":[5145024.049,4042950.8535000007,3959130.8545,3000862.5344999996,1922952.5495,850449.5205,838789.5204999999,1904739.5055]},{"source":"opinion","id":"337","ticker":"337","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3cd3c3d78cacb0770e3a6862269da45ca9f06c75ba90ca7d0bf0f6111c6a2efd","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:38:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-22T03:56:40Z","volume":459972010.4565,"volume_24hr":1595498.9135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":97.56465911865234,"normalized_volume":98.21489715576172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Nebius Group","top_outcome_probability":0.25,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[5917770.454999999,5697190.455,4776185.178,4213337.2095,3955220.92,3147594.42,2250332.92,1353067.92,1163692.9200000002,1595498.9135]},{"source":"opinion","id":"212","ticker":"212","slug":"lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","title":"LoL: LPL 2026 Season Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.\n\nIf the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8da448d31f9ce70ef85cda23c55c44526e57d7f3a6cb7096ef908706a933d313","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T03:33:52Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":550936668.8735,"volume_24hr":1580709.157,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":97.43746948242188,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bilibili Gaming","top_outcome_probability":0.541,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:48:04.287102Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:48:04.287102Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","chart_24h":[5050776.657,4152181.6569999997,3979807.907,3969837.907,3969620.407,3170870.407,2439371.657,1568057.907,1378342.907,1580709.157]},{"source":"opinion","id":"380","ticker":"380","slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcb42f112953cc7e513b8cf74262f32eab068943f50a4f9ab7b827084b1af0c79","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:51:25Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16851040.0625,"volume_24hr":294856.493,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":75.86063385009766,"normalized_volume":68.35005950927734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jon Stewart","top_outcome_probability":0.952,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-29T03:20:59.099733Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T03:20:59.099733Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"167","ticker":"167","slug":"will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xfed2b01b8e01a4e7efffd6921ac7c7ad25182408be3af93c77dcc08c0d441030","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:18:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:49Z","volume":72055722.6885,"volume_24hr":258647.0305,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":74.29042053222656,"normalized_volume":80.8081283569336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.206,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T13:07:41.941379Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T13:07:41.941379Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101156547.699,"volume_24hr":87279.973,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.9040412902832,"normalized_volume":83.8667221069336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2 (50 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.991,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:15:35.337416Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T09:15:35.337416Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[129616.1835,129616.1835,87279.973]},{"source":"opinion","id":"381","ticker":"381","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb8b45b0c7950bafeab9c4f389a4d6252a5d98d3074e894c6078481eb3f4691ba","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:56:22Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25391106.331,"volume_24hr":20869.639,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.31268310546875,"normalized_volume":71.75967407226562,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ron DeSantis","top_outcome_probability":0.968,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T08:28:10.952132Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:28:10.952132Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":[14234.3225,14234.3225,17091.137,16180.617,16180.617,22976.1245,22976.1245,28317.141,31917.77,23882.234,20869.639]},{"source":"opinion","id":"353","ticker":"353","slug":"hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Hyperbeat FDV above ... one day after launch?·","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x68f53c40990c7a52d09559ecba82cc4b13e5e4566c358e66e6d113d9cd8c31c6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:18:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6270120.0725,"volume_24hr":20317.5185,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.057952880859375,"normalized_volume":60.46965026855469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.201,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:06:45.506671Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:06:45.506671Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"89","ticker":"89","slug":"gpt-6-released-by","title":"GPT-6 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa6aa6ed8c1e41f597d9598409a9e6cd93c8b031c06da555c530321e8e53204eb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T07:12:35Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:59Z","volume":17761280.496,"volume_24hr":15488.9355,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.51862716674805,"normalized_volume":68.78292846679688,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Dec 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:28:09.648428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:28:09.648428Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/gpt-6-released-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"99","ticker":"99","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Polymarket officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x503b9f4734a4bfa128ec083e793779f1f5257e37e5a00c5a36fbda47d2ce9317","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T04:59:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:46:50Z","volume":148803450.2785,"volume_24hr":11725.5545,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.98703384399414,"normalized_volume":87.41571807861328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.201,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T18:08:28.979918Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T18:08:28.979918Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"354","ticker":"354","slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Puffpaw FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xf71b7f26a9563898e1914ad911b9d41cf2da0a26b333947bff74418390d72546","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:20:29Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7956049.1655,"volume_24hr":11154.76,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.54100036621094,"normalized_volume":62.32375717163086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$400M","top_outcome_probability":0.562,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[13166.1295,13242.152,12975.442500000001,9394.5225,9500.306,11154.76]},{"source":"opinion","id":"394","ticker":"394","slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Predict.fun FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\n The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc3f6d5fc5f7cbfb666eb8aa7f3f30097b34314e0b292a695f4ec3f301a18cf77","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:37:17Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":976355.9670000001,"volume_24hr":10111.696999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.670509338378906,"normalized_volume":46.953128814697266,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.955,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:18:38.473446Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:18:38.473446Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[9807.445000000002,9387.6225,9365.6075,6884.2045,3526.6525,1525.42,1525.42,5258.6305,8524.9185,10688.458,10755.468,10755.468,10738.543499999998,10111.696999999998]},{"source":"opinion","id":"274","ticker":"274","slug":"us-strike-on-mexico-by","title":"US strike on Mexico by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa93ead326184275ec45165b54713a60a209cffd1b80c364660164938485025db","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T04:11:39Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T12:05:29Z","volume":4564672.189,"volume_24hr":8810.08,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.46424865722656,"normalized_volume":58.04156494140625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.529,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T16:35:33.548550Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T16:35:33.548550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/us-strike-on-mexico-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"8453","ticker":null,"slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","title":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nReza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, exile leadership without effective authority inside Iran, nomination without effective authority, or ceremonial or transitional status without governing control will not qualify.\n\nIf Iran experiences a period in which no individual exercises effective governing control, this will not alone qualify for a “Yes” resolution unless Reza Pahlavi subsequently meets the criteria above within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0a419b69ac11603d9239f6d10ca9edb6ea868b38ab0eb5808b1664632e71f9e8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T08:12:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11462989.017,"volume_24hr":8686.887999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.342002868652344,"normalized_volume":65.22148132324219,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.054,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.054,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"172","ticker":"172","slug":"will-theo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Theo launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x34ec30e72519166e0aae558904c7bfd6ce5b02b9b51a753af22b750d024a885b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:31:42Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T05:10:04Z","volume":17148408.134,"volume_24hr":7897.673000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.5201301574707,"normalized_volume":68.49384307861328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.868,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-theo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"352","ticker":"352","slug":"polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7bbcc503bbd9f5f29aeb34d9f38d6d9440bf5ce952a0fb1d1e2832e53aaedee8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:08:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9169069.6205,"volume_24hr":7817.389,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.43247985839844,"normalized_volume":63.44191360473633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$5B","top_outcome_probability":0.255,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-19T14:10:07.281165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T14:10:07.281165Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"136","ticker":"136","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x65406d0d1a53c79c86c99adaf8c7dd428c669d9ceb65b7519fa3d085fff0ef0c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T17:36:54Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4982027.375,"volume_24hr":7684.359,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.285465240478516,"normalized_volume":58.70579147338867,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Republican Party","top_outcome_probability":0.551,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1694.5439999999944,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:25:02.906728Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:25:02.906728Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[10519.161,10519.161,11723.755000000001,11124.1575,11124.1575,9526.231,9526.231,9475.1525,9475.1525,9482.2275,8058.9385,8058.9385,7684.359]},{"source":"opinion","id":"396","ticker":"396","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6055a496564f52640204ce2ff7fb53695b8251f2d2d4c8f87cf15b4cc52baa3a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:45:32Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":335995.487,"volume_24hr":6637.5425000000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.04258728027344,"normalized_volume":39.970726013183594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$25M","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T15:13:47.238948Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T15:13:47.238948Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"340","ticker":"340","slug":"what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","title":"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?","description":"Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered.\n\nTime window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on  December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints.\n\nMeaning of “hit”:\n\nFor any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.\n\nFor any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x171560c68677aeb578d28d82258e6ad0e18d8237e04ec29af129df13444761b9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T05:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T09:50:01Z","volume":767036.783,"volume_24hr":6348.3305,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.6685676574707,"normalized_volume":45.324554443359375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 130,000","top_outcome_probability":0.966,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T14:15:52.430666Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T14:15:52.430666Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"378","ticker":"378","slug":"where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","title":"Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","description":"This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).\n\nIf NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\n\nIf no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcc76c7e013d7f7ad9d9903b2c7ffc2fa80708b7f4d7e3b2295c52d4118d5a522","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-14T14:46:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50534.653,"volume_24hr":4135.4675,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.16740417480469,"normalized_volume":28.955297470092773,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 or lower","top_outcome_probability":0.924,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:47:26.513483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","chart_24h":[4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7991","ticker":null,"slug":"sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","title":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","description":"Resolution Deadline\n\nDecember 31, 2026, 11:59 PM IST.