{"items":[{"source":"opinion","id":"337","ticker":"337","slug":"which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","title":"Which companies will be acquired before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3cd3c3d78cacb0770e3a6862269da45ca9f06c75ba90ca7d0bf0f6111c6a2efd","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:38:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-22T03:56:40Z","volume":637143411.4445001,"volume_24hr":3915916.0895,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":98.82844543457031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ubisoft","top_outcome_probability":0.426,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1256.3294999999925,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:08:45.731279Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:08:45.731279Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","chart_24h":[3951373.9565,3241848.9565,2528103.9424999994,1897514.6085,1783368.5455000002,1669151.8785,1669151.8785,1599641.5725000002,2497706.5725,3281168.3715,3915916.0895]},{"source":"opinion","id":"360","ticker":"360","slug":"lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","title":"LoL: Worlds 2026 Winning Region","description":"This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026).\n\nIf the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).\n\nRegions counted in World 2026:\n- LCK (South Korea)\n- LPL (China)\n- LEC (Europe / EMEA)\n- LCP (Asia-Pacific)\n- LCS (North America)\n- CBLOL (Brazil)","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7ee320804caafe46952a439b5d4f4d4ea8d24787a943e327dd9456c90e426eae","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T05:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":585210261.7625,"volume_24hr":3900646.333,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":99.94853210449219,"normalized_volume":98.00120544433594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"LCK (South Korea)","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:08:45.731279Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:08:45.731279Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region","chart_24h":[3169744.478,2225536.3155,1703238.3155,1237210.2049999998,1148155.9955,1148155.9955,1742684.8329999999,2740669.833,3600136.333,3900646.333]},{"source":"opinion","id":"212","ticker":"212","slug":"lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","title":"LoL: LPL 2026 Season Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.\n\nIf the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8da448d31f9ce70ef85cda23c55c44526e57d7f3a6cb7096ef908706a933d313","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T03:33:52Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-24T13:40:28Z","volume":718237566.3545,"volume_24hr":3631689.595,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":99.00972747802734,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bilibili Gaming","top_outcome_probability":0.531,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:09:26.145152Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:09:26.145152Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lpl-2026-season-winner","chart_24h":[326250.31200000003,1886.1275,99232.294,366712.095,912004.595,912004.595,1537145.5950000002,2335585.595,3046726.595,3631689.595]},{"source":"opinion","id":"380","ticker":"380","slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcb42f112953cc7e513b8cf74262f32eab068943f50a4f9ab7b827084b1af0c79","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:51:25Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16852347.1175,"volume_24hr":294750.838,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":68.82466888427734,"normalized_volume":66.5845947265625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mark Kelly","top_outcome_probability":0.989,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T10:13:55.956458Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T10:13:55.956458Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"167","ticker":"167","slug":"will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Pacifica launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xfed2b01b8e01a4e7efffd6921ac7c7ad25182408be3af93c77dcc08c0d441030","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T02:18:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:49Z","volume":72055763.60849999,"volume_24hr":258597.5005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":67.40184783935547,"normalized_volume":78.72015380859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.206,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T16:17:15.784532Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T16:17:15.784532Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"78","ticker":"78","slug":"how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","title":"How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x395262af55dbae5f1a7c3e174983dd9d38c830997a54ed4d0f36baeb49f366af","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T14:55:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104782620.144,"volume_24hr":69861.7015,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.98934555053711,"normalized_volume":82.01221466064453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 (150 bps)","top_outcome_probability":0.906,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T15:21:42.164777Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T15:21:42.164777Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","chart_24h":[19179.805,69861.7015]},{"source":"opinion","id":"353","ticker":"353","slug":"hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Hyperbeat FDV above ... one day after launch?·","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x68f53c40990c7a52d09559ecba82cc4b13e5e4566c358e66e6d113d9cd8c31c6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:18:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6270138.6975,"volume_24hr":20317.596,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.695858001708984,"normalized_volume":58.90721130371094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.201,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T06:14:13.158022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T06:14:13.158022Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"99","ticker":"99","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Polymarket officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x503b9f4734a4bfa128ec083e793779f1f5257e37e5a00c5a36fbda47d2ce9317","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T04:59:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:46:50Z","volume":148924467.604,"volume_24hr":16673.5865,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.01130294799805,"normalized_volume":85.16436004638672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.149,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.007000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2448.8159999996424,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T07:26:21.811466Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T07:26:21.811466Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":[19172.9825,19117.264,15676.36,15676.36,16673.5865]},{"source":"opinion","id":"440","ticker":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election","title":"Next