\n\nThis market resolves to“Yes”if by the resolution deadline, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) publishes or issues a Final Order or Adjudication Order that explicitly concludes that Jane Street: engaged in market manipulation, fraud, or unfair trade practices, or violated the SEBI Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations (PFUTP).\n\nThis market resolves to“No”if, by the resolution deadline: no qualifying SEBI Final Order / Adjudication Order is issued, or SEBI issues only interim orders, show-cause notices, investigation updates, press statements, or charges/allegations without a qualifying final determination.\n\nEdge case: \n\nJudicial Overrule. If SEBI issues a qualifying final finding that would otherwise trigger “Yes”, but before the resolution deadline that finding is fully set aside / vacated (i.e., completely nullified on the merits) by either: the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT), or the Supreme Court of India, then the market resolves “No.”\n\nNotes for clarity:\n\nIf an appeal is pending, or the SEBI order is stayed but not fully set aside/vacated, the market still resolves based on whether a qualifying SEBI final order exists by the deadline.\n\nIf a court/SAT partially modifies the SEBI order but leaves intact a conclusion that Jane Street violated PFUTP / engaged in manipulation, it remains “Yes.”\n\nPrimary Sources\n\nSEBI official order/publication pages, official gazette postings, or SEBI press releases linking to the order.\n\nIf SEBI documents are not accessible, a consensus of reputable reporting that reproduces the key conclusion and identifies the order type and date.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0e1b87e3474639048ba087503973ce2dd997710587c31ff75ee00c452882a8c5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28640.456,"volume_24hr":4030.6255,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.96322250366211,"normalized_volume":25.998720169067383,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.104,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","top_outcome_probability":0.104,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","chart_24h":[0.104,0.104]},{"source":"opinion","id":"336","ticker":"336","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest Company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3bdaf162bdf3b4ba942d72983e38de4dd2fedb438f1af6aef0fc23a80af0b015","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:24:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5493053.965,"volume_24hr":3206.955,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.173372268676758,"normalized_volume":59.45159149169922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Saudi Aramco","top_outcome_probability":0.941,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:22:14.942211Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:22:14.942211Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/largest-company-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1222","ticker":"1222","slug":"france-vs-england","title":"France vs England","description":"This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between France (FRA) and England (ENG), scheduled for 2026-07-18 21:00 UTC.\n\n- FRA: If France wins, the outcome is settled as \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\n- DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is \"Yes\".\n\n- ENG: If England wins, the outcome is \"Yes\"; otherwise \"No\".\n\nSettlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time.\n\nIf the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to \"Yes\", while both FRA and ENG options will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead.\n\nNote: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.\nSource: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xdac691b91e841102ebc69ab7a2cd47989e3501fba062c2ba0592ae82193e82aa","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-15T22:10:45Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2680.371,"volume_24hr":2625.4875,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.648107528686523,"normalized_volume":15.382952690124512,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"England wins","top_outcome_probability":0.645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-19T05:44:33.608857Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T05:44:33.608857Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:17:33.327880Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/france-vs-england","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"349","ticker":"349","slug":"what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","title":"What will Silver settle at in June?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.\n\nFor CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x92c300e8074e81036682236828a190b32966568ce7d374ab409714e897e71f7a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T05:17:50Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:18:21Z","volume":1453292.227,"volume_24hr":1972.5105,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.53451156616211,"normalized_volume":49.70050811767578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$60-$70","top_outcome_probability":0.461,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-01T10:51:59.957201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T10:51:59.957201Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"395","ticker":"395","slug":"predict-fun-launch-a-token-by","title":"Predict.fun launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Predict.fun officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Predict.fun’s official X account, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x2589d83e6fedb3329efc78344c6337271413506571770d6c8df3ab5ec1a519a6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:40:50Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T09:54:02Z","volume":4947939.746,"volume_24hr":1902.371,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.272497177124023,"normalized_volume":58.65353012084961,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:08:28.352185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:08:28.352185Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/predict-fun-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"173","ticker":"173","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0d2569a1cafc6fd22f6113c8a5f70204c32584c062749097e0694f1cd982a241","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:38:41Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42303433.3475,"volume_24hr":1825.028,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.973678588867188,"normalized_volume":76.12091827392578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$1B","top_outcome_probability":0.161,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T18:25:44.020435Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T18:25:44.020435Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"327","ticker":"327","slug":"what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x56e259f239cbf1ed400d7d66eacf27d6c3a061ef2993112d130c451a0203730b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T04:15:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2466780.8929999997,"volume_24hr":1750.8215,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.67647933959961,"normalized_volume":53.47600555419922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6,500-7,000","top_outcome_probability":0.507,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T13:16:12.928066Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T13:16:12.928066Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"434","ticker":"434","slug":"netanyahu-out-by","title":"Netanyahu