French Presidential Election","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb44d469a5de346692def4c07ca8114526f74605acda2aaf8616c492e796f71c9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:24Z","end_date":"2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101571.2285,"volume_24hr":13024.0915,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.95374298095703,"normalized_volume":31.96057891845703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Édouard Philippe","top_outcome_probability":0.247,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.02100000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":557.869000000006,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T07:25:15.145181Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T07:25:15.145181Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","chart_24h":[12498.2805,12561.6585,13330.8095,12941.131499999998,12941.131499999998,13024.0915]},{"source":"opinion","id":"89","ticker":"89","slug":"gpt-6-released-by","title":"GPT-6 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa6aa6ed8c1e41f597d9598409a9e6cd93c8b031c06da555c530321e8e53204eb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T07:12:35Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:59Z","volume":17762155.316,"volume_24hr":12906.189,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.87900924682617,"normalized_volume":67.00605773925781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Dec 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T03:27:18.125672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T03:27:18.125672Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/gpt-6-released-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"274","ticker":"274","slug":"us-strike-on-mexico-by","title":"US strike on Mexico by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xa93ead326184275ec45165b54713a60a209cffd1b80c364660164938485025db","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T04:11:39Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T12:05:29Z","volume":4691563.707,"volume_24hr":8893.461,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.88032531738281,"normalized_volume":56.744232177734375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.123,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T06:15:51.011385Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T06:15:51.011385Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/us-strike-on-mexico-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"8453","ticker":null,"slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","title":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nReza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, exile leadership without effective authority inside Iran, nomination without effective authority, or ceremonial or transitional status without governing control will not qualify.\n\nIf Iran experiences a period in which no individual exercises effective governing control, this will not alone qualify for a “Yes” resolution unless Reza Pahlavi subsequently meets the criteria above within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0a419b69ac11603d9239f6d10ca9edb6ea868b38ab0eb5808b1664632e71f9e8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T08:12:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11462989.017,"volume_24hr":8686.887999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.69511795043945,"normalized_volume":63.53623962402344,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.054,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.054,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T16:21:48.913689Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"136","ticker":"136","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","title":"Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x65406d0d1a53c79c86c99adaf8c7dd428c669d9ceb65b7519fa3d085fff0ef0c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T17:36:54Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5375795.4635,"volume_24hr":8447.331,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.47536849975586,"normalized_volume":57.75448989868164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Republican Party","top_outcome_probability":0.453,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":680.55849999981,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T03:15:33.702317Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T03:15:33.702317Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-in-2026","chart_24h":[7753.588,6526.0675,7433.8075,8447.331]},{"source":"opinion","id":"172","ticker":"172","slug":"will-theo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Theo launch a token by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x34ec30e72519166e0aae558904c7bfd6ce5b02b9b51a753af22b750d024a885b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:31:42Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T05:10:04Z","volume":17148408.134,"volume_24hr":7897.673000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.94942855834961,"normalized_volume":66.72404479980469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.868,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-20T21:26:56.067466Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T21:26:56.067466Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-theo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1788","ticker":"1788","slug":"what-price-will-nvidia-nvda-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x01d47e80485563f7dc2b4245c68c81f8e858fef5e772bcd4c5faa14651e8e3bb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:18:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T20:06:14Z","volume":9609.378999999999,"volume_24hr":7131.328,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.159061431884766,"normalized_volume":20.22378921508789,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 248","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T02:09:54.389071Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T02:09:54.389071Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-nvidia-nvda-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"396","ticker":"396","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6055a496564f52640204ce2ff7fb53695b8251f2d2d4c8f87cf15b4cc52baa3a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:45:32Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":335995.487,"volume_24hr":6637.5425000000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.60885238647461,"normalized_volume":38.937931060791016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$25M","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T15:13:47.238948Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T15:13:47.238948Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"327","ticker":"327","slug":"what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x56e259f239cbf1ed400d7d66eacf27d6c3a061ef2993112d130c451a0203730b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T04:15:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2489708.9135,"volume_24hr":4644.1145,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.93689727783203,"normalized_volume":52.15976333618164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6,500-7,000","top_outcome_probability":0.507,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T15:21:49.722718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T15:21:49.722718Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-s-and-p-500-spx-close-at-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"378","ticker":"378","slug":"where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","title":"Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","description":"This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).\n\nIf NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\n\nIf no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xcc76c7e013d7f7ad9d9903b2c7ffc2fa80708b7f4d7e3b2295c52d4118d5a522","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-14T14:46:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50534.653,"volume_24hr":4135.4675,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.09288787841797,"normalized_volume":28.20712661743164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"6 or lower","top_outcome_probability":0.924,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:33:11.464392Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:33:11.464392Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","chart_24h":[4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675,4135.4675]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7991","ticker":null,"slug":"sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","title":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","description":"Resolution Deadline\n\nDecember 31, 2026, 11:59 PM IST.\n\nThis market resolves to“Yes”if by the resolution deadline, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) publishes or issues a Final Order or Adjudication Order that explicitly concludes that Jane Street: engaged in market manipulation, fraud, or unfair trade practices, or violated the SEBI Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations (PFUTP).\n\nThis market resolves to“No”if, by the resolution deadline: no qualifying SEBI Final Order / Adjudication Order is issued, or SEBI issues only interim orders, show-cause notices, investigation updates, press statements, or charges/allegations without a qualifying final determination.\n\nEdge case: \n\nJudicial Overrule. If SEBI issues a qualifying final finding that would otherwise trigger “Yes”, but before the resolution deadline that finding is fully set aside / vacated (i.e., completely nullified on the merits) by either: the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT), or the Supreme Court of India, then the market resolves “No.”\n\nNotes for clarity:\n\nIf an appeal is pending, or the SEBI order is stayed but not fully set aside/vacated, the market still resolves based on whether a qualifying SEBI final order exists by the deadline.\n\nIf a court/SAT partially modifies the SEBI order but leaves intact a conclusion that Jane Street violated PFUTP / engaged in manipulation, it remains “Yes.”\n\nPrimary Sources\n\nSEBI official order/publication pages, official gazette postings, or SEBI press releases linking to the order.\n\nIf SEBI documents are not accessible, a consensus of reputable reporting that reproduces the key conclusion and identifies the order type and date.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x0e1b87e3474639048ba087503973ce2dd997710587c31ff75ee00c452882a8c5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28640.456,"volume_24hr":4030.6255,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.907630920410156,"normalized_volume":25.32694435119629,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.104,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SEBI Finds Jane Street Manipulated Markets by 2026？","top_outcome_probability":0.104,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T12:23:28.306584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/sebi-finds-jane-street-manipulated-markets-by-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1857","ticker":"1857","slug":"will-apple-aapl-close-above-end-of-september","title":"Will Apple (AAPL) close above … end of September?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official \"Close\" price for Apple (AAPL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A \"Close\" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to \"No\".\n\nIf the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x8c576ecca720a22ed11ff821e8b82d60c6e479a7f576268500860b5e83e6a7cf","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T22:06:39Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14266.792,"volume_24hr":3983.365,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.82273292541504,"normalized_volume":22.00422477722168,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"270","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T11:14:05.873563Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T11:14:05.873563Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:42:09.701045Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-apple-aapl-close-above-end-of-september","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1783","ticker":"1783","slug":"what-price-will-microsoft-msft-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for Microsoft (MSFT) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x339a3a30adf60be8018bed57a2e517350071fc0218e9b5f5a751489503ad0cea","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:17:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-03T20:03:35Z","volume":11048.41,"volume_24hr":3836.209,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.552589416503906,"normalized_volume":20.84389305114746,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 585","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T09:26:35.885394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T09:26:35.885394Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-microsoft-msft-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"354","ticker":"354","slug":"puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Puffpaw FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xf71b7f26a9563898e1914ad911b9d41cf2da0a26b333947bff74418390d72546","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:20:29Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8053284.3285,"volume_24hr":3427.114,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.75068473815918,"normalized_volume":60.80625534057617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$400M","top_outcome_probability":0.562,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T12:12:25.903328Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T12:12:25.903328Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"173","ticker":"173","slug":"opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Opensea FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x0d2569a1cafc6fd22f6113c8a5f70204c32584c062749097e0694f1cd982a241","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T17:38:41Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42423062.9055,"volume_24hr":3363.422,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.61835479736328,"normalized_volume":74.17790222167969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$1B","top_outcome_probability":0.153,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:29:14.130012Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:29:14.130012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"340","ticker":"340","slug":"what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","title":"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?","description":"Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered.\n\nTime window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on  December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints.\n\nMeaning of “hit”:\n\nFor any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.\n\nFor any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x171560c68677aeb578d28d82258e6ad0e18d8237e04ec29af129df13444761b9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T05:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T09:50:01Z","volume":875542.0625,"volume_24hr":3118.6029999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.088354110717773,"normalized_volume":45.01988220214844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 130,000","top_outcome_probability":0.966,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T02:19:40.341264Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T02:19:40.341264Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1787","ticker":"1787","slug":"what-price-will-tesla-tsla-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will Tesla (TSLA) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for Tesla (TSLA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0xfb21f3b9cfb9225db9003e5d6ce15473caa26898c8fe53018a46c3256301fcb8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:18:22Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-03T20:03:36Z","volume":3730.405,"volume_24hr":2880.795,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.537429809570312,"normalized_volume":16.266359329223633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 450","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T03:25:10.297362Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T03:25:10.297362Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-tesla-tsla-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"17360","ticker":null,"slug":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0xf3e7a13651a6bb714120e0a089f6510d30f0dd74d2a186f76ad526693d076772","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T02:48:08Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":238918.162,"volume_24hr":2714.2470000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.127397537231445,"normalized_volume":36.879127502441406,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.506,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.506,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:05:24.001967Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:05:24.001967Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T09:29:37.056225Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/fed-rate-hike-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1789","ticker":"1789","slug":"what-price-will-micron-mu-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will Micron (MU) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0xfa32b0c20b3405cc0d80583eeac6c30dbec4faada053d0b38b15eb45431e76cb","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:18:56Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T22:02:00Z","volume":7157.034,"volume_24hr":2593.532,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.81623649597168,"normalized_volume":18.945268630981445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 1,320","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:19:31.123902Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:19:31.123902Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-micron-mu-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":[1951.084,2186.604,2311.5989999999997,2391.124,2435.064,2435.064,2601.5789999999997,2686.144,2719.676,2719.676,2711.518,2711.518,2593.532]},{"source":"opinion","id":"381","ticker":"381","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb8b45b0c7950bafeab9c4f389a4d6252a5d98d3074e894c6078481eb3f4691ba","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T03:56:22Z","end_date":"2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25639302.6825,"volume_24hr":2154.2415,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.565580368041992,"normalized_volume":69.98527526855469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ron DeSantis","top_outcome_probability":0.968,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T16:25:38.266808Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T16:25:38.266808Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"349","ticker":"349","slug":"what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","title":"What will Silver settle at in June?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.