out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x9168217788a134d4613c8217cf9f20ec4e9a9422468c0ac21fd12ca1ead3ccc6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T03:38:58Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:15:04Z","volume":110197.396,"volume_24hr":1333.4475,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.767789840698242,"normalized_volume":33.273887634277344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.346,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/netanyahu-out-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T15:33:06Z","volume":14611174.3615,"volume_24hr":1155.7095,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.79364776611328,"normalized_volume":67.18338775634766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T01:21:03.754410Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T01:21:03.754410Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"205","ticker":"205","slug":"consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3899e02d4bce226940b09faf3335dfb93005c3577f2cb28dfee35d87e6b1782a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-24T05:37:49Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097448.3525,"volume_24hr":1034.5135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.052759170532227,"normalized_volume":57.22697830200195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2B","top_outcome_probability":0.396,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"344","ticker":"344","slug":"how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","title":"How high will the US inflation get in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x5b7abb577c923843fcec6b9e4b2287c0964f6415ee61148e0175c6e6f8dd4ba9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T06:18:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-11T17:04:00Z","volume":9342098.342500001,"volume_24hr":906.959,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.188053131103516,"normalized_volume":63.5899658203125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 5%","top_outcome_probability":0.899,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T05:21:46.982802Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T05:21:46.982802Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"208","ticker":"208","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch its own L2 (“POLY”) by ...?","description":"Resolution Source(s):\n\nPolymarket’s official communications: https://x.com/Polymarket\nPublic, independently verifiable network evidence (e.g., a public block explorer / public RPC endpoints) confirming the existence of a live network branded/announced as Polymarket’s own L2.\n\nResolution Criteria:\n\nThis market resolves Yes if, on or before [DATE] 23:59 UTC, Polymarket has launched a public mainnet of its own Ethereum Layer 2 network (commonly referred to as “POLY” or an equivalent official name).\n\n“Public mainnet” means (i) Polymarket publicly announces the L2 mainnet launch as its own network, and (ii) the network is publicly accessible (public RPC or official access instructions) with ongoing block production that can be independently verified (e.g., via a block explorer or equivalent onchain evidence).\n\nThis market resolves No if the above conditions are not met by [DATE] 23:59 UTC.\n\nClarifications / Edge Cases:\n\nTestnets, devnets, private/invite-only launches, or “announced plans” without a publicly verifiable mainnet do not count as a launch.\n\nIf the network is launched but not explicitly branded “POLY,” it still counts only if Polymarket officially states it is Polymarket’s own L2 mainnet.\n\nIf sources conflict, Polymarket’s official announcement takes precedence, provided it is consistent with publicly verifiable network evidence.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x2481377f97421592b0226d631295d57f6b8013824c671b0e8eb655ac231cd5ea","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-25T04:11:22Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:47:03Z","volume":11666259.0845,"volume_24hr":838.7,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.681785583496094,"normalized_volume":65.36261749267578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-13T18:22:52.629613Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T18:22:52.629613Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"192","ticker":"192","slug":"will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Tempo launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x4f531206782c8d1b65089a6bc42df2f9963be81afa7db4852f06f112ee75d64c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T07:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:43Z","volume":7848530.1485,"volume_24hr":723.5540000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.7423038482666,"normalized_volume":62.21706771850586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.361,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"7990","ticker":null,"slug":"terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","title":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","description":"his market resolves to YES if in the lawsuit filed by the Terraform Labs liquidation administrator against Jane Street (U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, filed February 2026), the court enters an order that denies, in whole or in part, any defendant’s motion to dismiss the operative complaint.\nThis market resolves to NO if the court grants a motion to dismiss that disposes of all claims in the operative complaint with prejudice.\n\nEdge Case:\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the case is otherwise finally terminated without any qualifying denial (including voluntary dismissal/settlement).\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the deadline below passes without a qualifying denial.\n\nIf all claims are dismissed without prejudice and an amended complaint is filed, the market resolves YES only if a later motion to dismiss the amended complaint is denied in whole or in part before the deadline; otherwise NO.\n\nDeadline: 2027-12-31 23:59 (New York time). If no qualifying court order exists on the docket by this time, resolve NO.\n\nPrimary resolution source: the official SDNY docket entry (PACER/ECF) for the relevant order. If inaccessible, a publicly mirrored docket/order (e.g., RECAP/CourtListener) is acceptable; reputable legal-news reporting that quotes the docket/order may be used as a last resort.