\n\nFor CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x92c300e8074e81036682236828a190b32966568ce7d374ab409714e897e71f7a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T05:17:50Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-02T02:57:26Z","volume":1453292.227,"volume_24hr":1972.5105,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.982145309448242,"normalized_volume":48.41630935668945,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$60-$70","top_outcome_probability":0.461,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-will-silver-settle-at-in-june","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"336","ticker":"336","slug":"largest-company-end-of-2026","title":"Largest Company end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3bdaf162bdf3b4ba942d72983e38de4dd2fedb438f1af6aef0fc23a80af0b015","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-01T09:24:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5493422.855,"volume_24hr":1838.2054999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.520187377929688,"normalized_volume":57.91593551635742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Saudi Aramco","top_outcome_probability":0.941,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-30T02:40:14.929915Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T02:40:14.929915Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/largest-company-end-of-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"7653","ticker":null,"slug":"will-usd1-depeg-before-2027","title":"Will USD1 depeg before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6e74d61a91f1797195c3b497a6620515d94db17349696633f344ab5351a00439","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T13:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71483.923,"volume_24hr":1786.8120000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.335641860961914,"normalized_volume":30.042522430419922,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto","Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.52,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will USD1 depeg before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T04:15:23.381994Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T04:15:23.381994Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-usd1-depeg-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"394","ticker":"394","slug":"predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Predict.fun FDV  above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\n The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc3f6d5fc5f7cbfb666eb8aa7f3f30097b34314e0b292a695f4ec3f301a18cf77","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:37:17Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1133176.719,"volume_24hr":1729.2955,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.123579025268555,"normalized_volume":46.73326110839844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$50M","top_outcome_probability":0.955,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T02:17:47.606101Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T02:17:47.606101Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/predict-fun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"1782","ticker":"1782","slug":"what-price-will-apple-aapl-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will Apple (AAPL) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x8c576ecca720a22ed11ff821e8b82d60c6e479a7f576268500860b5e83e6a7cf","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:17:01Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-02T20:02:35Z","volume":3013.08,"volume_24hr":1577.377,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.532602310180664,"normalized_volume":15.432845115661621,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 344","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T14:28:34.228689Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T14:28:34.228689Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-apple-aapl-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"213","ticker":"213","slug":"lol-lck-2026-season-winner","title":"LoL: LCK 2026 Season Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.\n\nIf the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc6c42d82126db194eb8e52f609dc521460530750952a9dae0024db2fecc27b5f","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T03:36:52Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T04:22:51Z","volume":116135511.885,"volume_24hr":1547.3565,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.410032272338867,"normalized_volume":82.92843627929688,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gen.G Esports","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":828.8909999988973,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:11:46.437450Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:11:46.437450Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/lol-lck-2026-season-winner","chart_24h":[436.7665,1255.0475,1255.0475,1223.5315,1210.0365,1547.3565]},{"source":"opinion","id":"1786","ticker":"1786","slug":"what-price-will-meta-meta-hit-in-september-2026","title":"What price will Meta (META) hit in September 2026?","description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x0701e35047db66f12a3d1c18eae2929766b995ed33466017ac38505657e2b431","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T04:18:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-02T21:01:35Z","volume":4516.907,"volume_24hr":1367.63,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.63013458251953,"normalized_volume":17.031713485717773,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 700","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T14:28:34.228689Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T14:28:34.228689Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T04:38:43.581533Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/what-price-will-meta-meta-hit-in-september-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"2038","ticker":"2038","slug":"bitcoin-above-on-september-9","title":"Bitcoin above … on September 9?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an \"above\" market, a \"Close\" higher than that price; for a \"below\" market, a \"Close\" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xb23171ebd5a7f9fb479eff628d844b79d9fdc02f/0x74ef9dc3c79e6d33235772650d7df4087cef735d2a216e4502fd6736d9d58714","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:16:43Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7848.8725,"volume_24hr":1354.129,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.568044662475586,"normalized_volume":19.341171264648438,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"68,000","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":59.37699999999995,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:19:16.167255Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:19:16.167255Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:30:06.907389Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/bitcoin-above-on-september-9","chart_24h":[1294.752,1378.887,1448.5739999999998,1481.9089999999999,1481.9089999999999,1512.984,1512.984,1530.144,1453.625,1371.8799999999999,1354.129]},{"source":"opinion","id":"434","ticker":"434","slug":"netanyahu-out-by","title":"Netanyahu out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x9168217788a134d4613c8217cf9f20ec4e9a9422468c0ac21fd12ca1ead3ccc6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T03:38:58Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:15:04Z","volume":110197.396,"volume_24hr":1333.4475,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.471891403198242,"normalized_volume":32.41413116455078,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.346,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/netanyahu-out-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"205","ticker":"205","slug":"consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","title":"Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x3899e02d4bce226940b09faf3335dfb93005c3577f2cb28dfee35d87e6b1782a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-24T05:37:49Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097448.3525,"volume_24hr":1034.5135,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.91583824157715,"normalized_volume":55.7483024597168,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2B","top_outcome_probability":0.396,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T08:09:21.062696Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"163","ticker":"163","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xc88addf1ce0a49debdb113a2a5b7abf06af934e30ab78e9b12c7d68603d4b56a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T14:04:25Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T15:33:06Z","volume":14633927.375,"volume_24hr":982.785,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.60820960998535,"normalized_volume":65.45979309082031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T02:26:15.802099Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T02:26:15.802099Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/ipos-before-2027","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"344","ticker":"344","slug":"how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","title":"How high will the US inflation get in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x5b7abb577c923843fcec6b9e4b2287c0964f6415ee61148e0175c6e6f8dd4ba9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-03T06:18:51Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-11T17:04:00Z","volume":9342098.342500001,"volume_24hr":906.959,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.131288528442383,"normalized_volume":61.94688034057617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 5%","top_outcome_probability":0.899,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:26:52.844326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/how-high-will-the-us-inflation-get-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"312","ticker":"312","slug":"f1-world-drivers-champion-2026","title":"F1 World Drivers’ Champion 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x8ab1b8bb6c0da0cbb5103192c80adcf90d2745bdbe4992458eda060e001d8dab","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T10:41:50Z","end_date":"2026-12-06T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9592143.339,"volume_24hr":834.067,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.639633178710938,"normalized_volume":62.15093994140625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Max Verstappen","top_outcome_probability":0.961,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T05:26:43.452748Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T05:26:43.452748Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/f1-world-drivers-champion-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"208","ticker":"208","slug":"will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","title":"Will Polymarket launch its own L2 (“POLY”) by ...?","description":"Resolution Source(s):\n\nPolymarket’s official communications: https://x.com/Polymarket\nPublic, independently verifiable network evidence (e.g., a public block explorer / public RPC endpoints) confirming the existence of a live network branded/announced as Polymarket’s own L2.\n\nResolution Criteria:\n\nThis market resolves Yes if, on or before [DATE] 23:59 UTC, Polymarket has launched a public mainnet of its own Ethereum Layer 2 network (commonly referred to as “POLY” or an equivalent official name).\n\n“Public mainnet” means (i) Polymarket publicly announces the L2 mainnet launch as its own network, and (ii) the network is publicly accessible (public RPC or official access instructions) with ongoing block production that can be independently verified (e.g., via a block explorer or equivalent onchain evidence).\n\nThis market resolves No if the above conditions are not met by [DATE] 23:59 UTC.\n\nClarifications / Edge Cases:\n\nTestnets, devnets, private/invite-only launches, or “announced plans” without a publicly verifiable mainnet do not count as a launch.\n\nIf the network is launched but not explicitly branded “POLY,” it still counts only if Polymarket officially states it is Polymarket’s own L2 mainnet.\n\nIf sources conflict, Polymarket’s official announcement takes precedence, provided it is consistent with publicly verifiable network evidence.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x2481377f97421592b0226d631295d57f6b8013824c671b0e8eb655ac231cd5ea","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-25T04:11:22Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:47:03Z","volume":11666261.5345,"volume_24hr":817.975,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.526187896728516,"normalized_volume":63.673728942871094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2.4500000001862645,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T11:24:05.753372Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T11:24:05.753372Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-polymarket-launch-its-own-l2-poly-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"3365","ticker":null,"slug":"will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction between January 1st, 2026 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto\n\nIf Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x15a31af19d3f9fa339ce35245ff83a050ddacf72972995997ec684cb254aef3e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-29T16:26:54Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25160027.611,"volume_24hr":816.4449999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.515302658081055,"normalized_volume":69.83053588867188,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.054,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.054,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T12:28:10.545127Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T12:28:10.545127Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"143","ticker":"143","slug":"kraken-ipo-by","title":"Kraken IPO by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb3f99d660681931944795316ebd517344ed63ecef485183413c11b8453c78232","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-05T04:30:33Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T10:04:19Z","volume":7699686.668,"volume_24hr":744.1065,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.979759216308594,"normalized_volume":60.463348388671875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.152,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T02:14:25.105674Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T02:14:25.105674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/kraken-ipo-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"192","ticker":"192","slug":"will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Tempo launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x4f531206782c8d1b65089a6bc42df2f9963be81afa7db4852f06f112ee75d64c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T07:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:03:43Z","volume":7848530.1485,"volume_24hr":723.5540000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.819555282592773,"normalized_volume":60.60945510864258,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.361,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-30T19:32:13.800166Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T19:32:13.800166Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-tempo-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"7990","ticker":null,"slug":"terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","title":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","description":"his market resolves to YES if in the lawsuit filed by the Terraform Labs liquidation administrator against Jane Street (U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, filed February 2026), the court enters an order that denies, in whole or in part, any defendant’s motion to dismiss the operative complaint.\nThis market resolves to NO if the court grants a motion to dismiss that disposes of all claims in the operative complaint with prejudice.\n\nEdge Case:\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the case is otherwise finally terminated without any qualifying denial (including voluntary dismissal/settlement).\n\nThis market resolves to NO if the deadline below passes without a qualifying denial.\n\nIf all claims are dismissed without prejudice and an amended complaint is filed, the market resolves YES only if a later motion to dismiss the amended complaint is denied in whole or in part before the deadline; otherwise NO.\n\nDeadline: 2027-12-31 23:59 (New York time). If no qualifying court order exists on the docket by this time, resolve NO.\n\nPrimary resolution source: the official SDNY docket entry (PACER/ECF) for the relevant order. If inaccessible, a publicly mirrored docket/order (e.g., RECAP/CourtListener) is acceptable; reputable legal-news reporting that quotes the docket/order may be used as a last resort.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x78dff998d83bb250afe3063c46b7986195967ec28ee74bd58184666ca33ff62c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T08:28:12Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21242.8325,"volume_24hr":710.7775,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.71800994873047,"normalized_volume":23.873661041259766,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Finance","Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.111,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?","top_outcome_probability":0.111,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T13:12:17.158137Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/terraform-v-jane-street-mtd-denied","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"397","ticker":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by","title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x46289c6779e6fcd9409567a228ee35df008b35963aaaa310352ee05058d7957c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:39Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:19:37Z","volume":5631888.473,"volume_24hr":699.254,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.625089645385742,"normalized_volume":58.10188293457031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.816,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"352","ticker":"352","slug":"polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title.\n\nOtherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\" The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes.\n\nIf the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x7bbcc503bbd9f5f29aeb34d9f38d6d9440bf5ce952a0fb1d1e2832e53aaedee8","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-08T07:08:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9169131.6855,"volume_24hr":554.575,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.332414627075195,"normalized_volume":61.802703857421875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$10B","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T17:21:16.605129Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T17:21:16.605129Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/polymarket-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"118","ticker":"118","slug":"will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will MetaMask launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if MetaMask officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MetaMask (https://x.com/MetaMask), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x6ee5f997496e4dbca72218b4be1438527cf774a7fc3f64aa3ec6ae386137fe25","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T17:39:10Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T08:04:10Z","volume":10955528.1925,"volume_24hr":542.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.21169662475586,"normalized_volume":63.18275833129883,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T14:22:31.705631Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T14:22:31.705631Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-metamask-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"201","ticker":"201","slug":"will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will fomo.family launch a token by ... ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fomo (https://fomo.family/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fomo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x825a5026b183bf3e68c4763ce0911bcc64421a2465b267bc1c60027e20b29a5b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T04:14:43Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T07:36:23Z","volume":14854851.8695,"volume_24hr":513.0765,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.909225463867188,"normalized_volume":65.57874298095703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.149,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-28T01:15:44.321130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T01:15:44.321130Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-fomo-family-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null}],"meta":{"page":1,"page_size":50,"total":291,"total_pages":6},"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events?source=opinion","as_of":"2026-09-08T20:50:49.855167Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs"}}