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x78dff998d83bb250afe3063c46b7986195967ec28ee74bd58184666ca33ff62c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:28:12Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21242.8325,"volume_24hr":710.7775,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.63038444519043,"normalized_volume":24.50688934326172,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance","Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.111,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","top_outcome_probability":0.111,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","chart_24h":[0.111,0.111]},{"source":"opinion","id":"397","ticker":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by","title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x46289c6779e6fcd9409567a228ee35df008b35963aaaa310352ee05058d7957c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:39Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:19:37Z","volume":5631888.473,"volume_24hr":699.254,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.527969360351562,"normalized_volume":59.64298629760742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.816,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"440","ticker":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election","title":"Next French Presidential Election","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb44d469a5de346692def4c07ca8114526f74605acda2aaf8616c492e796f71c9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:24Z","end_date":"2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2618.4055,"volume_24hr":643.7314999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.013545989990234,"normalized_volume":15.291964530944824,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Bardella","top_outcome_probability":0.207,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-24T22:26:23.344832Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T22:26:23.344832Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"96","ticker":"96","slug":"standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"StandX FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project’s token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xd30ec96396a10e2cce4eb69de85a6ed7d1fa894c5d0f8e817814949a69bdb965","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-16T16:25:22Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128262016.41100001,"volume_24hr":639.824,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.975948333740234,"normalized_volume":86.0410385131836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$800M","top_outcome_probability":0.183,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T09:10:23.743147Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T09:10:23.743147Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"118","ticker":"118","slug":"will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will MetaMask launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if MetaMask officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MetaMask (https://x.com/MetaMask), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6ee5f997496e4dbca72218b4be1438527cf774a7fc3f64aa3ec6ae386137fe25","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T17:39:10Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:04:10Z","volume":10955386.2775,"volume_24hr":610.221,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.68463897705078,"normalized_volume":64.8585205078125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"193","ticker":"193","slug":"which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027","title":"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between December 20, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.\n\nThis market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x48c09fe78495cb233261f2c38946b5e249b2c5edb3c0d5e17a5f4d9eadb84ec5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T07:26:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-30T11:47:51Z","volume":28556497.781,"volume_24hr":604.929,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.63131332397461,"normalized_volume":72.75202178955078,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sundar Pichai - Google","top_outcome_probability":0.229,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T10:27:31.814694Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T10:27:31.814694Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1856","ticker":null,"slug":"will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","description":"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible, publicly reported news confirms that Zhao Bei physically entered mainland China at any time before Jia Yueting is confirmed by the same type of reporting to have entered mainland China, between the market open and the resolution time. If Jia Yueting returns first, the market resolves 'No.' If both return on the same calendar day (China Standard Time), the one confirmed to have landed first chronologically will be deemed to have returned first. \nOnly clear, direct confirmation (e.g., reputable news report or official statement cited on the specified source) will count; rumors or speculation are insufficient. In case of conflicting reports or ambiguity, the information available on the preferred source at resolution time prevails.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbf01a81c21822f895bd0e33a23857a6dc4f564f55a6c38c8d56b7682486cb6f9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-19T12:31:58Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":5063823.9465,"volume_24hr":602.7045,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.608779907226562,"normalized_volume":58.82984161376953,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","top_outcome_probability":0.05,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T06:23:09.803986Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T06:23:09.803986Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"opinion","id":"213","ticker":"213","slug":"lol-lck-2026-season-winner","title":"LoL: LCK 2026 Season Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.\n\nIf the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc6c42d82126db194eb8e52f609dc521460530750952a9dae0024db2fecc27b5f","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T03:36:52Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":116130018.631,"volume_24hr":560.3385,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.165666580200195,"normalized_volume":85.12760925292969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hanwha Life Esports","top_outcome_probability":0.302,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T05:17:34.341174Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T05:17:34.341174Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lck-2026-season-winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"189","ticker":"189","slug":"metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Metamask FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. \n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3532271e3f9c2d9603417917280a232aed2846831a531ae4fb7d8162f3508def","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-20T12:45:19Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22557526.9235,"volume_24hr":557.077,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.13039779663086,"normalized_volume":70.76707458496094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$1B","top_outcome_probability":0.195,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-26.754499999806285,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T06:10:09.768038Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T06:10:09.768038Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"233","ticker":"233","slug":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Loopscale launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x920ccdedcec759ee4a59f8bae3870e5518579d70e51ab8fc03bd6e7721cfe9fe","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:40:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:38:48Z","volume":10403963.5215,"volume_24hr":467.41,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.08546257019043,"normalized_volume":64.44589233398438,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.323,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:25.965261Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:25.965261Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"3055","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-endorse-jd-vance-for-president-before-2027","title":"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x8cc5af3b4ccdfd85eb7e9637f920c8df98f5a7c3352af430fd223c039118f728","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T04:20:23Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2298032.6495,"volume_24hr":434.65049999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.6615047454834,"normalized_volume":52.96233367919922,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.459,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.459,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:10:02.280467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:10:02.280467Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-trump-endorse-jd-vance-for-president-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.459,0.459]},{"source":"opinion","id":"152","ticker":"152","slug":"openai-ipo-closing-market-cap","title":"OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8d0b8977a6cd5ce99db32a36c87ec77a136d4591741206288326c65a81c71312","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T16:16:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33567000.3625,"volume_24hr":417.863,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.433822631835938,"normalized_volume":74.12863159179688,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No IPO before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.765,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:21:50.550597Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:21:50.550597Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/openai-ipo-closing-market-cap","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"112","ticker":"112","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by","title":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by ...?","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x380dfdca9187c1ec27d529d45daa773253907de09c403b920c58ca9fe9155248","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T02:16:08Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:36:15Z","volume":32473082.194,"volume_24hr":359.5495,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.578794479370117,"normalized_volume":73.84544372558594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.004,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"4620","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-us-acquire-part-of-greenland-in-2026","title":"Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.\n\n1. Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.\n\n2. Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission. Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.\n\n3. Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.\n\nAn announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.\n\nNon-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify. Basing rights, access agreements, SOFA-type arrangements, COFA-type arrangements, commercial concessions, or other permissions to use land (including leases) will not alone qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction or control in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying control.\n\nExamples of qualifying events include but are not limited to treaty or piece of legislation that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession, even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x452160d9adffc6357f38b91bfdb00aabb97499a738d81c3dd9b75a7e67303cd4","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-26T06:29:35Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":549110.958,"volume_24hr":296.95,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.522195816040039,"normalized_volume":43.11616516113281,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.115,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.115,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-25T03:07:52.527174Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T03:07:52.527174Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-the-us-acquire-part-of-greenland-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.115,0.115]},{"source":"opinion","id":"119","ticker":"119","slug":"will-base-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Base launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcd6e34345da26e129510f2a661fc91ddfda94dec0724dc5570f4c672f0404cc2","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T02:46:49Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:04:32Z","volume":19855276.846499998,"volume_24hr":282.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.24312973022461,"normalized_volume":69.7044677734375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.221,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:59.076109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-base-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"234","ticker":"234","slug":"will-nansen-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Nansen launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa8cc9fac710250a14aaa6ff177141c0454535d0c216b8c4e63c93b6fff0b14ee","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:43:22Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:16:32Z","volume":30415207.4405,"volume_24hr":280.1345,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.207244873046875,"normalized_volume":73.28746032714844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.149,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:25.965261Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:27:25.965261Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-nansen-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"201","ticker":"201","slug":"will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will fomo.family launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fomo (https://fomo.family/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fomo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x825a5026b183bf3e68c4763ce0911bcc64421a2465b267bc1c60027e20b29a5b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T04:14:43Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:36:23Z","volume":14853766.047,"volume_24hr":255.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.714566230773926,"normalized_volume":67.31757354736328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.241,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-13.81000000005588,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T10:27:31.814694Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T10:27:31.814694Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":227,"total_pages":5},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"http://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?source=opinion","as_of":"2026-07-25T10:54:38.096043Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}